REVIVING the ECONOMY of the MEDITERRANEAN SEA Actions for a Sustainable Future
REPORT 2017
REVIVING THE ECONOMY OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA Actions for a Sustainable Future
in association with Front cover View of Ustica from a fishing boat returning to the harbour CONTENTS © Claudia Amico FOREWORD 7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 9 The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global Lead author: Mauro Randone (WWF) management consulting firm and the world’s leading advisor PART ONE THE IMPORTANCE OF OCEAN ASSETS 12 on business strategy. We partner with clients from the Co-authors: Giuseppe Di Carlo (WWF), Marco Costantini private, public, and not-for-profit sectors in all regions to (WWF) FOR COASTAL ECONOMIES AND COMMUNITIES identify their highest-value opportunities, address their 1.1 Economic value of the Mediterranean Sea 16 most critical challenges, and transform their enterprises. The Boston Consulting Group: Thalia Tzanetti, 1.1.1 The gross marine product of the Mediterranean Sea 16 Our customized approach combines deep insight into the Dominique Haferkamp, Adrien Portafaix, Marty Smits, 1.1.2 The shared wealth fund of the Mediterranean Sea 16 dynamics of companies and markets with close collaboration Vassilis Antoniades, Nicolas Kachaner, Andrew Osborne, at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our Taz Chaudhry, Jen McPhillips, Camille Astier clients achieve sustainable competitive advantage, build more PART TWO A BLUE GOLD RUSH: EVER INCREASING PRESSURE 20 capable organizations, and secure lasting results. Founded in Edited by: Demetres Karavellas, Paolo Lombardi ON THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA 1963, BCG is a private company with more than 90 offices in 50 countries. For more information, please visit bcg.com. We would like to thank the following people in 2.1 Alarming growth trends 23 particular: WWF is one of the world’s largest and most experienced Paul Gamblin, Yaprak Arda, Catherine Piante, Samantha independent conservation organizations, with over 5 Burgess, Rita Santos, Maud Busuttil, Evan Jeffries, PART THREE STRATEGIC PRIORITIES FOR A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE 28 million supporters and a global network active in more Alessandro Buzzi, Catherine Roberts, Raul Garcia Strategic priority 1 Implement integrated and ecosystem-based ocean planning 30 than 100 countries. Rodriguez, Jose Luis Vargas, Oscar Esparza Alaminos, and management Giorgos Paximadis, Maud Busuttil, Sian Owen, Valerie Strategic priority 2 Adopt a sustainable Blue Economy approach 30 WWF’s mission is to stop the degradation of the planet’s Burgener, John Tanzer, Sofiane Mahjoub, Giulia Prato, Strategic priority 3 Achieve climate-resilient and carbon-neutral economies 32 natural environment and to build a future in which Julien Le Tellier, Jeremy Fosse, Erika Harms, Luca Strategic priority 4 Unlock the productive potential of natural assets 32 humans live in harmony with nature, by conserving Santarossa, Amy Strong. through public and private financing the world’s biological diversity, ensuring that the use of The team from the University of Bologna – Center for Strategic priority 5 Reduce the footprint of mass tourism and pursue 32 renewable natural resources is sustainable, and promoting Advanced Studies in Tourism: Riccardo Andolina, Ilaria more sustainable tourism models the reduction of pollution and wasteful consumption. Balletto, Cristina Bernini, Maria Laura Gasparini, Alessia Strategic priority 6 Ensure the sustainability of the fishing sector 33 Mariotti, Paolo Pizzasegola, Marcio Verde Selva, Annalisa The designation of geographical entities in this report, Spalazzi, Tania Schleef. and the presentation of the material, do not imply the PART FOUR FOCUS ON TOURISM AND FISHERIES: 34 expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WWF Design/layout: Bianco Tangerine Snc (Erika Vicaretti, POTENTIAL DRIVERS OF A SUSTAINABLE BLUE ECONOMY concerning the legal status of any country, territory, or Maria Isabella Reggio) area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of 4.1 The imperative of a sustainable tourism model for the Mediterranean Sea 37 its frontiers or boundaries. Infographics: Catalyze Communications 4.1.1 Impacts of tourism 37 4.1.2 Tourism trends in the Mediterranean Sea 39 Published in September 2017 by WWF – World Wide Fund This report is available at: ocean.panda.org 4.1.3 Recommendations for a sustainable tourism sector 41 For Nature (Formerly World Wildlife Fund). 4.2 The Mediterranean fisheries sector: last call for action 49 4.2.1 Reviving the Mediterranean fisheries sector 50 Any reproduction in full or in part must mention the title, 4.2.2 Recommendations for a sustainable fisheries sector 50 the lead author, and credit the above-mentioned publisher as the copyright owner. CONCLUSION 58 © Text 2017 WWF. All rights reserved
