10Th European Space Weather Week
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 10th 2010 2011 2012 2013 European Space Weather Week November 18 - 22, 2013 Antwerp, BELGIUM 10th anniversary extreme events - strategic data - e-infrastructure - modelling - spacecraft operations - radio wave propagation - solar flare prediction - forecast verification - aviation - societal resilience - planetary systems - space exploration - cosmic ray detectors Final Programme & Abstract Book STCE credit: ESA - P. Carril credit: ESA - P. Picture © ESA Table of Contents Committees ......................................................................................................................................... 1 Sponsors .............................................................................................................................................. 2 Programme Monday 18 November 2013 ................................................................................................................ 3 Tuesday 19 November 2013 ................................................................................................................ 5 Wednesday 20 November 2013 .......................................................................................................... 9 Thursday 21 November 2013 ............................................................................................................ 12 Friday 22 November 2013 ................................................................................................................. 16 Poster Sessions .................................................................................................................................. 20 Abstracts ............................................................................................................................................ 36 0 Program Committee A. Belehaki (Co‐Chair, NOA & COST ES0803) A. Glover (Co‐Chair, ESA) M. Hapgood (RAL/STFC & COST ES0803) J.‐P. Luntama (ESA, SSA) R. Van der Linden (STCE & COST ES0803) P. Vanlommel (STCE, COST ES0803 & eHEROES) B. Zolesi (INGV) M. Messerotti (INAF & COST ES0803) V. Zigman (UNG & COST ES0803) M. Meier (DLR) N. Crosby (BIRA‐IASB) S. Poedts (SWWT‐chair, CPA) J. Watermann (jfwConsult & COST ES0803) M. Wik (Neurospace) S. Bruinsma (CNES) J. Lilensten (CNRS‐IPAG) Local Organising Committee SIDC@Solar‐Terrestrial Centre of Excellence O. Boulvin B. Bourgoignie J. Janssens S. Raynal R. Van der Linden A. Vandersyppe P. Vanlommel S. Willems This meeting is supported by The Solar‐Terrestrial Centre of Excellence, the Belgian Science Policy Office, ESA and EOARD 1 Sponsors The European Space Agency http://www.esa.int The Solar‐Terrestrial Center of Excellence, STCE http://www.stce.be | The Belgian Science Policy http://www.belspo.be/ The European Office of Aerospace Research & Development 2 Tenth European Space Weather Week Programme Monday, 18 November 2013 09:00 Registration desk open 10.00 Start Tutorial 11.00 Coffee break 11:30 Continue Tutorial 12:30 Lunch break 13:30 Welcome & Opening Session 1: Extreme Space Weather Events and their Impact Chairs: Matthew Angling, Keith Ryden 14:00 Solar Superstorms ‐ A Natural Hazard with Wide Ranging Impacts ‐ Invited Cannon, Paul University of Birmingham, (UNITED KINGDOM) ..................................................................................................... 37 14:35 Rates of Large Flares in One Gigayear Old Solar‐like Stars With Implications for the Sun Saar, Steven ; Meibom, Soeren ; Kashyap, Vinay ; Drake, Jeremy Smithsonian Astrophysical Obs., (UNITED STATES) ................................................................................................. 37 14:52 Further Investigations of the July 23, 2012 Extremely Rare CME: What if this CME was Earth‐Directed? Ngwira, Chigomezyo 1; Pulkkinen, Antti 2; Wintoft, Peter 3; Viljanen, Ari 4 1Catholic University of America/NASA‐GSFC, (UNITED STATES); 2NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Space Weather Laboratory, Greenbelt, MD 20771, (UNITED STATES); 3Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Lund, (SWEDEN); 4Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, (FINLAND) ........................................................................................... 38 15:09 The 100 Largest Geomagnetic Storms in the Last 150 Years Vennerstrom, Susanne 1; Lefevre, Laure 2; Dumbovic, Mateja 3; Crosby, Norma 4; Clette, Frederic 2; Veronig, Astrid 5; Vrsnak, Bojan 3; Leer, Kristoffer 1 1DTU Space, (DENMARK); 2Royal Observatory of Belgium, (BELGIUM); 3University of Zagreb, (CROATIA); 4Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, (BELGIUM); 5University of Graz, (AUSTRIA) .............................................. 