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SECURITY CHALLENGES Contents 1. Andrew Carr SECURITY The Politics of the 2016 Defence White Paper ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������1 2. Michael Wesley Australia's Grand Strategy and the 2016 Defence White Paper ���������������������������������������������������������������������19 CHALLENGES 3. Iain Henry The 2016 Defence White Paper’s assessment of Australia’s Strategic Environment ����������������������������������31 4. Robert Ayson Discovering Australia’s Defence Strategy �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������41 VOLUME 12 NUMBER 1 2016 5. Peter Jennings The 2016 Defence White Paper and the ANZUS Alliance ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������53 6. Mark Thomson Funding and Delivering the 2016 Defence White Paper ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������65 7. Michael Clifford The 2016 Defence White Paper – The Land Perspective ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������77 8. John Blackburn 2016 Defence White Paper – The Future of Aerospace forces ���������������������������������������������������������������������������91 9. Lee Cordner 1. The Politics of the The Future of Maritime Forces in an Integrated Australian Defence Force ������������������������������������������������101 2016 Defence White Paper 10. Tim Scully Andrew Carr Cyber Security and the 2016 Defence White Paper ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������115 11. Richard Brabin-Smith 2. Australia's Grand Strategy and Defence White Paper 2016: Defence Science and Innovation ����������������������������������������������������������������������127 the 2016 Defence White Paper 9. The Future of Maritime 12. Graeme Dunk Michael Wesley Forces in an Integrated Defence Industry Policy 2016: Well intentioned – But Conflicted. ��������������������������������������������������������������139 Australian Defence Force 13. Daniel Baldino 3. The 2016 Defence White Lee Cordner 15. China in Australia’s An Exercise in Management: Defence Engagement in the Indo-Pacific �����������������������������������������������������151 Paper’s assessment of 2016 Defence White Paper Australia’s Strategic 10. Cyber Security and the 14. Evan Laksmana John Lee Environment The Changing Strategic Landscape and the Evolution of Australia-Indonesia Relations ������������������������165 2016 Defence White Paper Iain Henry 16. Japan in Australia’s 15. John Lee Tim Scully 2016 Defence White Paper China in Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������171 4. Discovering Australia’s 11. Defence White Paper 2016: Amy King 16. Amy King Defence Strategy Defence Science and Japan in Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������177 Robert Ayson Innovation 17. India and the 2016 17. Ian Hall Richard Brabin-Smith Defence White Paper India and the 2016 Defence White Paper �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������181 5. The 2016 Defence White Paper Ian Hall 18. Joanne Wallis and the ANZUS Alliance 12. Defence Industry Policy The South Pacific in the 2016 Defence White Paper: anxiety, ambivalence and ambiguity ����������������������187 Peter Jennings 2016: Well intentioned – 18. The South Pacific in the 19. Jay Vlazlovski and Duncan Koenig But Conflicted. 2016 Defence White Paper: VOLUME 12 NUMBER 1 2016 12 VOLUME From whiteboard to White Paper: Student perspectives on the 2016 Australian Defence White Paper ������191 6. Funding and Delivering the Graeme Dunk anxiety, ambivalence and 2016 Defence White Paper ambiguity Mark Thomson 13. An Exercise in Management: Joanne Wallis Defence Engagement in the 7. The 2016 Defence White Paper Indo-Pacific 19. From whiteboard to Promoting regional – The Land Perspective White Paper: Student stability and prosperity Daniel Baldino Michael Clifford perspectives on the 14. The Changing Strategic 2016 Australian Defence www.regionalsecurity.org.au 8. 2016 Defence White Paper – Landscape and the Evolution of White Paper The Future of Aerospace forces Australia-Indonesia Relations Jay Vlazlovski and ISSN 1833-1459 Security Challenges is a fully refereed journal. John Blackburn Evan Laksmana Duncan Koenig Security Challenges Volume 12 Number 1 (2016) Security Challenges ISSN 1833 – 1459 EDITORS: Dr Andrew Carr Dr Peter Dean Iain Henry Managing Editors [email protected] Robert Wylie Geoff Hunt Consulting Editor Defence Industry Policy Production Editor [email protected] [email protected] EDITORIAL BOARD: Robert Ayson Sam Bateman Rod Lyon Victoria University University of Wollongong ASPI Wellington, New Zealand Wollongong, Australia Canberra, Australia Leszek Buszynski