Citation of this report: Randone. et al. 2017. Reviving LITERATURE CITED 60 the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future. WWF Mediterranean Marine Initiative, Rome, Italy. 64 pp. ACRONYMS 62
page 2 | Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future | page 3 © ANTON IVANOV / SHUTTERSTOCK.COM
“ The sea, the great unifier, is man’s only hope. Now, as never before, the old phrase has a literal meaning: we are all in the same boat. ” Jaques Yves Cousteau
page 4 | Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future | page 5 The Mediterranean Sea is deeply embedded in the cultures, livelihoods and social structure of the nations that surround it. Some of my earliest memories FOREWORD growing up in Malta are of the central role the Mediterranean Sea played for our family and society. Even in my lifetime however, I have seen the pressures on this environment increase enormously so it is clear to me that we must turn our minds with new urgency to the future of this remarkable and much-loved place. © G. PAXIMADIS / WWF GREECE Developing the Blue Economy of the Mediterranean has often been seen as having infinite
© EC.EUROPA.EU© possibilities to resolve many of the challenges and to improve livelihoods of Mediterranean communities. However, we know this not to be the case and scientific evidence has shown us the very real limitations of the ocean and the resulting degradation of ecosystems due to ineffective governance. This new report from WWF demonstrates that the Mediterranean Sea is a major contributor to the regional GDP and that its natural resources represent a huge asset for the Blue Economy not only for the region but also globally.
The report also demonstrates that developing a strong and sustainable Blue Economy for the Mediterranean region will greatly depend on keeping our sea, coastlines, and marine ecosystems healthy, and where possible to restore degraded ecosystems. We cannot continue to erode the very assets that Mediterranean communities and economies depend on.
Sustainable Blue Growth and effective ocean governance go hand in hand. Economic opportunities should be integrated with environmental responsibilities. Sound ocean management is based on conserving and sustainably using our marine resources with the aim of maintaining our ocean and seas for future generations. The ocean has a key role as climate regulator, as a source of food, and as an engine for economic growth. Better ocean governance and management are not only crucial to make sure our maritime resources are healthy and safe, they also make economic sense.
Keeping our oceans healthy and creating the enabling conditions for a sustainable Blue Economy are shared tasks that cross borders in the Mediterranean, and they are not confined to the EU and its Member States. World leaders decided in 2015 through the United Nations to put the conservation and sustainable use of the oceans high on the political agenda. For the first time, there is an internationally-agreed political commitment for the ocean: Sustainable Development Goal 14 - Life Below Water. The European Commission is determined to turn these commitments into action. That is why the Commission launched a joint communication on international ocean governance where we proposed 50 actions to improve ocean management, reduce human pressure on the marine environment, and invest in ocean research and data sharing.
This report must motivate governments and business to end the status quo of resource exploitation and the attempts to manage fast-dwindling resources, and instead shift to a sustainable approach. This vision will build on our best experiences to scale-up the preservation of Mediterranean species and habitats and thereby increase economic security and improve livelihoods for future generations.
Achieving a truly sustainable Blue Economy will not be an easy task but this report shows why the moment has come for action on a scale unprecedented in our history. The Mediterranean is at a turning point and I urge all of us to grasp the opportunity now to set course towards a healthy, sustainable future.
Karmenu Vella, European Commissioner for Environment, Maritime Affairs and Fisheries
page 6 | Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future | page 7 After decades of excessive and often unregulated EXECUTIVE economic activity, the health of the Mediterranean Sea is in steep decline. Ecosystems and the services SUMMARY they provide have been degraded rapidly, putting at risk the economy and livelihoods of those that depend on the sea. © MANUEL SÁNCHEZ-MATEOS PANIAGUA In this report we have used two key concepts 1) ‘gross marine product’ (GMP), which can be compared to a country’s annual gross domestic product (GDP), and 2) ‘shared wealth fund’ which represents the total “asset” base of the ocean, to illustrate the economic value of the Mediterranean Sea which directly relies on healthy ocean assets.
