J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2015, 3, 23-51; doi:10.3390/jmse3010023 OPEN ACCESS Journal of Marine Science and Engineering ISSN 2077-1312 www.mdpi.com/journal/jmse Article A Methodology for a Comprehensive Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment: Multiple Sources and Short-Term Interactions Grezio Anita 1;*, Roberto Tonini 2, Laura Sandri 1, Simona Pierdominici 3 and Jacopo Selva 1 1 Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, sezione di Bologna, Via Franceschini 31, 40128 Bologna, Italy; E-Mails:
[email protected] (L.S.);
[email protected] (J.S.) 2 Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143 Roma, Italy; E-Mail:
[email protected] 3 Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam 14473, Germany; E-Mail:
[email protected] * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail:
[email protected] ; Tel.: +39-051-4151475; +39-051-4151499. Academic Editor: Valentin Heller Received: 22 August 2014 / Accepted: 18 December 2014 / Published: 15 January 2015 Abstract: We propose a methodological approach for a comprehensive and total probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (T otP T HA), in which many different possible source types concur to the definition of the total tsunami hazard at given target sites. In a multi-hazard and multi-risk perspective, the approach allows us to consider all possible tsunamigenic sources (seismic events, slides, volcanic eruptions, asteroids, etc.). In this respect, we also formally introduce and discuss the treatment of interaction/cascade effects in the T otP T HA analysis and we demonstrate how the triggering events may induce significant temporary variations in short-term analysis of the tsunami hazard.