CIMSS CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Annual Report for the period 1 April 2014 to 31 March 2015 Research to Operations to Research Submitted by the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies University of Wisconsin-Madison April 2015 University of Wisconsin–Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS) http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/ Cooperative Agreement Annual Report for the period 1 April 2014 to 31 March 2015 Cooperative Agreement Number: NA10NES4400013 Submitted to: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Report 1 April 2014 – 31 March 2015 Cooperative Agreement Annual Report from the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies University of Wisconsin–Madison 1 April 2014 to 31 March 2015 Steven Ackerman Wayne Feltz Director, CIMSS Executive Director-Science, SSEC CIMSS Contributing Task Leaders Ackerman, Steve Olander, Tim Bachmeier, Scott Otkin, Jason Bah, Kaba Petersen, Ralph Baum, Bryan Revercomb, Hank Botambekov, Denis Rink, Tom Calvert, Corey Robiadek, Jerrold Cintineo, John Rozoff, Chris Cintineo, Rebecca Santek, Dave Cronce, Lee Schmidt, Chris Dworak, Richard Sieglaff, Justin Feltz, Wayne Smith, Nadia Foster, Mike Strabala, Kathleen Garcia, Ray Straka, William Gerth, Jordan Tobin, Dave Greenwald, Tom Velden, Christopher Griffin, Sarah Walther, Andi Gumley, Liam Wang, Pao Gunshor, Mat Wang, Xuanji Holz, Bob Wanzong, Steve Hoover, Brett Weisz, Elisabeth Huang, Hung Lung Zhang, Hong Hubbard, Shane Jasmin, Tommy ASBP/NCDC Collaborators Jung, Jim Heidinger, Andy Lazzara, Matthew Key, Jeff Lee, Yong-Keun, Kossin, Jim Lenzen, Allen Pavolonis, Mike Li, Jun Pierce, Brad Li, Yue Schmit, Tim Li, Zhenglong Wade, Gary (retired Fall 2014) Lindstrom, Scott Liu, Yinghui Additional Contributors Martin, Graeme Avila, Leanne Menzel, W. Paul Hackel, Jenny Moeller, Chris Phillips, Jean Molling, Christine Vasys, Maria Mooney, Margaret Nebuda, Sharon 2 CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Report 1 April 2014 – 31 March 2015 Table of Contents I. Director’s Executive Summary................................................................................................15 1. Foster collaborative research between NOAA and UW–Madison in those aspects of atmospheric and earth science that exploit the use of satellite technology................................15 2. Serve as a center at which scientists and engineers working on problems of mutual interest may focus on satellite related research in atmospheric studies and earth science. ....................19 3. Stimulate the training of scientists and engineers in those disciplines comprising the atmospheric and earth sciences. .................................................................................................20 Summary ....................................................................................................................................22 II. Background Information on the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS) ...........................................................................................................................23 1. Description of CIMSS, including research themes, vision statement and NOAA research collaborations .............................................................................................................................23 2. CIMSS Management and Administration..............................................................................25 3. Summary of NOAA Funding to CIMSS in FY2014..............................................................25 III. Project Reports ......................................................................................................................29 1. CIMSS Task 1A Support .......................................................................................................29 2. CIMSS Task 1B Support........................................................................................................30 3. CIMSS Participation in the Product Systems Development and Implementation for 2014 ..32 3.1 JPSS PSDI: VIIRS Polar Winds..................................................................................32 3.2 Polar PSDI: Transition of MODIS and AVHRR Winds to GOES R/VIIRS Algorithm34 3.3 An Enterprise Processing System for Polar (CLAVR-x) Products.............................35 3.4 Polar PSDI: Enterprise Processing Ground System – Volcanic Ash Products ...........36 3.5 GEO PSDI: An Enterprise Processing System for Geostationary (GSIP) ..................37 3.6 GEO PSDI: Enterprise Processing Ground System – Fog and Low Cloud Products .37 4. CIMSS Participation in the GOES-R Algorithm Working Group (AWG) for 2014.............38 4.1 Proxy Data Support .....................................................................................................38 4.2 GOES-R Analysis Facility Instrument for Impacts on Requirements.........................41 4.3 Algorithm Integration Team Technical Support .........................................................43 4.4 GOES-R Collocation...................................................................................................46 4.5 ABI Cloud Products ....................................................................................................48 4.6 Active Fire/Hot Spot Characterization ........................................................................51 4.7 GOES-R Legacy Atmospheric Profile, Total Precipitable Water (TPW) and Atmospheric Instability Indices.........................................................................................54 4.8 ABI Derived Motion Winds ........................................................................................58 4.9 ABI Hurricane Intensity Estimation (HIE)..................................................................59 4.10 Volcanic Ash .............................................................................................................60 4.11 Imagery and Visualization.........................................................................................61 4.12 Estimation of Fractional Snow Cover with ABI .......................................................64 5. CIMSS Continuation, Future Capabilities, and Visiting Scientist for GOES-R Risk Reduction Program for 2014......................................................................................................66 5.1 Development of a GOES-R Automated Volcanic Cloud Alert System......................66 5.2 Developing Assimilation Techniques for Atmospheric Motion Vectors Derived via a New Nested Tracking Algorithm Derived for the GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) .................................................................................................................................68 3 CIMSS Cooperative Agreement Report 1 April 2014 – 31 March 2015 5.3 Ensemble Simulation of GOES-R Proxy Radiance Data from CONUS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts, Product Demonstration and Assessment at the Hazardous Weather Testbed GOES-R Proving Ground ....................................................................................73 5.4 Infrastructure – RGB Products in AWIPS II...............................................................74 5.5 GOES-R Future Capability: Continued Development of the GOES-R AWG Fog/Low Cloud Products ..................................................................................................................75 5.6 GOES-R Future Capability: Development of the GOES-R Tropical Overshooting Top (TOT) Product ...................................................................................................................77 5.7 Enhancing Future GOES-R Assimilation Capabilities by Exploring the Impact of SEVIRI Infrared Brightness Temperatures in an Operational Ensemble Data Assimilation System ...............................................................................................................................80 5.8 Improved Understanding and Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclone Structure and Structure Changes .............................................................................................................................83 6. CIMSS GOES-R Risk Reduction Program New Starts 2014 ................................................85 6.1 Towards Providing Forecasters with Better Identification and Analysis of Severe PyroConvection Events using GOES-R ABI and GLM Data...........................................85 6.2 Applications of Concurrent Super Rapid Sampling from GOES-14 SRSOR, Radar and Lightning Data............................................................................................................88 6.3 Development and Optimization of Mesoscale Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) using Novel GOES-R Processing Algorithms on 1-5 min. SRSO Proxy Data, and Demonstration of Readiness for GOES-R Applications via Impact Studies in Mesoscale Data Assimilation and NWP Systems ...............................................................................89 6.4. Development of a Near Real-time Satellite Verification and Forecaster Guidance System for the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model ......................................91 6.5 Development of Realtime All-weather Layer Precipitable Water Products in AWIPS II by Fusing the GOES-R and NWP for Local Forecasters...............................................93 6.6 Using Multi-Sensor Observations for Volcanic Cloud Detection, Characterization, and Improved Dispersion Modeling..................................................................................97