INDIAN FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS BANGLADESH: IMPLICATIONS FOR PAKISTAN
By Ahmad Jawad Khan
NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF MODERN LANGUAGES ISLAMABAD
June 2020
INDIAN FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS BANGLADESH: IMPLICATIONS FOR PAKISTAN By Ahmad Jawad Khan MA, International Relations. University of Balochistan, 2015
A THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF
MASTER OF PHILOSOPHY
International Relations
To
FACULTY OF SOCIAL SCIENCES
NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF MODERN LANGUAGES, ISLAMABAD
June 2020
© Ahmad Jawad Khan (2020)
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THESIS/DISSERTATION AND DEFENCE APPROVAL FORM
The undersigned certify that they have read the following thesis, examined the defense, are satisfied with the overall exam performance, and recommend the thesis to the Faculty of Social Sciences for acceptance.
Thesis/ Dissertation Title: INDIAN FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS BANGLADESH: IMPLICATIONS FOR PAKISTAN
Submitted by: Ahmad Jawad Khan Registration #: 1288-MPhil/IR/F16
Master of Philosophy Name in Full
International Relations Discipline
Dr. Sarwat Rauf Research Supervisor Signature of Research Supervisor
Dr. Riaz Shad Head International Relations Signature of HOD-IR
Dr. Shahid Siddiqui Dean (FSS) Signature of Dean (FSS)
Brig. Muhammad Ibrahim DG NUML Signature of DG NUML ii
CANDIDATE DECLARATION FORM
I, Ahmad Jawad Khan
Son of, Khalid Saif Ullah Khan
Registration #, 1288-MPhil/IR/F16
Discipline, International Relations
Candidate of Master of Philosophy at the National University of Modern Languages do hereby declare that the thesis: INDIAN FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS BANGLADESH: IMPLICATIONS FOR PAKISTAN submitted by me in partial fulfillment of M.Phil. degree, is my original work, and has not been submitted or published earlier. I also solemnly declare that it shall not, in future, be submitted by me for obtaining any other degree from this or any other university or institution. I also understand that if evidence of plagiarism is found in my thesis dissertation at any stage, even after the award of degree, the work may be cancelled, and the degree revoked.
20-06-2020
Dated Signature of Candidate
Ahmad Jawad Khan
Name of Candidate iii
TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER PAGE
THESIS AND DEFENSE APPROVAL FORM ... i CANDIDATE DECLARATION FORM .. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ... iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT . v DEDICATION vi ABBREVIATIONS .... vii ABSTRACT .... ix
INTRODUCTION .. 1
S a emen of he P oblem .. 3 Research Questions .. 4 Objec i e of S d .. 4 Li e a e Re ie . 4 Re ea ch Me hodolog ..... 15 Theo e ical F ame o k .... 19 Significance of Study 23 Delimi a ion .. 25 Chap e B eakdo n .. 25
1. HISTORICAL BACKGROUND OF PAKISTAN AND BANGLADESH .. 27
1.1 Muslim Homeland within Sub-Continent. . 27 1.2 Muslim Brotherhood and Formation of Pakistan .. 27 1.3 General Iskanda Mi a Regime ... 31 1.4 Gene al Mohammad A b Khan Regime ..... 33 1.5 General Yahya Regime .. 37 1.6 Pakistan-India Wa of 1971 ... 53
2. INDIA-BANGLADESH RELATIONS: IMPLICATIONS FOR PAKISTAN ...... 57
2.1 Eme gence of Banglade h ...... 57 2.2 Overview of India-Bangladesh Rela ion . 58 2.2.1 India-Banglade h Wa e Sha ing I e .... 69 2.2.2 Border Enclave I e : A Con e a ion . 74 2.2.3 India-Banglade h: T an i T ade I e .... 78 2.3 India-Bangladesh Partnership: Implications for Paki an ...... 83
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3. PAKISTAN-BANGLADESH RELATIONS: HOSTAGE TO HISTORY 85
3.1 Sece ion of Ea Paki an ... 91 3.2 Initial Con ac and M al Recogni ion .. 93 3.3 General Zia ul Haq Regime: Normalisation of Rela ion ..... 97 3.4 Musharraf Regime: Imp o emen of Tie 101 3.5 Po M ha af De elopmen . 103 3.6 Indian Interference: An Unending Legac ... 107
4. INDIAN INFLUENCE ON BANGLADESH AND HEGEMONIC DESIGNS 109
4.1 Bangladesh Creation: Foreign Polic Ca dinal ... 113 4.2 India-Bangladesh Relations ...... 115 4.3 SAARC and Indian Hegemon 118 4.4 Indian Infe ence De ign . 120 4.5 Akhand / Maha Baharat Decade .. 128 4.6 Neglect, Mistrust and S picion ... 130 4.7 Plen i de of Migh i Righ . 131
CONCLUSION ... 133
BIBLOGHRAPHY ...... i
APPENDICES . xiii
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First and foremost, (Alhamdulillah) I thank Allah (SWT) for giving me strength to complete this study and writing a thesis to the best of my capabilities. Sincerest gratitude goes to my supervisor, for rendering me requisite help / guidance, as and when required.
