DOCSLIB.ORG

April 2014 to 31 March 2015

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
April 2014 to 31 March 2015 CIMSS CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Annual Report for the period 1 April 2014 to 31 March 2015 Research to Operations to Research Submitted by the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies University of Wisconsin-Madison April 2015 University of Wisconsin–Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS) http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/ Cooperative Agreement Annual Report for the period 1 April 2014 to 31 March 2015 Cooperative Agreement Number: NA10NES4400013 Submitted to: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Report 1 April 2014 – 31 March 2015 Cooperative Agreement Annual Report from the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies University of Wisconsin–Madison 1 April 2014 to 31 March 2015 Steven Ackerman Wayne Feltz Director, CIMSS Executive Director-Science, SSEC CIMSS Contributing Task Leaders Ackerman, Steve Olander, Tim Bachmeier, Scott Otkin, Jason Bah, Kaba Petersen, Ralph Baum, Bryan Revercomb, Hank Botambekov, Denis Rink, Tom Calvert, Corey Robiadek, Jerrold Cintineo, John Rozoff, Chris Cintineo, Rebecca Santek, Dave Cronce, Lee Schmidt, Chris Dworak, Richard Sieglaff, Justin Feltz, Wayne Smith, Nadia Foster, Mike Strabala, Kathleen Garcia, Ray Straka, William Gerth, Jordan Tobin, Dave Greenwald, Tom Velden, Christopher Griffin, Sarah Walther, Andi Gumley, Liam Wang, Pao Gunshor, Mat Wang, Xuanji Holz, Bob Wanzong, Steve Hoover, Brett Weisz, Elisabeth Huang, Hung Lung Zhang, Hong Hubbard, Shane Jasmin, Tommy ASBP/NCDC Collaborators Jung, Jim Heidinger, Andy Lazzara, Matthew Key, Jeff Lee, Yong-Keun, Kossin, Jim Lenzen, Allen Pavolonis, Mike Li, Jun Pierce, Brad Li, Yue Schmit, Tim Li, Zhenglong Wade, Gary (retired Fall 2014) Lindstrom, Scott Liu, Yinghui Additional Contributors Martin, Graeme Avila, Leanne Menzel, W. Paul Hackel, Jenny Moeller, Chris Phillips, Jean Molling, Christine Vasys, Maria Mooney, Margaret Nebuda, Sharon 2 CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Report 1 April 2014 – 31 March 2015 Table of Contents I. Director’s Executive Summary................................................................................................15 1. Foster collaborative research between NOAA and UW–Madison in those aspects of atmospheric and earth science that exploit the use of satellite technology................................15 2. Serve as a center at which scientists and engineers working on problems of mutual interest may focus on satellite related research in atmospheric studies and earth science. ....................19 3. Stimulate the training of scientists and engineers in those disciplines comprising the atmospheric and earth sciences. .................................................................................................20 Summary ....................................................................................................................................22 II. Background Information on the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS) ...........................................................................................................................23 1. Description of CIMSS, including research themes, vision statement and NOAA research collaborations .............................................................................................................................23 2. CIMSS Management and Administration..............................................................................25 3. Summary of NOAA Funding to CIMSS in FY2014..............................................................25 III. Project Reports ......................................................................................................................29 1. CIMSS Task 1A Support .......................................................................................................29 2. CIMSS Task 1B Support........................................................................................................30 3. CIMSS Participation in the Product Systems Development and Implementation for 2014 ..32 3.1 JPSS PSDI: VIIRS Polar Winds..................................................................................32 3.2 Polar PSDI: Transition of MODIS and AVHRR Winds to GOES R/VIIRS Algorithm34 3.3 An Enterprise Processing System for Polar (CLAVR-x) Products.............................35 3.4 Polar PSDI: Enterprise Processing Ground System – Volcanic Ash Products ...........36 3.5 GEO PSDI: An Enterprise Processing System for Geostationary (GSIP) ..................37 3.6 GEO PSDI: Enterprise Processing Ground System – Fog and Low Cloud Products .37 4. CIMSS Participation in the GOES-R Algorithm Working Group (AWG) for 2014.............38 4.1 Proxy Data Support .....................................................................................................38 4.2 GOES-R Analysis Facility Instrument for Impacts on Requirements.........................41 4.3 Algorithm Integration Team Technical Support .........................................................43 4.4 GOES-R Collocation...................................................................................................46 4.5 ABI Cloud Products ....................................................................................................48 4.6 Active Fire/Hot Spot Characterization ........................................................................51 4.7 GOES-R Legacy Atmospheric Profile, Total Precipitable Water (TPW) and Atmospheric Instability Indices.........................................................................................54 4.8 ABI Derived Motion Winds ........................................................................................58 4.9 ABI Hurricane Intensity Estimation (HIE)..................................................................59 4.10 Volcanic Ash .............................................................................................................60 4.11 Imagery and Visualization.........................................................................................61 4.12 Estimation of Fractional Snow Cover with ABI .......................................................64 5. CIMSS Continuation, Future Capabilities, and Visiting Scientist for GOES-R Risk Reduction Program for 2014......................................................................................................66 5.1 Development of a GOES-R Automated Volcanic Cloud Alert System......................66 5.2 Developing Assimilation Techniques for Atmospheric Motion Vectors Derived via a New Nested Tracking Algorithm Derived for the GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) .................................................................................................................................68 3 CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Report 1 April 2014 – 31 March 2015 5.3 Ensemble Simulation of GOES-R Proxy Radiance Data from CONUS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts, Product Demonstration and Assessment at the Hazardous Weather Testbed GOES-R Proving Ground ....................................................................................73 5.4 Infrastructure – RGB Products in AWIPS II...............................................................74 5.5 GOES-R Future Capability: Continued Development of the GOES-R AWG Fog/Low Cloud Products ..................................................................................................................75 5.6 GOES-R Future Capability: Development of the GOES-R Tropical Overshooting Top (TOT) Product ...................................................................................................................77 5.7 Enhancing Future GOES-R Assimilation Capabilities by Exploring the Impact of SEVIRI Infrared Brightness Temperatures in an Operational Ensemble Data Assimilation System ...............................................................................................................................80 5.8 Improved Understanding and Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclone Structure and Structure Changes .............................................................................................................................83 6. CIMSS GOES-R Risk Reduction Program New Starts 2014 ................................................85 6.1 Towards Providing Forecasters with Better Identification and Analysis of Severe PyroConvection Events using GOES-R ABI and GLM Data...........................................85 6.2 Applications of Concurrent Super Rapid Sampling from GOES-14 SRSOR, Radar and Lightning Data............................................................................................................88 6.3 Development and Optimization of Mesoscale Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) using Novel GOES-R Processing Algorithms on 1-5 min. SRSO Proxy Data, and Demonstration of Readiness for GOES-R Applications via Impact Studies in Mesoscale Data Assimilation and NWP Systems ...............................................................................89 6.4. Development of a Near Real-time Satellite Verification and Forecaster Guidance System for the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model ......................................91 6.5 Development of Realtime All-weather Layer Precipitable Water Products in AWIPS II by Fusing the GOES-R and NWP for Local Forecasters...............................................93 6.6 Using Multi-Sensor Observations for Volcanic Cloud Detection, Characterization, and Improved Dispersion Modeling..................................................................................97
Load more

Recommended publications
  • KT 7-8-2014 Layout 1
    SUBSCRIPTION THURSDAY, AUGUST 7, 2014 SHAWWAL 11, 1435 AH www.kuwaittimes.net Health Them’s fighting Obama, African Khan’s century Ministry words! The leaders talk rescues downplays politics of security, Pakistan in Ebola threat3 place15 names governance26 first20 Test US sanctions ‘terror Max 46º Min 29º financiers’ in Kuwait High Tide 07:08 & 21:59 Low Tide Trio accused of supporting Islamic State, Nusra Front 01:16 & 15:14 40 PAGES NO: 16247 150 FILS WASHINGTON: The United States 41, and Hajjaj Fahd Hajjaj Muhammad three have been named a “specially desig- Anizi had worked in the past with Al- imposed sanctions on three men, two of Shabib Al-Ajmi, 26, of raising money for nated global terrorist” by the United Qaeda facilitators based in Iran, and that Lawyer slams them Kuwaiti, yesterday, accusing them of the Al-Nusra Front, a jihadist group fight- States government, which accuses them the younger Ajmi had tried to get fellow providing money, fighters and weapons ing in Syria. Both men are said to be of soliciting donations for militants from Kuwaitis into leadership positions in Al- fatwa against to extremists in Iraq and Syria. Under the Kuwaiti, and the elder Ajmi’s street wealthy donors in the Gulf region. “We Nusra. The latest US terrorism report on order, issued by the US Treasury, any address in Kuwait was given. and our international partners, including the country noted “increased reports of assets the men hold in the United States A third man, Abdulrahman Khalaf Al- the Kuwaiti government, need to act Kuwait-based private individuals funnel- ‘The 99’ series are frozen and American citizens and resi- Anizi, whose nationality was not disclosed more urgently and effectively to disrupt ing charitable donations and other funds By Nawara Fattahova dents are “generally prohibited” from and who is thought to be around 40 years these terrorist financing efforts,” said to violent extremist groups outside the doing business with them.
