Press Release

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Press Release press release 10 July 2013 The Forward Look Sheridan Admans, investment research manager at The Share Centre, gives his thoughts on what to expect from companies announcing results w/c 15 July 2013. Tuesday Rio Tinto (Q2 results) Rio Tinto has suffered more from the commodities weakness than some of its other large cap mining peer group due to it being so dependent on iron ore. Investors will expect to hear of production increases and the average prices received for each commodity. Updates on large projects, such as Oyu Tolgoi in Mongolia, will be of interest. However, we would warn investors not to rule out further asset write downs. We currently list Rio Tinto as a BUY Companies also reporting today include EVRAZ (Q2 results) – SELL Wednesday BHP Billiton (Q4 results) Most mining companies’ share prices have had a very poor time so far this year on the back of a weak commodities market, primarily as a result of slowing conditions in China. We would expect this pessimism to be reflected in BHP Billiton’s quarterly update next week. Investors will be looking to see if mining production levels have increased and what the average price received for them was. Updates on the group’s projects will also be welcome. We currently list BHP Billiton as a BUY Severn Trent (interim management statement) Utility companies rarely get the pulse racing when it comes to trading updates, so investors will be anticipating trading in line with expectations. Further comments on the failed bid for the group and the new regulatory period, which is fast approaching, will be of more interest. We currently list Severn Trent as a HOLD Companies also reporting today include Fresnillo (Q2 results) – HOLD, Land Securities (interim management statement) – HOLD Friday Companies reporting today include Vodafone (interim management statement) – BUY Economic Diary 16 July, UK Consumer Price Indices, June 2013 – ONS Inflation rose from 2.4% in April to 2.7% in May. Although it is expected to fall back in a few months, inflation for June may well have passed 3%, meaning it was more than a full percentage point over target. If this is the case, although he is still new in the job, Mark Carney, will be required to send a letter to the Chancellor detailing why inflation is over target and what the Bank of England plans to do about it. Will Mr Carney’s letter mark a divergence from the approach taken by Mervyn King? 17 July, Minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee Meeting held on 3 and 4 July – Bank of England The difference in approach between Mark Carney and Mervyn King will come under the spotlight again today following the release of the first set of minutes from the MPC since Mr Carney took over as governor of the UK’s central bank. What will the minutes say about intermediate thresholds, and how did Mr Carney vote? Did David Miles and Paul Fisher continue to vote for more QE, and, if so, did Mr Carney vote with them as his predecessor did? Other economic announcements include: 16 July • House Price Index, May 2013 – ONS • Producer Price Index, June 2013 – ONS • US Consumer Price Index, June 2013 – BLS • US Real Earnings, June 2013 – BLS • EU Inflation (HICP), June – Eurostat 17 July • Labour Market Statistics, July 2013 – ONS 18 July • Retail Sales, June 2013 – ONS • Trends in Lending, July 2013 – Bank of England 19 July • Public Sector Finances, June 2013 – ONS ---Ends--- Note to editors: For further information please contact: The Share Centre Rebecca Kempsell PR Executive 01296 439 426 [email protected] Stephanie Reynolds PR Manager 01296 439 256 [email protected] Teamspirit PR Adam Smith / Dan Pike / Lucy Caminada 0207 360 7816 / 0207 864 4137/ 0207 360 7852 [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] To view all our press releases and more from our investment advisers please go to blog.share.com 2012 Stockbroker of the year – Financial Times and Investors Chronicle Execution only Stockbroker of the year – Financial Times and Investors Chronicle Best online Stockbroker – Personal Finance Awards Highest overall client satisfaction award - Investment Trends Best value for money - Investment Trends Best trading platform - Investment Trends 2011 Best Online Stockbroker - Financial Times and Investors Chronicle Best Online ISA Provider - MoneyAM Best Small Cap Broker 2011 - Shares Magazine Highest overall client satisfaction award - Investment Trends 2010 Best Small Cap Broker 2010 - Shares Magazine Best Online Funds Service 2010 - MoneyAM Risk Warnings: Investing in general, and the products and services mentioned above may not be suitable for all: if in doubt, individuals should seek independent financial advice. The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and investors may not get back their original investment. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The bases and levels of taxation relating to ISAs, CTFs and SIPPs are subject to change and the value of these tax allowances may depend upon the circumstances of the individual. About The Share Centre: The Share Centre was established in 1990 to provide value-for-money share services for private investors. Its range of services includes buying and selling shares (by Internet, telephone and post) and a comprehensive share administration and safe custody service. Tax-efficient investment ‘wrappers’ including ISAs, CTFs and SIPPs are also available. The Share Centre’s Advice team provides comment on market sectors, individual shares and funds on www.share.com. Access is available to customers and registered users of the site. Registration is free. To understand how our Advice team arrive at their views please read our Investment Research Policy. The Share Centre blog is also available at http://blog.share.com. In addition, account customers can receive individual telephone advice on UK-listed shares. The Share Centre Limited is a member of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under reference 146768. Registered in England No. 2461949. Registered office: Oxford House, Oxford Road, Aylesbury, Bucks. HP21 8SZ. .
