Investigating Short-Term Variations of Some Parameters During the Selected Typhoons in the South China Sea
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Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
Global Catastrophe Review – 2015
GC BRIEFING An Update from GC Analytics© March 2016 GLOBAL CATASTROPHE REVIEW – 2015 The year 2015 was a quiet one in terms of global significant insured losses, which totaled around USD 30.5 billion. Insured losses were below the 10-year and 5-year moving averages of around USD 49.7 billion and USD 62.6 billion, respectively (see Figures 1 and 2). Last year marked the lowest total insured catastrophe losses since 2009 and well below the USD 126 billion seen in 2011. 1 The most impactful event of 2015 was the Port of Tianjin, China explosions in August, rendering estimated insured losses between USD 1.6 and USD 3.3 billion, according to the Guy Carpenter report following the event, with a December estimate from Swiss Re of at least USD 2 billion. The series of winter storms and record cold of the eastern United States resulted in an estimated USD 2.1 billion of insured losses, whereas in Europe, storms Desmond, Eva and Frank in December 2015 are expected to render losses exceeding USD 1.6 billion. Other impactful events were the damaging wildfires in the western United States, severe flood events in the Southern Plains and Carolinas and Typhoon Goni affecting Japan, the Philippines and the Korea Peninsula, all with estimated insured losses exceeding USD 1 billion. The year 2015 marked one of the strongest El Niño periods on record, characterized by warm waters in the east Pacific tropics. This was associated with record-setting tropical cyclone activity in the North Pacific basin, but relative quiet in the North Atlantic. -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall. -
Flashupdate 8May TC Noul.Pdf (PDF | 592.82
10 Dec 278 kph 9 Dec 8 Dec Typhoon Noul Storm Seven Wind impact estimation PHILIPPINES. Tropical Cyclone NOUL (Typhoon 'Dodong') has been developing in the THAILAND INDONESIA LAO PDR Pacific Ocean since 3 May 2015. It continues to Flood (Ongoing since 16-09-13) Flood Storm (Ongoing since 18-09-13) http://adinet.ahacentre.org/report/view/426 http://adinet.ahacentre.org/report/view/437 http://adinet.ahacentre.org/report/view/428 gain its strength as it moves west northwest Heavy rains caused flooding in Central and Due to the heavy rainfall, flood occurred in Sigi, Tropical Depression from South Cina Sea heading to Luzon.The current wind speed is Northern part of Thailand claiming for 31 death. Central Sulawesi Province. This incident causing flood in Champasack, Saravanne, about 150 km/h with 17 km/h movement. Based More than 3 million families have been affected affected 400 people and damaged 50 houses. Savannakhet, Sekong and Attapeu, impacting with more than 1,000 houses were damaged. 200,000 people and causing 4 deaths and on PAGASA, NOUL is now 595 km east of Twister damaging 1,400 houses. Bicol http://adinet.ahacentre.org/report/view/438 Borongan, Eastern Samar Province. CAMBODIA Eastern Visayas Flood (Ongoing since 24-09-13) VIET NAM Projection of Typhoon NOUL : Twister occurred in Binjai, North Sumatra Storm http://adinet.ahacentre.org/report/view/434 Province. The wind damaged 328 houses and 2 Typhoon NOUL's wind speed may reach 160 Central Visayas http://adinet.ahacentre.org/report/view/436 office buildings. km/h or more, in the next days. -
Estimation of the Sea Surface Wind in the Vicinity of Typhoon Using Himawari-8 Low-Level Amvs
Estimation of the sea surface wind in the vicinity of typhoon using Himawari-8 low-level AMVs Kenichi NONAKA, Kazuki SHIMOJI (MSC/JMA) and Koji KATO (Forecast Division/JMA) 13th International Winds Workshop June 27 – July 1, 2016 @Monterey, California, USA MSC/JMA Contents l Usefulness of Himawari-8 AMV for typhoon analysis l Comparison low-level AMV with ASCAT and RapidScat and estimation of sea surface wind from AMV l Accuracy of the estimated sea surface wind l Future plans l Summary IWW13@Monterey, California, USA 2 MSC/JMA Typhoon analysis Analysts and forecasters estiMate the tropical cyclone intensity using wind data over the ocean. But in situ observations such as ships and buoys are sparse. ASCAT and RapidScat sea wind data are very helpful and are Mainly used for the analysis, but the aMounts of data are not so enough. If we can evaluate surface winds over the ocean froM AMVs that assigned to low level, they are also very helpful for analysts and forecasters. ? IWW13@Monterey, California, USA 3 MSC/JMA IMproveMent in AMVs Retrieval Himawari-8 AMVs derived from MTSAT-2 AMVs derived from MTSAT- Himawari-8 imagery with new algorithm 2 imagery and heritage algorithm Resolution Resolution 2km/10min. 4km/30min. Resolution 4km/60min. Colder color : upper level wind warmer color : low level wind Himawari-8 and MTSAT-2 IR AMV (QI>60, 2015 01 14 1700UTC) IWW13@Monterey, California, USA 4 MSC/JMA AHI spectral bands Himawari-8/9 Imager (AHI) Spatial Central Band Primary Use Resolution Wavelength 1 0.47 µm vegetation, aerosol 1 km 2 Visible -
Island Echoes
