Prevail 2020

IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Project Title Double Trouble: how Operations Risk Insights with Watson identifies and mitigates risks from the pandemic to global cyclone threats for IBMers and Non-profit Disaster Relief Agencies IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Agenda

01 02 03 04 05 INTRODUCTION ABOUT US OUR TEAM OUR OFFERING TIMELINE

06 07 08 09 10 USERS and RESILIENCY THE SOLUTION NEW USE CASES and BENEFITS SERVICES ENHANCEMENTS NEXT STEPS IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Presenters

Tom Ward Rahul Nahar Chet Karwatowski STSM, AI Lead and AoT Member, CDO STSM, Cognitive Enterprise, CAO STSM and OCM Lead, Buy@IBM, CIO IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Highlights

Ginni’s first COVID-19 memo to all Released in July – Arvind’s Corporate Social AnthonyTechnology J D’Angelo Helps Non-Profits IBM employees on March 9th : Responsibility report highlights how IBMers Prepare for Disaster Season: “Operations Risk Insights” is available responded to the pandemic: Updates needed by “Day One Disaster Relief, goes to not-for-profit organizations. ” and aid organizations and others coping with COVID-19. wherever the gaps are, and “remember that IBM has successfully The volunteer team, from many IBM locations, recently that has been the supply managed through many global crises built an additional dashboard to deliver up-to-date chain for the COVID-19 response. over its 109-year history, everything COVID-19 data, media insights, social vulnerability from global health issues, to market data, community demographics and more — based crashes, to world wars, to 9/11. on numerous trusted sources IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Project Summary

Initiative Summary: • Executive Champions: Tim Humphrey (CDO), • Operations Risk Insights (ORI) is a Hybrid Cesare Baroni (CIO), Wilson Lowery (CAO) and Cloud and AI based Resiliency Service Andrea Sayles (GTS BRS) available to all IBMers globally. It is primarily used by GTS Resiliency Services, Corporate • Initiative Owner: Tom Ward (Academy of Social Responsibility, Global Real Estate, Technology Member) Systems Supply Chain, Procurement and others. ORI identifies and helps mitigate • Co-Leaders: natural and man-made disasters for IBMers Rahul Nahar (CAO), Chester Karwatowski and non-profit Disaster Relief agencies. (CIO), Rahul Aru (GTS)

Key Outcomes: • Key Contributors: Mallikarjun Motagi (MKT), • Risk Insights has delivered over $15M in Manojkumar Juturu (CIO), Bhanwar Gupta business benefit to IBM over the past 3 (CIO), Rinku Kanwar (CIO), Satish Ambig years. It has been recognized with several (MKT), Arpita HR (MKT), Adarsh Chara (MKT) industry awards and patents. and Vishwas Chouhan (CIO) and many others… IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Operations Risk Insights Core Team

Global Operations Risk Insights Core Team

CDO CIO CHQ MRKTING OTHER BU’s 6 IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 ORI Offering and Business Benefit

An automated, comprehensive, and Watson- Gain in efficiency and powered Alert Service that assesses supply $15M chain, operations and disaster relief risk events cost avoidance in three to identify those posing the greatest threat of years impact. #1 internal user of TWC data sources monitored hourly to APIsBusiness across IBM Impact synthesize millions of records in real-time and analyze risk-event impact to 2018 Call for Code Finalist and in 2019 Winner of the points of interest globally including hospitals, IBM People’s Choice Call airports, aging dams, watersheds, glacial lakes and other disaster relief centers and data center for Code Award sites worldwide IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 ORI Journey to Trusted Disaster Resiliency SaaS and GBS Offering

Risk Insights started Operations Risk The ORI entry is a ORI up Extreme Blue ORI expanded to include as an IBM Extreme Insights (ORI) is an finalist of the project: Logistics COVID-19, new UI/UX, map Blue Summer intern AI on the cloud inaugural Call for Utility with Cognitive enhancements. Runs on program in 2015 and showcase for Supply Code for Disaster Insights (LUCI) is the the RedHat OpenShift was expanded Chain Clients and Relief. Featured at the IBMer’s choice CIRRUS platforms as a GBS globally for IBM expanded to RESO Hurricane Florence winner and 2019 offering Supply Chain and and GTS Business and Michael event in IBM Internal Call for Procurement Resiliency teams RTP for NGOs Code Runner-Up IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 How did IBM know 5 sites, 11 data centers, 43 suppliers, 45 airports + 84 hospitals were at risk from Hurricane Laura in a COVID-19 hot zone 3 days before impact? IBM Analysts got real-time Risk Insights using The Weather Company and Watson APIs on the Cloud

1000’s of trusted news sources and alert services IBM and RedHat OpenShift Cloud Watson

Hurricane Laura hit the Gulf Coast in COVID-19 outbreak details at a parish Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) Louisiana on Thursday, August 27th /county level available in ORI shows communities at risks

…same for Typhoons Bavi, Maysak and Haishen in South Korea in early September IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 ORI Users and Benefits

Disaster Relief IBM Internal Organizations Business benefit Free usage of ORI as per IBM Risk mitigation and cost avoidance Corporate Social Responsibility GTS Business Resiliency Services (BRS), Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR), Total Benefit 2020 YTD Procurement, Supply Chain, GRE - Security and over 3 years Actual CIO/CAO/CDO Recent Client Showcases $15M $2M