Recommended publications
  • The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) Model with an Application to Monetary Policy William H.Greene Max Gillman Mark N.Harris Christopher Spencer WP 2013 – 10
    ISSN 1750-4171 ECONOMICS DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) Model With An Application To Monetary Policy William H.Greene Max Gillman Mark N.Harris Christopher Spencer WP 2013 – 10 School of Business and Economics Loughborough University Loughborough LE11 3TU United Kingdom Tel: + 44 (0) 1509 222701 Fax: + 44 (0) 1509 223910 http://www.lboro.ac.uk/departments/sbe/economics/ The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) model with an application to monetary policy William H. Greeney Max Gillmanz Mark N. Harrisx Christopher Spencer{ September 2013 Abstract We propose a Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) model. Our contribution lies not only in explicitly accounting for an excessive number of observations in a given choice category - as is the case in the standard literature on in‡ated models; rather, we introduce a new econometric model which nests the recently developed Middle In‡ated Ordered Probit (MIOP) models of Bagozzi and Mukherjee (2012) and Brooks, Harris, and Spencer (2012) as a special case, and further, can be used as a speci…cation test of the MIOP, where the implicit test is described as being one of symmetry versus asymmetry. In our application, which exploits a panel data-set containing the votes of Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members, we show that the TOP model a¤ords the econometrician considerable ‡exibility with respect to modelling the impact of di¤erent forms of uncertainty on interest rate decisions. Our …ndings, we argue, reveal MPC members’ asymmetric attitudes towards uncertainty and the changeability of interest rates. Keywords: Monetary policy committee, voting, discrete data, uncertainty, tempered equations.
    [Show full text]
  • Mankiw Coursebook
    e Forward Guidance Forward Guidance Forward guidance is the practice of communicating the future path of monetary Perspectives from Central Bankers, Scholars policy instruments. Such guidance, it is argued, will help sustain the gradual recovery that now seems to be taking place while central banks unwind their massive and Market Participants balance sheets. This eBook brings together a collection of contributions from central Perspectives from Central Bankers, Scholars and Market Participants bank officials, researchers at universities and central banks, and financial market practitioners. The contributions aim to discuss what economic theory says about Edited by Wouter den Haan forward guidance and to clarify what central banks hope to achieve with it. With contributions from: Peter Praet, Spencer Dale and James Talbot, John C. Williams, Sayuri Shirai, David Miles, Tilman Bletzinger and Volker Wieland, Jeffrey R Campbell, Marco Del Negro, Marc Giannoni and Christina Patterson, Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi, Richard Barwell and Jagjit S. Chadha, Hans Gersbach and Volker Hahn, David Cobham, Charles Goodhart, Paul Sheard, Kazuo Ueda. CEPR 77 Bastwick Street, London EC1V 3PZ Tel: +44 (0)20 7183 8801 A VoxEU.org eBook Email: [email protected] www.cepr.org Forward Guidance Perspectives from Central Bankers, Scholars and Market Participants A VoxEU.org eBook Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) Centre for Economic Policy Research 3rd Floor 77 Bastwick Street London, EC1V 3PZ UK Tel: +44 (0)20 7183 8801 Email: [email protected] Web: www.cepr.org © 2013 Centre for Economic Policy Research Forward Guidance Perspectives from Central Bankers, Scholars and Market Participants A VoxEU.org eBook Edited by Wouter den Haan a Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) The Centre for Economic Policy Research is a network of over 800 Research Fellows and Affiliates, based primarily in European Universities.
