2019 Global Natural Disaster Assessment Report 2020 May
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P1.24 a Typhoon Loss Estimation Model for China
P1.24 A TYPHOON LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FOR CHINA Peter J. Sousounis*, H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA 1. INTRODUCTION the two. Because of its wind intensity (135 mph maximum sustained winds), it has been Nowhere 1 else in the world do tropical compared to Hurricane Katrina 2005. But Saomai cyclones (TCs) develop more frequently than in was short lived, and although it made landfall as the Northwest Pacific Basin. Nearly thirty TCs are a strong Category 4 storm and generated heavy spawned each year, 20 of which reach hurricane precipitation, it weakened quickly. Still, economic or typhoon status (cf. Fig. 1). Five of these reach losses were ~12 B RMB (~1.5 B USD). In super typhoon status, with windspeeds over 130 contrast, Bilis, which made landfall a month kts. In contrast, the North Atlantic typically earlier just south of where Saomai hit, was generates only ten TCs, seven of which reach actually only tropical storm strength at landfall hurricane status. with max sustained winds of 70 mph. Bilis weakened further still upon landfall but turned Additionally, there is no other country in the southwest and traveled slowly over a period of world where TCs strike with more frequency than five days across Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi in China. Nearly ten landfalling TCs occur in a and Yunnan Provinces. It generated copious typical year, with one to two additional by-passing amounts of precipitation, with large areas storms coming close enough to the coast to receiving more than 300 mm. -
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
Variations in Typhoon Landfalls Over China Emily A
Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2004 Variations in Typhoon Landfalls over China Emily A. Fogarty Follow this and additional works at the FSU Digital Library. For more information, please contact [email protected] THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES VARIATIONS IN TYPHOON LANDFALLS OVER CHINA By EMILY A. FOGARTY A Thesis submitted to the Department of Geography in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Degree Awarded: Fall Semester, 2004 The members of the Committee approve Thesis of Emily A. Fogarty defended on October 20, 2004. James B. Elsner Professor Directing Thesis Thomas Jagger Committee Member J. Anthony Stallins Committee Member The Office of Graduate Studies has verified and approved the above named committee members. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Special thanks to my advisor James Elsner, without his guidance none of this would be possible. Thank you to my other advisors Tom Jagger and Tony Stallins for their wonderful advice and help. Finally thank you to Kam-biu Liu from Louisiana State University for providing the historical data used in this study. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ................................................... .... v List of Figures ................................................... ... vi Abstract ................................................... ......... vii 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................... 1 2. DATA ................................................... ....... 4 2.1 Historical Typhoons over Guangdong and Fujian Province . 5 2.2 Modern Typhoon Records . 7 2.3 ENSO and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation . 8 2.4 NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Data . 9 3. ANTICORRELATION BETWEEN GUANGDONG AND FUJIAN TYPHOON ACTIVITY .......................................... 12 4. SPATIAL CO-VARIABILITY IN CHINA LANDFALLS ............. 15 4.1 Factor Analysis Model . 16 4.2 Statistical Significance of the Factor Analysis Model . -
Boundary Layer Structure in Typhoon Saomai (2006): Understanding the Effects of Exchange Coefficient
Vol.18 No.2 JOURNAL OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY June 2012 Article ID: 1006-8775(2012) 02-0195-12 BOUNDARY LAYER STRUCTURE IN TYPHOON SAOMAI (2006): UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE COEFFICIENT 1 1 1 2 MING Jie (明 杰) , SONG Jin-jie (宋金杰) , CHEN Bao-jun (陈宝君) , WANG Ke-fa (王可发) (1. Key Laboratory of Mesoscale Severe Weather and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093 China; 2. Climate Center, Meteorological Bureau of Jiangsu Province, Nanjing 210008 China) Abstract: Recent studies have shown that surface fluxes and exchange coefficients are particularly important to models attempting to simulate the evolution and maintenance of hurricanes or typhoons. By using an advanced research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) modeling system, this work aims to study the impact of modified exchange coefficient on the intensity and structures of typhoon Saomai (2006) over the western North Pacific. Numerical experiments with the modified and unmodified exchange coefficients are used to investigate the intensity and structure of the storm, especially the structures of the boundary layer within the storm. Results show that, compared to the unmodified experiment, the simulated typhoon in the modified experiment has a bigger deepening rate after 30-h and is the same as the observation in the last 12-h. The roughness is leveled off when wind speed is greater than 30 m/s. The momentum exchange coefficient (CD) and enthalpy exchange coefficient (CK) are leveled off too, and CD is decreased more than CK when wind speed is greater than 30 m/s. More sensible heat flux and less latent heat flux are produced. -
Chun-Chieh Wu (吳俊傑) Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University No. 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei 1
