PRISM Vol. 2 No 2
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Trump “Rethinks”, Abruptly Calls
Trump “Rethinks”, Abruptly Calls Off Military Strike: US Credibility Dented in Iran Standoff. The Danger of Escalation Remains By M. K. Bhadrakumar Region: Middle East & North Africa, USA Global Research, June 24, 2019 Theme: Media Disinformation, US NATO Indian Punchline 21 June 2019 War Agenda In-depth Report: IRAN: THE NEXT WAR? The US President Donald Trump’s reported decision abruptly to call off military strike against Iran which he’d previously ordered, highlights the growing complexity of the US-Iranian entanglement. Indeed, it takes political courage to rationalise amidst such a dangerous situation that discretion is the better part of valour. Trump has been smart enough. But, having said that, there’s going to be downstream consequences. The Trump administration appears paralysed. And Tehran has seized the diplomatic initiative. What prompted Trump’s rethink? Surely, the rethink somewhatlegitimises the Iranian assertion that it shot down the American drone which intruded into its air space. (In fact, Iran has since claimed that it recovered the debris of the downed US drone in the country’s southern waters.) The US has a history of lying in such situations. Remember the downing of a scheduled Iranian passenger Airbus A300 flight in 1988 by an SM-2MR surface-to-air missile fired from USS Vincennes killing all 290 people including 66 children on board? The US, at the level of Vice-President George HW Bush lied over US culpability, saying, “I will never apologise for the United States — I don’t care what the facts are… I’m not an apologise-for-America kind of guy.” Only years later in 1996 Washington agreed to pay Iran US$131.8 million in settlement to discontinue a case brought by Iran in the International Court of Justice relating to this incident. -
America in the World: Forging a New Vision for Foreign Policy and International Security.”
SPECIAL PRESENTATION “AMERICA IN THE WORLD: FORGING A NEW VISION FOR FOREIGN POLICY AND INTERNATIONAL SECURITY.” CLOSING REMARKS: SAMUEL R. BERGER, FORMER NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISER TO PRESIDENT BILL CLINTON 5:15 PM – 5:30 PM TUESDAY, JUNE 12, 2007 TRANSCRIPT PROVIDED BY DC TRANSCRIPTION & MEDIA REPURPOSING MR. JOSEPH CIRINCIONE: We are now fortunate enough to have a closing speaker who has graciously agreed to help us make some sense of today’s proceedings, to sum this up for us, and to offer his own perspectives. Right before I introduce him, I want to remind everybody in the audience that we’re going to have transcripts of this discussion posted on the Center for American Progress website, americanprogress.org. We’re going to have video highlights of the conference posted. And you’ll be able to go online tonight and see some of the comments from some of the bloggers who have been here. We’ve had some of the best national security bloggers in the Untied States here, including some from the Nation, the Atlantic Monthly, the National Security Network, the American Prospect, and a half a dozen others. You may think that you already know everything you need know about our next speaker, Samuel R. Berger, the 19th national security advisor to the president of United States. You may know that Sandy Berger worked for the former mayor of New York City, John Lindsay, and for former Senator Harold Hughes, or that he was deputy director of the State Department’s Policy Planning staff. You may know that he headed the international trade group of -
Process Makes Perfect Best Practices in the Art of National Security Policymaking
AP PHOTO/CHARLES DHARAPAK PHOTO/CHARLES AP Process Makes Perfect Best Practices in the Art of National Security Policymaking By Kori Schake, Hoover Institution, and William F. Wechsler, Center for American Progress January 2017 WWW.AMERICANPROGRESS.ORG Process Makes Perfect Best Practices in the Art of National Security Policymaking By Kori Schake, Hoover Institution, and William F. Wechsler, Center for American Progress January 2017 Contents 1 Introduction and summary 6 Findings 14 First-order questions for the next president 17 Best practices to consider 26 Policymaking versus oversight versus crisis management 36 Meetings, meetings, and more meetings 61 Internal NSC staff management 72 Appendix A 73 About the authors 74 Endnotes Introduction and summary Most modern presidents have found that the transition from campaigning to governing presents a unique set of challenges, especially regarding their newfound national security responsibilities. Regardless of their party affiliation or preferred diplomatic priorities, presidents have invariably come to appreciate that they can- not afford to make foreign policy decisions in the same manner as they did when they were a candidate. The requirements of managing an enormous and complex national security bureau- cracy reward careful deliberation and strategic consistency, while sharply punishing the kind of policy shifts that are more common on the campaign trail. Statements by the president are taken far more seriously abroad than are promises by a candidate, by both allies and adversaries alike. And while policy mistakes made before entering office can damage a candidate’s personal political prospects, a serious misstep made once in office can put the country itself at risk. -
