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Minsk II a Fragile Ceasefire
Briefing 16 July 2015 Ukraine: Follow-up of Minsk II A fragile ceasefire SUMMARY Four months after leaders from France, Germany, Ukraine and Russia reached a 13-point 'Package of measures for the implementation of the Minsk agreements' ('Minsk II') on 12 February 2015, the ceasefire is crumbling. The pressure on Kyiv to contribute to a de-escalation and comply with Minsk II continues to grow. While Moscow still denies accusations that there are Russian soldiers in eastern Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin publicly admitted in March 2015 to having invaded Crimea. There is mounting evidence that Moscow continues to play an active military role in eastern Ukraine. The multidimensional conflict is eroding the country's stability on all fronts. While the situation on both the military and the economic front is acute, the country is under pressure to conduct wide-reaching reforms to meet its international obligations. In addition, Russia is challenging Ukraine's identity as a sovereign nation state with a wide range of disinformation tools. Against this backdrop, the international community and the EU are under increasing pressure to react. In the following pages, the current status of the Minsk II agreement is assessed and other recent key developments in Ukraine and beyond examined. This briefing brings up to date that of 16 March 2015, 'Ukraine after Minsk II: the next level – Hybrid responses to hybrid threats?'. In this briefing: • Minsk II – still standing on the ground? • Security-related implications of the crisis • Russian disinformation -
List of Persons and Entities Under EU Restrictive Measures Over the Territorial Integrity of Ukraine
dhdsh PRESS Council of the European Union EN List of persons and entities under EU restrictive measures over the territorial integrity of Ukraine List of Persons Name Identifying Reasons Date of listing information 1. Sergey Valeryevich DOB: 26.11.1972. Aksyonov was elected 'Prime Minister of Crimea' in the Crimean 17.3.2014 AKSYONOV, Verkhovna Rada on 27 February 2014 in the presence of pro-Russian POB: Beltsy (Bălţi), gunmen. His 'election' was decreed unconstitutional by the acting Sergei Valerievich now Republic of Ukrainian President Oleksandr Turchynov on 1 March 2014. He actively AKSENOV (Сергей Moldova lobbied for the 'referendum' of 16 March 2014 and was one of the co- Валерьевич signatories of the ’treaty on Crimea´s accession to the Russian AKCëHOB), Federation’ of 18 March 2014. On 9 April 2014 he was appointed acting Serhiy Valeriyovych ‘Head’ of the so-called ‘Republic of Crimea’ by President Putin. On 9 AKSYONOV (Сергiй October 2014, he was formally ‘elected’ 'Head' of the so-called 'Republic Валерiйович Аксьонов) of Crimea'. Aksyonov subsequently decreed that the offices of ‘Head’ and ‘Prime Minister’ be combined. Member of the Russia State Council. 1/83 dhdsh PRESS Council of the European Union EN Name Identifying Reasons Date of listing information 2. Rustam Ilmirovich DOB: 15.8.1976 As former Deputy Minister of Crimea, Temirgaliev played a relevant role 17.3.2014 TEMIRGALIEV in the decisions taken by the ‘Supreme Council’ concerning the POB: Ulan-Ude, ‘referendum’ of 16 March 2014 against the territorial integrity of Ukraine. (Рустам Ильмирович Buryat ASSR He lobbied actively for the integration of Crimea into the Russian Темиргалиев) (Russian SFSR) Federation. -
Citizens and the State in the Government-Controlled Territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk Regions Problems, Challenges and Visions of the Future
Citizens and the state in the government-controlled territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions Problems, challenges and visions of the future Funded by: This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the European Union through International Alert. The contents of this document are the sole responsibility of International Alert and UCIPR and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union. Layout: Nick Wilmot Creative Front cover image: A mother and daughter living in temporary accommodation for those displaced by the violence in Donetsk, 2014. © Andrew McConnell/Panos © International Alert/Ukrainian Center for Independent Political