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Is SACU Ready for a Monetary Union?
OCCASIONAL PAPER NO 1 4 3 Economic Diplomacy Programme A p r i l 2 0 1 3 Is SACU Ready for a Monetary Union? Hilary Patroba & Morisho Nene s ir a f f A l a n o ti a rn e nt f I o te tu sti n In rica . th Af hts Sou sig al in Glob African perspectives. About SAIIA The South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) has a long and proud record as South Africa’s premier research institute on international issues. It is an independent, non-government think-tank whose key strategic objectives are to make effective input into public policy, and to encourage wider and more informed debate on international affairs with particular emphasis on African issues and concerns. It is both a centre for research excellence and a home for stimulating public engagement. SAIIA’s occasional papers present topical, incisive analyses, offering a variety of perspectives on key policy issues in Africa and beyond. Core public policy research themes covered by SAIIA include good governance and democracy; economic policymaking; international security and peace; and new global challenges such as food security, global governance reform and the environment. Please consult our website www.saiia.org.za for further information about SAIIA’s work. A b o u t t h e e C o N o M I C D I P L o M A C Y P r o g r amm e SAIIA’s Economic Diplomacy (EDIP) Programme focuses on the position of Africa in the global economy, primarily at regional, but also at continental and multilateral levels. -
Currency Union As a Panacea for Ills in Africa: a New Institutional Framework and Theoretical Consideration
Munich Personal RePEc Archive Currency Union as a Panacea for ills in Africa: A New Institutional Framework and Theoretical Consideration Abban, Stanley Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology 11 December 2020 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/105459/ MPRA Paper No. 105459, posted 25 Jan 2021 20:11 UTC 1.0 INTRODUCTION A currency union is a union to which two or more countries agree to surrender their monetary sovereignty to adopt an official currency issued by a Central Bank tasked with formulating and implementing monetary policy. Currency union came to light when there was a need for choosing a suitable exchange rate regime as an improvement on the fixed exchange rate. Comparatively, currency union is superlative to fixed exchange rate due to equalization of price through the laid down nominal convergence criteria and the introduction of a common currency to ensure greater transparency in undertaking transactions (Rose, 2000; Abban, 2020a). Currency union is touted to emanate several gains and has the potential to be disastrous based on the conditionality among member-states. Empirical studies emphasize the main advantages of currency union membership lies with the elimination of exchange rate volatility to increase savings, relaxation of policies that hinder the free movement of persons and capital to improve trade and tourism, price transparency to intensify trade, and the ability to induce greater Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to stimulate intra-trade flows (Rose, 2000; Micco et al., 2003; Aristotelous & Fountas, 2009; Rodriguez et al, 2012). The key areas that benefit from currency union membership include production, the financial market, the labour market, tourism, the private sector, the political environment among others (Karlinger, 2002; Martinez et al, 2018; Formaro, 2020). -
Ecowas Common Currency: How Prepared Are Its Members?
ECOWAS COMMON CURRENCY: HOW PREPARED ARE ITS MEMBERS? Sagiru Mati Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences of the Near East University (Cyprus) Irfan Civcir Faculty of Political Science of the Ankara University (Turkey) Corresponding author: [email protected] Hüseyin Ozdeser Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences of the Near East University (Cyprus) Received October 13, 2018. Accepted February 7, 2019. ABSTRACT This study operationalizes the Optimum Currency Area (oca) to investigate the preparedness of Economic Community of West African States (ecowas) members to form a Monetary Union (mu). Inflation and output models are estimated, with the sample 1988:01 to 2017:12 for the former and 1967 to 2016 for the latter. Analyses of ecowas convergence criteria, impulse responses, variance de- compositions and correlations of shocks of these two models, reveal that the shocks across the ecowas members are asymmetric. The conclusion is that ecowas members as a whole are not well-prepared and therefore a full-fledged pan-ecowas mu is not advisable. It is also found that members of the European Monetary Union (emu) tend to be a better fit for oca than the ecowas members. The study recommends various courses of action such as fostering coordination among Central Banks of ecowas members, and providing a fund to serve as an incentive for countries that may incur cost rather than benefit if the single currency is created. Key words: Optimal Currency Area, ecowas, emu, structural var, Blanchard-Quah decomposition. jel Classification: C13, E31, E52, E58, F33, F42. http://dx.doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2019.308.69625 © 2019 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Economía. -
