Executive Committee Meeting of January 5, 2006
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Economic Choices
ECONOMIC CHOICES Daniel McFadden* This Nobel lecture discusses the microeconometric analysis of choice behavior of consumers who face discrete economic alternatives. Before the 1960's, economists used consumer theory mostly as a logical tool, to explore conceptually the properties of alternative market organizations and economic policies. When the theory was applied empirically, it was to market-level or national-accounts-level data. In these applications, the theory was usually developed in terms of a representative agent, with market-level behavior given by the representative agent’s behavior writ large. When observations deviated from those implied by the representative agent theory, these differences were swept into an additive disturbance and attributed to data measurement errors, rather than to unobserved factors within or across individual agents. In statistical language, traditional consumer theory placed structural restrictions on mean behavior, but the distribution of responses about their mean was not tied to the theory. In the 1960's, rapidly increasing availability of survey data on individual behavior, and the advent of digital computers that could analyze these data, focused attention on the variations in demand across individuals. It became important to explain and model these variations as part of consumer theory, rather than as ad hoc disturbances. This was particularly obvious for discrete choices, such as transportation mode or occupation. The solution to this problem has led to the tools we have today for microeconometric analysis of choice behavior. I will first give a brief history of the development of this subject, and place my own contributions in context. After that, I will discuss in some detail more recent developments in the economic theory of choice, and modifications to this theory that are being forced by experimental evidence from cognitive psychology. -
The Principles of Economics Textbook
The Principles of Economics Textbook: An Analysis of Its Past, Present & Future by Vitali Bourchtein An honors thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science Undergraduate College Leonard N. Stern School of Business New York University May 2011 Professor Marti G. Subrahmanyam Professor Simon Bowmaker Faculty Advisor Thesis Advisor Bourchtein 1 Table of Contents Abstract ............................................................................................................................................4 Thank You .......................................................................................................................................4 Introduction ......................................................................................................................................5 Summary ..........................................................................................................................................5 Part I: Literature Review ..................................................................................................................6 David Colander – What Economists Do and What Economists Teach .......................................6 David Colander – The Art of Teaching Economics .....................................................................8 David Colander – What We Taught and What We Did: The Evolution of US Economic Textbooks (1830-1930) ..............................................................................................................10 -
Entry for Daniel Mcfadden in the New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 1
Entry for Daniel McFadden in the New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 1. Introduction Daniel L. McFadden, the E. Morris Cox Professor of Economics at the University of Cali- fornia at Berkeley, was the 2000 co-recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economics, awarded “for his development of theory and methods of analyzing discrete choice.” 1 McFadden was born in North Carolina, USA in 1937 and received a B.S. in Physics from the University of Minnesota (with highest honors) in 1956, and a Ph.D. degree in Economics from Minnesota in 1962. His academic career began as a postdoctoral fellow at the University of Pittsburgh. In 1963 he was appointed as assistant professor of economics at the University of California at Berkeley, and tenured in 1966. He has also held tenured appointments at Yale (as Irving Fisher Research Professor in 1977), and at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (from 1978 to 1991). In 1990 he was awarded the E. Morris Cox chair at the University of California at Berkeley, where he has also served as Department Chair and as Director of the Econometrics Laboratory. 2. Research Contributions McFadden is best known for his fundamental contributions to the theory and econometric methods for analyzing discrete choice. Building on a highly abstract, axiomatic literature on probabilistic choice theory due to Thurstone (1927), Block and Marschak (1960), and Luce (1959) and others in a literature that originated in mathematical psychology, McFadden developed the econometric methodology for estimating the utility functions underlying probabilistic choice theory. McFadden’s primary contribution was to provide the econometric tools that permitted widespread practical empirical application of discrete choice models, in economics and other disciplines. -