    [Show full text]
  • London Financial Intermediation Workshop Agenda
    London Financial Intermediation Workshop Thursday 16 February 2017 Bank of England 9:15 Welcome coffee 9:30 Opening Remarks Andy Haldane (Chief Economist, Bank of England) Chair: Andy Haldane (Chief Economist, Bank of England) Market Discipline and Systemic Risk 9:40 Presenter: Alan Morrison (Said Business School-Oxford) Co-authors: Ansgar Walther (Warwick Business School) Discussant: Max Bruche (Cass Business School) 10:30 Coffee Chair: Sujit Kapadia (Head of Research, Bank of England) 11:00 Bank Resolution and the Structure of Global Banks Presenter: Martin Oehmke (London School of Economics) Co-authors: Patrick Bolton (Columbia University) Discussant: Frederic Malherbe (London Business School) 11:50 The Political Economy of Bailouts Presenter: Vikrant Vig (London Business School) Co-authors: Markus Behn (Bonn), Rainer Haselmann (Bonn) and Thomas Kick (Deutsche Bundesbank) Discussant: Jose Luis Peydro (Imperial) 12:40 Lunch at Bank of England Chair: David Miles (Imperial and former member Monetary Policy Committee, Bank of England 14:10 How Sensitive is Entrepreneurial Investment to the Cost of Equity? Evidence from a UK tax Relief Presenter: Juanita Gonzalez-Uribe (London School of Economics) Co-authors: Daniel Paravisini (London School of Economics) Discussant: Ralph de Haas (EBRD) 15:00 Government Guarantees and Financial Stability Presenter: Franklin Allen (Imperial) Co-authors: Elena Carletti (Bocconi), Itay Goldstein (University of Pennsylvania) and Agnese Leonello (European Central Bank) Discussant: Vania Stavrakeva (London Business
    [Show full text]
  • Minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee Meeting Held on 4 and 5 May 2011
    Publication date: 18 May 2011 MINUTES OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE MEETING 4 AND 5 MAY 2011 These are the minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting held on 4 and 5 May 2011. They are also available on the Internet http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/minutes/mpc/pdf/2011/mpc1105.pdf The Bank of England Act 1998 gives the Bank of England operational responsibility for setting interest rates to meet the Government’s inflation target. Operational decisions are taken by the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee. The Committee meets on a regular monthly basis and minutes of its meetings are released on the Wednesday of the second week after the meeting takes place. Accordingly, the minutes of the Committee meeting to be held on 8 and 9 June will be published on 22 June 2011. MINUTES OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE MEETING HELD ON 4 AND 5 MAY 2011 1 Before turning to its immediate policy decision, and against the background of its latest projections for output and inflation, the Committee discussed financial market developments; the international economy; money, credit, demand and output; and supply, costs and prices. Financial markets 2 Markets had generally been stable on the month, against a backdrop of relatively thin trading conditions during the holiday periods. 3 Implied market expectations of the point at which Bank Rate would begin to rise had been pushed back, partly in response to data releases, notably the March CPI outturn. Information derived from overnight index swaps indicated that the market yield curve had fully priced in a 25 basis point increase in Bank Rate by early 2012.