Why Is the African Economic Community Important? Mr
House Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights, and International Organizations Hearing on “Will there be an African Economic Community?” January 9, 2014 Amadou Sy, Senior Fellow, Africa Growth Initiative, the Brookings Institution Chairman Smith, Ranking Member Bass, and Members of the Subcommittee, I would like to take this opportunity to thank you for convening this important hearing to discuss Africa’s progress towards establishing an economic community. I appreciate the invitation to share my views on behalf of the Africa Growth Initiative at the Brookings Institution. The Africa Growth Initiative at the Brookings Institution delivers high-quality research on issues of economic growth and development from an African perspective to better inform policy research. I have recently joined AGI from the International Monetary Fund’s where I led or participated in a number of missions to Africa over the past 15 years. Why is the African Economic Community Important? Mr. Chairman, before we start answering the main question, “Will there be an Africa Economic Community?” it is important to look at the reasons why a regionally integrated Africa is beneficial to African nations as well as the United States. In spite of its remarkable economic performance over the past decade, Africa needs to grow faster in order to transform its economy and create the resources needed to reduce poverty. Over the past 10 years, sub-Saharan Africa’s real GDP grew by 5.6 percent per year, a much faster rate than the world economy, which grew by 3.2 percent. At this rate of 5.6 percent, the region should double the size of its economy in about 13 years. -
The Benefits and Costs of Monetary Union in Southern Africa: a Critical Survey of the Literature
BANK OF GREECE EUROSYSTEM Working Paper The benefits and costs of monetary union in Southern Africa: a critical survey of the literature George S. Tavlas 70 APRIL 2008WORKINKPAPERWORKINKPAPERWORKINKPAPERWORKINKPAPERWORKINKPAPER BANK OF GREECE Economic Research Department – Special Studies Division 21, Ε. Venizelos Avenue GR-102 50 Αthens Τel: +30210-320 3610 Fax: +30210-320 2432 www.bankofgreece.gr Printed in Athens, Greece at the Bank of Greece Printing Works. All rights reserved. Reproduction for educational and non-commercial purposes is permitted provided that the source is acknowledged. ISSN 1109-6691 THE BENEFITS AND COSTS OF MONETARY UNION IN SOUTHERN AFRICA: A CRITICAL SURVEY OF THE LITERATURE George S. Tavlas Bank of Greece ABSTRACT With the 14 members of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) having set the objective of adopting a common currency for the year 2018, an expanding empirical literature has emerged evaluating the benefits and costs of a common-currency area in Southern Africa. This paper reviews that literature, focusing on two categories of studies: (1) those that assume that a country’s characteristics are invariant to the adoption of a common currency; and, (2) those that assume that a monetary union alters an economy’s structure, resulting in trade creation and credibility gains. The literature review suggests that a relative-small group of countries, typically including South Africa, satisfies the criteria necessary for monetary unification. The literature also suggests that, in a monetary union comprised of all SADC countries and a regional central bank that sets monetary policy to reflect the average economic conditions (e.g., fiscal balances) in the region, the potential losses (i.e., higher inflation) from giving up an existing credible national central bank, a relevant consideration for South Africa, could outweigh any potential benefits of trade creation resulting from a common currency. -
African Court of Justice
The ASSEMBLY is the African Union’s (AU’s) supreme organ and comprises Heads of State and Government from all Member States. It SUBSIDIARY ORGANS: determines the AU’s policies, establishes its priorities, adopts its annual program and monitors the implementation of its policies and THE EXECUTIVE COUNCIL decisions. The Assembly’s mandate is to accelerate the political and socio-economic integration of the African continent. The Assembly Committees reporting to the Council came into existence on 25 May 1963, as part of the ratification of Organization of African Unity (OAU). It consists of the 54 heads of state Permanent Representatives' Committee THE AU ASSEMBLY and government of the member countries, and meets once a year at the AU Summit. The Chairperson of the Assembly’s most important Specialized Technical Committees functions is to preside at the Pan-African Parliament during the election and swearing in of the President of the Pan-African Parliament. The Judicial And Human Rights Institutions current Chairman of the Assembly since January 2017 is President Alpha Conde of Guinea. The COMMISSION of the African Union acts as the executive/administrative branch or secretariat of the AU. It consists of a number of AU COMMISSION (CHAIR AND DIRECTORATES) Chairman of the Commission and Deputy| Commissioners dealing with different areas of policy. The Commission is headquartered in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. The Commission's specific Conference and Publications| Peace and Security| AU COMMISSION functions, as set out in article 3 of the Commission -