My sincere thanks and appreciation goes to my family, friends and well- wishers, for their unending guidance and prayers. I would like to by name express my gratitude to Dr. Khalid Saif Ullah Khan, Mrs. Anisa Khalid Khan and Dr. Jalees Khalid Khan, as writing of this thesis would not have been possible without their kind prayers, support and help.
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DEDICATION
I DEDICATE THIS
THESIS
TO MY MOTHERLAND PAKISTAN
AND
MY LOVED ONES
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ABBREVIATIONS
AL : Awami League BIMSTEC : Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation BIPPA : Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement BJP : Bhartiya Janata Party BJI : Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami BNP : Bangladesh National Party BOP : Border out Posts BRI : Belt and Road Initiative BSF : Border Security Force (Indian) BTV : Bangladesh Television CAA : Indian Citizen Amendment Act CSO : Civil Society Organisations CBMP : Coordinated Border Management Plan CDA : Critical Discourse Analysis CIA : Central Intelligence Agency CMLA : Chief Martial Law Administrator CPEC : China Pakistan Economic Corridor DCF : Defence Cooperation Framework Dr : Doctor etc : et cetera EU : European Union GBM : Ganges, the Brahmaputra and the Meghna/Barak Gen : General (A rank in Army) GHQ : General Headquarters GOC : General Officer Commanding GWT : Ganges Water Treaty IB : Intelligence Bureau ICRC : International Committee of Red Cross IDSA : Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses IJI : Islamic Democratic Alliance IPU : Inter-Parliamentary Union IR : International Relations ISI : Inter-Services Intelligence JI : Jamaat-e-Islami JRC : Joint Rivers Commission (India Bangladesh) Km : Kilometer LBA : Land Boundary Agreement LFO : Legal Framework Order MNA : Member National Assembly MPA : Member Provincial Assembly MOU : Memorandum of Understanding Mr : Mister Mrs : Misses MW : Mega Watt NA : National Assembly viii
NGO : Non-Governmental Organisations NRC : India Na ional Regi e fo Ci i en OBOR : One Belt One Road OIC : Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (earlier known as Organisation of Islamic Countries) PIA : Pakistan International Airlines PM : Prime Minister POW : Prisoners of War PPP : Paki an People Pa PTI : Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf RAW : Research and Analysis Wing (Indian) RLP : River Linking Project RTC : Round Table Conference RAAI : Rabita Al-Akan-Al-Islam SAARC : South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation SAFTA : South Asian Free Trade Agreement SAPTA : South Asian Preferential Trade Agreement SCO : Shanghai Cooperation Organization UDI : Unilateral Declaration of Independence UN : United Nations UNHCR : United Nations High Commission for Refugees US : United States
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ABSTRACT
Thesis Title: Indian Foreign Policy Towards Bangladesh: Implications for Pakistan
South Asia is a volatile region characterized by, two nuclear arch rivals India and Pakistan. Security dilemma that lies between the two states shapes the strategic environment of the region. Indian desire to be a regional hegemon that not only increases the instability but also deepens the security dilemma in the region. Indian dubious role since 1947, and influence employed on neighbours, to meet her hegemonic designs, has implications for Pakistan. Owing to the Indian concocted and anti-Pakistan fab ica ed na a i e and Paki an weak foreign policy towards its neighbours, Pakistan has deeply suffered on the South Asian canvas. When it comes to major po e of he o ld, Paki an fo eign polic appea ed a a fail e beca e i emained unsuccessful to exploit her geopolitical importance during the Cold War period. In 1971, East Pakistan was separated due to Indian interventions, and Pakistan could not earn worthwhile support from her allies. Whereas, Indian foreign policy makers had been successful in creating strong lobby in almost all-important countries, thus cceeded in making Paki an i ola ed. India g o ing infl ence and emplo men of interference strategies, in regional politics and the formation of respectable relations with bordering countries, mainly Bangladesh is causing a great threat for Pakistan.This research focuses on the turbulent relations between Pakistan and Bangladesh, which has been in consistent turmoil mainly due to Indian foreign policy. The study revolves around the question that intensification of India-Bangladesh relations and Indian influence on Bangladesh had further deteriorated Pakistan-Bangladesh relations. What are the options available for Pakistan, viable recommendations and way forward for improvement of Pakistan-Bangladesh relations have also been highlighted.
