Gaussian and Sparse Processes Are Limits of Generalized Poisson Processes Julien Fageot, Virginie Uhlmann, and Michael Unser
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												Persistent Random Walks. II. Functional Scaling Limits
Persistent random walks. II. Functional Scaling Limits Peggy Cénac1. Arnaud Le Ny2. Basile de Loynes3. Yoann Offret1 1Institut de Mathématiques de Bourgogne (IMB) - UMR CNRS 5584 Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté, 21000 Dijon, France 2Laboratoire d’Analyse et de Mathématiques Appliquées (LAMA) - UMR CNRS 8050 Université Paris Est Créteil, 94010 Créteil Cedex, France 3Ensai - Université de Bretagne-Loire, Campus de Ker-Lann, Rue Blaise Pascal, BP 37203, 35172 BRUZ cedex, France Abstract We give a complete and unified description – under some stability assumptions – of the functional scaling limits associated with some persistent random walks for which the recurrent or transient type is studied in [1]. As a result, we highlight a phase transition phenomenon with respect to the memory. It turns out that the limit process is either Markovian or not according to – to put it in a nutshell – the rate of decrease of the distribution tails corresponding to the persistent times. In the memoryless situation, the limits are classical strictly stable Lévy processes of infinite variations. However, we point out that the description of the critical Cauchy case fills some lacuna even in the closely related context of Directionally Reinforced Random Walks (DRRWs) for which it has not been considered yet. Besides, we need to introduced some relevant generalized drift – extended the classical one – in order to study the critical case but also the situation when the limit is no longer Markovian. It appears to be in full generality a drift in mean for the Persistent Random Walk (PRW). The limit processes keeping some memory – given by some variable length Markov chain – of the underlying PRW are called arcsine Lamperti anomalous diffusions due to their marginal distribution which are computed explicitly here. - 
												
												Lectures on Lévy Processes, Stochastic Calculus and Financial
Lectures on L¶evyProcesses, Stochastic Calculus and Financial Applications, Ovronnaz September 2005 David Applebaum Probability and Statistics Department, University of She±eld, Hicks Building, Houns¯eld Road, She±eld, England, S3 7RH e-mail: D.Applebaum@she±eld.ac.uk Introduction A L¶evyprocess is essentially a stochastic process with stationary and in- dependent increments. The basic theory was developed, principally by Paul L¶evyin the 1930s. In the past 15 years there has been a renaissance of interest and a plethora of books, articles and conferences. Why ? There are both theoretical and practical reasons. Theoretical ² There are many interesting examples - Brownian motion, simple and compound Poisson processes, ®-stable processes, subordinated processes, ¯nancial processes, relativistic process, Riemann zeta process . ² L¶evyprocesses are simplest generic class of process which have (a.s.) continuous paths interspersed with random jumps of arbitrary size oc- curring at random times. ² L¶evyprocesses comprise a natural subclass of semimartingales and of Markov processes of Feller type. ² Noise. L¶evyprocesses are a good model of \noise" in random dynamical systems. 1 Input + Noise = Output Attempts to describe this di®erentially leads to stochastic calculus.A large class of Markov processes can be built as solutions of stochastic di®erential equations driven by L¶evynoise. L¶evydriven stochastic partial di®erential equations are beginning to be studied with some intensity. ² Robust structure. Most applications utilise L¶evyprocesses taking val- ues in Euclidean space but this can be replaced by a Hilbert space, a Banach space (these are important for spdes), a locally compact group, a manifold. Quantised versions are non-commutative L¶evyprocesses on quantum groups. - 
												
