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Regional Analysis – Queensland Murray-Darling Basin Authority Community impacts of the Guide to the Proposed Basin Plan Community impacts of the Guide to the proposed Murray-Darling Basin Plan Volume 6. Regional Analysis – Queensland May 2011 Report prepared for the Murray-Darling Basin Authority A consortium of EBC, RMCG, MJA, EconSearch, Geoff McLeod, Tim Cummins, Guy Roth and David Cornish Murray-Darling Basin Authority Community impacts of the Guide to the Proposed Basin Plan An appropriate citation for this report is: EBC, RMCG, Marsden Jacob Associates, EconSearch, Geoff McLeod, Tim Cummins, Guy Roth and David Cornish, 2011, Community impacts of the Guide to the proposed Murray-Darling Basin Plan. Volume 6. Regional Analysis - Queensland. Report to the Murray- Darling Basin Authority, May. Key contact details: Dr Mark Fenton, Director EBC, [email protected] Rozi Boyle, Associate Partner RMCG, [email protected] Matthew Toulmin, Partner and Principal Consultant RMCG, [email protected] Dr John Marsden, Director, Marsden Jacob Associates (MJA), [email protected] © Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011. This work is copyright. With the exception of the photographs, any logo or emblem, and any trademarks, the work may be stored, retrieved and reproduced in whole or in part, provided that it is not sold or used for commercial benefit. Any reproduction of information from this work must acknowledge the Murray– Darling Basin Authority, the Commonwealth of Australia or the relevant third party, as appropriate, as the owner of copyright in any selected material or information. Apart from any use permitted under the Copyright Act 1968 (Cth) or above, no part of this work may be reproduced by any process without prior written permission from the Commonwealth. Requests and inquiries concerning reproduction and rights should be addressed to the MDBA Copyright Administration, Murray-Darling Basin Authority, GPO Box 1801, Canberra ACT 2601 or by contacting + 61 2 6279 0100. Disclaimer This document has been prepared for the Murray-Darling Basin Authority and is made available for general use and to assist public knowledge and discussion regarding the integrated and sustainable management of the Basin’s natural water resources. The opinions, comments and analysis (including those of third parties) expressed in this document are for information purposes only. This document does not indicate the Murray-Darling Basin Authority’s commitment to undertake or implement a particular course of action, and should not be relied upon in relation to any particular action or decision taken. Users should note that developments in Commonwealth policy, input from consultation and other circumstances may result in changes to the approaches set out in this document. Disclaimer: This report has been prepared in accordance with the scope of services described in the contract or agreement between the EBC Consortium and the Client. Any findings, conclusions or recommendations only apply to the aforementioned circumstances and no greater reliance should be assumed or drawn by the Client. Furthermore, the report has been prepared solely for use by the Client and the EBC Consortium accepts no responsibility for its use by other parties. Murray-Darling Basin Authority Community impacts of the Guide to the proposed Murray-Darling Basin Plan. Volume 6: Regional analysis - Queensland 2 Table of Contents 1 INTRODUCTION 10 1.1 About this study .....................................................................................................10 1.2 About these regional reports ..................................................................................14 1.3 ‘Bridging the Gap in the Murray-Darling Basin’ .......................................................15 2 CONDAMINE BALONNE 18 2.1 Overview ................................................................................................................18 2.1.1 Social Catchments........................................................................................18 2.1.2 Irrigation in the region ...................................................................................20 2.1.3 Agriculture in the region ................................................................................20 2.1.4 Impact of the drought ....................................................................................20 2.1.5 Baseline .......................................................................................................20 2.1.6 Impact of reduced water availability ..............................................................21 2.1.7 Community resilience and adaptive capacity ................................................22 2.1.8 Minimisation of impacts ................................................................................23 2.2 Background............................................................................................................24 2.2.1 Introduction to region and social catchments ................................................24 2.2.2 Social Catchments........................................................................................26 2.2.3 Dalby Social Catchment ...............................................................................26 2.2.4 Toowoomba Social Catchment .....................................................................27 2.2.5 Warwick Social Catchment ...........................................................................27 2.3 Irrigation in the region ............................................................................................28 2.4 Key agricultural industries ......................................................................................32 2.4.1 Gross value of agricultural production ..........................................................32 2.4.2 Cotton production .........................................................................................34 2.4.3 Beef ..............................................................................................................34 2.4.4 Horticulture ...................................................................................................35 2.4.5 Grain ............................................................................................................35 2.4.6 Intensive livestock ........................................................................................36 2.5 Key other industries ...............................................................................................36 2.5.1 Context .........................................................................................................36 2.5.2 Cotton ginning ..............................................................................................36 2.5.3 Agricultural supplies .....................................................................................37 2.5.4 Government services ....................................................................................38 2.5.5 Tourism ........................................................................................................39 EBC, RMCG, Marsden Jacob Associates, EconSearch, Geoff McLeod, Tim Cummins, Guy Roth and David Cornish Murray-Darling Basin Authority Community impacts of the Guide to the proposed Murray-Darling Basin Plan. Volume 6: Regional analysis - Queensland 3 2.5.6 Transport logistics ........................................................................................39 2.5.7 Energy and mining........................................................................................39 2.6 Water Management, Government Purchases and Drought ....................................40 2.6.1 Water management ......................................................................................40 2.6.2 Water procurement .......................................................................................41 2.6.3 Progress towards environmental water targets .............................................42 2.7 Impact of the drought .............................................................................................43 2.7.1 Cotton growers .............................................................................................43 2.7.2 Horticulturalists .............................................................................................43 2.7.3 Dirranbandi and Thallon ...............................................................................43 2.7.4 St George .....................................................................................................44 2.8 Baseline – the future without policy change ...........................................................44 2.8.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................44 2.8.2 Population ....................................................................................................44 2.8.3 Climate change ............................................................................................46 2.8.4 Water policy..................................................................................................46 2.8.5 Dirranbandi ...................................................................................................47 2.8.6 St George .....................................................................................................47 2.8.7 Dalby, Toowoomba & Warwick .....................................................................47 2.9 Impacts
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