Eliot Cohen Ralph Cossa Strategic and Defence John Hopkins University, Pacific Forum CSIS Studies Centre, Australian Washington, DC, USA Honolulu, Hawaii, USA National University Bates Gill Gerald Hensley Ramesh Thakur CEO, US Studies Institute, Former Secretary of Defence Asia-Pacific College of The University of Sydney New Zealand Diplomacy, Australian National University Andrew Mack Andrew O’Neill Rizal Sukma Simon Fraser University Director, Griffith Asia Institue, Centre for Strategic and Vancouver, Canada Griffith University, International Studies Brisbane, Australia Jakarta, Indonesia William Tow Akio Watanabe Department of International Research Institute for Peace Relations, Australian National and Security University Tokyo, Japan Project Management and Cover: Qote Canberra (02) 6162 1258 Published and distributed by: The Institute for Regional Security 2/10 Kennedy St (PO Box 4060), Kingston ACT 2604 T: (02) 6295 1555 F: (02) 6169 3019 E: [email protected] W: www.securitychallenges.org.au © The Insitute For Regional Security. All rights reserved. Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of private study, research, criticism or review as permitted by the Copyright Act, no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored, transmitted or disseminated in any form or by any means without prior written permission. Inquiries should be made to the publisher. All articles published in Security Challenges are fully peer-reviewed. Any opinions and views expressed are those of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the Institute for Regional Security or the editors of Security Challenges. Security Challenges is indexed on EBSCOhost™ . THE 2016 DEFENCE WHITE PAPER Andrew Carr The Politics of the 2016 Defence White Paper ..................................................... 1 Michael Wesley Australian Grand Strategy and the 2016 Defence White Paper ........................... 19 Iain Henry The 2016 Defence White Paper’s Assessment of Australia’s Strategic Environment ................................................ 31 Robert Ayson Discovering Australia’s Defence Strategy ............................................................ 41 Peter Jennings The 2016 Defence White Paper and the ANZUS Alliance .................................... 53 Mark Thomson Funding and Delivering the 2016 Defence White Paper ....................................... 65 Michael Clifford The 2016 Defence White Paper—The Land Perspective ..................................... 77 John Blackburn 2016 Defence White Paper—The Future of Aerospace forces ............................ 91 Lee Cordner The Future of Maritime Forces in an Integrated Australian Defence Force ........ 101 Tim Scully Cyber Security and the 2016 Defence White Paper ........................................... 115 Richard Brabin-Smith Defence White Paper 2016: Defence Science and Innovation ........................... 127 Graeme Dunk Defence Industry Policy 2016: Well Intentioned—But Conflicted ....................... 139 Daniel Baldino An Exercise in Management: Defence Engagement in the Indo-Pacific ............. 151 Evan Laksmana Indonesia in Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper .......................................... 165 John Lee China in Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper ................................................. 171 Amy King Japan in Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper .................................................. 177 Ian Hall India in Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper ................................................... 181 Joanne Wallis The South Pacific in the 2016 Defence White Paper: Anxiety, Ambivalence and Ambiguity................................................................... 187 Jay Vlazlovski and Duncan Koenig From Whiteboard to White Paper: Student Perspectives on the 2016 Australian Defence White Paper ................... 191 Editors’ Note This is the third Defence White Paper special edition of Security Challenges. Across nineteen articles and comments, the edition provides the first in depth analysis of Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper. The editors would like to begin by sincerely thanking all of the contributors, as well as our excellent copy-editor and publication team for helping us produce an extensive, in-depth scholarly review within two months of the document’s release. We are grateful for the time and expertise of our writers, and their enduring commitment to the journal. The edition begins as past special editions have, with an analysis of the politics of the
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