Research 2017 Citizens and the state in the government-controlled territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions Problems, challenges and visions of the future October 2017 2 CONTENTS 1. Introduction 3 2. Methodology 6 3. Findings 7 4. Statements from interviewees 22 5. Conclusions and recommendations 30 Citizens and the state in the government-controlled territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions 3 1. INTRODUCTION The demarcation line (the line of contact)1 and the ‘grey zone’ between the government-controlled2 and uncontrolled territories3 of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions separates the parties to the conflict in the east of Ukraine. The areas controlled by the Ukrainian authorities and bordering the ‘grey zone’ are very politically sensitive, highly militarised, and fall under a special governance regime that is different from the rest of the country. In the absence of a comprehensive political settlement and amid uncertain prospects, it is unclear how long this situation will remain. It is highly likely that over the next few years, Ukrainians in areas adjacent to the contact line will live under very particular and unusual governance structures, and in varying degrees of danger. -
Situation in Der Ukraine: Verordnung Vom 27
Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research EAER State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO Bilateral Economic Relations Sanctions Version of 06.03.2015 Sanctions program: Situation in der Ukraine: Verordnung vom 27. August 2014 über Massnahmen zur Vermeidung der Umgehung internationaler Sanktionen im Zusammenhang mit der Situation in der Ukraine (SR 946.231.176.72), Anhänge 2, 3 und 4 Origin: EU Sanctions: Art. 8 (Verbot der Eröffnung neuer Geschäftsbeziehungen) Sanctions program: Situation en Ukraine: Ordonnance du 27 août 2014 instituant des mesures visant à empêcher le contournement de sanctions internationales en lien avec la situation en Ukraine (RS 946.231.176.72), annexes 2, 3 et 4 Origin: EU Sanctions: art. 8 (Interdiction de nouer de nouvelles relations d’affaires) Sanctions program: Situazione in Ucraina: Ordinanza del 27 agosto 2014 che istituisce provvedimenti per impedire l’aggiramento delle sanzioni internazionali in relazione alla situazione in Ucraina (RS 946.231.176.72), allegati 2, 3 e 4 Origin: EU Sanctions: art. 8 (Divieto di apertura di nuove relazioni d’affari) Individuals SSID: 175-30380 Name: Dremov Pavel Spelling variant: ДРЁМОВ Павел (Russian) DOB: 1976 POB: Stakhanov Good quality a.k.a.: Batya Justification: Commander of the "First Cossack Regiment", an armed separatist group involved in the fighting in eastern Ukraine. In this capacity, he has actively supported actions and policies which undermine the territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence of Ukraine and to further destabilise Ukraine. Modifications: Listed on 6 Mar 2015 SSID: 175-30388 Name: Milchakov Alexey Spelling variant: МИЛЬЧАКОВ Алексей (Russian) DOB: 1991 POB: St. Petersburg Good quality a.k.a.: a) Fritz b) Serbe Justification: Commander of the "Rusich" unit, an armed separatist group involved in the fighting in eastern Ukraine. -
List of Persons and Entities Under EU Restrictive Measures Over the Territorial Integrity of Ukraine
dhdsh PRESS Council of the European Union EN 1st December 2014 List of persons and entities under EU restrictive measures over the territorial integrity of Ukraine List of persons N. Name Identifying Reasons Date of information listing 1. Sergey Valeryevich d.o.b. 26.11.1972 Aksyonov was elected “Prime Minister of Crimea” in the Crimean Verkhovna Rada on 27 17.3.2014 Aksyonov February 2014 in the presence of pro-Russian gunmen. His “election” was decreed unconstitutional by Oleksandr Turchynov on 1 March. He actively lobbied for the “referendum” of 16 March 2014. 2. Vladimir Andreevich d.o.b. 19.03.1967 As speaker of the Supreme Council of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Konstantinov 17.3.2014 Konstantinov played a relevant role in the decisions taken by the Verkhovna Rada concerning the “referendum” against territorial integrity of Ukraine and called on voters to cast votes in favour of Crimean Independence. 3. Rustam Ilmirovich d.o.b. 15.08.1976 As Deputy Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Crimea, Temirgaliev played a relevant role 17.3.2014 Temirgaliev in the decisions taken by the Verkhovna Rada concerning the “referendum” against territorial integrity of Ukraine. He lobbied actively for integration of Crimea into the Russian Federation. 4. Deniz Valentinovich d.o.b. 15.07.1974 Berezovskiy was appointed commander of the Ukrainian Navy on 1 March 2014 and swore an 17.3.2014 Berezovskiy oath to the Crimean armed force, thereby breaking his oath. The Prosecutor-General’s Office of Ukraine launched an investigation against him for high treason. -