Flat Tax: an Overview of the Hall-Rabushka Proposal
. Flat Tax: An Overview of the Hall-Rabushka Proposal James M. Bickley Specialist in Public Finance November 29, 2011 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov 98-529 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress c11173008 . Flat Tax: An Overview of the Hall-Rabushka Proposal Summary The President and leading Members of Congress have stated that fundamental tax reform is a major policy objective for the 112th Congress. The concept of replacing individual and corporate income taxes and estate and gift taxes with a flat rate consumption tax is one option to reform the U.S. tax system. The term “flat tax” is often associated with a proposal formulated by Robert E. Hall and Alvin Rabushka (H-R), two senior fellows at the Hoover Institution. In the 112th Congress, two bills have been introduced that included a flat tax based on the concepts of Hall- Rabushka: the Freedom Flat Tax Act (H.R. 1040) and the Simplified, Manageable, and Responsible Tax Act (S. 820). In addition, Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain has proposed a tax reform plan that includes a modified H-R flat tax. This report analyzes the Hall- Rabushka flat tax concept. Although the current tax structure is referred to as an income tax, it actually contains elements of both an income and a consumption-based tax. A consumption base is neither inherently superior nor inherently inferior to an income base. The combined individual and business taxes proposed by H-R can be viewed as a modified value- added tax (VAT). The individual wage tax would be imposed on wages (and salaries) and pension receipts. -
CURRICULUM VITAE August, 2015
CURRICULUM VITAE August, 2015 Robert James Shiller Current Position Sterling Professor of Economics Yale University Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics P.O. Box 208281 New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8281 Delivery Address Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics 30 Hillhouse Avenue, Room 11a New Haven, CT 06520 Home Address 201 Everit Street New Haven, CT 06511 Telephone 203-432-3708 Office 203-432-6167 Fax 203-787-2182 Home [email protected] E-mail http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller Home Page Date of Birth March 29, 1946, Detroit, Michigan Marital Status Married, two grown children Education 1967 B.A. University of Michigan 1968 S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1972 Ph.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Employment Sterling Professor of Economics, Yale University, 2013- Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics, Yale University 2008-13 Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics Yale University 1989-2008 Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1982-, with joint appointment with Yale School of Management 2006-, Professor Adjunct of Law in semesters starting 2006 Visiting Professor, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1981-82. Professor of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, and Professor of Finance, The Wharton School, 1981-82. Visitor, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts, and Visiting Scholar, Department of Economics, Harvard University, 1980-81. Associate Professor, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, 1974-81. 1 Research Fellow, National Bureau of Economic Research, Research Center for Economics and Management Science, Cambridge; and Visiting Scholar, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1974-75. Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Minnesota, 1972-74. -
Turnover in the Labor Force
ROBERT E. HALL* MassachusettsInstitute of Technology Turnover in the Labor Force EVERY MONTH, AN IMPORTANT FRACTION of the populationmoves from one economicactivity to another:Some are laid off and mustseek work, or they quit to take newjobs; young people leave school and look for work; workersleave the labor force becauseof disabilityor duties at home. The continualprocess of turnoverseems to be the characteristicof the modern Americaneconomy that distinguishesit from those of other developed countries,where the experienceof individualworkers appears to be much more stableover time. Is high turnoverinevitable in a postindustrialecon- omy?How do the variousdemographic groups in the laborforce differ with respectto turnover?What is the relationbetween turnover and unemploy- ment?What are the social benefitsand costs of turnoverand unemploy- ment?These are some of the criticalquestions that I addressin this paper. Any moderntreatment of turnoverand unemploymentmust distinguish betweenthe role of eventsoutside the controlof the individualand the role of his responseto his economicenvironment. Fluctuations in the demand for labor are the most importantexternal source of disturbancesin an in- dividual'scareer, so it is conventionalto distinguishbetween the demand side of the problemand the supplyside. Turnover among jobs wasthe tradi- tional explanationof the frictionalunemployment that exists to some ex- tent in everyeconomy, but until recently,it receivedlittle discussion.Even ten yearsago, economistsconsidered unemployment a simpleshortage of * I am gratefulto Zvi Body, RichardKasten, Meir Kohn, and Steven Shavellfor able assistance.This researchwas supportedby the National Science Foundation. 