    [Show full text]
  • Speech by Martin Weale Delivered at the Department for Business
    Speech by MARTIN WEALE MEMBER OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE BANK OF ENGLAND AFTER THE RECESSION: THOUGHTS ON THE GROWTH POTENTIAL OF THE UNITED KINGDOM Speech delivered at the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills Analysts’ Conference, London, 12 November 2010 I am extremely grateful to Robert Gilhooly, Daniel Eckloff and Matthew Corder for their help with this speech, and to David Miles, Iain de Weymarn, Tony Yates, Simon Price, Jamie Bell, Gareth Ramsay and Rohan Churm for their helpful comments. Of course, this speech reflects my personal views. Thank you very much for inviting me to talk at this conference. I remember one of my economics lecturers saying in 1977 that Britain’s poor economic performance had been a matter of concern since the later part of Queen Victoria’s reign. During that time plenty of policies had been tried to improve things and, as far as one could tell, they had not worked. In this speech I would like to discuss first of all the impact that the recent crisis and its aftermath may have had on the potential level of output of the economy, secondly the effect it might have had on trend growth together with some of the other influences on trend growth and thirdly the particular question whether monetary policy is in a position to play any extra role in supporting the economy at the present time. The Potential Level of Output I should point out that there are plenty of precedents for arguing that periods of contraction result in semi-permanent loss of output.
    [Show full text]
  • Working Paper Series
    BANKWEST CURTIN ECONOMICS CENTRE WORKING PAPER SERIES 13/9: Estimating the Standard Errors of Individual- Specifi c Parameters in Random Parameters Models William Greene, Mark N. Harris, Christopher Spencer business.curtin.edu.au/bcec This paper was written by researchers affi liated with the Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (‘the Centre’). While every eff ort has been made to ensure the accuracy of this document, the uncertain nature of economic data, forecasting and analysis means that the Centre, Curtin University and/or Bankwest are unable to make any warranties in relation to the information contained herein. Any person who relies on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. The Centre, Curtin University, Bankwest, and/or their employees and agents disclaim liability for any loss or damage, which may arise as a consequence of any person relying on the information contained in this document. Except where liability under any statute cannot be excluded, the Centre, Curtin University, Bankwest and/or their advisors, employees and offi cers do not accept any liability (whether under contract, tort or otherwise) for any resulting loss or damage suff ered by the reader or by any other person. The views in this publication are those of the authors and do not represent the views of Curtin University and/or Bankwest or any of their affi liates. This publication is provided as general information only and does not consider anyone’s specifi c objectives, situation or needs. Neither the authors nor the Centre accept any duty of care or liability to anyone regarding this publication or any loss suff ered in connection with the use of this publication or any of its content.
    [Show full text]
  • Mervyn King: Twenty Years of Inflation Targeting
    Mervyn King: Twenty years of inflation targeting Text of the Stamp Memorial Lecture by Mr Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England, London School of Economics, London, 9 October 2012. All speeches are available online at www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Pages/speeches/default.aspx * * * I am indebted to my colleagues in the Bank and on the Monetary Policy Committee for invaluable help and insightful comments on earlier drafts of this lecture, especially to David Aikman, Charles Bean, Nils Blythe, Alex Brazier, Spencer Dale, Iain de Weymarn, Richard Harrison, Andrew Hauser, David Miles and Tony Yates. In particular, I regard Tim Taylor as a co-author of the lecture, although he is absolved of any errors in the current draft. Introduction I am delighted to be back at the School to deliver the Stamp Memorial Lecture. Lord Stamp was eminent in the worlds of both academic and public life. Among other achievements, he was an alumnus and a governor of the School, and a Director of the Bank of England. Following his untimely death, in an air raid in 1941, he was succeeded at the Bank by John Maynard Keynes. Keynes and Stamp often broadcast live discussions on the BBC which were published a week later in The Listener. Their conversations during the 1930s, at the height of the Great Depression, are eerily reminiscent of the enormous challenges we face today, as you can see from the following exchange in 1930: KEYNES: Is not the mere existence of general unemployment for any length of time an absurdity, a confession of failure, and a hopeless and inexcusable breakdown of the economic machine? STAMP: Your language is rather violent.