Prospects for a Monetary Union in the East Africa Community: Some Empirical Evidence
Department of Economics and Finance Working Paper No. 18-04 , Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Hector Carcel Luis Gil-Alana Prospects for A Monetary Union in the East Africa Community: Some Empirical Evidence May 2018 Economics and Finance Working Paper Series Paper Working Finance and Economics http://www.brunel.ac.uk/economics PROSPECTS FOR A MONETARY UNION IN THE EAST AFRICA COMMUNITY: SOME EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE Guglielmo Maria Caporale Brunel University London Hector Carcel Bank of Lithuania Luis Gil-Alana University of Navarra May 2018 Abstract This paper examines G-PPP and business cycle synchronization in the East Africa Community with the aim of assessing the prospects for a monetary union. The univariate fractional integration analysis shows that the individual series exhibit unit roots and are highly persistent. The fractional bivariate cointegration tests (see Marinucci and Robinson, 2001) suggest that there exist bivariate fractional cointegrating relationships between the exchange rate of the Tanzanian shilling and those of the other EAC countries, and also between the exchange rates of the Rwandan franc, the Burundian franc and the Ugandan shilling. The FCVAR results (see Johansen and Nielsen, 2012) imply the existence of a single cointegrating relationship between the exchange rates of the EAC countries. On the whole, there is evidence in favour of G-PPP. In addition, there appears to be a high degree of business cycle synchronization between these economies. On both grounds, one can argue that a monetary union should be feasible. JEL Classification: C22, C32, F33 Keywords: East Africa Community, monetary union, optimal currency areas, fractional integration and cointegration, business cycle synchronization, Hodrick-Prescott filter Corresponding author: Professor Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Department of Economics and Finance, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, Middlesex UB8 3PH, UK. -
Monetary Unions of Small Currencies and a Dominating Member: What Policies Work Best for Benefiting from the CMA?
POLICY PAPER SERIES IZA Policy Paper No. 163 Monetary Unions of Small Currencies and a Dominating Member: What Policies Work Best for Benefiting from the CMA? Andreas Wörgötter Zuzana Brixiová JUNE 2020 POLICY PAPER SERIES IZA Policy Paper No. 163 Monetary Unions of Small Currencies and a Dominating Member: What Policies Work Best for Benefiting from the CMA? Andreas Wörgötter Vienna University of Technology Zuzana Brixiová University of Economics Prague and IZA JUNE 2020 Any opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but IZA takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity. The IZA Institute of Labor Economics is an independent economic research institute that conducts research in labor econom- ics and offers evidence-based policy advice on labor market issues. Supported by the Deutsche Post Foundation, IZA runs the world’s largest network of economists, whose research aims to provide answers to the global labor market challenges of our time. Our key objective is to build bridges between academic research, policymakers and society. IZA Policy Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author. IZA – Institute of Labor Economics Schaumburg-Lippe-Straße 5–9 Phone: +49-228-3894-0 53113 Bonn, Germany Email: [email protected] www.iza.org IZA Policy Paper No. 163 JUNE 2020 ABSTRACT Monetary Unions of Small Currencies and a Dominating Member: What Policies Work Best for Benefiting from the CMA?1 This policy paper underscores the importance of credible currency regimes and their macroeconomic underpinnings for stability in financial systems and long-term economic convergence of developing and emerging market economies. -
China's Belt and Road Initiative in the Global Trade, Investment and Finance Landscape
China's Belt and Road Initiative in the Global Trade, Investment and Finance Landscape │ 3 China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the global trade, investment and finance landscape China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) development strategy aims to build connectivity and co-operation across six main economic corridors encompassing China and: Mongolia and Russia; Eurasian countries; Central and West Asia; Pakistan; other countries of the Indian sub-continent; and Indochina. Asia needs USD 26 trillion in infrastructure investment to 2030 (Asian Development Bank, 2017), and China can certainly help to provide some of this. Its investments, by building infrastructure, have positive impacts on countries involved. Mutual benefit is a feature of the BRI which will also help to develop markets for China’s products in the long term and to alleviate industrial excess capacity in the short term. The BRI prioritises hardware (infrastructure) and funding first. This report explores and quantifies parts of the BRI strategy, the impact on other BRI-participating economies and some of the implications for OECD countries. It reproduces Chapter 2 from the 2018 edition of the OECD Business and Financial Outlook. 1. Introduction The world has a large infrastructure gap constraining trade, openness and future prosperity. Multilateral development banks (MDBs) are working hard to help close this gap. Most recently China has commenced a major global effort to bolster this trend, a plan known as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). China and economies that have signed co-operation agreements with China on the BRI (henceforth BRI-participating economies1) have been rising as a share of the world economy. -