709 710 Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 3:1972 jobs, withoutasking how the distributionof the laborforce among the jobs changesfrom month to month. The federalgovernment's accidental experimentation with a high-pres- sure economy startingin 1965 broughtabout two importantshifts in the thinkingof economistsabout unemployment. -
Mario Crucini
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Jones, Charles I. Article Life and growth NBER Reporter Provided in Cooperation with: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, Mass. Suggested Citation: Jones, Charles I. (2013) : Life and growth, NBER Reporter, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, MA, Iss. 2, pp. 17-19 This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/103247 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Life and Growth Charles I. Jones* During the twentieth century, life functions — of the kind that economists After all, some new technologies save expectancy in the United States rose use to study asset pricing, the labor-lei- lives — new vaccines, new surgical tech- from less than 50 years to 77 years, sure tradeoff, and macroeconomic fluc- niques, anti-lock brakes, and pollution while average incomes rose by about tuations — already contain a key ingredi- scrubbers. -
ΒΙΒΛΙΟΓ ΡΑΦΙΑ Bibliography
Τεύχος 53, Οκτώβριος-Δεκέμβριος 2019 | Issue 53, October-December 2019 ΒΙΒΛΙΟΓ ΡΑΦΙΑ Bibliography Βραβείο Νόμπελ στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη Nobel Prize in Economics Τα τεύχη δημοσιεύονται στον ιστοχώρο της All issues are published online at the Bank’s website Τράπεζας: address: https://www.bankofgreece.gr/trapeza/kepoe https://www.bankofgreece.gr/en/the- t/h-vivliothhkh-ths-tte/e-ekdoseis-kai- bank/culture/library/e-publications-and- anakoinwseis announcements Τράπεζα της Ελλάδος. Κέντρο Πολιτισμού, Bank of Greece. Centre for Culture, Research and Έρευνας και Τεκμηρίωσης, Τμήμα Documentation, Library Section Βιβλιοθήκης Ελ. Βενιζέλου 21, 102 50 Αθήνα, 21 El. Venizelos Ave., 102 50 Athens, [email protected] Τηλ. 210-3202446, [email protected], Tel. +30-210-3202446, 3202396, 3203129 3202396, 3203129 Βιβλιογραφία, τεύχος 53, Οκτ.-Δεκ. 2019, Bibliography, issue 53, Oct.-Dec. 2019, Nobel Prize Βραβείο Νόμπελ στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη in Economics Συντελεστές: Α. Ναδάλη, Ε. Σεμερτζάκη, Γ. Contributors: A. Nadali, E. Semertzaki, G. Tsouri Τσούρη Βιβλιογραφία, αρ.53 (Οκτ.-Δεκ. 2019), Βραβείο Nobel στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη 1 Bibliography, no. 53, (Oct.-Dec. 2019), Nobel Prize in Economics Πίνακας περιεχομένων Εισαγωγή / Introduction 6 2019: Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Michael Kremer 7 Μονογραφίες / Monographs ................................................................................................... 7 Δοκίμια Εργασίας / Working papers ...................................................................................... -
The Time Series Consumption Function Revisited
ALAN S. BLINDER Brookings Institution and Princeton University ANGUS DEATON Princeton University The Time Series Consumption Function Revisited THERELATIONSHIP between consumer spending and income is one of the oldest statistical regularitiesof macroeconomics-and one of the stur- diest. Like the aging movie star, it needs a little touching up now and again, but always seems to come bouncingback. A dozen yearsago, boththe theoreticalderivation and the econometric form of the aggregateconsumption function were considered settled. Most economists adheredto one of two ways of puttingFisher's theory of intertemporaloptimization into operation: Milton Friedman's per- manent income hypothesis (henceforth, PIH) or Franco Modigliani's life-cycle hypothesis (henceforth,LCH). ' Since each variantseemed to have sound theoretical underpinnings,and since the two had similar econometricforms that explainedthe data well and had similarimplica- tions for policy, there was not a greatdeal to quarrelabout. Perhapsthe most contentious empirical issue was the apparently large marginal This paperhas benefitedfrom the commentsand suggestionsof AlbertAndo, Whitney Newey, and members of the Brookings Panel and from seminar presentationsat the Universityof Warwick,Princeton University, and Johns Hopkins University.We thank Peter Rathjensand Lori Gruninfor researchassistance and the National Science Foun- dationfor financialsupport. 1. Milton Friedman, A Theory of the Consumption Function (Princeton University Press, 1957); Franco Modigliani and Richard Brumberg, -