Annex-To-Ukraine-News-Release-26-September-2016.Pdf
ANNEX TO NOTICE FINANCIAL SANCTIONS: UKRAINE (SOVEREIGNTY AND TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY) COUNCIL IMPLEMENTING REGULATION (EU) No 2016/1661 AMENDING ANNEX I TO COUNCIL REGULATION (EU) No 269/2014 AMENDMENTS Individuals 1. KONSTANTINOV, Vladimir, Andreevich DOB: 19/11/1956. POB: (1) Vladimirovka (a.k.a Vladimirovca), Slobozia Region, Moldavian SSR (now Republic of Moldova/Transnistria region (2) Bogomol, Moldaovian SSR, Republic of Moldova Position: Speaker of the Supreme Council of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea Other Information: Since 17 March 2014, KONSTANTINOV is Chairman of the State Council of the so-called Republic of Crimea. Listed on: 18/03/2014 Last Updated: 23/03/2016 17/09/2016 Group ID: 12923. 2. SIDOROV, Anatoliy, Alekseevich DOB: 02/07/1958. POB: Siva, Perm region, USSR Position: Chief of the Joint Staff of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) (Since November 2015). Commander, Russia’s Western Military District Other Information: Former Commander, Russia's Western Military District. Listed on: 18/03/2014 Last Updated: 21/09/2015 17/09/2016 Group ID: 12931 3. KOVITIDI, KOVATIDI Olga, Fedorovna DOB: 07/05/1962. POB: Simferopol, Ukrainian SSR Position: Member of the Russian Federation Council from the annexed Autonomous Republic of Crimea Listed on: 29/04/2014 Last Updated: 21/09/2015 17/09/2016 Group ID: 12954. 4. PONOMARIOV, Viacheslav DOB: 02/05/1965. POB: Sloviansk, Donetsk Oblast a.k.a: (1) PONOMAREV, Viacheslav, Vladimirovich (2) PONOMARYOV, Vyacheslav, Volodymyrovich Other Information: Former self-declared ‘People’s Mayor’ of Sloviansk (until 10 June 2014). Listed on: 12/05/2014 Last Updated: 23/03/2016 17/09/2016 Group ID: 12970. -
The Ukrainian Weekly 2014, No.31
www.ukrweekly.com INSIDE: l In the press: op-eds by Poroshenko, Harper – page 3 l Focus on Chicago’s Ukrainian National Museum – page 10 l Temple U. prof’s book on Kyiv’s ‘domes and demons’ – page 11 THEPublished U by theKRAINIAN Ukrainian National Association Inc., a fraternal W non-profit associationEEKLY Vol. LXXXII No. 31 THE UKRAINIAN WEEKLY SUNDAY, AUGUST 3, 2014 $2.00 EU adopts broad Rada approves budget amendments, economic sanctions rejects resignation of PM Yatsenyuk against Russia by Zenon Zawada KYIV – Ukraine’s Parliament voted on July 31 to approve RFE/RL amendments to Ukraine’s budget and tax code, a week BRUSSELS – The European Union has agreed to after rejecting them despite warnings from the Cabinet of impose broad economic sanctions on Russia over its Ministers that they are essential for ensuring financing for alleged role in the Ukraine crisis. EU ambassadors agreed Ukraine’s army and the next round of Western loans. on the measures at a meeting in Brussels on July 29. The Verkhovna Rada also rejected the resignation letter EU President Herman Van Rompuy said in a state- submitted by Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk on July 25, ment the measures will restrict access to EU capital the day after two parliamentary factions – the Ukrainian markets for Russian state-owned banks, impose an Democratic Alliance for Reform (UDAR) and Svoboda – embargo on trade in arms, and restrict exports of declined to support the amendments and announced their dual-use goods and sensitive technologies, particular- exit from the majority coalition, which also included the ly in the field of the oil sector. -
Dangerous Myths How Crisis Ukraine Explains