Our analysis demonstrates that ocean-related activities in the Mediterranean Sea generate US$ 5.6TN an annual economic value of US$450 billion, which compared to the regional GDPs, makes it the fifth largest economy in the region after France, Italy, Spain and Turkey. THE VALUE OF THE This value represents about 20% of the world’s annual GMP,1 in an area which makes TOTAL OCEAN ASSET up only 1% of the world’s ocean. Furthermore the economic assets of the Mediterranean BASE OF THE Sea are conservatively valued at a staggering US$5.6 trillion. Although these figures are MEDITERANEAN SEA IS AT impressive, they only partially demonstrate the significance of the Mediterranean Sea, as the intrinsic value of biodiversity and the numerous intangible benefits of a healthy sea LEAST US$5.6 TRILLION cannot be adequately reflected in economic terms.
The population in the region is expected to grow, as will most of the economic activities. We must therefore take advantage of the window of opportunity still open to us today to reset the agenda, before the shared wealth fund of the Mediterranean Sea is driven to collapse by unsustainable development. To this end, urgent action and strong leadership at local, national and regional levels are needed to mitigate the impact of decades of heedless human activity.
We propose six strategic priorities to achieve a sustainable economic model in the Mediterranean, all of which build upon the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs):
1. Implement integrated and ecosystem-based ocean planning and management 2. Adopt a sustainable Blue Economy approach 3. Achieve climate-resilient and carbon-neutral economies 4. Unlock the sustainable productive potential of natural assets through public and private financing 5. Reduce the footprint of mass tourism and pursue more sustainable tourism models 6. Ensure sustainability of the fishing sector
1 Hoegh-Guldberg, O. et al. (2015) Reviving the Ocean Economy: The Case for Action - 2015. WWF International, Gland, Switzerland., Geneva, 60 pp.
page 8 | Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future | page 9 In addition to these priorities, we explored in depth two key sectors, due to their importance for the Mediterranean: tourism and fisheries. Of all sea-related sectors, tourism is the number one contributor to the region’s economies, accounting for 11% of Mediterranean countries’ cumulative gross domestic product (GDP). However, the current
mass tourism model – which often involves aggressive coastal development, excessive GUNTHER MICHEL © water and energy consumption and unsustainable management of solid waste and sewage, among other things – has degraded both the marine and the coastal environment. Furthermore, the current tourism model, along with rapidly emerging consumer trends, endanger the long-term economic sustainability of tourism in the Mediterranean; the willingness to pay and the average spending per tourist is expected to further decrease, even if the total number of arrivals does not decline in the short run.
The Mediterranean fisheries sector, another key contributor to the region’s economy, has been in a deepening crisis in recent years. It still has an estimated collective worth of over US$3 billion2 and directly employs more than 180,000 people.3 But overfishing and other human factors (e.g., pollution, habitat destruction) have dramatically affected the industry, and more than 80% of the assessed fish stocks in the Mediterranean are overfished.4
For each of these two sectors, we offer a series of recommendations for policy makers, investors and developers. These recommendations are intended to improve the sustainability of the tourism and fisheries sectors and to shift towards a “Blue Economy” development model that will sustain ocean assets and contribute to the region’s prosperity at the same time.
