Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Hungary
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ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Hungary Q2 2018 SMART JOB NO: 11001 QUARTER 2 2016 CLIENT: MANPOWER SUBJECT: MEOS Q216 – GLOBAL – TWO COLOUR – A4 SIZE: A4 DOC NAME: 2018Q2_Global_4Col_A4_ENG PAGE: 1 ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 02.03.18 87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744 The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the second quarter 2018 was conducted by interviewing a representative sample of 750 employers in Hungary. All survey participants were asked, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of June 2018 as compared to the current quarter?” Contents Hungary Employment Outlook 2 Regional Comparisons 3 Sector Comparisons 8 Organisation-Size Comparisons 14 About the Survey 15 About ManpowerGroup® 16 Hungary Employment Outlook 2 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey SMART JOB NO: 11001 QUARTER 2 2018 CLIENT: MANPOWERCLIENT: MANPOWER SUBJECT: MEOS Q216 – GLOBAL – TWO COLOUR – A4 SIZE: A4 DOC NAME: 2018Q2_Global_4Col_A4_ENG PAGE: 2 ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 02.03.18 87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744 Hungary Employment Outlook Net Employment Seasonally Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know Outlook Adjusted %%%%%% Apr-June 2018 23 273221 18 Jan-Mar 2018 15 478311 13 Oct-Dec 2017 21 572216 18 July-Sep 2017 24 3 70 3 21 20 Apr-June 2017 23 371320 17 Hungary +18 (+21)% Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Hungary joined the survey in Q3 2009. No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. Hungarian employers report optimistic hiring plans for Throughout this report, we use the term “Net the second quarter of 2018. With 23% of employers Employment Outlook.” This fi gure is derived by taking anticipating an increase in staffi ng levels, 2% the percentage of employers anticipating total forecasting a decrease and 73% expecting no employment to increase and subtracting from this the change, the resulting Net Employment Outlook is percentage expecting to see a decrease in +21%. employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal Outlook. variation, the Outlook stands at +18%. Hiring intentions improve by 5 percentage points when From this point forward, all data discussed in the compared with the previous quarter, while remaining commentary is seasonally adjusted, unless stated relatively stable in comparison with 2Q 2017. otherwise. 3 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Surveys ManpowerGroup Munkaerő-piaci Előrejelzés 3 SMART JOB NO: 11001 QUARTER 2 20182016 CLIENT: MANPOWERCLIENT: MANPOWER SUBJECT: MEOS Q216 – GLOBAL – TWO COLOUR – A4 SIZE: A4 DOC NAME: 2018Q2_GLOBAL_4COL_A4_ENG PAGE: 3 ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 02.03.18 87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744 Regional Comparisons Employers in all eight regions forecast an increase in percentage points stronger. Elsewhere, increases of 7 staffing levels during 2Q 2018. The strongest labor percentage points are reported in two regions – market is anticipated in Central Transdanubia, where Central Transdanubia and Northern Hungary. employers report a healthy Net Employment Outlook However, hiring intentions weaken by 2 percentage of +22%. Job seekers in both Northern Great Plain points in both Budapest and Western Transdanubia. and Northern Hungary can expect an upbeat hiring Hiring plans improve in four of the eight regions when pace, with Outlooks standing at +20%, while the compared with this time one year ago. The most Budapest Outlook is +19%. Elsewhere, employers notable increase of 11 percentage points is reported in forecast steady job gains with Outlooks of +18% in Northern Great Plain, while Outlooks are 7 percentage both Central Hungary and Southern Great Plain, and points stronger in both Central Transdanubia and the Outlook for Western Transdanubia is +16%. Northern Hungary. Meanwhile, Outlooks weaken in Meanwhile, the weakest regional Outlook of +13% is three regions. Western Transdanubia employers report reported in Southern Transdanubia. a decline of 6 percentage points, while employers in When compared with the previous quarter, hiring Central Hungary and Southern Transdanubia report prospects strengthen in six of the eight regions. decreases of 5 and 3 percentage points, respectively. Northern Great Plain employers report the most noteworthy improvement of 14 percentage points, while the Southern Transdanubia Outlook is 9 Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 20 Budapest 19 20 Southern