Dangerous Myths How the Crisis in Ukraine Explains Future Great Power Conflict Lionel Beehner A Contemporary Battlefield Assessment Liam Collins by the Modern War Institute August 18, 2020 Dangerous Myths: How the Crisis in Ukraine Explains Future Great Power Conflict Table of Contents Acknowledgments........................................................................................................................................... 1 Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................ 2 Introduction ...................................................................................................................................................... 5 Chapter I — Russian Intervention in Ukraine: A Troubled History ............................................. 12 Chapter II — Russian Military Modernization and Strategy ........................................................... 21 Chapter III — Hybrid Warfare Revisited .............................................................................................. 26 Chapter IV — A Breakdown of Russian Hybrid Warfare ................................................................. 31 Proxy Warfare ..................................................................................................................................... 32 Information Warfare .......................................................................................................................... 38 Maritime/Littoral -
Memorial on Admissibility on Behalf of the Government of Ukraine
Ukraine v. Russia (re Eastern Ukraine) APPLICATION NO. 8019/16 Kyiv, 8 November 2019 MEMORIAL ON ADMISSIBILITY ON BEHALF OF THE GOVERNMENT OF UKRAINE CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1. The Russian Federation has consistently denied its involvement in the conflict in eastern Ukraine, and has sought to evade international legal responsibility by adopting a series of measures to disguise and “outsource” its military aggression in eastern Ukraine. The Kremlin’s denials of direct involvement were implausible from the outset, and were roundly rejected by the international community. All of the relevant international institutions rightly hold Moscow responsible for a pattern of conduct that has been designed to destabilise Ukraine by sponsoring separatist entities in the use of armed force against the legitimate Government and members of the civilian population. Almost from the outset, the United Nations, the Council of Europe, the European Union, and the G7 all re-affirmed Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its internationally recognised borders, and condemned the Russian Federation’s continuing proxy war in eastern Ukraine. As the conflict has continued, the evidence of Russia’s direct and indirect involvement in the violent rebellion in Donbass has become more and more apparent. Despite Russia’s crude attempts to conceal its involvement, the proof of Russian State responsibility has steadily mounted. In the face of the obvious truth, Russia’s policy of implausible deniability has fallen apart completely. 2. Ukraine submits that the human rights violations committed by Russian forces and their proxies, as particularised in this application, fall directly within Russia’s extra-territorial jurisdiction for the purposes of article 1 of the Convention. -
Torture, Fear, and Despotism
East Ukraine Torture, Fear, and Despotism There is war in East Ukraine. Pro-Russian separatist are fighting to secede from the country; two years ago, they proclaimed the People’s Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk. Since then, many people have fled the region. Those who remain live in fear. Our correspondent brings us a report of torture and despotism. By Sabine Adler Ukrainian human rights organizations have so far established the existence of at least 79 illegal torture prisons. (imago / Pixsell) Some three million people currently live in the occupied Donbas region. It’s estimated that one-third of the ancestral population has fled – the war, the destruction, and the lawlessness that has run rampant since the pro-Russian separatists seized power. “I never thought I’d be documenting war crimes,” says Oleksandra Matviychuk from the Center for Civil Liberties. A total of 17 human rights organizations from Kiev, Donetsk, Lugansk, Kharkiv, Starobilsk, and Alchevsk have joined up in a coalition called Justice for Peace in Donbas and, since 2014, have been documenting crimes against both civilians and members of armed organizations. “Of course we have to start thinking about restoring peace to the country. But we need to collect proof wherever we get access to it. Because sooner or later, the people who have committed war crimes must be held accountable in front of national or international courts – and by the way, that applies to all sides.” “It’s a society in fear" The young lawyer and her organization were part of a group of experts tasked with examining Ukraine’s laws for compatibility with European Union legislation in advance of the signing of the Ukraine-European Union Association Agreement. -
To View the Report
Human Rights Without Frontiers Int’l Avenue d’Auderghem 61/16, 1040 Brussels Phone/Fax: 32 2 3456145 Email: [email protected] – Website : http://www.hrwf.eu The Donetsk People’s Republic and some EU blacklisted leaders Who is who ? By Willy Fautré April 2015 The self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR) were formed on 11 May 2014 on the territory of Donbass (Donetsk and Luhansk regions in Ukraine’s southeastern industrial area) after referendums that were not recognized by the Ukrainian government and the international community. In response, Kiev started a military operation. The first Minsk Peace Agreement signed on 5 September provided that the warring parties would agree . to pull heavy weaponry 15 km by each side from the line of contact, creating a 30 km security zone . to ban offensive operations . to ban flights by combat aircraft over the security zone . to set up an OSCE monitoring mission . to withdraw all foreign mercenaries from the conflict zone but this did not stop the war and further territorial expansion of the separatists. In September 2014, the self-proclaimed republics unilaterally adopted laws on elections of the republics’ heads and deputies of people’s councils despite the opposition of the central government in Kyiv. On the whole, 2.2 million people live in the Luhansk Region, and 4.3 million people reside in the Donetsk Region. The share of Russians in the population reaches 39-40% Both territories are centers of the coal, metallurgical and mechanical engineering industries. Some EU-sanctioned separatist leaders and figures The first DPR political leader was Alexander Borodai, a Russian citizen, from Moscow. -
Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (2) Republic of Moldova
Pridnestrovian War Cabinet Public Character Profiles (1) Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (2) Republic of Moldova Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic Igor Smirnov - President of Transnistria ● Focus: Transnistrian independence and recognition, sustained territorial control ● Responsibilities: Military, Ideological, Cultural ● Resources: Full standing Transnistrian military (Shares this with Atamaniuk and Chitac) An active member of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union since 1960, Smirnov has played an integral role in the politics of Moldova and , later, the PMR for decades. He served as the director for a number of different electrical plants, which allowed for him to build his political reputation. In 1989, he became the chairman of the city council of Tiraspol and only a year later the president of the PMR. Aleksandr Lebed - Co-Commander of the Russian 14th Army ● Focus: Expanding Russian influence in Transnistria, re-establishing Russian influence in Moldova ● Responsibilities: Military, Ideological ● Resources: Russian 14th Army A decorated Russian military commander, Aleksandr Lebed successfully lead campaigns in Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Afghanistan before being given co-command of the Russian 14th Army. Understanding that Commander Lebed held a firm sense of Patriotism, the Russian government trusted him with leadership of the 14th Army knowing that he would possess the same goals as his native Russia. Yury Netkachev - Co-commander of the Russian 14th Army ● Focus: Strengthen and support the Transnistrian military ● Responsibilities: Military ● Resources: Russian 14th Army The former independent commander of the Russian 14th Army, he was responsible for supplying the separatists in the newly founded PMR with a wealth of weapons. Moscow was not in favour of the commander letting arms fall into the hands of a potentially dangerous faction.