2 GFCM (2016) The State of Mediterranean and Black Sea Fisheries. FAO. 3 Ibid. 4 GFCM (2017) Scientific Advisory Committee on Fisheries (SAC) - 19th session. May 16 - May 19, 2017 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
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PART ONE THE IMPORTANCE OF OCEAN ASSETS FOR COASTAL ECONOMIES AND COMMUNITIES Oceans are fundamental for life on Earth. They produce THE ECONOMIC VALUE In this report, we aim to assess the economic value of the Mediterranean Sea (although OF THE MEDITERRANEAN the sectors that directly rely on healthy ocean assets have been taken into account in more than half of the oxygen that we breathe and they absorb our model) and analyze its two most important economic sectors: tourism and fisheries. SEA IS CLOSELY TIED around a third of the CO2 produced by human activities. They Tourism accounts for 92% of the Mediterranean’s economic production, but has also also provide trillions of dollars5 in goods and services, food, TO ASSETS THAT played a critical role in the decline of the region’s marine environment. Meanwhile, the 6 ARE RAPIDLY DEGRADING fisheries sector is worth over $3 billion, and it carries immense cultural value within countless jobs and transport for millions of people, they are the region, but 80% of assessed fish stocks are currently threatened.12 In short, the an important renewable energy source, they hold fundamental Mediterranean Sea’s economic value is closely tied to assets that are rapidly degrading. cultural and spiritual values, and myriad intangible benefits.7
Equally importantly, healthy marine and coastal ecosystems 12 GFCM (2017) Scientific Advisory Committee on Fisheries (SAC) - 19th session. May 16 - May 19, 2017 Ljubljana, support our fight against poverty, provide nutrition, and bolster Slovenia. health and employment.
Hence, it is no surprise that the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals recognise the oceans’ importance. Goal8 14 focuses specifically on the ocean, namely to “conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development” – and an additional 9 out of 17 goals touch upon the ocean as well. The role of oceans in the climate balance was also officially recognized for the first time by the Paris Agreement, thus paving the way for greater consideration of the marine environment in political decisions on climate and other areas. © ANTONIO ROSSETTI / SUNCE
THE MEDITERRANEAN The Mediterranean is one of the most highly valued seas in the world, and it includes a vast IS ONE OF THE MOST set of coastal and marine ecosystems that deliver valuable benefits for its inhabitants. It is one of the world’s major centers of marine and coastal biodiversity; 28% of species are HIGHLY VALUED SEAS endemic,9 and there are many areas (particularly in protected sites) where clean, crystal- IN THE WORLD, clear blue waters and pristine landscapes can be found. The Mediterranean Sea attracts AND ACCOUNTS FOR millions of visitors every year. It accounts for about one-third of all global tourism, and ABOUT ONE-THIRD OF several countries, such as Spain, Italy, Greece and Turkey, rely on tourists for a large part of their income. Other key economic sectors include fisheries, aquaculture, maritime GLOBAL TOURISM transport, and oil and gas extraction.
However, the Mediterranean is no exception to the alarming global findings of ocean decline. Its marine environment has been declining rapidly for decades due to intensive coastal development, poorly planned tourism, unsustainable fishing practices and pollution—factors amplified by the global pressures of ocean warming and acidification. It is also important to note that the ability to effectively address these challenges is hindered by the socio-political complexity of the basin; 23 countries border this heavily used sea10 in a fragile and often conflicting environment, where economic and political values are strongly interrelated and where social imbalances and economic inequalities are significant.11
5 Conservatively estimated to be at least US$24 trillion. See: Hoegh-Guldberg, O. et al. (2015) Reviving the Ocean Economy: The Case for Action - 2015. WWF International, Gland, Switzerland., Geneva, 60 pp. 6 Ibid. 7 Ibid. 8 The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development have been adopted by world leaders in September 2015 and officially came into force on January 1, 2016. SDGs include a set of goals to end poverty, protect the planet, and ensure prosperity for all as part of a new sustainable development agenda. Each goal has specific targets to be achieved over the next 15 years. (http://www.un.org/ sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-goals/#) 9 http://www.rac-spa.org/biodiversity 10 UNEP/MAP (2012) State of the Mediterranean Marine and Coastal Environment, UNEP/MAP – Barcelona Convention, Athens. 11 Daniele, V. (2016) Trends in Mediterranean Inequalities (1950-2015). MPRA Paper.
page 14 | Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future | page 15 1.1 THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA
We use two concepts to illustrate the economic value of the Mediterranean Sea: the ‘gross marine product’ (GMP) and the ‘shared wealth fund.’ The GMP is the annual economic © PXHERE.COM output of all sectors related to the sea,13,14 while the shared wealth fund includes the total productive biodiversity and ecosystem assets of the ocean, such as coastlines, fisheries and seagrass.
