Results of Surveyusa Mkt Research Study #21163
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Results of SurveyUSA Mkt ResearchResults Study of #21163SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #21163 Geography: NC RBS Republicans Geography: NC RBS Republicans Sponsor: Sponsor: Data Collected: 03/19/2014 - 03/23/2014 Data Collected: 03/19/2014 - 03/23/2014 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC) Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC) Release Date: 03/24/2014 Release Date: 03/24/2014 Percentages Percentages Live Operators Hand-Dialed Cell-Phone Respondents in this StatewideLive GOPOperators Primary Hand-Dialed Research: Cell-Phone Exclusively Respondentsfor the J.W. Pope in this Civitas Statewide Institute GOP of Raleigh, Primary SurveyUSA Research: interviewed Exclusively 480 for the J.W. Pope Civitas Institute of Raleigh, SurveyUSA interviewed 480 registered North Carolina voters who had cast a Republican ballot in oneregistered or both ofNorth the 2012Carolina and voters 2010 whoRepublican had cast primaries, a Republican using ballot RBS in(Registration one or both Based of the Sample,2012 and aka 2010 voter-list Republican sample) primaries, using RBS (Registration Based Sample, aka voter-list sample) provided by Aristotle of Washington DC. Interviews conducted 03/19/14provided through by 03/23/14. Aristotle Of of theWashington 480 registered DC. Interviews voters, 378 conducted identified 03/19/14 themselves through as registered 03/23/14. Republicans Of the 480 ;registered of the Republicans, voters, 378 identified themselves as registered Republicans; of the Republicans, 365 identified themselves as certain or likely to vote in the 05/06/14 Republican365 identified primary. themselves Of the 480 as registeredcertain or likely voters, to anothervote in the 102 0 5identified/06/14 Republican themselves primary. to be registered Of the 480 without registered a party voters, affiliation another; of 102 identified themselves to be registered without a party affiliation; of those unaffiliated voters, 91 identified themselves as certain or likely to thosevote in unaffiliated the primary voters,; of the 91 91 identified unaffiliated themselves primary voters, as certain 40 identified or likely to themselves vote in the asprimary being; ofcertain the 91 to unaffiliatedrequest a Republican primary voters, 40 identified themselves as being certain to request a Republican primary ballot. The 365 Republicans and 40 unaffiliated voters combineprimary to make ballot. up the The 40 3565 likely Republicans Republican and primary 40 unaffiliated voters shown voters here. combine Respondents to make upreachable the 405 onlikely a home Republican telephone primary (83% voters of shown here. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (83% of likely primary voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recordedlikely primary voice voters) of a professional were interviewed announcer. on their Respondents home telephone not reachable in the recorded on a home voice telephone of a professional (17% of announcer.likely primary Respondents voters) not reachable on a home telephone (17% of likely primary voters) were called by live-operators, who hand-dialed the phone, qualified thewere respondent, called by interviewed live-operators, the respondent, who hand-dialed logged the the phone, respondent qualified's answers, the respondent, and remained interviewed on the the line respondent, until the conclusion logged the of respondent 's answers, and remained on the line until the conclusion of the call. the call. 1 How will you vote in the primary? By voting early at one of the local,1 one-stopHow will early you voting vote in locations the primary? By? votingBy voting by mail early? atOr one will ofyou the vote local, at the one-stop polls on early Election voting Day locations? ? By voting by mail? Or will you vote at the polls on Election Day? 405 Likely Republican Primary Voter Gender 405 LikelyAge Republican Primary Voter<50 / 50+ Cell PhoneGender / Lan Age Party Affiliation <50 / 50+ Cell Phone / Lan Party Affiliation All All Margin of Sampling Error: +/-5% Male Female 18-34Margin 35-49 of Sampling50-64 Error65+: +/-5%18-49 50+ CellMale Ph FLandlinemale Strong 18-34 Republi 35-49 Indy50-6 L4e Indepen65+ Indy18-49 Le Democr50+ StrongCell Ph Landlin Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Early Voting Locations 41% 44% 40% 50%Early30 V%oting L42ocations% 45% 32% 4441% 3844% 4240% 4750% 3306%% 4442% 245% 7332% 440%% 380%% 42% 47% 36% 44% 25% 73% 0% 0% Mail 2% 2% 3% 9% Mail 0% 2% 4% 1% 32% 2% 23% 29% 40% 02% 04% 01% 1003%% 02% 2% 2% 4% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% At The Polls 53%52%54% 41%At The69 %5Polls 3% 47% 65% 503%6%502%514% 4941%5% 649%%5 55%3% 6477% 27 65%% 500%%600%%51% 49%54% 55% 67% 27% 0% 0% Not Sure 3% 3% 4% 0% Not Sure2% 3% 5% 1% 43% 03% 4% 20% 