Creating Markets in Senegal
CREATING MARKETS SENEGAL IN CREATING A COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC SECTOR PRIVATE COUNTRY A A COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC CREATING MARKETS IN SENEGAL Sustaining growth in an uncertain environment APRIL 2020 About IFC IFC—a sister organization of the World Bank and member of the World Bank Group—is the largest global development institution focused on the private sector in emerging markets. We work with more than 2,000 businesses worldwide, using our capital, expertise, and influence to create markets and opportunities in the toughest areas of the world. In fiscal year 2018, we delivered more than $23 billion in long-term financing for developing countries, leveraging the power of the private sector to end extreme poverty and boost shared prosperity. For more information, visit www.ifc.org © International Finance Corporation 2020. All rights reserved. 2121 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20433 www.ifc.org The material in this report was prepared in consultation with government officials and the private sector in Senegal and is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all of this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. IFC does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the content included in this work, or for the conclusions or judgments described herein, and accepts no responsibility or liability for any omissions or errors (including, without limitation, typographical errors and technical errors) in the content whatsoever or for reliance thereon. The findings, interpretations, views, and conclusions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of the International Finance Corporation or of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (the World Bank) or the governments they represent. -
Crimsonlogic Trade Facilitation Visit by Delegation from Ministry Of
Session 6: Sharing Experiences and Lessons Learnt from Countries in the Region and Regional Initiatives Single Window in Developing Countries ESCAP-ECO Joint Trade Facilitation Forum on Paperless Trade & Single Window 24 - 25 May 2012 Kish Island, Islamic Republic of Iran Jonathan Koh Tat Tsen Director, Trade Facilitation Centre of Excellence Copyright 2011 Private & Confidential 1 OutlineOutline • Regional Trends & Developments in National Single Windows • Singapore’s Trade Facilitation Journey • Lessons and Critical Success Factors Copyright 2009 Private & Confidential 2 2 Regional Trends & Developments in National “Single Window” Copyright 2011 Private & Confidential 3 SurveySurvey ofof 2424 SWSW tenderstenders // RFPsRFPs Africa Kenya, Tanzania, Libya, Togo, Benin, Morocco, Ivory Coast, Rwanda, Congo Brazzaville, Mozambique, Madagascar Middle East Qatar, Bahrain, Oman, Iran Americas & Caribbean Mexico, Chile, Perú, Trinidad & Tobago Asia / Oceania Thailand, Brunei, New Zealand, Pakistan, Philippines CopyrightCopyright 20092010 Private & Confidential 4 Country Name of Single Window Project Date of Issue of RFP 1 Chile Ventanilla Única de Comercio Exterior (VUCE) Sep-11 2 Tanzania Electronic Single Window System Aug-11 3 Oman Integrated Customs Management System and a Single Electronic Window Jul-11 4 Brunei Darussalam National Single Window For Trade Facilitation System (BDNSW) Jul-11 5 Morocco Guichet Unique De Formalites Du Commerce Exterieur (GUCE) Jun-11 6 Mexico Ventanilla Única de Comercio Exterior de México (VUCEM) Jul-10 7 -
The West African Economic and Monetary Union: Past and Present of an Exceptional North-South- South-Integration
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Kaptouom, Patricia C. Working Paper The West African economic and Monetary Union: past and present of an exceptional north-south- south-integration Diskussionsbeiträge, No. 2007/19 Provided in Cooperation with: Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics Suggested Citation: Kaptouom, Patricia C. (2007) : The West African economic and Monetary Union: past and present of an exceptional north-south-south-integration, Diskussionsbeiträge, No. 2007/19, ISBN 3938369671, Freie Universität Berlin, Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Berlin This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/28064 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Diskussionsbeiträge des Fachbereichs Wirtschaftswissenschaft der Freien Universität Berlin Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe 2007/19 The West African Economic and Monetary Union Past and Present of an exceptional North-South-South-Integration Patricia C.