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series The Rise and Fall of Economic History at MIT Peter Temin Working Paper 13-11 June 5, 2013 Rev: December 9, 2013 Room E52-251 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142 This paper can be downloaded without charge from the Social Science Research Network Paper Collection at http://ssrn.com/abstract=2274908 The Rise and Fall of Economic History at MIT Peter Temin MIT Abstract This paper recalls the unity of economics and history at MIT before the Second World War, and their divergence thereafter. Economic history at MIT reached its peak in the 1970s with three teachers of the subject to graduates and undergraduates alike. It declined until economic history vanished both from the faculty and the graduate program around 2010. The cost of this decline to current education and scholarship is suggested at the end of the narrative. Key words: economic history, MIT economics, Kindleberger, Domar, Costa, Acemoglu JEL codes: B250, N12 Author contact: [email protected] 1 The Rise and Fall of Economic History at MIT Peter Temin This paper tells the story of economic history at MIT during the twentieth century, even though roughly half the century precedes the formation of the MIT Economics Department. Economic history was central in the development of economics at the start of the century, but it lost its primary position rapidly after the Second World War, disappearing entirely a decade after the end of the twentieth century. I taught economic history to MIT graduate students in economics for 45 years during this long decline, and my account consequently contains an autobiographical bias. -
Improvements in Macroeconomic Stability: the Role of Wages and Prices
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change Volume Author/Editor: Robert J. Gordon, ed. Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-30452-3 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/gord86-1 Publication Date: 1986 Chapter Title: Improvements in Macroeconomic Stability: The Role of Wages and Prices Chapter Author: John B. Taylor Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c10033 Chapter pages in book: (p. 639 - 678) 11 Improvements in Macroeconomic Stability: The Role of Wages and Prices John B. Taylor Macroeconomic fluctuations have been less severe in the past thirty years than in the period before World War II. Although the recessions in the 1970s and 1980s have been large and have been associated with big swings in inflation, the average amplitude of cyclical fluctuations is still smaller than in the prewar period. This improvement in macroeconomic performance was already ev- ident to most economists by the end ofthe 1950s. It served as the focal point of Arthur Bums's 1959 presidential address before the American Economic Association. Bums contrasted the milder postwar fluctua- tions with those he studied with Wesley Clair Mitchell at the National Bureau of Economic Research. He attributed the improvement to countercyclical fiscal and monetary policy as well as to structural changes in the economy: more stable corporate dividends, steadier employment practices, better inventory controls, and greater financial stability ow- ing to deposit insurance. The improvement in economic performance still deserves the atten- tion of macroeconomists. -
Iseo Summerschool 2013-Leaflet
I.S.E.O SUMMER SCHOOL IN ECONOMICSECONOMICS–––– 11th editionedition---- with 3 Nobel Laureates in Economics : Robert Engle, James Mirrlees, Mike Spence 14/21 June 2014 Iseo, Italy “Shaping the Future: Towards a Sustainable Global Eonomy” LEARN ECONOMICS FROM NOBEL LAUREATES The I.S.E.O international Summer School aims at bringing to- gether a large number of graduate students coming from the most important international universities to improve their knowledge in economics. Classes will be held by 3 Nobel Laureates for Economic Sci- ences ( Robert Engle, James Mirrlees and Michael Spence) and well-known economists. R.SOLOW AT ISEO SUMMERSCHOOL2008 The I.S.E.O. Summer School deepens several aspects of global economy , investigating the role of different Countries in the M.SPENCE AT ISEO SUMMERSCHOOL 2009 international economic scenario. Every year it focuses on topi- cal themes, such as the changing structure of global economy, advanced and emerging markets, the strategies and instru- ments of monetary policy, the structure and mechanisms of the financial sector, with a particular focus on growth, the wel- fare state and unemployment. Every lesson includes a theoretical lecture and an open debate between the participants and the speakers on the discussed topics. Classes take place in a hotel conference center in Iseo , Brescia G.AKERLOF AT ISEO SUMMERSCHOOL 2010 (Northern Italy ). The official language of the course is English . The Institute will organize some trips to some of the most beautiful corners of Northern Italy, such as Venice. At the end of the course students will also receive an attendance certifi- cate. The atmosphere of the Summer School is really stimulating : participants have the chance to meet and discuss with col- leagues coming from all over the world and, in addition, they can share free time with the speakers and the Nobels.