												Lectures on Multiparameter Processes
Lecture Notes on Multiparameter Processes: Ecole Polytechnique Fed´ erale´ de Lausanne, Switzerland Davar Khoshnevisan Department of Mathematics University of Utah Salt Lake City, UT 84112–0090 [email protected] http://www.math.utah.edu/˜davar April–June 2001 ii Contents Preface vi 1 Examples from Markov chains 1 2 Examples from Percolation on Trees and Brownian Motion 7 3ProvingLevy’s´ Theorem and Introducing Martingales 13 4 Preliminaries on Ortho-Martingales 19 5 Ortho-Martingales and Intersections of Walks and Brownian Motion 25 6 Intersections of Brownian Motion, Multiparameter Martingales 35 7 Capacity, Energy and Dimension 43 8 Frostman’s Theorem, Hausdorff Dimension and Brownian Motion 49 9 Potential Theory of Brownian Motion and Stable Processes 55 10 Brownian Sheet and Kahane’s Problem 65 Bibliography 71 iii iv Preface These are the notes for a one-semester course based on ten lectures given at the Ecole Polytechnique Fed´ erale´ de Lausanne, April–June 2001. My goal has been to illustrate, in some detail, some of the salient features of the theory of multiparameter processes and in particular, Cairoli’s theory of multiparameter mar- tingales. In order to get to the heart of the matter, and develop a kind of intuition at the same time, I have chosen the simplest topics of random walks, Brownian motions, etc. to highlight the methods. The full theory can be found in Multi-Parameter Processes: An Introduction to Random Fields (henceforth, referred to as MPP) which is to be published by Springer-Verlag, although these lectures also contain material not covered in the mentioned book. - 
												
												Regularity of Solutions and Parameter Estimation for Spde’S with Space-Time White Noise
REGULARITY OF SOLUTIONS AND PARAMETER ESTIMATION FOR SPDE’S WITH SPACE-TIME WHITE NOISE by Igor Cialenco A Dissertation Presented to the FACULTY OF THE GRADUATE SCHOOL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY (APPLIED MATHEMATICS) May 2007 Copyright 2007 Igor Cialenco Dedication To my wife Angela, and my parents. ii Acknowledgements I would like to acknowledge my academic adviser Prof. Sergey V. Lototsky who introduced me into the Theory of Stochastic Partial Differential Equations, suggested the interesting topics of research and guided me through it. I also wish to thank the members of my committee - Prof. Remigijus Mikulevicius and Prof. Aris Protopapadakis, for their help and support. Last but certainly not least, I want to thank my wife Angela, and my family for their support both during the thesis and before it. iii Table of Contents Dedication ii Acknowledgements iii List of Tables v List of Figures vi Abstract vii Chapter 1: Introduction 1 1.1 Sobolev spaces . 1 1.2 Diffusion processes and absolute continuity of their measures . 4 1.3 Stochastic partial differential equations and their applications . 7 1.4 Ito’sˆ formula in Hilbert space . 14 1.5 Existence and uniqueness of solution . 18 Chapter 2: Regularity of solution 23 2.1 Introduction . 23 2.2 Equations with additive noise . 29 2.2.1 Existence and uniqueness . 29 2.2.2 Regularity in space . 33 2.2.3 Regularity in time . 38 2.3 Equations with multiplicative noise . 41 2.3.1 Existence and uniqueness . 41 2.3.2 Regularity in space and time . - 
												
												Stochastic Pdes and Markov Random Fields with Ecological Applications
Intro SPDE GMRF Examples Boundaries Excursions References Stochastic PDEs and Markov random fields with ecological applications Finn Lindgren Spatially-varying Stochastic Differential Equations with Applications to the Biological Sciences OSU, Columbus, Ohio, 2015 Finn Lindgren - [email protected] Stochastic PDEs and Markov random fields with ecological applications Intro SPDE GMRF Examples Boundaries Excursions References “Big” data Z(Dtrn) 20 15 10 5 Illustration: Synthetic data mimicking satellite based CO2 measurements. Iregular data locations, uneven coverage, features on different scales. Finn Lindgren - [email protected] Stochastic PDEs and Markov random fields with ecological applications Intro SPDE GMRF Examples Boundaries Excursions References Sparse spatial coverage of temperature measurements raw data (y) 200409 kriged (eta+zed) etazed field 20 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 lat lat lat 0 0 0 −10 −5 −5 44 46 48 50 52 44 46 48 50 52 44 46 48 50 52 −20 2 4 6 8 10 14 2 4 6 8 10 14 2 4 6 8 10 14 lon lon lon residual (y − (eta+zed)) climate (eta) eta field 20 2 15 18 10 16 1 14 5 lat 0 lat lat 12 0 10 −1 8 −5 44 46 48 50 52 6 −2 44 46 48 50 52 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 14 2 4 6 8 10 14 2 4 6 8 10 14 lon lon lon Regional observations: ≈ 20,000,000 from daily timeseries over 160 years Finn Lindgren - [email protected] Stochastic PDEs and Markov random fields with ecological applications Intro SPDE GMRF Examples Boundaries Excursions References Spatio-temporal modelling framework Spatial statistics framework ◮ Spatial domain D, or space-time domain D × T, T ⊂ R. - 
												
