Background and Issues Paper 2010
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Hutt Corridor Plan Review Background and Issues Paper 2010 Important Note: This is a working paper, the purpose of which was to pull together a range of relevant information and statistics, and to identify relevant studies and policies, to assist the technical group in understanding the current context for the Hutt Corridor Plan review. The information and numbers generally reflect what was available during the earlier stages of the plan’s development during 2010. Significant recent updates on project status are noted throughout the paper. Where newer stats or data have become available since this paper was prepared, it has been used directly in the Draft Plan itself. PAGE 1 OF 105 PAGE 2 OF 105 Contents INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................................6 POLICY CONTEXT FOR THE CORRIDOR PLAN REVIEW ...............................................9 1. National context ........................................................................................................................................................9 1.1 New Zealand Transport Strategy 2008..............................................................................................................9 1.2 Government Policy Statement (GPS) on Land Transport Funding...................................................................9 1.3 Safer Journeys 2020 ........................................................................................................................................10 1.4 NZ Energy Strategy and NZ Energy Efficiency and Conservation Strategy ..................................................11 1.5 Draft State Highway Classification System ....................................................................................................11 2. Regional context......................................................................................................................................................12 2.1 Wellington Regional Land Transport Strategy (RLTS) 2010 – 2040 .............................................................12 2.2 Proposed Regional Policy Statement (RPS)....................................................................................................12 2.3 Wellington Regional Strategy .........................................................................................................................13 TRANSPORT NETWORK PRESSURES...........................................................................14 3. Integrating Land Use and Transport Planning....................................................................................................15 4. Population and Household.....................................................................................................................................15 4.1 Population trend between 1996 and 2006 .......................................................................................................16 4.2 Population forecasts ........................................................................................................................................18 4.3 Household number ..........................................................................................................................................19 4.4 Household number forecast.............................................................................................................................21 5. Climate Change Impacts........................................................................................................................................27 5.1 MFE Guidance on Climate Change.................................................................................................................27 5.2 Climate Change Effects on the Land Transport Network – MWH/NIWA .....................................................27 5.3 Mapping sea level rise vulnerabilities.............................................................................................................28 5.4 Future studies ..................................................................................................................................................28 6. Economic, social and lifestyle trends.....................................................................................................................29 6.1 Employment within Hutt Valley .....................................................................................................................29 6.2 Employment status of residents.......................................................................................................................32 6.3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) trends ...........................................................................................................33 6.4 Income levels ..................................................................................................................................................35 6.5 Fuel price trends - nationwide.........................................................................................................................39 6.6 Car Ownership ................................................................................................................................................39 6.7 Working from home........................................................................................................................................42 6.8 Car Parking .....................................................................................................................................................42 TRAVEL DEMAND AND TRIP PATTERNS ......................................................................43 7. Road traffic volumes...............................................................................................................................................43 7.1 Road traffic volumes on SH2..........................................................................................................................43 7.2 Traffic volumes on other main arterial roads ..................................................................................................45 7.3 Road traffic volumes on SH58........................................................................................................................47 7.4 Heavy vehicle volumes ...................................................................................................................................47 8. Public Transport Trends and Issues .....................................................................................................................50 8.1 Hutt Valley Line (HVL) and Melling Line (ML) Patronage...........................................................................50 PAGE 3 of 105 8.2 Bus Patronage .................................................................................................................................................51 9. Journey to work patterns.......................................................................................................................................52 9.1 Trip numbers – all modes................................................................................................................................52 9.2 Journey to work mode split .............................................................................................................................53 9.3 Destination of Journey to Work trips ..............................................................................................................53 10. Journeys for shopping and education ..............................................................................................................54 10.1 Shopping trips .................................................................................................................................................54 10.2 Education trips ................................................................................................................................................54 11. Walking and cycling patterns ...........................................................................................................................55 12. Road safety .........................................................................................................................................................58 12.1 Total Casualties – Hutt City and Upper Hutt ..................................................................................................58 12.2 Crash trends by road type................................................................................................................................58 12.3 SH2 Road crash information...........................................................................................................................59 12.4 SH58 Road crash information.........................................................................................................................61 12.5 Local Road Safety Issues ................................................................................................................................63 12.6 Vulnerable road users......................................................................................................................................64 12.7 KiwiRAP results .............................................................................................................................................67