    [Show full text]
  • Formal Minutes
    House of Commons Treasury Committee Formal Minutes Session 2008–09 Treasury Committee: Formal Minutes 2008–09 1 Proceedings of the Committee Thursday 4 December 2008 John McFall, in the Chair Nick Ainger Ms Sally Keeble Mr Graham Brady Mr Andrew Love Jim Cousins Mr Mark Todd Mr Stephen Crabb Sir Peter Viggers Mr Michael Fallon 1. New Member Mr Stephen Crabb disclosed his interests, pursuant to the resolution of the House of 13 July 2002. For details of declaration of interests, see appendix 1. 2. Specialist Advisers (declaration of interests) The interests of the following specialist advisers were disclosed: Mr Roger Bootle, Professor David Heald, Professor David Miles, Professor Anton Muscatelli, Ms Bridget Rosewell, Professor Colin Talbot and Professor Geoffrey Wood. For details of declaration of interests, see appendix 2. 3. The Committee’s programme of work The Committee considered this matter. 4. Pre-Budget Report 2008 Ordered, That the following written evidence relating to the Pre-Budget Report 2008 be reported to the House for publication on the internet: Child Poverty Action Group, ACCA, Association of Friendly Societies, Professor David Heald, Professor Colin Talbot, John Whiting, and the New Policy Institute. Mr Robert Chote, Director, Institute for Fiscal Studies; Mr Roger Bootle, Managing Director, Capital Economics; Mr Simon Kirby, Research Fellow, National Institute of Economic and Social Research; Professor Colin Talbot, Professor of Public Policy and Management, Manchester Business School and Mr John Whiting, PwC and Low Incomes Tax Reform Group (LITRG), gave oral evidence. Mr Mike Brewer, Director, Institute for Fiscal Studies, Ms Teresa Perchard, Director of Public Policy, Citizens Advice, Mr Mervyn Kohler, Head of Public Affairs, Help the Aged, Mr Peter Kenway, Director, New Policy Institute, and Mr John Whiting, PwC and Low Incomes Tax Reform Group (LITRG), gave oral evidence.
    [Show full text]
  • Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin 2011 Q2
    164 Quarterly Bulletin 2011 Q2 Bank of England speeches A short summary of speeches made by Bank personnel since time to allow the economy to recover before the eventual publication of the previous Bulletin are listed below. policy normalisation begins. The challenges of the ‘New global economy’ Building resilient financial systems: macroprudential regimes Andrew Sentance, Monetary Policy Committee member, and securities market regulation May 2011. Paul Tucker, Deputy Governor, May 2011. www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2011/ www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2011/ speech500.pdf speech498.pdf In a speech to the Jersey Chamber of Commerce, In a speech at the International Council of Securities Dr Andrew Sentance described the way in which the global Associations Annual General Meeting, Paul Tucker discussed economy has become more integrated and the challenges that how the regulation of securities markets fits into the poses. Four main forces have come together — new development of macroprudential regimes. He explained how technologies, trade liberalisation, political change and market banking and securities markets have become less distinct over deregulation. This has presented three challenges for recent decades, with implications for both in banking policymakers: first, an ongoing process of structural change supervision and securities regulation. He discussed whether, created by the shift in global economic gravity towards Asia; from a financial stability perspective, a distinction between second, a prolonged period of upward pressure on energy and ‘intra-financial firm markets’ and ‘end-user markets’ might be commodity prices; and third, increased potential for global more useful than the more familiar distinction made by economic volatility.
    [Show full text]
  • Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin 2013 Q3
    274 Quarterly Bulletin 2013 Q3 Bank of England speeches A short summary of speeches and ad hoc papers made by Global aspects of unconventional monetary policies Bank personnel since 1 June 2013 are listed below. Charlie Bean, Deputy Governor, August 2013. Crossing the threshold to recovery www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/ Mark Carney, Governor, August 2013. 2013/speech674.pdf www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/ In remarks delivered at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy 2013/speech675.pdf Symposium, Deputy Governor Charlie Bean reviewed the domestic and international consequences of unconventional In his first public speech as Governor of the Bank of England, monetary policies. He called for a ‘two-handed’ approach to Mark Carney began by welcoming signs of renewed growth setting policy, in which supportive aggregate demand policies after a period in which the United Kingdom had endured its are complemented by policies that facilitate the necessary weakest recovery on record. restructuring, particularly of the banking sector. He acknowledged that the risks associated with such Over the past five years a pervasive sense of uncertainty had accommodative monetary policies meant they were best held the economy back. As a result around a million more suited to filling in a temporary hiatus in demand, not a people were unemployed than before the crisis, and capacity long-lived shortfall. He observed that the international had lain idle in firms. The Bank of England’s task was to secure spillovers from these policies are diverse in nature and the fledgling recovery, and allow it to develop into the period ambiguous in overall sign.