												Introduction to Lévy Processes
Introduction to L´evyprocesses Graduate lecture 22 January 2004 Matthias Winkel Departmental lecturer (Institute of Actuaries and Aon lecturer in Statistics) 1. Random walks and continuous-time limits 2. Examples 3. Classification and construction of L´evy processes 4. Examples 5. Poisson point processes and simulation 1 1. Random walks and continuous-time limits 4 Definition 1 Let Yk, k ≥ 1, be i.i.d. Then n X 0 Sn = Yk, n ∈ N, k=1 is called a random walk. -4 0 8 16 Random walks have stationary and independent increments Yk = Sk − Sk−1, k ≥ 1. Stationarity means the Yk have identical distribution. Definition 2 A right-continuous process Xt, t ∈ R+, with stationary independent increments is called L´evy process. 2 Page 1 What are Sn, n ≥ 0, and Xt, t ≥ 0? Stochastic processes; mathematical objects, well-defined, with many nice properties that can be studied. If you don’t like this, think of a model for a stock price evolving with time. There are also many other applications. If you worry about negative values, think of log’s of prices. What does Definition 2 mean? Increments , = 1 , are independent and Xtk − Xtk−1 k , . , n , = 1 for all 0 = . Xtk − Xtk−1 ∼ Xtk−tk−1 k , . , n t0 < . < tn Right-continuity refers to the sample paths (realisations). 3 Can we obtain L´evyprocesses from random walks? What happens e.g. if we let the time unit tend to zero, i.e. take a more and more remote look at our random walk? If we focus at a fixed time, 1 say, and speed up the process so as to make n steps per time unit, we know what happens, the answer is given by the Central Limit Theorem: 2 Theorem 1 (Lindeberg-L´evy) If σ = V ar(Y1) < ∞, then Sn − (Sn) √E → Z ∼ N(0, σ2) in distribution, as n → ∞. - 
												
												Part C Lévy Processes and Finance
Part C Levy´ Processes and Finance Matthias Winkel1 University of Oxford HT 2007 1Departmental lecturer (Institute of Actuaries and Aon Lecturer in Statistics) at the Department of Statistics, University of Oxford MS3 Levy´ Processes and Finance Matthias Winkel – 16 lectures HT 2007 Prerequisites Part A Probability is a prerequisite. BS3a/OBS3a Applied Probability or B10 Martin- gales and Financial Mathematics would be useful, but are by no means essential; some material from these courses will be reviewed without proof. Aims L´evy processes form a central class of stochastic processes, contain both Brownian motion and the Poisson process, and are prototypes of Markov processes and semimartingales. Like Brownian motion, they are used in a multitude of applications ranging from biology and physics to insurance and finance. Like the Poisson process, they allow to model abrupt moves by jumps, which is an important feature for many applications. In the last ten years L´evy processes have seen a hugely increased attention as is reflected on the academic side by a number of excellent graduate texts and on the industrial side realising that they provide versatile stochastic models of financial markets. This continues to stimulate further research in both theoretical and applied directions. This course will give a solid introduction to some of the theory of L´evy processes as needed for financial and other applications. Synopsis Review of (compound) Poisson processes, Brownian motion (informal), Markov property. Connection with random walks, [Donsker’s theorem], Poisson limit theorem. Spatial Poisson processes, construction of L´evy processes. Special cases of increasing L´evy processes (subordinators) and processes with only positive jumps. - 
												