    [Show full text]
  • HURRICANE KENNETH (EP132017) 18–23 August 2017
    NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT HURRICANE KENNETH (EP132017) 18–23 August 2017 Robbie Berg National Hurricane Center 26 January 2018 NASA-NOAA SUOMI NPP ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE OF HURRICANE KENNETH AT 1034 UTC 21 AUGUST 2017 WHILE AT PEAK INTENSITY Kenneth was a category 4 hurricane (on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) over the eastern North Pacific Ocean that did not affect land. Hurricane Kenneth 2 Hurricane Kenneth 18–23 AUGUST 2017 SYNOPTIC HISTORY Kenneth formed from the interaction of two tropical waves which moved off the west coast of Africa on 29 July and 2 August. The first wave moved across the Atlantic Ocean and northern South America at low latitudes and reached the eastern North Pacific Ocean on 8 August. At that point, the wave became more convectively active, but it moved only slowly westward for the next week due to its position south of Hurricane Franklin over the Bay of Campeche. In the meantime, the second tropical wave spawned Hurricane Gert over the western Atlantic, with the southern portion of the wave reaching the eastern North Pacific waters on 12 August. With the subtropical ridge rebuilding over the Gulf of Mexico, the second wave moved at a faster speed toward the west and reached the first tropical wave on 16 August (Fig. 1). The interaction of the two waves caused the development of a low by 1200 UTC 17 August about 530 n mi southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Convective banding became more organized and persistent through the day, and the low was designated as a tropical depression by 0600 UTC 18 August about 585 n mi south- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
    [Show full text]
  • 2015 Service Efforts & Accomplishments Report
    2015 Service Efforts & Accomplishments Report Office of the City Auditor • City and County of Honolulu • State of Hawai‘i Report No. 16-1 / March 2016 (rev. 03/15/16) You are welcome to keep this report if it is useful to you. If you no longer need it, please return to: Office of the City Auditor City and County of Honolulu 1001 Kamokila Blvd., Suite 216 Kapolei, HI 96707 We maintain an inventory of past audit reports, and your cooperation will help us save on extra copying costs. If you need copies of this report, please contact us at (808) 768-3134 or [email protected] Our reports are also available on the web at: http://www.honolulu.gov/auditor Cover Photo Courtesy of Department of Planning and Permitting and LiveWorkPlayAiea.com City and County of Honolulu Office of the City Auditor March 7, 2016 Honorable City Council Honolulu, Hawai‘i City and County of Honolulu Service Efforts and Accomplishments Report (FY 2015) The Office of the City Auditor is pleased to present its sixth annual Service Efforts and Accomplishments (SEA) Report for the City and County of Honolulu. The report is intended to be informational, and provides data about the costs, quality, quantity, and timeliness of city services. A variety of comparisons are included to provide the Honolulu City Council, city employees, and the public with an independent, impartial assessment of performance trends that can be used to strengthen governmental accountability and transparency, governmental efficiency and effectiveness, the delivery of public services, and to provide data for future decision making.
    [Show full text]
  • Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific Ab Sins Nicholas S
    Louisiana State University LSU Digital Commons LSU Master's Theses Graduate School March 2019 Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific aB sins Nicholas S. Grondin Louisiana State University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses Part of the Climate Commons, Meteorology Commons, and the Physical and Environmental Geography Commons Recommended Citation Grondin, Nicholas S., "Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific asinB s" (2019). LSU Master's Theses. 4864. https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses/4864 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at LSU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in LSU Master's Theses by an authorized graduate school editor of LSU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. CLIMATOLOGY, VARIABILITY, AND RETURN PERIODS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE STRIKES IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC BASINS A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in The Department of Geography and Anthropology by Nicholas S. Grondin B.S. Meteorology, University of South Alabama, 2016 May 2019 Dedication This thesis is dedicated to my family, especially mom, Mim and Pop, for their love and encouragement every step of the way. This thesis is dedicated to my friends and fraternity brothers, especially Dillon, Sarah, Clay, and Courtney, for their friendship and support. This thesis is dedicated to all of my teachers and college professors, especially Mrs.
