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press release

10 July 2013

The Forward Look

Sheridan Admans, investment research manager at The Share Centre, gives his thoughts on what to expect from companies announcing results w/c 15 July 2013.  Tuesday

Rio Tinto (Q2 results) Rio Tinto has suffered more from the commodities weakness than some of its other large cap mining peer group due to it being so dependent on iron ore. Investors will expect to hear of production increases and the average prices received for each commodity. Updates on large projects, such as Oyu Tolgoi in Mongolia, will be of interest. However, we would warn investors not to rule out further asset write downs.

We currently list Rio Tinto as a BUY

Companies also reporting today include EVRAZ (Q2 results) – SELL

 Wednesday

BHP Billiton (Q4 results) Most mining companies’ share prices have had a very poor time so far this year on the back of a weak commodities market, primarily as a result of slowing conditions in China. We would expect this pessimism to be reflected in BHP Billiton’s quarterly update next week. Investors will be looking to see if mining production levels have increased and what the average price received for them was. Updates on the group’s projects will also be welcome.

We currently list BHP Billiton as a BUY

Severn Trent (interim management statement) Utility companies rarely get the pulse racing when it comes to trading updates, so investors will be anticipating trading in line with expectations. Further comments on the failed bid for the group and the new regulatory period, which is fast approaching, will be of more interest.

We currently list Severn Trent as a HOLD

Companies also reporting today include Fresnillo (Q2 results) – HOLD, Land Securities (interim management statement) – HOLD  Friday

Companies reporting today include Vodafone (interim management statement) – BUY

Economic Diary

16 July, UK Consumer Price Indices, June 2013 – ONS Inflation rose from 2.4% in April to 2.7% in May. Although it is expected to fall back in a few months, inflation for June may well have passed 3%, meaning it was more than a full percentage point over target. If this is the case, although he is still new in the job, , will be required to send a letter to the Chancellor detailing why inflation is over target and what the plans to do about it. Will Mr Carney’s letter mark a divergence from the approach taken by Mervyn King?

17 July, Minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee Meeting held on 3 and 4 July – Bank of England The difference in approach between Mark Carney and Mervyn King will come under the spotlight again today following the release of the first set of minutes from the MPC since Mr Carney took over as governor of the UK’s central bank. What will the minutes say about intermediate thresholds, and how did Mr Carney vote? Did and continue to vote for more QE, and, if so, did Mr Carney vote with them as his predecessor did?

Other economic announcements include:

16 July • House Price Index, May 2013 – ONS • Producer Price Index, June 2013 – ONS • US Consumer Price Index, June 2013 – BLS

• US Real Earnings, June 2013 – BLS • EU Inflation (HICP), June – Eurostat

17 July • Labour Market Statistics, July 2013 – ONS

18 July • Retail Sales, June 2013 – ONS • Trends in Lending, July 2013 – Bank of England

19 July • Public Sector Finances, June 2013 – ONS

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