ISLAND ECHOES Summary of Ministry Needs Dear Friends, is a publication of Growing up in the island world where the word Pacific Mission Aviation Personnel Needs: “Typhoon” raises a lot of fear, concern and (PMA). Missionary pastors emotion... I know what it’s like to spend the night Administrative and ministry assistants on land or sea, with the screaming gusts of wind Issue Youth workers for island churches and torrential rains causing chaos and leaving 2-2015 (July) Boat captain for medical ship M/V Sea Haven destruction in its wake. Typhoons... a rare Boat mechanic for medical ship M/V Sea Haven phenomenon? No! In one year the Philippines, the On our Cover Missionary pilots/mechanics for Micronesia/Philippines archipelago of more than 7,100 islands is hit by an Tyhpoon Maysak Relief Computer personnel for radio, media and print ministry average of 20 typhoons or tropical storms each Efforts, photos courtesy of Short term: Canon copier technician needed for year, which kill hundreds and sometimes Brad Holland maintenance and repair at Good News Press PMA President Nob Kalau thousands of people. Editors Bringing relief items to victims in the outer islands of Micronesia via the MV Sea Melinda Espinosa Infrastructure Needs: Haven, I have witnessed the mutilating destruction to atolls and islands. For some Sylvia Kalau islanders, the only means of safety and survival is tying their children to a coconut tree Sabine Musselwhite Renovation/Improvement for PMF Patnanungan as the waves sweep over their homeland. For others, it’s packing as many islanders as Parsonage including outside kitchen and dining area – After you can into the only cement-roof-building on the island, after your hut has blown Layout several typhoons and wear and tear of the building due to away. -
3Rd Quarter 2015
Climate Impacts and Hawaii and U.S. Pacific Islands Region Outlook 3rd Quarter 2015 nd Significant Events and Impacts for 2 Quarter 2015 El Niño Advisory Drought conditions continue Above normal rainfall fell across the Hawaiian Islands.. over most of the Federated States of Micronesia, Guam and the Commonwealth of Typhoon Dolphin passed the Northern Marianas. between Guam and Rota in May. Near-normal rainfall was observed in American Samoa and the Marshall Islands. Tropical Storm Nangka brought Prolonged dryness damaging winds and sea inundation Hot and dry weather was continues in Palau to the Marshall Islands in July. recorded across Hawaii. and western Micronesia. Through July, there have been a record 11 typhoons so far this season in the western Shading indicates each Island’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). North Pacific. nd Regional Climate Overview for 2 Quarter 2015 Sea-Surface Temperature Anomalies, valid Jul 25, July 2015 precipitation anomaly. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor for Hawaii, Aug 4, 2015. 2015 . Source: http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/ Source: http://www.drought.gov The region is under an El Niño Advisory, and weather patterns were unambiguously in a climate state of El Niño during the quarter (e.g., abundant early- rd season typhoons, decadal -low sea levels, and wet weather across most of Micronesia). As of August 3 , the Niño 3.4 region anomaly was +1.7°C, supporting a strong El Niño state. Sea-surface temperatures were above normal across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, with the warmest anomalies exceeding 1.5°C from Hawaii southwest to the Marshall Islands and further west toward Guam. -
Impact Assessment of Coastal Hazards Due to Future Changes of Tropical Cyclones in the North Pacific Ocean
Weather and Climate Extremes ∎ (∎∎∎∎) ∎∎∎–∎∎∎ Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Weather and Climate Extremes journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/wace Impact assessment of coastal hazards due to future changes of tropical cyclones in the North Pacific Ocean Nobuhito Mori n, Tetsuya Takemi Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji, Kyoto, Japan article info abstract Article history: Tropical cyclones generate severe hazards in the middle latitudes. A brief review and applications of Received 13 July 2015 dynamical and statistical downscaling of tropical cyclone (TC) are described targeting extreme storm Received in revised form surge and storm wave hazard assessment. First, a review of the current understanding of the changes in 10 September 2015 the characteristics of TCs in the past and in the future is shown. Then, a review and ongoing research Accepted 17 September 2015 about impact assessment of tropical cyclones both dynamical downscaling and statistical model are described for Typhoon Vera in 1959 and Typhoon Haiyan in 2013. Finally, several examples of impact Keywords: assessment of storm surge and extreme wave changes are presented. Changes in both TC intensity and Climate change track are linked to future changes in extreme storm surge and wave climate in middle latitude. Tropical cyclones & 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license Downscaling (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Impact assessment Coastal hazards 1. Introduction long-term projections of TCs under climate change are also im- portant. Global warming in the future is expected to affect the Tropical cyclones (TCs) are one of the major meteorological characteristics of TCs, in particular their frequency, intensity, and hazards as a cause of flooding, landslides, damaging winds, high track. -
Full Version of Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