Chun-Chieh Wu (吳俊傑) Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University No. 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei 106, Taiwan Telephone & Facsimile: (886) 2-2363-2303 Email: [email protected], WWW: http://typhoon.as.ntu.edu.tw Date of Birth: 30 July, 1964 Education: Graduate: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Ph.D., Department of Earth Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, May 1993 Thesis under the supervision of Professor Kerry A. Emanuel on "Understanding hurricane movement using potential vorticity: A numerical model and an observational study." Undergraduate: National Taiwan University, B.S., Department of Atmospheric Sciences, June 1986 Recent Positions: Professor and Chairman Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University August 2008 to present Director NTU Typhoon Research Center January 2009 to present Adjunct Research Scientist Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University July 2004 - present Professor Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University August 2000 to 2008 Visiting Fellow Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University January – July, 2004 (on sabbatical leave from NTU) Associate Professor Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University August 1994 to July 2000 Visiting Research Scientist Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University August 1993 – November 1994; July to September 1995 1 Awards: Gold Bookmarker Prize Wu Ta-You Popular Science Book Prize in Translation Wu Ta-You Foundation, 2008 Outstanding Teaching Award, National Taiwan University, 2008 Outstanding Research Award, National Science Council, 2007 Research Achievement Award, National Taiwan Univ., 2004 University Teaching Award, National Taiwan University, 2003, 2006, 2007 Academia Sinica Research Award for Junior Researchers, 2001 Memberships: Member of the American Meteorological Society. Member of the American Geophysical Union. -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall. -
Member Report (Malaysia)
MEMBER REPORT (MALAYSIA) ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 15th Integrated Workshop Video Conference 1-2 December 2020 Organised by Viet Nam Table of Contents I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Malaysia in 2020 1. Meteorological Assessment (highlighting forecasting issues/impacts) 2. Hydrological Assessment (highlighting water-related issues/impact) (a) Flash flood in Kajang & Kuala Lumpur in July and September 2020 (b) Enhancement of Hydrological Data Management for DID Malaysia (c) Hydrological Instrumentation Updates for Malaysia (d) Drought Monitoring Updates 3. Socio-Economic Assessment (highlighting socio-economic and DRR issues/impacts) 4. Regional Cooperation Assessment (highlighting regional cooperation successes and challenges) II. Summary of progress in Priorities supporting Key Result Areas 1. Annual Operating Plan (AOP) for Working Group of Meteorology [AOP4: Radar Integrated Nowcasting System (RaINS)] 2. Annual Operating Plan (AOP) for Working Group of Hydrology (AOP2, AOP4, AOP5, AOP6) 3. The Government of Malaysia’s Commitment Towards Supporting the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Malaysia in 2020 1. Meteorological Assessment (highlighting forecasting issues/impacts) During the period of 1 November 2019 to 31 October 2020, 27 tropical cyclones (TCs) formed over the Western Pacific Ocean, the Philippines waters as well as the South China Sea. Eight of the TCs entered the area of responsibility of the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET Malaysia) as shown in Figure 1. The TCs, which consisted of seven typhoons and a tropical storm that required the issuance of strong winds and rough seas warnings over the marine regions under the responsibility of MET Malaysia, are listed in Table 1. -
Adversus Paganos: Disaster, Dragons, and Episcopal Authority in Gregory of Tours
Adversus paganos: Disaster, Dragons, and Episcopal Authority in Gregory of Tours David J. Patterson Comitatus: A Journal of Medieval and Renaissance Studies, Volume 44, 2013, pp. 1-28 (Article) Published by Center for Medieval and Renaissance Studies, UCLA DOI: 10.1353/cjm.2013.0000 For additional information about this article http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/cjm/summary/v044/44.patterson.html Access provided by University of British Columbia Library (29 Aug 2013 02:49 GMT) ADVERSUS PAGANOS: DISASTER, DRAGONS, AND EPISCOPAL AUTHORITY IN GREGORY OF TOURS David J. Patterson* Abstract: In 589 a great flood of the Tiber sent a torrent of water rushing through Rome. According to Gregory of Tours, the floodwaters carried some remarkable detritus: several dying serpents and, perhaps most strikingly, the corpse of a dragon. The flooding was soon followed by plague and the death of a pope. This remarkable chain of events leaves us with puzzling questions: What significance would Gregory have located in such a narrative? For a modern reader, the account (apart from its dragon) reads like a descrip- tion of a natural disaster. Yet how did people in the early Middle Ages themselves per- ceive such events? This article argues that, in making sense of the disasters at Rome in 589, Gregory revealed something of his historical consciousness: drawing on both bibli- cal imagery and pagan historiography, Gregory struggled to identify appropriate objects of both blame and succor in the wake of calamity. Keywords: plague, natural disaster, Gregory of Tours, Gregory the Great, Asclepius, pagan survivals, dragon, serpent, sixth century, Rome. In 589, a great flood of the Tiber River sent a torrent of water rushing through the city of Rome. -
The Year That Shook the Rich: a Review of Natural Disasters in 2011