												Subband Particle Filtering for Speech Enhancement
14th European Signal Processing Conference (EUSIPCO 2006), Florence, Italy, September 4-8, 2006, copyright by EURASIP SUBBAND PARTICLE FILTERING FOR SPEECH ENHANCEMENT Ying Deng and V. John Mathews Dept. of Electrical and Computer Eng., University of Utah 50 S. Central Campus Dr., Rm. 3280 MEB, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA phone: + (1)(801) 581-6941, fax: + (1)(801) 581-5281, email: [email protected], [email protected] ABSTRACT as those discussed in [16, 17] and also in this paper, the integrations Particle filters have recently been applied to speech enhancement used to compute the filtering distribution and the integrations em- when the input speech signal is modeled as a time-varying autore- ployed to estimate the clean speech signal and model parameters do gressive process with stochastically evolving parameters. This type not have closed-form analytical solutions. Approximation methods of modeling results in a nonlinear and conditionally Gaussian state- have to be employed for these computations. The approximation space system that is not amenable to analytical solutions. Prior work methods developed so far can be grouped into three classes: (1) an- in this area involved signal processing in the fullband domain and alytic approximations such as the Gaussian sum filter [19] and the assumed white Gaussian noise with known variance. This paper extended Kalman filter [20], (2) numerical approximations which extends such ideas to subband domain particle filters and colored make the continuous integration variable discrete and then replace noise. Experimental results indicate that the subband particle filter each integral by a summation [21], and (3) sampling approaches achieves higher segmental SNR than the fullband algorithm and is such as the unscented Kalman filter [22] which uses a small num- effective in dealing with colored noise without increasing the com- ber of deterministically chosen samples and the particle filter [23] putational complexity. - 
												
												Levy Processes
LÉVY PROCESSES, STABLE PROCESSES, AND SUBORDINATORS STEVEN P.LALLEY 1. DEFINITIONSAND EXAMPLES d Definition 1.1. A continuous–time process Xt = X(t ) t 0 with values in R (or, more generally, in an abelian topological groupG ) isf called a Lévyg ≥ process if (1) its sample paths are right-continuous and have left limits at every time point t , and (2) it has stationary, independent increments, that is: (a) For all 0 = t0 < t1 < < tk , the increments X(ti ) X(ti 1) are independent. − (b) For all 0 s t the··· random variables X(t ) X−(s ) and X(t s ) X(0) have the same distribution.≤ ≤ − − − The default initial condition is X0 = 0. A subordinator is a real-valued Lévy process with nondecreasing sample paths. A stable process is a real-valued Lévy process Xt t 0 with ≥ initial value X0 = 0 that satisfies the self-similarity property f g 1/α (1.1) Xt =t =D X1 t > 0. 8 The parameter α is called the exponent of the process. Example 1.1. The most fundamental Lévy processes are the Wiener process and the Poisson process. The Poisson process is a subordinator, but is not stable; the Wiener process is stable, with exponent α = 2. Any linear combination of independent Lévy processes is again a Lévy process, so, for instance, if the Wiener process Wt and the Poisson process Nt are independent then Wt Nt is a Lévy process. More important, linear combinations of independent Poisson− processes are Lévy processes: these are special cases of what are called compound Poisson processes: see sec. - 
												
												Thick Points for the Cauchy Process
Ann. I. H. Poincaré – PR 41 (2005) 953–970 www.elsevier.com/locate/anihpb Thick points for the Cauchy process Olivier Daviaud 1 Department of Mathematics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA Received 13 June 2003; received in revised form 11 August 2004; accepted 15 October 2004 Available online 23 May 2005 Abstract Let µ(x, ) denote the occupation measure of an interval of length 2 centered at x by the Cauchy process run until it hits −∞ − ]∪[ ∞ 2 → → ( , 1 1, ). We prove that sup|x|1 µ(x,)/((log ) ) 2/π a.s. as 0. We also obtain the multifractal spectrum 2 for thick points, i.e. the Hausdorff dimension of the set of α-thick points x for which lim→0 µ(x,)/((log ) ) = α>0. 2005 Elsevier SAS. All rights reserved. Résumé Soit µ(x, ) la mesure d’occupation de l’intervalle [x − ,x + ] parleprocessusdeCauchyarrêtéàsasortiede(−1, 1). 2 → → Nous prouvons que sup|x|1 µ(x, )/((log ) ) 2/π p.s. lorsque 0. Nous obtenons également un spectre multifractal 2 de points épais en montrant que la dimension de Hausdorff des points x pour lesquels lim→0 µ(x, )/((log ) ) = α>0est égale à 1 − απ/2. 2005 Elsevier SAS. All rights reserved. MSC: 60J55 Keywords: Thick points; Multi-fractal analysis; Cauchy process 1. Introduction Let X = (Xt ,t 0) be a Cauchy process on the real line R, that is a process starting at 0, with stationary independent increments with the Cauchy distribution: s dx P X + − X ∈ (x − dx,x + dx) = ,s,t>0,x∈ R. - 
												