WMO-No. 1194 © World Meteorological Organization, 2017 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspondence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chairperson, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix P.O. Box 2300 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland ISBN 978-92-63-11194-4 NOTE The designations employed in WMO publications and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WMO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by WMO in preference to others of a similar nature which are not mentioned or advertised. The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed in WMO publications with named authors are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect those of WMO or its Members. This publication has not been subjected to WMO standard editorial procedures. The views expressed herein do not necessarily have the endorsement of the Organization. Preface Tropical cyclones are amongst the most damaging weather phenomena that directly affect hundreds of millions of people and cause huge economic loss every year. Mitigation and reduction of disasters induced by tropical cyclones and consequential phenomena such as storm surges, floods and high winds have been long-standing objectives and mandates of WMO Members prone to tropical cyclones and their National Meteorological and Hydrometeorological Services. -
Chapter 5. Focus and Perspectives
83 | Chapter 5. Focus and perspectives This focus section complements CropWatch analyses presented in chapters 1 through 4 by presenting additional information about topics of interest to global agriculture. Section 5.1 presents a production outlook for 2015, while the other three sections focus on disaster events (5.2), agricultural developments in North America (section 5.3), and an update on El Niño (5.4). 5.1 Production outlook for 2015 The latest global CropWatch forecasts of maize, rice, wheat, and soybeans production for 2015 are presented in tables 5.1 and 5.2, providing both a quick overview (table 5.1) and detailed production estimates for each of the 31 countries monitored by CropWatch (table 5.2). Table 5.1. Overview of 2015 production estimates and forecasts for maize, rice, wheat, and soybean (thousand tons) for major and minor producers and exporters Maize Rice Wheat Soybean 2015 Δ% 2015 Δ% 2015 Δ% 2015 Δ% Major producers 874321 -1 660265 0 626630 1 284619 0 Minor producers 112255 3 80786 2 98212 2 25731 10 Total 986576 0 741051 0 724842 1 310350 1 Major exporters 479413 0 254646 -2 290126 2 250529 0 Note: Major exporters are those that normally account for 80% of world exports As shown in table 5.1, the total production of maize and rice is stable with a global production of 987 million tons and 741 million tons, respectively, close to that of 2014. With a production of 725 million tons, wheat production has increased 1% over 2014. Soybean global production increases by 1% at 310 million tons. -
Appendix 3 Selection of Candidate Cities for Demonstration Project
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Final Report APPENDIX 3 SELECTION OF CANDIDATE CITIES FOR DEMONSTRATION PROJECT Table A3-1 Long List Cities (No.1-No.62: “abc” city name order) Source: JICA Project Team NIPPON KOEI CO.,LTD. PAC ET C ORP. EIGHT-JAPAN ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS INC. A3-1 Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Final Report Table A3-2 Long List Cities (No.63-No.124: “abc” city name order) Source: JICA Project Team NIPPON KOEI CO.,LTD. PAC ET C ORP. EIGHT-JAPAN ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS INC. A3-2 Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Final Report Table A3-3 Long List Cities (No.125-No.186: “abc” city name order) Source: JICA Project Team NIPPON KOEI CO.,LTD. PAC ET C ORP. EIGHT-JAPAN ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS INC. A3-3 Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Final Report Table A3-4 Long List Cities (No.187-No.248: “abc” city name order) Source: JICA Project Team NIPPON KOEI CO.,LTD. PAC ET C ORP. EIGHT-JAPAN ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS INC. A3-4 Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Final Report Table A3-5 Long List Cities (No.249-No.310: “abc” city name order) Source: JICA Project Team NIPPON KOEI CO.,LTD. PAC ET C ORP. EIGHT-JAPAN ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS INC. A3-5 Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Final Report Table A3-6 Long List Cities (No.311-No.372: “abc” city name order) Source: JICA Project Team NIPPON KOEI CO.,LTD. PAC ET C ORP. -
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SEPTEMBER 2018 S H I M A D A A N D H O R I N O U C H I 2799 Reintensification and Eyewall Formation in Strong Shear: A Case Study of Typhoon Noul (2015) UDAI SHIMADA Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan TAKESHI HORINOUCHI Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan (Manuscript received 27 January 2018, in final form 9 July 2018) ABSTRACT Strong vertical wind shear produces asymmetries in the eyewall structure of a tropical cyclone (TC) and is generally a hostile environment for TC intensification. Typhoon Noul (2015), however, reintensified and 2 formed a closed eyewall despite 200–850-hPa vertical shear in excess of 11 m s 1. Noul’s reintensification and eyewall formation in strong shear were examined by using Doppler radar and surface observations. The evolution of the azimuthal-mean structure showed that the tangential wind at 2-km altitude increased from 30 2 to 45 m s 1 in only 5 h. During the first half of the reintensification, the azimuthal-mean inflow penetrated into the ;40-km radius, well inside the radius of maximum wind (RMW), at least below 4-km altitude, and re- flectivity inside the RMW increased. As for the asymmetric evolution, vigorous convection, dominated by an azimuthal wavenumber-1 asymmetry, occurred in the downshear-left quadrant when shear started to increase and then moved upshear. A mesovortex formed inside the convective asymmetry on the upshear side. The direction of vortex tilt between the 1- and 5-km altitudes rotated cyclonically from the downshear-left to the upshear-right quadrant as the vortex was vertically aligned.