Great Plain 18 18 Southern Transdanubia 13 25 Northern Great Plain 20 19 Northern Hungary 20 28 Central Transdanubia 22 21 Central Hungary 18 19 Western Transdanubia 16 0510 15 20 25 30 4 ManpowerGroup Munkaerő-piaci Előrejelzés ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 4 SMART JOB NO: 11001 QUARTER 2 2018 CLIENT: MANPOWER SUBJECT: MEOS Q216 – GLOBAL – TWO COLOUR – A4 SIZE: A4 DOC NAME: 2018Q2_Global_4Col_A4_ENG PAGE: 4 ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 02.03.18 87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744 +19 (+20)% Budapest Employers anticipate an upbeat hiring pace in the coming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +19%. Hiring prospects decline by 2 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter, but are unchanged when compared with the second quarter of 2017. Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10-1 -20-2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. +18 (+21)% Central Hungary Job seekers can expect a favorable hiring climate in the April-June time frame, according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +18%. The Outlook is 2 percentage points stronger quarter-over-quarter, but declines by 5 percentage points when compared with this time one year ago. Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. 5 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey ManpowerGroup Munkaerő-piaci Előrejelzés 5 SMART JOB NO: 11001 QUARTER 2 20182016 CLIENT: MANPOWERCLIENT: MANPOWER SUBJECT: MEOS Q216 – GLOBAL – TWO COLOUR – A4 SIZE: A4 DOC NAME: 2018Q2_Global_4Col_A4_ENG PAGE: 5 ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 02.03.18 87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744 +22 (+28)% Central Transdanubia The strongest labor market since the survey began nine years ago is anticipated in the second quarter of 2018. Employers report an optimistic Net Employment Outlook of +22%, improving by 7 percentage points both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. +20 (+25)% Northern Great Plain With a Net Employment Outlook of +20%, employers forecast an upbeat hiring pace in the forthcoming quarter. Hiring prospects improve by a considerable margin of 14 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter, and are 11 percentage points stronger in comparison with the second quarter of 2017. Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 4040 30 20 1010 0 -10-1 -20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. 6 ManpowerGroup Munkaerő-piaci Előrejelzés ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 6 SMART JOB NO: 11001 QUARTER 2 2018 CLIENT: MANPOWER SUBJECT: MEOS Q216 – GLOBAL – TWO COLOUR – A4 SIZE: A4 DOC NAME: 2018Q2_Global_4Col_A4_ENG PAGE: 6 ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 02.03.18 87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744 +20 (+19)% Northern Hungary Employers anticipate the strongest hiring climate in more than two years, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +20% for the next three months. Hiring intentions improve by 7 percentage points both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. +20 (+18)% Southern Great Plain Job seekers can expect to benefit from the strongest labor market since the survey began nine years ago during the April-June period. Employers report a hopeful Net Employment Outlook of +18%, improving by 2 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter, and by 4 percentage points when compared with this time one year ago. Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Hungary joined the survey in Q3 2009. No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. 7 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey ManpowerGroup Munkaerő-piaci Előrejelzés 7 SMART JOB NO: 11001 QUARTER 2 20182016 CLIENT: MANPOWERCLIENT: MANPOWER SUBJECT: MEOS Q216 – GLOBAL – TWO COLOUR – A4 SIZE: A4 DOC NAME: 2018Q2_Global_4Col_A4_ENG PAGE: 7 ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 02.03.18 87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744 +13 (+18)% Southern Transdanubia Reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +13%, employers forecast respectable payroll gains in 2Q 2018. Hiring plans are 9 percentage points stronger in comparison with 1Q 2018, but decline by 3 percentage points when compared with the second quarter of 2017. Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. +16 (+19)% Western Transdanubia Employers anticipate a steady hiring pace in the upcoming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +16%. However, hiring prospects decline both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, decreasing by 2 and 6 percentage points, respectively.