Nuclear Weapons
NUCLEAR WEAPONS america, north korea, iran & the world at a crossroad tuesday, november 28, 2017, 7 pm the nancy & paul ignatius program NUCLEAR WEAPONS america, north korea, iran & the world at a crossroad tuesday, november 28, 2017 7 pm WELCOME The Very Rev. Randolph Marshall Hollerith Cathedral Dean INTRODUCTION Amy L. Ignatius Associate Justice, New Hampshire Superior Court KEYNOTE ADDRESS William J. Perry PANEL DISCUSSION Susan Eisenhower Stephen Hadley John Kerry David Ignatius, moderator CONCLUSION Ray Suarez BENEDICTION The Very Rev. Randolph Marshall Hollerith participants WILLIAM J. PERRY’s career has spanned academia, JOHN KERRY served as the United States’ 68th industry, entrepreneurship, government and diplomacy. Secretary of State from 2013 to 2017. As America’s top Perry served as the 19th Secretary of Defense for the diplomat, he guided the department’s strategy on nuclear United States from February 1994 to January 1997. In 2007, nonproliferation, combating radical extremism and the Perry, George Shultz, Sam Nunn and Henry Kissinger threat of climate change. His tenure was marked by the together formed the Nuclear Security Project, articulating successful negotiation of the Iran nuclear deal and the Paris practical steps to reduce nuclear dangers. Perry founded Climate Agreement. From 1985 to 2013, he served as a U.S. the William J. Perry Project in 2013 to engage and educate Senator representing Massachusetts, and was chairman the public on the dangers of nuclear weapons. In 2015 of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee from 2009 to he published My Journey at the Nuclear Brink, a personal 2013. He served in the U.S. -
YOU, the PEOPLE the United Nations, Transitional Administration, and State-Building
International Peace Academy YOU, THE PEOPLE The United Nations, Transitional Administration, and State-Building Project on Transitional Administrations Final Report Simon Chesterman November 2003 About the Project on Transitional Administrations The International Peace Academy’s Project on Transitional Administrations is funded by Carnegie Corporation of New York, with additional funding from the Ford Foundation and the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. Many thanks to David M. Malone, Neclâ Tschirgi, Sebastian von Einsiedel, Dino Kritsiotis, and Kimberly Marten for their comments on an earlier version of this text. The views expressed are those of the author alone. Themes explored in this report are treated more fully in You, the People: The United Nations, Transitional Administration, and State-Building (Oxford University Press, forthcoming). For further information, visit <http://www.ipacademy.org>. About the Author Simon Chesterman is a Senior Associate at the International Peace Academy in New York. He is the author of Just War or Just Peace? Humanitarian Intervention and International Law (Oxford University Press, 2001) and the editor (with Michael Ignatieff and Ramesh Thakur) of Making States Work: State Failure and the Crisis of Governance (United Nations University Press, 2004) and of Civilians in War (Lynne Rienner, 2001). YOU THE PEOPLE Executive Summary • First, the means are inconsistent with the ends. Benevolent autocracy is an uncertain foundation for legitimate and sustainable national • Transitional administrations represent the most governance. It is inaccurate and, often, counter- complex operations attempted by the United productive to assert that transitional administra- Nations. The missions in Kosovo (1999—) and East tion depends upon the consent or ‘ownership’ of Timor (1999–2002) are commonly seen as unique the local population. -
The Progressive
Books 9.2004 8/11/04 1:51 PM Page 45 Books Who’s to Blame for September 11? The 9/11 Commission Report: team had evaded security checks dur- demanding to know why the United Final Report of the National Com- ing a recent trial run at an unidenti- States had to put up with such mission on Terrorist Attacks upon fied New York airport.” attacks—that Tenet walked out of a the United States meeting of the principals.” Berger also Thomas H. Kean, Chair Sandy Berger stressed to the Bush transition team, W. W. Norton. 567 pages. $10.00. Clinton’s National Security Adviser and especially Condoleezza Rice, the also comes off well. He was alert to the gravity of the Al Qaeda threat. By Matthew Rothschild risk of terrorism earlier than most. He deputized counterterrorism expert William Cohen and the Joint Chiefs n page 340 of The 9/11 Richard Clarke and gave him wide Clinton’s Defense Secretary Commission Report is this authority, placing him on an equal William Cohen was exceptionally Osentence: “If the govern- footing with cabinet members cautious. Relying on the advice of ment’s leaders understood the gravity involved in national security. Berger Joint Chiefs of Staff head General of the threat they faced and under- and Clarke worked admirably together Hugh Shelton, Cohen scorned the stood at the same time that their poli- to prevent the Millennium Plot from idea of attacking bin Laden and his cies to eliminate it were not likely to coming to fruition at the end of 1999, operations. -
United Nations Operations in Liberia
CHALLENGES OF CHANGE: THE NATURE OF PEACE OPERATIONS IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND CONTINUING NEED FOR REFORM Jacques Paul Klein Special Representative of the Secretary General and Coordinator of the United Nations Operations in Liberia There is an old maxim in peacekeeping – before you ask a wise man, ask someone who has done it. I am pleased to see here this morning so many people who have done it. It is a great pleasure to address this important conference. I would like to thank the organizers for giving me the opportunity to discuss my views of the challenges and future of United Nations peacekeeping. My basic standpoint may be simply stated. UN peacekeeping, which was out of fashion for a period, is now back. The UN has a unique legal and moral authority as well as valuable operational experience in international peacekeeping. While the increasing calls for peacekeeping missions make cooperation and burden sharing essential, the UN is—and should remain—the nucleus of activity. I speak as a practitioner with eight years experience in both UN and non-UN operations. I deliver my remarks today in my capacity as the SRSG to Liberia but I will also draw on my experience from the Balkans—heading UNMIBH and UNTAES. I will divide my comments into two parts. First, an overview of the important qualities and strengths of UN peacekeeping. Secondly, I will outline what I have come to recognize as five prerequisites for success once the decision has been made to engage. They are: a clear mandate; a solid organizational structure; strategic planning; strength in leadership and support; and finally, an organized closure of the mission. -
With Former National Security Advisors Stephen Hadley and Susan Rice
A “Fireside Conversation” with Former National Security Advisors Stephen Hadley and Susan Rice The Brookings Institution Washington, D.C. Tuesday, October 30, 2018 INTRODUCTION On October 30, 2018, former national security advisors Stephen Hadley and Susan Rice participated in a “fireside conversation” at the Brookings Institution to discuss U.S.-China relations. The event, part of the first major collaboration between the Paul Tsai China Center at Yale Law School and the John L. Thornton Center at Brookings, showcased the current views about the U.S.-China relationship from two of the leading foreign policy figures in the Democratic and Republican parties. Their service in the most senior foreign policy positions in our government spanned the sixteen years between 2001-2017, during the administrations of President George W. Bush and President Barack Obama. They expressed a substantial degree of agreement on current challenges and priorities. Both believe that the relationship with China has entered a new stage of significantly more competition and that the central challenge is to find effective ways to manage this more intense competition while also developing areas of cooperation. And they each enumerated a range of concrete steps to advance those goals in the time ahead. The full transcript appears below. “China is different today, the United “We are going to be in a greater degree States is different today. The trick of competition with China than we have will be to recognize that a more been in the past. But I think that conflict competitive relationship need not result is neither inevitable nor desirable. The in confrontation or conflict. -
Geography, Power, Strategy & Defence Policy
GEOGRAPHY, POWER, STRATEGY & DEFENCE POLICY ESSAYS IN HONOUR OF PAUL DIBB GEOGRAPHY, POWER, STRATEGY & DEFENCE POLICY ESSAYS IN HONOUR OF PAUL DIBB Edited by Desmond Ball and Sheryn Lee Published by ANU Press The Australian National University Acton ACT 2601, Australia Email: [email protected] This title is also available online at press.anu.edu.au National Library of Australia Cataloguing-in-Publication entry Title: Geography, power, strategy and defence policy : essays in honour of Paul Dibb / editors: Desmond Ball, Sheryn Lee. ISBN: 9781760460136 (paperback) 9781760460143 (ebook) Subjects: Dibb, Paul, 1939---Criticism and interpretation. Defensive (Military science) Military planning--Australia. Festschriften. Australia--Military policy. Australia--Defenses. Other Creators/Contributors: Ball, Desmond, 1947- editor. Lee, Sheryn, editor. Dewey Number: 355.033594 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher. Cover design and layout by ANU Press. Cover photograph: SDSC Photograph Collection. This edition © 2016 ANU Press Contents Acronyms ..............................................vii Contributors ............................................ xi Photographs and Maps ..................................xvii Introduction .............................................1 Desmond Ball and Sheryn Lee 1. Introducing Paul Dibb (1): Britain’s Loss, Australia’s Gain ......15 Allan Hawke 2. Introducing Paul Dibb (2): An Enriching Experience ...........21 Chris Barrie 3. Getting to Know Paul Dibb: An Overview of an Extraordinary Career ..................................25 Desmond Ball 4. Scholar, Spy, Passionate Realist .........................33 Geoffrey Barker 5. The Power of Geography ..............................45 Peter J. Rimmer and R. Gerard Ward 6. The Importance of Geography ..........................71 Robert Ayson 7. -
PRISM Vol. 2 No 3
PRISM❖ Vol. 2, no. 3 06/2011 PRISM Vol. 2, no. 3 2, no. Vol. ❖ 06/2011 www.ndu.edu A JOURNAL OF THE CENTER FOR COMPLEX OPERATIONS PRISM ABOUT CENTER FOR COMPLEX OPERATIONS (CCO) CCO WAS ESTABLISHED TO: PRISM is published by the National Defense University Press for the Center for ❖❖ Serve as an information clearinghouse and knowledge Enhancing the U.S. Government’s Ability to manager for complex operations training and education, PUBLISHER Complex Operations. PRISM is a security studies journal chartered to inform members of U.S. Federal agencies, allies, and other partners on complex and Prepare for Complex Operations acting as a central repository for information on areas Dr. Hans Binnendijk integrated national security operations; reconstruction and nation-building; such as training and curricula, training and education pro- CCO, a center within the Institute for National Strategic relevant policy and strategy; lessons learned; and developments in training and vider institutions, complex operations events, and subject EDITOR AND RESEARCH DIRECTOR Studies at National Defense University, links U.S. education to transform America’s security and development apparatus to meet matter experts Government education and training institutions, including Michael Miklaucic tomorrow’s challenges better while promoting freedom today. related centers of excellence, lessons learned programs, ❖❖ Develop a complex operations training and education com- and academia, to foster unity of effort in reconstruction munity of practice to catalyze innovation and development DEVELOPMENTAL EDITOR and stability operations, counterinsurgency, and irregular of new knowledge, connect members for networking, share Melanne A. Civic, Esq. COMMUNICATIONS warfare—collectively called “complex operations.” existing knowledge, and cultivate foundations of trust and The Department of Defense, with support from the habits of collaboration across the community Constructive comments and contributions are important to us. -
The Pearson Global Forum
The Pearson Global Forum FORUM REPORT October 4–5, 2018 Authored by Bridget Burns, Jordan Ernstsen, Rebecca Ernstsen, Elaine Li, Lauren Manning, Evan Trowbridge Welcome The Pearson Global Forum The most devastating conflicts raging across the globe are not wars between nations, but violent breakdowns of social order. When the institutions that bind people together and govern how they interact with one another are illegitimate, conflict emerges creating significant instability. This instability is a by-product of the autocratic On behalf of The Pearson Institute for the Study and Resolution of Global Conflicts, I’d like to thank those who regimes that plague such societies and which fail to invest in education, infrastructure and the health and welfare made possible the inaugural Pearson Global Forum. The objective of this paramount gathering was to bring of their citizens. Resources are withheld or wasted. Poverty takes root. Grievances mount. together scholars, leaders, and practitioners to discuss and debate pressing issues of global conflict, social order, and how to build and sustain peace. Such a situation can lead to social break downs, conflict and violence, the creation of economic crises and drive The Pearson Institute for the Study and Resolution of Global Conflicts was established through a grant from unprecedented global displacement. From Colombia to Nigeria to Afghanistan and the Democratic Republic the Thomas L. Pearson and Pearson Family Members Foundation and is dedicated to contributing to a world of Congo, it is the illegitimacy of the social order—the norms by which we define ourselves and our roles in more at peace through research, education, and engagement. -
1 Army in the 21 Century and Restructuring the Army: A
Army in the 21st Century and Restructuring the Army: A Retrospective Appraisal of Australian Military Change Management in the 1990s Renée Louise Kidson July 2016 A sub-thesis submitted for the degree of Master of Military and Defence Studies (Advanced) of The Australian National University © Copyright by Renée Louise Kidson 2016 All Rights Reserved 1 Declaration This sub-thesis is my own original work. I declare no part of this work has been: • copied from any other person's work except where due acknowledgement is made in the text; written by any other person; or • submitted for assessment in another course. The sub-thesis word count is 16,483 excluding Table of Contents, Annexes and Chapter 2 (Literature Review and Methods, a separate assessment under the MMDS(Adv) program). Renee Kidson Acknowledgements I owe my greatest thanks to my supervisors: Dr John Blaxland (ANU) and Colonel David Connery (Australian Army History Unit, AAHU), for wise counsel, patience and encouragement. Dr Roger Lee (Head, AAHU) provided funding support; and, crucially, a rigorous declassification process to make select material available for this work. Lieutenant Colonel Bill Houston gave up entire weekends to provide my access to secure archival vault facilities. Meegan Ablett and the team at the Australian Defence College Vale Green Library provided extensive bibliographic support over three years. Thanks are also extended to my interviewees: for the generosity of their time; the frankness of their views; their trust in disclosing materially relevant details to me; and for providing me with perhaps the finest military education of all – insights to the decision-making processes of senior leaders: military and civilian.