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37th ANNUAL FALL RESEARCH CONFERENCE COMPLEX CHALLENGES, NEW PERSPECTIVES 36TH ANNUAL FALL RESEARCH CONFERENCE NOVEMBER 6-8, 2014 APPAMALBUQUERQUE, NM THE GOLDEN AGE OF EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY NOVEMBER 12 - 14, 2015 MIAMI, FLORIDA Download the mobile app by using the QR code, visiting your mobile device’s app store, or visiting APPAM.org 1 APPAM 37th Annual Fall Research Conference / November 12 - 14, 2015, Miami, Florida 5 Letter from President-Elect 6 Program Committee Listing 8 Conference Information 12 Session Information 13 Conference Policy Areas 16 Schedule at a Glance 18 Special Events 20 Caucuses 22 Student Resources 24 Sponsors 26 Sessions by Policy Area 36 Thursday Schedule by Day 40 Thursday Schedule Detailed 78 Friday Schedule by Day 82 Friday Schedule Detailed 114 Saturday Schedule by Day 120 Saturday Schedule Detailed 152 Poster Sessions 166 Participant index 186 Hotel/City Information & Maps 3 Contents APPAM 37th Annual Fall Research Conference / November 12 - 14, 2015, Miami, Florida Letter from the President-Elect Dear Fellow Attendees: Welcome to Miami and our 37th Annual Research Conference. Policymakers today face many challenges—changes in family formation, poverty and economic in- equality, population aging, growth in the demand for educated workers, and rising health care costs among them. The challenges are deepened by the federal debt which continues to grow every year with no solution in sight. The theme of this year’s conference, “The Golden Age of Evidenced-Based Policy,” is well suited to formulating public policy to deal with these problems while achieving maximum impact using our limited, and in some cases, declining federal resources. The essence of evidence-based policy is to spend most government funds on programs that have been shown by rigorous evaluations to produce impacts and to evaluate programs to make sure they continue to produce the outcomes that justify their funding. As you will see, many of the sessions at this year’s conference are consistent with the theme of expanding evidence-based policy. APPAM has always emphasized including diverse participants and perspectives in our Fall Confer- ence. This year, we continue expanding on that diversity by featuring papers, panels, and round- tables that include presenters, chairs, and discussants from a range of disciplines, from a range of countries, and a multitude of backgrounds. Thanks to all of you, we had 2,153 submissions this year, a record number. Although we will have nearly 1,000 papers at this year’s conference (another record), because of the large number of submissions our acceptance rate was only 44 percent as compared with 58 percent last year. We wish the acceptance rate could be higher, but we have limited space and time at the conference; so if we have such a large number of submissions, our acceptance rate must fall. I personally regret turning down many of the proposed sessions, but we were forced into a high refusal rate by the large number of high quality proposals. In addition to the many panels showcasing cutting-edge research, be sure to keep an eye out for numerous topical roundtables. I think you might also find especially interesting the three invited symposia – on evidence-based policy in the business world, on the promise and limits of preschool programs, and on using evidence-based policy in management. Other program highlights include the New Member and First Time Attendee Reception on Wednesday afternoon, the caucuses on Saturday morning, and, of course, Jane Waldfogel’s Presidential Address and reception on Friday. We all owe a huge round of thanks to our Program Committee, especially the chairs, who worked so hard to build our conference program. And as always, a huge round of thanks to Tara Sheehan, APPAM’s Executive Director, to Tristanne Staudt, who is the APPAM staffer directly responsible for the annual conference, and to our other staffers for all their hard work and dedication to make this conference possible. Finally, thanks to each of you for attending the conference and for supporting the conference financially by paying the registration fee and intellectually by presenting papers or participating in conference sessions. Thanks in large part to you, I am confident that we will have another immense- ly successful national conference and that we will go home knowing the APPAM provides a highly effective forum for the exchange of information and ideas about public policy and management. Ron Haskins APPAM President-Elect 4 5 APPAM 37th Annual Fall Research Conference / November 12 - 14, 2015, Miami, Florida Program Committee Ron Haskins Chair, Brookings Institution Colleen Barry Johns Hopkins University Stephen Bell Abt Associates Marianne Bitler University of California, Irvine Meg Blume-Kohout New Mexico Consortium Beth Boulay Abt Associates Cay Bradley Mathematica Policy Research Marguerite Burns University of Wisconsin Shawn Bushway University at Albany – SUNY Thad Calabrese New York University Sanya Carley Indiana University Marcy Carlson University of Wisconsin Kitt Carpenter Vanderbilt University Laura Dague Texas A&M University Ron D'Amico Social Policy Research Associates Nianbo Dong University of Missouri Maryann Feldman University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Chloe Gibbs University of Virginia Bob Granger Retired Kelly Hallberg University of Chicago Colleen Heflin University of Missouri Carolyn Hill Georgetown University Kevin Hollenbeck W.E. Upjohn Institute Alison Jacknowitz American University Nareej Kaushal Columbia University Jill Khadduri Abt Associates Rachel Krause University of Kansas Jeff Larrimore The Federal Reserve Board Jens Ludwig University of Chicago John MacDonald University of Pennsylvania Rebecca Maynard University of Pennsylvania Nan Maxwell Mathematica Policy Research Larry Mead New York University Sam Myers University of Minnesota Gary Painter University of Southern California Larry Orr Johns Hopkins University APPAM is saddened by the passing of Dennis Smith, a Lucie Schmidt Williams College longtime member of APPAM. Daniel Schneider University of California, Berkeley Dennis showed his dedication Patrick Sharkey New York University to public service through years Beth Shinn Vanderbilt University of teaching at NYU Wagner, Dennis Smith New York University extensive research in criminal Steven Smith American Political Science Association justice and public management, Matthew Steinberg University of Pennsylvania and active involvement in APPAM and its committees. Brett Theodos The Urban Institute He was a frequent chair of the Wayne Vroman The Urban Institute Public Management section of Brad Wilcox University of Virginia the Program Committee and is Elizabeth Wilson University of Minnesota largely responsible for growing Bobbi Wolfe University of Wisconsin that section to the prominence Nick Wolfinger University of Utah it enjoys today. 6 APPAM 37th Annual Fall Research Conference / November 12 - 14, 2015, Miami, Florida Registration Exhibit Hall Exhibitors as of October 15 APPAM Central Student Professional Conference Information Development Sessions u Riverfront Central Lobby Riverfront South/Central Abt Associates Riverfront South/Central Welcome to APPAM’s 37th u American Association for Public Opinion Research Brickell Center u Please wear your conference Visit our sponsors and exhibitors American Institutes for Research Located in the Exhibit Hall, APPAM u Annual Fall Research badge at all times. A badge is in the beautifully decorated Exhibit American Society of Health Economics Central is where you’ll find APPAM Professional development sessions u required to enter all sessions, Hall conveniently located close to APPAM staff available to answer questions for students will take place on u Conference, The Golden receptions and other events. Plus it the Registration area. Learn about Association Book Exhibit and provide any information you Thursday, November 12, and u makes networking so much easier various programs and institutions, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management might require. A relaxation area with Friday, November 13, to better Age of Evidence-Based u when your name is on display! You mingle with exhibitors, and connect Association for Education Finance & Policy complimentary Wi-Fi is available accommodate student travel u can pick up your badge when you with your peers all while taking Baruch College - The City University of New York for those needing to jump online schedules. The sessions are aimed Policy. This program book u check in at the registration area. advantage of complimentary Wi-Fi Cambridge University Press to check messages. A Tweet Wall at supporting students in all stages u Registration will be located in the and lounge areas. Coffee, breakfast Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics provides a look at what topics at of their education, from undergrad- contains information on u Riverfront Central Lobby of the Hy- and snacks will be available in the Daniel J. Evans School of Public Policy and Governance the conference are generating buzz uate through postdoctoral and can u att Regency Miami and will be open Exhibit Hall each day except on Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy and what your peers are talking be found in the program under the all of the sessions, special u during the following hours: Friday, when breakfast will be avail- ETS HiSET about. abbreviation (ST). A listing of ses- u able at the Spencer Foundation Fulbright U.S. Student Program sions can be found on
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