Keywords: Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, East Pakistan, Influence, Foreign Policy, Hegemonic Designs.
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INTRODUCTION
This study is examining India-Bangladesh relations and its implications for Pakistan. Despite separation, Bangladesh remains intrinsic to the founding ideology of Pakistan, fall of Dhaka dealt a severe blow to the idea and shape of Pakistan, this has a chilling significance of what is left of Pakistan and has altogether different meaning in former East Pakistan. Pakistan lost its eastern half not in terms of territory but the biggest loss was the people of Bengal, people who were the real architect and the founders of the idea of Pakistan, it was the Bengali political leadership which mobilized he M lim of bcon inen in heir struggle for independence under the banner of All India Muslim League.
In 1971, the separation of East Pakistan was an interplay of excesses and deficits in various realms to include political under performance, military rule, economic variance, social differences geographic challenges and foreign interference.1 Moreover, the feelings of mistrust amongst Bengalis were exploited by India because of it perennial hostility with Pakistan. India never accepted Two Nation Theory and the division of Indian subcontinent, because the Hindutva ideology of Hindus, wanted a united sub- continent. Two Nation Theory was against the Indian desire of Akhand or Maha Baharat (undivided and hegemon India), and of unified sub-continent. India conceived, funded and controlled a separatist movement within East Pakistan by launching hundred thousand strong Mukti Bahini militia2 but after weakening the security apparatus of state from within East Pakistan, it launched an all-out war against Pakistan, the rest is all history and reality is the birth of Bangladesh.3
It would not be wrong to say that with the formation of Bangladesh, Indian planning of creating vassal states around it for the realisation of its expansionist and hegemonic designs has materialised. Unequivocally, Indian role remained negative, leading to the events resulting into the succession of East Pakistan. The negative role of India, being exercised by it through the interference it employs within its neighbouring countries,
1 Khursheed Kamal Aziz, Britain and Pakistan: A Study of British Attitude towards the East Pakistan Crisis of 1971 (Lahore: Sang-e-Meel Publications, 1974; reprint 2008), 266. 2 Ahmed Abdulla, The Historical Background of Pakistan and Its People (Karachi: Tanzeem Publishers, 1973), 33. 3 Simon C. Smi h, Coming Do n on he Winning Side: B i ain and he So h A ia C i i , 1971 , British Contemporary History, vol. 24, no. 4 (2010): 452. 2 for furthering its hegemonic designs is not only condemnable, but also gives an overview of its foreign policy.4
Post 1971 developments between Pakistan and Bangladesh are no different to the prewar acrimony, Pakistan decided to move forward, recognized East Pakistan as a sovereign state named Bangladesh in 1974, and established full diplomatic relations in 1976. Successive governments in Islamabad had made several efforts to have cordial relations with Bangladesh, and build ties based on mutual respect and shared interest. The results, regrettably have been mixed, oscillating between friendly to less friendly and of recent are faced with an erratic behaviour that borders on belligerence. Paki an relations attain a positive outlook under most governments in Dhaka, however, an abrupt hit was felt under one particular parties (Awami League AL) government, which calls for severing diplomatic ties with Pakistan, endorsing Indian acquisitions, prosecuting pro Pakistan political and religious leaders through sham trials, war crimes tribunal etc.