    [Show full text]
  • Conference Proceedings Financial Reform and the Real Economy
    Conference Proceedings Levy Economics Institute of Bard College th ANNUAL HYMAN P. MINSKY CONFERENCE ON THE STATE OF THE US AND 20WORLD ECONOMIES Financial Reform and the Real Economy April 13–15, 2011, New York City A conference organized by the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College with support from the Contents FOREWORD 1 PROGRAM 2 WELCOME AND INTRODUCTION 5 Leonardo Burlamaqui Dimitri B. Papadimitriou SPEAKERS Gary Gensler 10 Stephen S. Roach 19 Paul A. McCulley 24 Andrew Sheng 31 Phil Angelides 45 Charles I. Plosser 54 Gary B. Gorton 63 Mercedes Marco Del Pont and Arturo O’Connell 72 Paul Tucker 81 Athanasios Orphanides 98 Charles L. Evans 106 Vítor Constâncio 117 Sheila C. Bair 134 Martin Mayer 145 SESSIONS 1. The Ford–Levy Institute Project on Financial Instability and the 148 Reregulation of Financial Institutions and Markets 2. Financial Journalism and Financial Reform: What’s Missing from the Headlines? 155 3. Swaps Regulation 159 4. Financial Reform and the GATS: Challenges and Opportunities 164 5. Fiscal Constraints and Macro Perspectives 169 6. Reregulating the US Financial System: Beyond Dodd-Frank 175 PARTICIPANTS 180 The proceedings consist of transcripts of the speakers’ remarks and summaries of session participants’ presentations. Foreword Welcome to the 20th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference, “Financial Reform and the Real Economy.” Organized by the Levy Economics Institute with support from the Ford Foundation, this year’s confer- ence marks the Institute’s 25th anniversary, and the third year of its joint initiative on reforming global financial governance. As part of its monetary policy research, that the Institute is partnering with the Ford Foundation to examine financial instability and reregulation within the context of Minsky’s work on financial crises.
    [Show full text]
  • Strategic Quantitative Easing
    Strategic quantitative easing: Stimulating investment to rebalance the economy nef is an independent think-and-do tank that inspires and demonstrates real economic well-being. We aim to improve quality of life by promoting innovative solutions that challenge mainstream thinking on economic, environmental and social issues. We work in partnership and put people and the planet first. nef (the new economics foundation) is a registered charity founded in 1986 by the leaders of The Other Economic Summit (TOES), which forced issues such as international debt onto the agenda of the G8 summit meetings. It has taken a lead in helping establish new coalitions and organisations such as the Jubilee 2000 debt campaign; the Ethical Trading Initiative; the UK Social Investment Forum; and new ways to measure social and economic well-being. Contents Executive summary 1 The impact of QE: theory and evidence 1 If it is broke, don’t use it: the problem with trying to get banks to lend 1 Strategic QE: public money for public benefit 1 Getting the governance right 2 1. Introduction: public money for public good 3 1.1 What this report is about 3 1.2 Structure of the report 4 2. Money, credit, and economic policy 5 2.1 Who creates money? 5 2.2 UK economic policy and performance 6 2.3 Monetary policy and central bank operations 9 3. Understanding QE in theory 13 3.1 How QE works 13 3.2 Who runs the Asset Purchase Facility? 13 3.3 Theoretical impact of QE 14 3.4 Funding for Lending 17 4.
    [Show full text]