38 15:26 Russian Geomagnetic Recordings in the 19th Century compared to Modern Observations Myllys, Minna ; Viljanen, Ari ; Nevanlinna, Heikki Finnish Meteorological Institute, (FINLAND) ........................................................................................................... 38 15:43 Modeling the Recovery Phase of Extreme Geomagnetic Storms Cid, Consuelo ; Palacios, Judith ; Saiz, Elena ; Cerrato, Yolanda ; Aguado, Jesus ; Guerrero, Antonio University of Alcala, (SPAIN) ................................................................................................................................... 39 16:00 Coffee break and Poster Session 1 3 Session 2: Developing Societal Resilience Against Space Weather Chairs: Mike Hapgood, Terry Onsager 16:30 The Dutch National Safety & Security Strategy: Consequences of Satellite disruption due to solar storm 16:48 Risk Preparedness and Operational Mitigation in the UK Felton, C. 1; Gibbs, Mark 2 1UK Cabinet Office, (UNITED KINGDOM); 2UK MET Office, (UNITED KINGDOM) ................................................... 39 17:06 Resilience in Basic Functions when Disaster Hits Risk Governance in Norway ‐ Invited Thomassen, Erik Directorate for Civil Protection, (NORWAY) ........................................................................................................... 39 17:24 Building Capacity for Preparedness Andersson, E. Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency, (SWEDEN) .................................................................................................... 40 17:42 International Space Weather Service Coordination during Extreme Events Sharma, M. 1; Onsager, T. 2; Lafeuille, J. 2 1US Department of State, (UNITED STATES); 2(‐ Not specified ‐) ............................................................................ 41 18:00 End of Plenary session 18:15 Arrival of the guests at ZOO Antwerp Koningin Astridplein, 20‐26 at 2018 Antwerp 18:30‐19:30 Keynote lecture in the Darwin Room 19:35‐21:35 Reception in the Marbel Room 21‐35:22:35 Evening stroll in the ZOO 4 Tuesday, 19 November 2013 Session 3 Strategic Data Sets Supporting Awareness of the Solar Source of Space Weather Chairs: David Berghmans, Mathieu Kretzschmar 09:00 The 'ideal' Collection of Data Sets for Space Weather Forecasting Devos, Andy ; Stegen, Koen ; Vansintjan, Robbe ; West, Matthew J ; Mampaey, Benjamin ; Delouille, Véronique Royal Observatory of Belgium, (BELGIUM) ............................................................................................................. 41 09:13 Mission Concepts and Measurement Needs at the L4/L5 Points ‐ Invited Lavraud, Benoit 1; and, INSTANT team 2 1IRAP/CNRS/Université de Toulouse, (FRANCE); 2All, (FRANCE) .......................................................................................................................................................... 41 09:33 PROBA2 a Space Weather Monitor West, Matthew 1; Seaton, Dan 1; Dominique, Marie 1; Berghmans, David 1; Zender, Joe 2; Stegen, Koen 1; Pylyser, Erik 1 1Royal Observatory Belgium, (BELGIUM); 2ESA, (NETHERLANDS) ........................................................................... 41 09:46 Monitoring Ionospheric Plasmas in Space Weather Context via DSLP/Proba‐2 Data Archive Travnicek, Pavel 1; Stverak, Stepan 2; Pavelka, Roman 2; Hercik, David 3; Zender, Joe 4 1Space Sciences Laboratory, University California, Berkeley, US, (UNITED STATES); 2AsI & IAP, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, (CZECH REPUBLIC); 3Technical University Braunschweig, (GERMANY); 4ESTEC, ESA, (NETHERLANDS) ...................................................................................................................................................... 42 09:59 BASS2000 and HELIO: Dataset and Added‐Values ‐ Invited Aboudarham, Jean 1; Bonnin, Xavier 2; Renie, Christian 2; Fuller, Nicolas 2; Cecconi, Baptiste 2; Bentley, Robert D. 3; Csillagy, André 4 1Paris Observatory, (FRANCE); 2Paris Observatory, LESIA, (FRANCE); 3MSSL/UCL, (UNITED KINGDOM); 4FHNW, (FRANCE) ................................................................................................................................................... 42 10:19 UV/EUV Solar Spectral Imaging Data for Space Weather Buchlin, Eric ; Baudin, Frédéric IAS (CNRS/U. Paris‐Sud), (FRANCE) ......................................................................................................................... 42 10:30 Coffee break & Poster Session 3 11:00 Ground‐Based H‐Alpha Imaging of the Solar Sources of Space Weather ‐ Invited Veronig, Astrid 1; Pötzi, Werner 1; Temmer, Manuela 1; Riegler, Gernot 2; Pock, Thomas 2; Hirtenfellner‐Polanec, Wolfgang 1; Möstl, Ute 1; Baumgartner, Dietmar 1 1University of Graz, Kanzelhöhe Observatory ‐ Institute of Physics, (AUSTRIA); 2Graz University of Technology, Institute for Computer Graphics and Vision, (AUSTRIA) .........................................................................................