THE YEAR THAT SHOOK THE RICH: A REVIEW OF NATURAL DISASTERS IN 2011 The Brookings Institution – London School of Economics Project on Internal Displacement March 2012 Design: [email protected] Cover photo: © Thinkstock.com Back cover photos: left / © Awcnz62 | Dreamstime.com; right / © IOM 2011 - MPK0622 (Photo: Chris Lom) THE YEAR THAT SHOOK THE RICH: A REVIEW OF NATURAL DISASTERS IN 2011 By Elizabeth Ferris and Daniel Petz March 2012 PUBLISHED BY: THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION – LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS PROJECT ON INTERNAL DISPLACEMENT Bangkok, Thailand — Severe monsoon floods, starting in late July 2011, affected millions of people. A truck with passengers aboard drives through a heavily flooded street. Photo: UN/Mark Garten TABLE OF CONTENTS Acronyms ................................................................................................................................. vi Foreword ................................................................................................................................. ix Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. xi Introduction .............................................................................................................................. xv Chapter 1 The Year that Shook the Rich ...................................................... 1 Section 1 Disasters in the “Rich” World, Some Numbers ............................................ 5 Section 2 Japan: The Most Expensive Disaster -
Psychological Issues in Escape, Rescue, and Survival in the Wake of Disaster
2008 Psychological Issues in Escape, Rescue, and Survival in the Wake of Disaster Report Submitted to the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, Pittsburgh Research Laboratory George S. Everly, Jr., PhD, ABPP Paul Perrin & George S. Everly, III Contents INTRODUCTION THE PSYCHOLOGICAL IMPACT OF CRISIS AND DISASTERS The Nature of Human Stress Physiology of Stress Psychology of Stress Excessive Stress Distress Depression Posttraumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) Compassion Fatigue A Review of Empirical Investigations on the Mental Health Consequences of Crisis and Disaster Primary Victims/ Survivors Rescue and Recovery Personnel “RESISTANCE, RESILIENCE, AND RECOVERY” AS A STRATEGIC AND INTEGRATIVE INTERVENTION PARADIGM Historical Foundations Resistance, Resiliency, Recovery: A Continuum of Care Building Resistance Self‐efficacy Hardiness Enhancing Resilience Fostering Recovery LEADERSHIP AND THE INCIDENT MANAGEMENT AND INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEMS (ICS) Leadership: What is it? Leadership Resides in Those Who Follow Incident Management Essential Information NIMS Components 1 Psychological Issues in Escape, Rescue, and Survival in the Wake of Disaster | George Everly, Jr. The Need for Incident Management Key Features of the ICS Placement of Psychological Crisis Intervention Teams in ICS Functional Areas in the Incident Command System Structuring the Mental Health Response Challenges of Rural and Isolated Response Caution: Fatigue in Incident Response Summary CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS REFERENCES APPENDIX A – Training resources in disaster mental health and crisis intervention APPENDIX B – Psychological First Aid (PFA) 2 Psychological Issues in Escape, Rescue, and Survival in the Wake of Disaster | George Everly, Jr. Introduction The experience of disaster appears to have become an expected aspect of life. Whether it is a natural disaster such as a hurricane or tsunami, or a human‐made disaster such as terrorism, the effects can be both physically and psychological devastating. -
Report on UN ESCAP / WMO Typhoon Committee Members Disaster Management System
Report on UN ESCAP / WMO Typhoon Committee Members Disaster Management System UNITED NATIONS Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific January 2009 Disaster Management ˆ ` 2009.1.29 4:39 PM ˘ ` 1 ¿ ‚fiˆ •´ lp125 1200DPI 133LPI Report on UN ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Members Disaster Management System By National Institute for Disaster Prevention (NIDP) January 2009, 154 pages Author : Dr. Waonho Yi Dr. Tae Sung Cheong Mr. Kyeonghyeok Jin Ms. Genevieve C. Miller Disaster Management ˆ ` 2009.1.29 4:39 PM ˘ ` 2 ¿ ‚fiˆ •´ lp125 1200DPI 133LPI WMO/TD-No. 1476 World Meteorological Organization, 2009 ISBN 978-89-90564-89-4 93530 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspon- dence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chairperson, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03 P.O. Box No. 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 40 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] NOTE The designations employed in WMO publications and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of WMO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. -
Looting After a Disaster: a Myth Or Reality?
Volume XXXI • Number 4 March 2007 Disaster Myths...Fourth in a Series Looting After a Disaster: A Myth or Reality? his special article in the Disaster Myths series pres- among those concerned with public safety and response Tents a point-counterpoint on the signifi cance and in disasters. prevalence of looting a� er disasters. Both authors were The fi rst author, E.L. Quarantelli, provides a his- asked to answer, independently, a series of questions, torical overview of looting in disaster research to help including whether looting a� er disasters is a myth, elucidate the myth. The fi ndings of previous disaster what evidence supports that opinion, what previous research are used to support the argument that looting, research has established about looting, and how the in fact, is not prevalent a� er disasters. In the end, there myths (and realities) about looting infl uence disaster is a lack of evidence showing that this behavior is com- planning and response. While the previous articles in monplace. This article can be found on page 2. this series were meant to help dispel disaster myths, As a counterpoint, Kelly Frailing focuses on the this article demonstrates the debate surrounding the events following Hurricane Katrina as evidence that controversial issue of looting and explores it in greater looting is not a myth, but a reality of disasters. This po- depth. Together these positions reveal the arguments sition is also supported by experience during previous and evidence for both sides of the debate. The editors events, such as Hurricane Betsy, and by crime statistics.