    [Show full text]
  • National Hurricane Operations Plan
    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE/ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration OFFICE OF THE FEDERAL COORDINATOR FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH National Hurricane Operations Plan FCM-P12-2015 Washington, DC May 2015 THE INTERDEPARTMENTAL COMMITTEE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH (ICMSSR) MR. DAVID McCARREN, CHAIR MR. PAUL FONTAINE Acting Federal Coordinator Federal Aviation Administration Department of Transportation MR. MARK BRUSBERG Department of Agriculture DR. JONATHAN M. BERKSON United States Coast Guard DR. LOUIS UCCELLINI Department of Homeland Security Department of Commerce DR. DAVID R. REIDMILLER MR. SCOTT LIVEZEY Department of State United States Navy Department of Defense DR. ROHIT MATHUR Environmental Protection Agency MR. RALPH STOFFLER United States Air Force DR. EDWARD CONNER Department of Defense Federal Emergency Management Agency Department of Homeland Security MR. RICKEY PETTY Department of Energy DR. RAMESH KAKAR National Aeronautics and Space MR. JOEL WALL Administration Science and Technology Directorate Department of Homeland Security DR. PAUL B. SHEPSON National Science Foundation MR. JOHN VIMONT Department of the Interior MR. DONALD E. EICK National Transportation Safety Board MR. MARK KEHRLI Federal Highway Administration MR. SCOTT FLANDERS Department of Transportation U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission MR. MICHAEL C. CLARK Office of Management and Budget MR. MICHAEL BONADONNA, Secretariat Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research Cover Image NOAA GOES-13, 15 October 2014; Hurricane Gonzalo; Credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory FEDERAL COORDINATOR FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH 1325 East-West Highway, Suite 7130 Silver Spring, Maryland 20910 301-628-0112 http://www.ofcm.gov/ NATIONAL HURRICANE OPERATIONS PLAN http://www.ofcm.gov/nhop/15/nhop15.htm FCM-P12-2015 Washington, D.C.
    [Show full text]
  • Tropical Cyclone Effects on California
    / i' NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS WR-~ 1s-? TROPICAL CYCLONE EFFECTS ON CALIFORNIA Salt Lake City, Utah October 1980 u.s. DEPARTMENT OF I National Oceanic and National Weather COMMERCE Atmospheric Administration I Service NOAA TECHNICAL ME~RANOA National Weather Service, Western R@(Jfon Suhseries The National Weather Service (NWS~ Western Rl!qion (WR) Sub5eries provide! an informal medium for the documentation and nUlck disseminuion of l"'eSUlts not appr-opriate. or nnt yet readY. for formal publication. The series is used to report an work in pronf"'!ss. to rie-tJ:cribe tl!1:hnical procedures and oractice'S, or to relate proqre5 s to a Hmitfd audience. The~J:e Technical ~ranc1i!l will report on investiqations rit'vot~ or'imaroi ly to rl!nionaJ and local orablems of interest mainly to personnel, "'"d • f,. nence wUl not hi! 'l!lidely distributed. Pacer<; I to Z5 are in the fanner series, ESSA Technical Hetooranda, Western Reqion Technical ~-··•nda (WRTMI· naoors 24 tn 59 are i·n the fanner series, ESSA Technical ~-rando, W.othel" Bureou Technical ~-randa (WSTMI. aeqinniM with "n. the oaoers are oa"t of the series. ltOAA Technical >4emoranda NWS. Out·of·print .....,rond1 are not listed. PanfiM ( tn 22, except for 5 {revised erlitinn), ar'l! availabll! froM tt'lt Nationm1 Weattuu• Service Wesurn Ret1inn. )cientific ~•,.,irr• Division, P.O. Box lllAA, Federal RuildiM, 125 South State Street, Salt La~• City, Utah R4147. Pacer 5 (revised •rlitinnl. and all nthei"S beqinninq ~ith 25 are available from the National rechnical Information Sel'"lice. II.S.
    [Show full text]
  • Extension of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Eastern and Central North Pacific
    NPS ARCHIVE 1997.12 BOOTHE, M. NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS EXTENSION OF THE SYTEMATIC APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC by Mark A. Boothe December, 1997 Thesis Co-Advisors: Russell L.Elsberry Lester E. Carr III Thesis B71245 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. DUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY NAVAl OSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA 93943-5101 REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching casting data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, I'aperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1 . AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED December 1997. Master's Thesis TITLE AND SUBTITLE EXTENSION OF THE SYSTEMATIC 5. FUNDING NUMBERS APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 6. AUTHOR(S) Mark A. Boothe 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDR£SS(ES) PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION Monterey CA 93943-5000 REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESSEES) 10. SPONSORING/MONTTORIN G AGENCY REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • Influence of the Size of Supertyphoon Megi (2010) on SST Cooling
    VOLUME 146 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW MARCH 2018 Influence of the Size of Supertyphoon Megi (2010) on SST Cooling IAM-FEI PUN Graduate Institute of Hydrological and Oceanic Sciences, National Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan I.-I. LIN,CHUN-CHI LIEN, AND CHUN-CHIEH WU Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan (Manuscript received 28 February 2017, in final form 13 December 2017) ABSTRACT Supertyphoon Megi (2010) left behind two very contrasting SST cold-wake cooling patterns between the Philippine Sea (1.58C) and the South China Sea (78C). Based on various radii of radial winds, the authors found that the size of Megi doubles over the South China Sea when it curves northward. On average, the radius of maximum wind (RMW) increased from 18.8 km over the Philippine Sea to 43.1 km over the South 2 China Sea; the radius of 64-kt (33 m s 1) typhoon-force wind (R64) increased from 52.6 to 119.7 km; the radius 2 of 50-kt (25.7 m s 1) damaging-force wind (R50) increased from 91.8 to 210 km; and the radius of 34-kt 2 (17.5 m s 1) gale-force wind (R34) increased from 162.3 to 358.5 km. To investigate the typhoon size effect, the authors conduct a series of numerical experiments on Megi-induced SST cooling by keeping other factors unchanged, that is, typhoon translation speed and ocean subsurface thermal structure. The results show that if it were not for Megi’s size increase over the South China Sea, the during-Megi SST cooling magnitude would have been 52% less (reduced from 48 to 1.98C), the right bias in cooling would have been 60% (or 30 km) less, and the width of the cooling would have been 61% (or 52 km) less, suggesting that typhoon size is as important as other well- known factors on SST cooling.
    [Show full text]
  • Radial Distributions of Sea Surface Temperature and Their Impacts on the Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Hato (2017)
    atmosphere Article Radial Distributions of Sea Surface Temperature and Their Impacts on the Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Hato (2017) Ze Zhang 1, , Weimin Zhang 1,2,*, Wenjing Zhao 1 and Chengwu Zhao 1 1 College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China; [email protected] (Z.Z.); [email protected] (W.Z.); [email protected] (C.Z.) 2 Key Laboratory of Software Engineering for Complex Systems, Changsha 410073, China * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +86-0731-8702-1601 Received: 30 December 2019; Accepted: 20 January 2020; Published: 23 January 2020 Abstract: As a category-3 typhoon, Hato (2017) experienced the notable rapid intensification (RI) over the hot sea surface before its landfall. The RI process and the influences of local sea surface temperature (SST) patterns on the evolution of Hato were well captured and carefully investigated using a high-resolution air–sea coupled model. To further explore the close relationship between the radial distributions of SST and storm evolution, a sensitive experiment with time-fixed SST was also performed. Results showed that the time-fixed SST experiment produced earlier RI following the rapid core structure adjustment, as higher SST in the core region was found favorable to increasing the near-surface water vapor and latent heat flux. Strong updrafts were thus facilitated inside the eyewall, inducing the eyewall contraction and RI of the storm. In contrast, cooler SST inside the core region should account for the delay of RI as the intense convection located in the outer rainbands, inhibiting the transportation of energy into the inner-core.
    [Show full text]
  • November 2014
    Associate-Only The Associate’s $25 + Savings Inside! Guide to Living Better NOVEMBER 2014 Green Tea Pie “Have fun and always show __________.” (See Page 123.) PAGE 90 Fewer than 300 calories per serving Made with only six ingredients Raisin Pie PAGE 88 Vinegar Pie PAGE 91 Strawberry- Thank Yogurt Pie PAGE 95 Canadian Meat Pie Hungry Man’s Cheeseburger Pie PAGE 93 You PAGE 92 Associates from across the country share amazing recipes and for stories of doing good. PAGE 67 Just 10 minutes of prep time Free Magazine! Cherry- Coconut- Cheese Pie Tofu Pie PAGE 89 PAGE 94 Sharing There are Vinegar Pie thousands of Need a rolling spice options, pin? You can starting at less Raisin Pie find one for than $3, on less than $6 on All our pie Walmart.com. Walmart.com. ingredients are available in stores Find these Get this or online. Save 10 Mainstays Cake Boss percent with your measuring measuring associate spoons in cup, and discount! stores—and more than more than For more recipes and advice, visit 100 30 Walmart’s Holiday others online, others online, Food Center at starting at less starting at less instoresnow.walmart. than $5/set. than $1. com/Food-Center- Holiday-Food.aspx. Green Tea Pie Find roughly 22 pie plates online, starting at less than $15. Cherry- Cheese Pie Buy these Mainstays bowls and more than Save More Strawberry- Yogurt Pie 160 other sets online, starting at Walmart at less than $6. It takes a lot of ingredients, bowls, plates, measuring cups, and more to prepare all the food you’ll see in these pages—and There are all of it is available in Walmart stores and more than one hundred through Walmart.com.
    [Show full text]
  • Dry Season, Spring 2017
    Hawai'i Ho'ohekili Skywarn Weather Spotter Newsletter National Weather Service, Honolulu, HI Dry Season Edition, 2017 Issued — June 2017 Spotter Newsletter Volume 15 Inside this edition: ENSO prediction, Hawaii drought, King Tides, the Central Pa- cific Hurricane outlook, and more!!! ENSO-neutral and El Niño are nearly equally favored during the Northern Hemisphere summer and fall 2017. ENSO-neutral persisted during April, with near- average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) observed across the central equatorial Pacific and above-average SSTs in the eastern Pacific (Fig. 1). The ocean and atmosphere system remains consistent with ENSO-neutral. We’re finally starting to get through the spring barrier, when climate models have a harder time making successful forecasts. Forecasters estimate the chance of El Niño forming is about equal to the chance that neutral conditions will continue: both are just shy of 50% through the fall. Unlike two years ago, when the signal that a strong El Niño was developing was clear, most of our prediction tools are suggesting very borderline conditions, making it a tough forecast. Quotes from Two Scientists Michelle: Here’s the latest NOAA/NCEP CFSv2 model forecast (Fig 2). It’s bailing on its previously predicted El Niño. And it’s not the only one. The Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) said the other day they’re 50-50 on El Niño developing. The UK Meteorological Office released a new run of their model, and it shows about half the members sub 0.5°C (rough threshold for El Niño). The Bureau of Meteorology in Australia updated their discussion and they noted the models tend to be retreating as well.
    [Show full text]
  • The CPC and RMM-Based 200-Hpa Velocity Potential Maps Depict
    The CPC and RMM-based 200-hPa Velocity Potential maps depict enhanced divergence aloft (associated with increased convection) over Africa, the Indian Ocean, and the Maritime Continent, with enhanced convergence aloft elsewhere. Possible Kelvin wave activity is weakly indicated over the eastern Pacific. According to the RMM plots, the center of enhanced convection is currently located in phase 4 (western Maritime Continent) and the amplitude is within the unit circle of the WH diagram. The CFS RMM forecast depicts a rapidly moving subseasonal signal that transits phases 4 and 5 (Maritime Continent) and weakens towards the end of Week-1. Late in Week-2, the CFS depicts a signal emerging in phase 8 (the Americas and the Atlantic). The bias-corrected NCEP GFS RMM index also shows the possible emergence of a subseasonal signal in phase 8 during Week-2. The Canadian Meteorological Center and the ECMWF plots predict the MJO signal will be weak and incoherent during the next two weeks. The Northern Hemisphere tropics continue to be active. In the western North Pacific, Typhoon Sanvu is currently (1 Sep, 12z local time) southeast of Japan and forecast to track northward, around the western periphery of a large anticyclone. This projected path would take Sanvu well east of Japan, but brings the typhoon close to the northern Kuril Islands (just south of the Kamchatka peninsula). An area of above- average rainfall is depicted on the map with high confidence in this region. Tropical Storm Mawar recently formed near the northern tip of the Philippines, and is moving towards the west and northwest over the South China Sea.
    [Show full text]