The acquisitions from Awami League on Pakistan are understandable because it suits its election manifesto and Indian inclination. Furthermore, Indian interest in Bangladesh are connected to water issues, border issues, transit / trade issues and defence cooperation.5 Successful Indian foreign policy has made Bangladesh its subservient, which has negative fallout for Pakistan within South Asia (South Asian region consists of seven states; Bhutan, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka). Indian desire to isolate Pakistan and reduce its influence in South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC)6 countries, by implementing its influence created through orchestrated and carefully woven narratives achieved over the years by employing multi-faceted discourses for the realisation of its hegemonic designs.
Pakistan being a major regional player (See appendix-I and II) and a nuclear state needs to realize that these growing ties between India and Bangladesh are not beneficial for Pakistan in the regional perspective.7 Pakistan should play its part to reduce Indian
4 S. M. Hali, Logic of he T o-Na ion Theo , The Nation, April 17, 2012, https://nation.com.pk/18- Apr-2012/logic-of-the-two-nation-theory. 5 Ha oon Habib, Banglade h Sal e Indi a Gandhi. The Hindu, July 24, 2011, http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/bangladesh-salutes-indira-gandhi/article2290625.ece. 6 M. H. Syed, Encyclopedia of SAARC Nations (New Delhi, Gyan Publishing House, 2003), 31. 7 M. Rafique Afzal, Politics, 1947 1971, 8. 3 influence that had witnessed the negative fallout for Pakistan, during the last decade. Pakistan needs to revamp its foreign policy measures through miscellaneous means, like eliminating grass root level hindrances between the two countries, analysing the challenges for Pakistan in maintaining and developing good bilateral relations with Bangladesh8 to ward off Indian hegemonic designs, finding possibilities for people to people contact in improving bilateral relations by improving political, economic and defence related interests and the use of strategic partner China by Pakistan as a bait for improving relations with Bangladesh (Bangladesh map is given at appendix-V).
In retrospect, it was difficult to convince the world and counter anti-Pakistan narrative but the Indian involvement and machinations in 1971conflict had given a ray of hope that the reality of 1971 can be propagated through facts which is helpful countering fabricated narrative. It appears, amid these opposing narratives that better and cordial ties are still possible. In moving forward Pakistan and Bangladesh must look beyond the controversies and impediments of yester years. Thus, the present study is trying to find out misunderstanding between the two states. It also uncovers the propaganda against Pakistan and myths projected through Indian narratives.
Statement of the Problem
India ong ie i h Banglade h i engende ing tense situation between Pakistan and Bangladesh. For pursuing its regional hegemonic designs, India had brewed anti Pakistan narratives and took advantage of protracted conflicts between Pakistan and Bangladesh, and developed good relations with Bangladesh, which has been reciprocated by Bangladesh, owing to Sheikh Ha ina p o Indian il . Post 2014, owing to Modi-Hasina nexus there have been tremendous improvement in India- Bangladesh relations, as they have settled majority of mutual issues. Thus, this whole research revolves around the question that ever-growing India-Bangladesh socio, cultural, political, economic, diplomatic and defence related ties during the last decade a e effec ing Paki an ela ion i h Banglade h and ha e io implica ion fo Pakistan within South Asian region.
8 Haroon Habib, Banglade h. 4
Research Questions
This research is based on the following questions:
1. Why has Bangladesh been displaying coldness towards Pakistan since its independence? 2. How is India availing the opportunity of bitter relations between Pakistan and Bangladesh and strengthening its influence over Bangladesh? 3. How regional alignment of Bangladesh and India is causing threat to Pakistan?
Objectives of Study
The objectives of this research are: