The Subtle Mechanisms of Europeanization: The European Semester and its Effects on the Social and Employment Policies of Belgium Christos Louvaris Fasois, University of Amsterdam and University of Milan
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[email protected] Paper presented at the Fifteenth Biennial Conference of the European Union Studies Association (EUSA) in Miami, Florida, May 4-6 2017 Abstract The paper describes the effects and influence mechanisms of the European Semester on specific national policies. For this, I focus on two Belgian cases, namely the pensions reform and the tax-shift away from labour, as two key social policy domains which share also a fiscal character. I argue that the new socioeconomic coordination framework continued the learning effects of previous coordination instruments, such as the Social Open Method of Coordination and the European Employment Strategy, while increasing the prominence of pressure mechanisms. But contrary to what a large part of academia argues, the fear of sanctions -as prescribed in the Six-Pack- did not trigger reforms but it was rather the incentives given to the national governments for achieving better fiscal and macroeconomic projections, in return for more discretion when passing structural reforms. At the same time, specific national actors used the Commission’s recommendations to legitimize their own political agenda in the domestic debate. In conclusion, I briefly compare the two cases and analyze the factors which influenced the national effects of the European Semester. 1. Introduction The European Semester, as a major development in the EU’s socioeconomic coordination, has produced an extensive literature from various disciplines and with multiple questions at its epicenter.