1.1.1 The gross marine product of the Mediterranean Sea
The economic value of ocean-related activities in the Mediterranean Sea, the ‘gross marine US$450 BN product,’ is estimated to be US$450 billion annually. Although the Mediterranean Sea represents just 1% of the world’s total ocean area, it comprises 20% of the world’s GMP. THE ECONOMY OF THE Italy contributes the most to the GMP, followed by Spain, France and Turkey. MEDITERRANEAN, WORTH AT LEAST US$450BN, The vast majority of the Mediterranean’s GMP (92%) derives from tourism.15 Coastal IS THE 5TH LARGEST tourism alone16 generates US$300 billion annually, followed by marine tourism17 at US$110 billion. Fisheries and aquaculture account for roughly 2% of GMP, generating ECONOMY IN THE REGION approximately US$8 billion annually, but their regional importance varies widely from country to country.
1.1.2 The shared wealth fund of the Mediterranean Sea
The ‘shared wealth fund’ can be understood as the total asset base of the ocean, from 83% which annual economic production (i.e., the GMP) is drawn. The Mediterranean Sea’s shared wealth fund is valued at US$5.6 trillion. Productive coastlines account for the PRODUCTIVE COASTLINES majority of assets (83%), followed by seagrass at 13%. REPRESENT 83% OF THE SHARED WEALTH FUND We need to keep in mind the numerous intangible benefits the Mediterranean provides. The sea brings security (supporting livelihoods, providing food, etc.), spiritual and cultural enrichment, coastal protection, climate regulation and recreational value —though these factors cannot yet be effectively captured in classical economic analysis. The sea also shares strong interdependencies with other industries that draw from it, such as fish processing, transportation, and cultural tourism. Although this report addresses the economic or instrumental value of the Mediterranean Sea, it is equally important to consider its intrinsic value or its ‘inherent worth.’ The sea has a value in and of itself and it would be wrong to assess it purely for the services it provides to people. The intrinsic value of the sea should also taken into account in policy decisions, and should remind us of the moral imperative to act now to save all oceans.
13 Shipping and oil-related industries are not included, since they do not depend upon a functional ecosystems. 14 The numbers presented in the report do not represent net value as they do not exclude costs. 15 Due to lack of relevant literature and statistics, the totality of marine and coastal tourism is assumed to be dependent on a healthy sea. 16 Total marine and coastal tourism is calculated by applying the percentage of tourism attributable to marine ecosystems to total tourism receipts. 17 Marine tourism includes all activities that take place directly at sea (e.g., SCUBA diving, snorkelling, yachting, bathing).
page 16 | Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future | page 17 FIGURE 1 WHAT IS THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA?
OCEAN ASSET VALUE OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA - SHARED WEALTH FUND
Marine assets in the Me iterranean Sea generate much more alue than e are TOTAL SHARED WEALTH THE SHARED WEALTH FUND FUND ASSET BASE a are of an coul pro i e e en US$ tn is the total sum of the ocean s more if ell manage . 5.6 Croatia Monaco Slovenia assets such as coastlines Bosnia & France Italy Herzegovina from hich Spain Montenegro annual economic pro uction (the Albania Gross Marine Pro uct) is ra n. Turkey Algeria Greece Gibraltar Syria Tunisia Malta Morocco Lebanon Cyprus PRIMARY ASSETS Libya Egypt Israel US$ 39.0 bn Palestine Seagrass US$ 716.9 bn
ADJACENT ASSETS Productive coastline US$ 4,650.6 bn
Carbon absorption US$ 173.5 bn
MEDITERRANEAN SEA GROSS MARINE PRODUCT (GMP) HOW DOES THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA’S GROSS MARINE PRODUCT COMPARE TO REGIONAL GDPs? (data from(data 2015-201 from 2016) Countries with GDP below S 0 bn are (notdata displayed from 2016)
5. MEDITERRANEAN GMP US$ 450 bn Gross Marine Pro uct THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA 1. FRANCE (GMP) is the ocean s REPRESENTS JUST US$ 2463.2 bn The Me iterranean Sea economy is the 5th 2. ITALY annual economic alue. US$ 1850.7 bn largest in the region. 3. SPAIN 1% US$ 1232.6 bn 4. TURKEY US$ 857.4 bn
92% OF THE TOTAL OCEAN, 6. EGYPT Marine & coastal tourism BUT COMPRISES US$ 332.4 bn 7. ISRAEL US$ 318.4 bn 8. GREECE 2% 20% US$ 194.3 bn 9. ALGERIA US$ 160.8 bn Fisheries & aquaculture OF THE GLOBAL GMP 10. MOROCCO US$ 103.6 bn 11. LEBANON US$ 51.9 bn 12. CROATIA 6% US$ 50.4 bn Direct services enabled 13. SLOVENIA US$ 44 bn by the ocean 14. TUNISIA US$ 41.9 bn
Analysis for this section is provided by: © The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. SOURCES: All rights reserved. For more information IMF World Economic Outlook 2016. on the BCG methodology, please visit: ocean.panda.org © PAUL PRESCOTT / SHUTTERSTOCK.COM
PART TWO A BLUE GOLD RUSH: EVER INCREASING PRESSURE ON THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA The Mediterranean is the largest enclosed sea in the world. FIGURE 2 MAIN ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES/TRENDS IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA It sits at the crossroads of Europe, Africa and Asia, and for centuries it has been a hub for transport, trade and tourism. Our analysis clearly demonstrates the importance of the economic contribution of the Mediterranean to the economies of the surrounding countries (Figure 1). However, decades of excessive and often unregulated economic activity have taken ITERRANEAN their toll – and the Mediterranean’s health is in steep decline. MED SEA OIL & GAS INDUSTRY MICADRIATIC ACTIVITIES A OVER 20% of the Me iterranean ECONO ND TR AIN ENDS basin currently co ere 2.1 ALARMING GROWTH TRENDS M by oil and gas exploration contracts. ALMOST ALL MARITIME Given the economic importance of the Mediterranean, its positive future is critical for the AQUACULTURE ffshore gas production 18 INDUSTRIES ARE sustainability of coastal economies. The MedTrends report, published by WWF in 2015, + 112% production by 2 3 to increase FIVE-FOLD by 2 3 shows us how the sea may look in 15 to 20 years. It depicts a potential ‘blue gold rush’ (Me iterranean countries) (mainly eastern Me iterranean Sea EXPECTED TO DEVELOP, for the region, where almost all maritime industries will continue to develop. The region from 2 1 to 2 3 ) CAUSING POTENTIAL is expected to see an increase in maritime traffic, partly driven by the increasing trade CONFLICTS OVER SPACE between Europe and Asia. Oil transport is also set to rise to 750 million tonnes by 2025 (in 2006 it was around 500 million tonnes), involving 6,700 tankers each year. Regional COASTAL MARINE AND OTHER RESOURCES energy demand continues to grow; offshore oil and gas exploration contracts currently DEVELOPMENT MINING cover more than 20% of the Mediterranean Sea, and potential new contracts cover another + 5,000 km of ery li ely 20% of the basin. Aquaculture production is expected to expand from 280,000 to 600,000 artificialised RAPID DEVELOPMENT coastline by 2 25 (all Me iterranean Sea) tonnes a year, with an increase of 112% (Figure 2). This level of development will inevitably (as compare result in conflicts over space and other resources. to the 2 5 situation)
18 Piante C., Ody D. (2015) Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: The Challenge of Good Environmental Status. PROFESSIONAL MedTrends Project. WWF-France. 189 pp. TOURISM FISHING + 500 million international DOWNWARD TREND mainly arrivals by 2 3 ue to overfishing (all Me iterranean Sea) (all Me iterranean Sea)
MARITIME OFFSHORE TRANSPORT WIND ENERGY © MICHEL GUNTHER / WWF 4% per annum increase in production growth rate in global tra e to 12 GW by 2 3 (all Me iterranean Sea by 2 25) (Me iterranean countries) LAND-BASED RECREATIONAL POLLUTION SOURCES FISHING UPWARD TREND potentially in heavy metal pollution FAST DEVELOPMENT (all Me iterranean Sea) (all Me iterranean Sea)
Infographic provided by: SOURCES Bianco Tangerine snc Piante C., Ody D. (2015) Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: The Challenge of Good Environmental Status. MedTrends Project. WWF-France. 189 pp.
page 22 | Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future Reviving the Economy of the Mediterranean Sea: Actions for a Sustainable Future | page 23 FIGURE 3 STATE OF MARINE ASSETS IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA