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Monitoring Facebook. Presidential Elections – Romania, November 2019
Monitoring Facebook. Presidential Elections – Romania, November 2019 A report drafted by GlobalFocus Center, Bucharest, in cooperation with MEMO98, Bratislava. Supported by Democracy Reporting International, Berlin. Monitoring Facebook. Presidential Elections – Romania, November 2019 Monitoring Facebook. Presidential Elections – Romania, November 2019 February, 2019 Bucharest, Romania This project was supported by Civitates Monitoring Facebook. Presidential Elections – Romania, November 2019 GlobalFocus Center is an independent international studies’ think tank that produces in-depth research and high-quality analysis on foreign policy, security, European aairs, good governance, and development. Our purpose is to advance expertise by functioning as a platform for cooperation and dialogue among individual experts, NGOs, think-tanks, and public institutions from Romania and foreign partners. We have built, and tested over 10 dierent countries a unique research methodology, proactively approaching the issue of malign interference by analysing societies' structural, weaponisable vulnerabilities. We are building a multi-stakeholder Stratcom platform, for identifying an optimal way of initiating and conducting unied responses to hybrid threats. Our activities are focused on fostering regional security and contributing to the reection process of EU reforms. During November 1-24, 2019, GlobalFocus Center, in cooperation with MEMO98 and Democracy Reporting International (DRI), monitored Facebook during the 10 and 24 November presidential election polls in Romania. AUTHORS GlobalFocus Center: Ana Maria Luca, Run Zamr (editor) ANALYSTS: Alexandra Mihaela Ispas, Ana Maria Teaca, Vlad Iavita, Raluca Andreescu MEMO98: Rasťo Kužel Monitoring Facebook. Presidential Elections – Romania, November 2019 Contents I. INTRODUCTION 4 II. HIGHLIGHTS 5 III. CONTEXT 6 III.1 TRUST IN MEDIA AND SOCIAL MEDIA CONSUMPTION IN ROMANIA 6 III.2 PUBLIC ATTITUDES AND TRUST IN INSTITUTIONS 7 III.3 THE NOVEMBER 2019 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 7 IV. -
Codebook Indiveu – Party Preferences
Codebook InDivEU – party preferences European University Institute, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies December 2020 Introduction The “InDivEU – party preferences” dataset provides data on the positions of more than 400 parties from 28 countries1 on questions of (differentiated) European integration. The dataset comprises a selection of party positions taken from two existing datasets: (1) The EU Profiler/euandi Trend File The EU Profiler/euandi Trend File contains party positions for three rounds of European Parliament elections (2009, 2014, and 2019). Party positions were determined in an iterative process of party self-placement and expert judgement. For more information: https://cadmus.eui.eu/handle/1814/65944 (2) The Chapel Hill Expert Survey The Chapel Hill Expert Survey contains party positions for the national elections most closely corresponding the European Parliament elections of 2009, 2014, 2019. Party positions were determined by expert judgement. For more information: https://www.chesdata.eu/ Three additional party positions, related to DI-specific questions, are included in the dataset. These positions were determined by experts involved in the 2019 edition of euandi after the elections took place. The inclusion of party positions in the “InDivEU – party preferences” is limited to the following issues: - General questions about the EU - Questions about EU policy - Questions about differentiated integration - Questions about party ideology 1 This includes all 27 member states of the European Union in 2020, plus the United Kingdom. How to Cite When using the ‘InDivEU – Party Preferences’ dataset, please cite all of the following three articles: 1. Reiljan, Andres, Frederico Ferreira da Silva, Lorenzo Cicchi, Diego Garzia, Alexander H. -
The Extreme Right in Contemporary Romania
INTERNATIONAL POLICY ANALYSIS The Extreme Right in Contemporary Romania RADU CINPOEª October 2012 n In contrast to the recent past of the country, there is a low presence of extreme right groups in the electoral competition of today’s Romania. A visible surge in the politi- cal success of such parties in the upcoming parliamentary elections of December 2012 seems to be unlikely. This signals a difference from the current trend in other European countries, but there is still potential for the growth of extremism in Roma- nia aligning it with the general direction in Europe. n Racist, discriminatory and intolerant attitudes are present within society. Casual intol- erance is widespread and racist or discriminatory statements often go unpunished. In the absence of a desire by politicians to lead by example, it is left to civil society organisations to pursue an educative agenda without much state-driven support. n Several prominent members of extreme right parties found refuge in other political forces in the last years. These cases of party migration make it hard to believe that the extreme views held by some of these ex-leaders of right-wing extremism have not found support in the political parties where they currently operate. The fact that some of these individuals manage to rally electoral support may in fact suggest that this happens precisely because of their original views and attitudes, rather than in spite of them. RADU CINPOEª | THE EXTREME RIGHT IN CONTEMPORARY ROMANIA Contents 1. Introduction. 3 2. Extreme Right Actors ...................................................4 2.1 The Greater Romania Party ..............................................4 2.2 The New Generation Party – Christian Democratic (PNG-CD) .....................6 2.3 The Party »Everything for the Country« (TPŢ) ................................7 2.4 The New Right (ND) Movement and the Nationalist Party .......................8 2.5 The Influence of the Romanian Orthodox Church on the Extreme Right Discourse .....8 3. -
Review of European and National Election Results 2014-2019 Mid-Term January 2017
Review of European and National Election Results 2014-2019 Mid-term January 2017 STUDY Public Opinion Monitoring Series Directorate-General for Communication Published by EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service Author: Jacques Nancy, Public Opinion Monitoring Unit PE 599.242 Directorate-General for Communication Public Opinion Monitoring Unit REVIEW EE2014 Edition Spéciale Mi-Législature Special Edition on Mid-term Legislature LES ÉLECTIONS EUROPÉENNES ET NATIONALES EN CHIFFRES EUROPEAN AND NATIONAL ELECTIONS RESULTS TABLES Mise à jour – 20 janvier 2017 Update – 20th January 2017 8éme Législature 8th Parliamentary Term DANS CETTE EDITION Page IN THIS EDITION Page EDITORIAL11 EDITORIAL I.COMPOSITION DU PARLEMENT EUROPÉEN 6 I. COMPOSITION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT 6 A.REPARTITION DES SIEGES 7 A.DISTRIBUTION OF SEATS 7 B.COMPOSITION DU PARLEMENT 8 B.COMPOSITION OF THE PARLIAMENT 8 -9-9AU 01/07/2014 ON THE 01/07/2014 -10-10AU 20/01/2017 ON THE 20/01/2017 C.SESSIONS CONSTITUTIVES ET PARLEMENT 11 C.CONSTITUTIVE SESSIONS AND OUTGOING EP 11 SORTANT DEPUIS 1979 SINCE 1979 D.REPARTITION FEMMES - HOMMES 29 D.PROPORTION OF WOMEN AND MEN 29 AU 20/01/2017 ON 20/01/2017 -30-30PAR GROUPE POLITIQUE AU 20/01/2017 IN THE POLITICAL GROUPS ON 20/01/2017 ET DEPUIS 1979 AND SINCE 1979 E.PARLEMENTAIRES RÉÉLUS 33 E.RE-ELECTED MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT 33 II.NOMBRE DE PARTIS NATIONAUX AU PARLEMENT 35 II.NUMBER OF NATIONAL PARTIES IN THE EUROPEAN 35 EUROPEEN AU 20/01/2017 PARLIAMENT ON 20/01/2017 III.TAUX DE PARTICIPATION 37 III. TURNOUT 37 -38-38TAUX DE PARTICIPATION -
Taxonomy of Minority Governments
Indiana Journal of Constitutional Design Volume 3 Article 1 10-17-2018 Taxonomy of Minority Governments Lisa La Fornara [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://www.repository.law.indiana.edu/ijcd Part of the Administrative Law Commons, American Politics Commons, Comparative and Foreign Law Commons, Comparative Politics Commons, Constitutional Law Commons, International Law Commons, Law and Politics Commons, Legislation Commons, Public Law and Legal Theory Commons, Rule of Law Commons, and the State and Local Government Law Commons Recommended Citation La Fornara, Lisa (2018) "Taxonomy of Minority Governments," Indiana Journal of Constitutional Design: Vol. 3 , Article 1. Available at: https://www.repository.law.indiana.edu/ijcd/vol3/iss1/1 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Digital Repository @ Maurer Law. It has been accepted for inclusion in Indiana Journal of Constitutional Design by an authorized editor of Digital Repository @ Maurer Law. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Taxonomy of Minority Governments LISA LA FORNARA INTRODUCTION A minority government in its most basic form is a government in which the party holding the most parliamentary seats still has fewer than half the seats in parliament and therefore cannot pass legislation or advance policy without support from unaffiliated parties.1 Because seats in minority parliaments are more evenly distributed amongst multiple parties, opposition parties have greater opportunity to block legislation. A minority government must therefore negotiate with external parties and adjust its policies to garner the majority of votes required to advance its initiatives.2 This paper serves as a taxonomy of minority governments in recent history and proceeds in three parts. -
Media Monitoring
MEDIA MONITORING GRAPHIC REPORT SEPTEMBER – DECEMBER 2013 METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK PERIOD 1 September –31 December2013 MONITORED MEDIA 8 TV Stations News broadcasts of Antena 1, PROTV, Realitatea, TVR1 Newspapers Adevarul, Evenimentul Zilei, Jurnalul National, Romania Libera PUBLICATIONS SELECTION All publications related to political topics, such as state institutions, political parties and political leaders NUMBER OF ANALYZED PUBLICATIONS 3’375 MAIN INDICATORS Date of the publication, month, media, mentioned institutions, political parties, leaders, subject (who has expressed the opinion) and object (to whom the opinion has been expressed) 2 MOST MENTIONED POLITICIANS Victor‐Viorel Ponta 1084 Traian Băsescu 833 Crin Antonescu 520 Liviu Nicolae Dragnea 204 Sorin Oprescu 140 Valeriu Ştefan Zgonea 128 Dan Voiculescu 110 Eugen Gheorghe Nicolăescu 92 George Becali 84 Daniel Chițoiu 78 Ramona‐Nicole Mănescu 73 Elena Udrea 72 Varujan Vosganian 56 Dan‐Coman Şova 56 Daniel Constantin 50 Adrian Năstase 50 Radu Stroe 48 Emil Boc 46 Laura Codruța Kovesi 46 The data is represented in information units Monica Macovei 44 September-December 2013 3 MOST MENTIONED POLITICIANS as a % of publications in the respective media September-December 2013 4 MOST MENTIONED POLITICIANS as a % of publications in the respective media September-December 2013 5 EXPRESSED ATTITUDES TOWARDS TRAIAN BĂSESCU 140 0 Media Rating -3.8 120 ‐1 100 ‐2 80 ‐3 60 ‐4 40 ‐5 20 ‐6 0 ‐7 September October November December Positive Negative Media Rating 6 EXPRESSED ATTITUDES TOWARDS VICTOR-VIOREL -
Complete Journal
ANALELE UNIVERSITĂŢII DIN ORADEA RELAŢII INTERNAŢIONALE ŞI STUDII EUROPENE TOM IX 2017 ANALELE UNIVERSITĂŢII DIN ORADEA SERIA: RELAŢII INTERNAŢIONALE ŞI STUDII EUROPENE SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE: EDITORIAL STAFF: Enrique BANUS (Barcelona) Editor-in-Chief: Mircea BRIE (Oradea) Iordan Ghe. BĂRBULESCU (Bucureşti) Associate Editor: Ioan HORGA (Oradea) Gabriela Melania CIOT (Cluj-Napoca) Executive Editor: Florentina CHIRODEA (Oradea) Georges CONTOGEORGIS (Atena) Members: Vasile CUCERESCU (Chişinău) George ANGLIŢOIU (Bucureşti) Ioan HORGA (Oradea) Dana BLAGA (Oradea) Adrian IVAN (Cluj-Napoca) Mariana BUDA (Oradea) Antoliy KRUGLASHOV (Cernăuţi) Cosmin CHIRIAC (Oradea) Jaroslaw KUNDERA (Wroclaw) Georgiana CICEO (Cluj-Napoca) Renaud de LA BROSSE (Reims) Cristina Maria DOGOT (Oradea) Fabienne MARON (Bruxelles) Dorin DOLGHI (Oradea) Ariane LANDUYT (Siena) Dacian DUNĂ (Cluj-Napoca) Adrian MIROIU (Bucureşti) Mirela MĂRCUŢ (Oradea) Nicolae PĂUN (Cluj-Napoca) Sergiu MIŞCOIU (Cluj-Napoca) George POEDE (Iaşi) Anca OLTEAN (Oradea) Vasile PUŞCAŞ (Cluj-Napoca) Dana PANTEA (Oradea) Istvan SULI-ZAKAR (Debrecen) Istvan POLGAR (Oradea) Luminiţa ŞOPRONI (Oradea) Alina STOICA (Oradea) Barbu ŞTEFĂNESCU (Oradea) Nicolae TODERAŞ (Bucureşti) Vasile VESE (Cluj-Napoca) Constantin ŢOCA (Oradea) Redaction: Elena ZIERLER (Oradea) The exchange manuscripts, books and reviews as well as any correspondence will be sent on the address of the Editing Committee. The responsibility for the content of the articles belongs to the author(s). The articles are published with the notification of the scientific reviewer. Address of the editorial office: University of Oradea International Relations and European Studies Department Str. Universităţii, nr. 1, 410087 Oradea, România Tel/ Fax (004) 0259 408167. E-mail: [email protected] http://www.analerise.igri.ro The review is issued under the aegis of The University of Oradea ISSN 2067 - 1253 E - ISSN 2067 – 3647 CONTENTS SOMMAIRE I. -
The Ideological Mapping of Political Parties in Romania
118 The Romanian Journal of Society and Politics Toma BUREAN and Raluca POPP Toma BUREAN Babes-Bolyai University THE IDEOLOGICAL MAPPING OF [email protected] Raluca POPP POLITICAL PARTIES IN ROMANIA University of Exeter [email protected] ABSTRACT KEYWORDS What are the main dimensions of competition between political parties • VAA in Romania? Is there a match of the electorate policy preferences with those • party mappings of political parties? This paper analyzes what are the main dimensions of • Romania competition between parties in Romania by looking at the issue preferences of the • online survey party in the electorate. We use data obtained from the voting advice application • left-right (VAA) applied in 2012 (votulmeu.com) in Romania. Finally we compare our results with Chapel Hill expert party mappings and claim that VAA data are a reliable source for finding out the programmatic peferences of party supporters. Introduction The analysis of the ideology of political parties and voters are important topics for political scientists (Germann et al. 2012). The ideological space occupied by political parties is analyzed by researchers with the help of candidates, politicians (Kitschelt et al. 1999, Hix and Crombez 2005) or experts (Benoit and Laver 2006). Others use the programs of political parties (Budge et al. 2001). Party mappings on the left and right dimensions improve the chances for citizens to cast a correct vote. They provide a heuristic device that assist citizens in expressing preferences on issues (Fuchs and Klingemann 1989, Inglehart and Klingemann 1976). There is little research (Germann et al. 2012, Marian and King 2014) that surveys the ideological preferences of the party in the electorate (Key 1964) or that compares the ideological preferences of citizens to the ideological positions of political parties (Huber and Powell 1994). -
Blog: What to Expect from Sunday's Legislative Elections in Romania
LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) Blog: What to expect from Sunday’s legislative elections in Romania Page 1 of 3 What to expect from Sunday’s legislative elections in Romania Romania will hold legislative elections on 6 December. Sergiu Gherghina previews the vote, writing that while the ruling National Liberal Party is likely to stay in power, the elections will represent a number of firsts for the country. Romanians will go to the polls this Sunday, the fourth time they have been called to vote in an election in a little over 18 months. This time, it will be legislative elections on the ballot, following presidential and European elections in 2019, and local elections earlier this year. The previous three elections demonstrated a consistent pattern that is unlikely to change in the forthcoming legislative elections. The ruling National Liberal Party (PNL), which currently holds power in a minority government, will continue their term in office, but with the possibility of strengthening their position. Three novelties for Romanian politics The 6 December elections will nevertheless bring several novelties to the Romanian political arena. It will be the first time in more than two decades that the Social Democratic Party (PSD) will not be in pole position to win the popular vote. This is underlined by the fact the PNL secured the largest vote share at last year’s European elections, won the 2019 presidential election, and defeated the PSD in the 2020 local elections. Although the social democrats placed second in all three of these contests, the party is facing a battle to maintain this position in the face of strong competition from a recently formed electoral alliance between the Save Romania Union (USR) and the Freedom, Unity and Solidarity Party (PLUS). -
Ambassade De France En Roumanie Revue Des Médias
AMBASSADE DE FRANCE EN ROUMANIE REVUE DES MÉDIAS ROUMAINS DU 27 MAI 2014 n° 18643 Elections européennes – résultats. La presse présente les résultats quasi définitifs des élections européennes du 25 mai en Roumanie. L’alliance PSD-UNPR-PC a remporté la moitié des 32 sièges. Les résultats, après le dépouillement des 99,99 % des bulletins de vote, sont les suivants : alliance PSD-UNPR-PC - 37,6% des voix, PNL - 15%, PDL - 12,23%, Mircea Diaconu (candidat indépendant) - 6,81%, UDMR - 6,3% et PMP - 6,21%. Les journaux présentent également la répartition probable des mandats : les 16 députés européens de l’alliance PSD-UNPR-PC seront Corina Creţu, Ecaterina Andronescu, Cătălin Ivan, Dan Nica, Maria Grapini, Damian Drăghici, Daciana Sârbu, Ioan Mircea Pascu, Viorica Dăncilă, Sorin Moisa, Victor Boștinaru, Claudiu Tănăsescu, Doru Frunzulică, Constantin Rebega, Claudia Tapardel et Andi-Lucian Cristea. Les six représentants du PNL seront Norica Nicolai, Adina Vălean, Ramona Mănescu, Cristian Bușoi, Renate Weber et Eduard Hellvig. Le PDL accordera les cinq sièges obtenus à Theodor Stolojan, Monica Macovei, Traian Ungureanu, Marian-Jean Marinescu et Daniel Buda. Les deux députés européens de l’UDMR seront Iuliu Winkler et Csaba Sogor, tandis que les deux du PMP seront Cristian Preda et Siegfried Mureșan (Gandul.info). Ziarul Financiar remarque que la bataille pour l’élection présidentielle a débuté tout de suite après la fin du scrutin européen. Le Premier ministre Victor Ponta a appelé à une nouvelle alliance sociale-libérale, alors que les représentants du PDL ont évoqué l’unification de la droite. D’autre part, le faible score obtenu par le PNL (15%) a provoqué une crise interne qui a conduit à la démission de la direction du parti, dont son président Crin Antonescu et son premier vice-président Klaus Iohannis. -
Codebook CPDS I 1960-2013
1 Codebook: Comparative Political Data Set, 1960-2013 Codebook: COMPARATIVE POLITICAL DATA SET 1960-2013 Klaus Armingeon, Christian Isler, Laura Knöpfel, David Weisstanner and Sarah Engler The Comparative Political Data Set 1960-2013 (CPDS) is a collection of political and institu- tional data which have been assembled in the context of the research projects “Die Hand- lungsspielräume des Nationalstaates” and “Critical junctures. An international comparison” directed by Klaus Armingeon and funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation. This data set consists of (mostly) annual data for 36 democratic OECD and/or EU-member coun- tries for the period of 1960 to 2013. In all countries, political data were collected only for the democratic periods.1 The data set is suited for cross-national, longitudinal and pooled time- series analyses. The present data set combines and replaces the earlier versions “Comparative Political Data Set I” (data for 23 OECD countries from 1960 onwards) and the “Comparative Political Data Set III” (data for 36 OECD and/or EU member states from 1990 onwards). A variable has been added to identify former CPDS I countries. For additional detailed information on the composition of government in the 36 countries, please consult the “Supplement to the Comparative Political Data Set – Government Com- position 1960-2013”, available on the CPDS website. The Comparative Political Data Set contains some additional demographic, socio- and eco- nomic variables. However, these variables are not the major concern of the project and are thus limited in scope. For more in-depth sources of these data, see the online databases of the OECD, Eurostat or AMECO. -
Dataset of Electoral Volatility in the European Parliament Elections Since 1979 Codebook (July 31, 2019)
Dataset of Electoral Volatility in the European Parliament elections since 1979 Vincenzo Emanuele (Luiss), Davide Angelucci (Luiss), Bruno Marino (Unitelma Sapienza), Leonardo Puleo (Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna), Federico Vegetti (University of Milan) Codebook (July 31, 2019) Description This dataset provides data on electoral volatility and its internal components in the elections for the European Parliament (EP) in all European Union (EU) countries since 1979 or the date of their accession to the Union. It also provides data about electoral volatility for both the class bloc and the demarcation bloc. This dataset will be regularly updated so as to include the next rounds of the European Parliament elections. Content Country: country where the EP election is held (in alphabetical order) Election_year: year in which the election is held Election_date: exact date of the election RegV: electoral volatility caused by vote switching between parties that enter or exit from the party system. A party is considered as entering the party system where it receives at least 1% of the national share in election at time t+1 (while it received less than 1% in election at time t). Conversely, a party is considered as exiting the part system where it receives less than 1% in election at time t+1 (while it received at least 1% in election at time t). AltV: electoral volatility caused by vote switching between existing parties, namely parties receiving at least 1% of the national share in both elections under scrutiny. OthV: electoral volatility caused by vote switching between parties falling below 1% of the national share in both the elections at time t and t+1.