FINAL MA LIKELY VOTER 2018 STUDY Region: (N=500) N % Worcester/West ------120 24.00 Northeastern ------175 35.00 Suffolk ------43 8.60 SE Mass/Cape------162 32.40
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SUPRC/Boston Globe 10/29/2018 FINAL MA LIKELY VOTER 2018 STUDY Region: (N=500) n % Worcester/West ------------------------------------------------- 120 24.00 Northeastern ----------------------------------------------------- 175 35.00 Suffolk --------------------------------------------------------------- 43 8.60 SE Mass/Cape--------------------------------------------------- 162 32.40 ************************************************************************************************************************************* Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some issues of the day in Massachusetts. Would you be willing to spend seven minutes answering some questions so that we can include your opinions? {IF YES PROCEED; IF NO, UNDECIDED, GO TO CLOSE} 1. SCREEN. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming election for Governor and U.S. Senator this November – very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, not at all likely? (N=500) n % Very likely --------------------------------------------------------- 458 91.60 Somewhat likely --------------------------------------------------- 26 5.20 Already Voted ------------------------------------------------------ 16 3.20 2. Gender (N=500) n % Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 242 48.40 Female ------------------------------------------------------------ 258 51.60 3. What is your age category? (N=500) n % 18-25 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 28 5.60 26-35 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 68 13.60 36-45 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 99 19.80 46-55 Years ------------------------------------------------------ 105 21.00 56-65 Years ------------------------------------------------------ 100 20.00 66-75 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 70 14.00 Over 75 Years ----------------------------------------------------- 27 5.40 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60 4. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, or Unenrolled/Independent? (N=500) n % Democrat --------------------------------------------------------- 171 34.20 Republican --------------------------------------------------------- 57 11.40 Unenrolled/Independent --------------------------------------- 257 51.40 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 8 1.60 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 7 1.40 Massachusetts Likely Voters 1 of 7 Field 10/24 -10/27 SUPRC/Boston Globe 10/29/2018 5. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic background / ancestry is? (N=500) n % White/Caucasian ------------------------------------------------ 396 79.20 Black/African-American ----------------------------------------- 39 7.80 American Indian/Alaska Native --------------------------------- 2 0.40 Asian ----------------------------------------------------------------- 22 4.40 Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander ----------------------- 1 0.20 Hispanic/Latino ---------------------------------------------------- 30 6.00 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 7 1.40 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60 6. Do you think Massachusetts is heading in the right direction or is on the wrong track? (N=500) n % Right direction --------------------------------------------------- 345 69.00 Wrong track -------------------------------------------------------- 85 17.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 70 14.00 {RANDOMIZE Q7-9} 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? (N=500) n % Approve ----------------------------------------------------------- 166 33.20 Disapprove ------------------------------------------------------- 324 64.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 10 2.00 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Charlie Baker is doing as governor? (N=500) n % Approve ----------------------------------------------------------- 364 72.80 Disapprove --------------------------------------------------------- 79 15.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 53 10.60 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Elizabeth Warren is doing as U.S. Senator? (N=500) n % Approve ----------------------------------------------------------- 261 52.20 Disapprove ------------------------------------------------------- 184 36.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 54 10.80 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 10. Do you think the House of Representatives should seriously consider impeaching President Trump? (N=500) n % Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 215 43.00 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 234 46.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 51 10.20 Massachusetts Likely Voters 2 of 7 Field 10/24 -10/27 SUPRC/Boston Globe 10/29/2018 I’m going to read you a list of individuals in politics. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Donald Trump. Would you say your opinion of Donald Trump is generally favorable or generally unfavorable? {Next name, “How about…” etc.} {RANDOMIZE 12-16} (N=500) NEVER HEARD FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HOF/UNDECIDED 11. Donald Trump 0 159 333 8 0.00 31.80 66.60 1.60 12. Charlie Baker 7 367 76 50 1.40 73.40 15.20 10.00 13. Elizabeth Warren 3 273 190 34 0.60 54.60 38.00 6.80 14. Jay Gonzalez 168 133 66 133 33.60 26.60 13.20 26.60 15. Geoff Diehl 193 104 102 101 38.60 20.80 20.40 20.20 16. Shiva Ayyadurai 311 36 53 100 62.20 7.20 10.60 20.00 17. This November, the candidates for Governor will be Republican Charlie Baker and Democrat Jay Gonzalez. At this point for whom will you vote or toward whom do you lean – Baker or Gonzalez? (N=500) n % Republican Charlie Baker ------------------------------------- 327 65.40 Democrat Jay Gonzalez --------------------------------------- 130 26.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 39 7.80 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 18. For U.S. Senate, there are three candidates on your ballot: Democrat Elizabeth Warren, Republican Geoff Diehl, and Independent Shiva Ayyadurai. At this point for whom will you vote or toward whom do you lean – Warren, Diehl, or Ayyadurai? (N=500) n % Democrat Elizabeth Warren ---------------------------------- 278 55.60 Republican Geoff Diehl ---------------------------------------- 172 34.40 Independent Shiva Ayyadurai --------------------------------- 22 4.40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 27 5.40 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 {FOR 18.3} 19. Who would be your second choice – Warren or Diehl? (N=22) n % Democrat Elizabeth Warren ------------------------------------- 8 36.36 Republican Geoff Diehl ------------------------------------------ 12 54.55 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 2 9.09 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 Massachusetts Likely Voters 3 of 7 Field 10/24 -10/27 SUPRC/Boston Globe 10/29/2018 20. Do you believe Elizabeth Warren should run for president in 2020? (N=500) n % Yes ------------------------------------------------------------------- 86 17.20 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 341 68.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 73 14.60 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 21. If you had to pick, which Massachusetts Democrat would you prefer running for the Democratic nomination for president (ROTATE) Elizabeth Warren or Deval Patrick? (N=500) n % Elizabeth Warren ------------------------------------------------ 103 20.60 Deval Patrick ----------------------------------------------------- 257 51.40 Undecided -------------------------------------------------------- 124 24.80 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 16 3.20 22. Last week, Elizabeth Warren released a DNA test confirming an unadmixed Native American ancestor in her pedigree, likely in the range of 6-10 generations ago. The test confirmed Warren is between 1/64th and 1/1024th Native American. Do you think the test (ROTATE) (N=500) n % Puts to rest questions about her claims of Native American ancestry ------------------------------------------- 231 46.20 Raises questions about her claims of Native American ancestry ------------------------------------------- 153 30.60 Undecided -------------------------------------------------------- 106 21.20 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 10 2.00 23. Do you think Warren should have taken and released the DNA test? (N=500) n % Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 215 43.00 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 211 42.20 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------