												Disentangling Diffusion from Jumps Yacine A¨It-Sahalia
Disentangling Diffusion from Jumps Yacine A¨ıt-Sahalia Princeton University 1. Introduction The present paper asks a basic question: how does the presence of jumps impact our ability to estimate the diffusion parameter σ2? • I start by presenting some intuition that seems to suggest that the identification of σ2 is hampered by the presence of the jumps... • But, surprisingly, maximum-likelihood can actually perfectly disen- tangle Brownian noise from jumps provided one samples frequently enough. • I first show this result in the context of a compound Poisson process, i.e., a jump-diffusion as in Merton (1976). • One may wonder whether this result is driven by the fact that Poisson jumps share the dual characteristic of being large and infrequent. • Is it possible to perturb the Brownian noise by a L´evypure jump process other than Poisson, and still recover the parameter σ2 as if no jumps were present? • The reason one might expect this not to be possible is the fact that, among L´evypure jump processes, the Poisson process is the only one with a finite number of jumps in a finite time interval. • All other pure jump processes exhibit an infinite number of small jumps in any finite time interval. • Intuitively, these tiny jumps ought to be harder to distinguish from Brownian noise, which it is also made up of many small moves. • Perhaps more surprisingly then, I find that maximum likelihood can still perfectly discriminate between Brownian noise and a Cauchy process. • Every L´evyprocess can be uniquely expressed as the sum of three independent canonical L´evyprocesses: 1. - 
												
												Lecture 6: Particle Filtering, Other Approximations, and Continuous-Time Models
Lecture 6: Particle Filtering, Other Approximations, and Continuous-Time Models Simo Särkkä Department of Biomedical Engineering and Computational Science Aalto University March 10, 2011 Simo Särkkä Lecture 6: Particle Filtering and Other Approximations Contents 1 Particle Filtering 2 Particle Filtering Properties 3 Further Filtering Algorithms 4 Continuous-Discrete-Time EKF 5 General Continuous-Discrete-Time Filtering 6 Continuous-Time Filtering 7 Linear Stochastic Differential Equations 8 What is Beyond This? 9 Summary Simo Särkkä Lecture 6: Particle Filtering and Other Approximations Particle Filtering: Overview [1/3] Demo: Kalman vs. Particle Filtering: Kalman filter animation Particle filter animation Simo Särkkä Lecture 6: Particle Filtering and Other Approximations Particle Filtering: Overview [2/3] =⇒ The idea is to form a weighted particle presentation (x(i), w (i)) of the posterior distribution: p(x) ≈ w (i) δ(x − x(i)). Xi Particle filtering = Sequential importance sampling, with additional resampling step. Bootstrap filter (also called Condensation) is the simplest particle filter. Simo Särkkä Lecture 6: Particle Filtering and Other Approximations Particle Filtering: Overview [3/3] The efficiency of particle filter is determined by the selection of the importance distribution. The importance distribution can be formed by using e.g. EKF or UKF. Sometimes the optimal importance distribution can be used, and it minimizes the variance of the weights. Rao-Blackwellization: Some components of the model are marginalized in closed form ⇒ hybrid particle/Kalman filter. Simo Särkkä Lecture 6: Particle Filtering and Other Approximations Bootstrap Filter: Principle State density representation is set of samples (i) {xk : i = 1,..., N}. Bootstrap filter performs optimal filtering update and prediction steps using Monte Carlo.