5%2% 13% 8 5%% 01% 04% 0% 4% 2% 5% 1% 8% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%Total100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1000%% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% Composition of Likely Republican Pri 100% 41%59% 2% Composition17% of39 L%ikely Republican41% 19 %Pri 10081%% 1741%%5839% 412%% 3317% 2039% 414%% 191%% 810%% 170%% 83% 41% 33% 20% 4% 1% 0% 0% 1 How will you vote in the primary? By voting early at one of the local,1 one-stopHow will early you voting vote in locations the primary? By? votingBy voting by mail early? atOr one will ofyou the vote local, at the one-stop polls on early Election voting Day locations? ? By voting by mail? Or will you vote at the polls on Election Day? 405 Likely Republican Primary Voter Ideology405 Likely Republican Primary VoterSupport Tea Party Abortion Ideology Lived in NC Support Tea Party Abortion Lived in NC All All Margin of Sampling Error: +/-5% Very Co Somew ModeraMargin Somew of SamplingVery Li Error Not Sur: +/-5%Yes NoV Notery Sur Co SomewPro-life Pro-choModera Somew<2 Yrs 2-Very5 Y rsLi Not6-10 Sur Yr 11-20Yes Y>20 No Yrs Not Sur Pro-life Pro-cho <2 Yrs 2-5 Yrs 6-10 Yr 11-20 Y>20 Yrs Early Voting Locations 41% 41% 42% 43%Early73 V%oting L38ocations% 19% 39% 4416%% 4041% 3942%5% 432% 7735%% 4238% 2919% 4395%% 4146%% 40% 39%52% 75% 42% 29% 45% 41% Mail 2% 2% 3% 1% Mail 0% 24% 0% 2% 2% 32% 23% 31% 0% 240%% 0% 2% 32% 3% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 3% At The Polls 53%53%53%51%At The27 %Polls 38% 81% 55% 503%%5483%%5 56%3%5431% 2275%% 5388% 7181%5% 55%2%5 510% 48% 56% 43% 25% 58% 71%52%51% Not Sure 3% 4% 2% 5% Not Sure0% 0% 0% 3% 13% 84% 42% 2 5%% 0% 0% 0% 13% 41% 8% 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%Total100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely Republican Pri 100% 48% 32% 16%Composition1% of1 %Likely Republican1%58 %Pri 10028%% 1448% 7232% 215%6% 1% 31% 81%%515%8% 7328% 14% 72% 25% 1% 3% 8% 15% 73% © 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com © 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #21163 - Page 1 Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #21163 - Page 1 Results of SurveyUSA Mkt ResearchResults Study of #21163SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #21163 Geography: NC RBS Republicans Geography: NC RBS Republicans Sponsor: Sponsor: Data Collected: 03/19/2014 - 03/23/2014 Data Collected: 03/19/2014 - 03/23/2014 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC) Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC) Release Date: 03/24/2014 Release Date: 03/24/2014 Percentages Percentages How will you vote in the primary? By voting early at one of the local,Liveone-stop Operatorsearly Hand-Dialedvoting locations Cell-Phone? By voting Respondentsby mail? Or inwill thisyou Statewidevote at the GOPpolls Primaryon Election Research:Day? Exclusively for the J.W. Pope Civitas Institute of Raleigh, SurveyUSA interviewed 480 1 registered North Carolina voters who had cast a Republican ballot in one or both of the 2012 and 2010 Republican primaries, using RBS (Registration Based Sample, aka voter-list sample) 405 Likely Republican Primary Voter Region provided by Aristotle of Washington DC. Interviews conducted 03/19/14 through 03/23/14. Of the 480 registered voters, 378 identified themselves as registered Republicans; of the Republicans, All Margin of Sampling Error: +/-5% Charlott Greens Raleigh365Souther identified themselves as certain or likely to vote in the 05/06/14 Republican primary. Of the 480 registered voters, another 102 identified themselves to be registered without a party affiliation; of those unaffiliated voters, 91 identified themselves as certain or likely to vote in the primary; of the 91 unaffiliated primary voters, 40 identified themselves as being certain to request a Republican Early Voting Locations 41% 47% 36% 43% 39% primary ballot. The 365 Republicans and 40 unaffiliated voters combine to make up the 405 likely Republican primary voters shown here. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (83% of Mail 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% likely primary voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (17% of likely primary voters) At The Polls 53% 48% 53% 54%were5 called1% by live-operators, who hand-dialed the phone, qualified the respondent, interviewed the respondent, logged the respondent's answers, and remained on the line until the conclusion of Not Sure 3% 2% 8% 1% the call.7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely Republican Pri 100% 34% 18% 31% 17% 1 How will you vote in the primary? By voting early at one of the local, one-stop early voting locations? By voting by mail? Or will you vote at the polls on Election Day? Would you say that North Carolina is headed in the right direction,40or5 haveLikelythings Republicangotten Primaryoff on the Voterwrong