2020 and 2019 major risks • COVID-19 – global pandemic • California Wildfires and Earthquake • Typhoons Bavi, Maysak, Haishen • Hurricane Laura • European Heat Wave • Mexico Fuel Shortage • Japan Earthquakes • Typhoon Fani • Hurricane Dorian • Typhoon Kammuri IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Demonstration and Solution Review IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 ORI Data Flow

CDC SVI & WHO COVID19

Every 3,6,12 hours COVID19

Watson Discovery CEDP News COVID19 IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 ORI Disaster Recovery Work Flow

Monitor for Risk Operations Risk Insights: Events Process automation & embedded analytics State, Country, Geo significantly improve efficacy and Global Location and efficiency of Enterprise Risk Executives and CMTs Align Regional and Mgt at IBM Global Responses Decision point Crisis Management Teams: IBM has 1000+ CMTs with 4500 CMT members including SLE, Assess risk, modify Identify affected points Business Continuity Planning: Security, HR, Finance and actions and of interest (site, client, Communications document decisions supplier, data center) IBM has 500+ critical sites and over 1500 Business Continuity Plans across sites and by brand with Site based CMTs playbooks for 4 response scenarios; CMTs work with Business Leaders : Workplace, Work Force, IT or manage local crisis business unit leaders have BCPs by site Regional Disaster response to launch and monitor and by brand BCPs IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Trusted Data Source Analysis and Integration

Event Severity Who gets notified? Avg/day Effort

All alert notifications are received and analyzed for Non-impacting an individual risk alert service. Alerts do not geo- risk events spatially intersect with a location of interest are 2000 1hr/wk deemed non-impacting

Potentially Risk Alerts which do intersect geo spatially impacting risk with a location of interest are potentially 50 1hr/event events impacting risk events Apply AI & ensemble analysis across risk alert services Impacting risk event to identify all high probability impacted locations Attributes of event are confirmed to have disrupted high to medium the operation or delivery of .1 20+hr/wk severe impacting location (supplier, IBM, or client site)

Highly likely a 14 severe impact risk #1 Consumer of TWC event APIs Inside IBM, used CEDP Data Ingestion and Analysis By 100’s of IBMers Cognitive Enterprise Data Platform (CEDP) stores details on all Risk Alerts for cognitive analytics and provides risk visibility to other IBM cognitive apps: Supply Chain 360, Resolution Room (SCI), RESO… monthly IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Next Steps, Questions and Answers

ORI Next Steps

1. Improve UI / UX for expanded IBM and client use ➢ Adopt Open Source Carbon UI Design platform and OpenShift for multi-tenant hosting platform ➢ Implement Responsive Design for mobile use 2. Expand AI and Machine Learning insights 3. Expand disaster relief use cases with NGOs and clients for the pandemic and clean water protection 4. Improve pandemic data insights and global granularity 5. Social Media analysis for hyper-local details 6. TWC Pangea SDK adoption and showcase 7. Recruit more volunteers!! Join #operations_risk_insights ibm.biz/RiskInsights 15 IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Links to Internal and External ORI References

• ORI publisher page: https://w3.ibm.com/w3publisher/ibm-global-chief-data-office/ai-accelerator/operations- risk-insights • New ORI welcome page: https://risk-insights.us1a.cirrus.ibm.com/welcome.jsp • New ORI COVID page: https://risk-insights.us1a.cirrus.ibm.com/index.html#/ori/covid • ORI welcome page: https://risk-insights.w3ibm.mybluemix.net/welcome.jsp • ORI COVID page: https://risk-insights.w3ibm.mybluemix.net/cdc.jsp • ORI in 2019 CSR annual report: https://www.ibm.org/responsibility/2019/case-studies/ibm-covid-19-volunteers • IBM News external press release: https://newsroom.ibm.com/ORI-nonprofits-disaster • NC Tech article after our NGO workshop in April: https://www.ednc.org/nonprofits-and-artificial-intelligence- join-forces-for-covid-19-relief/ • Business Continuity Awareness Week feature: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/turbulent-times-what-does- business-resiliency-mean-today-halferty-/ IBM Academy Of Technology PREVAIL 2020 Back-up Materials for Q&A

17 Multiple Alert analysis for IBMers and NGO’s – Hurricane Laura hits high COVID risk Louisiana

1. ORI shows pandemic details and IBM 3. Double trouble COVID hotspot, high SVI and sites by country, state and county in US 2. SVI and COVID details available including Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) multiple tropical storms forecast in the region

4. Tracking Hurricane Laura: actual and 6. Louisiana has the worst COVID-19 infection forecast on top of the COVID-SVI and 5. News Analysis of COVID along rate across the USA at the time of Hurricane Tropical Storm view the Hurricane Laura track Laura’s impact to the US southeast region Meanwhile, there is a major business threat to IBM clients and global business operations

1. ORI shows Typhoon Maysak to hit the 2. The Global Heath Security Index 3. Typhoon Maysak with high winds forecast Korean peninsula only days after Typhoon (GHSI) and COVID details are to hit Seoul with many IBM points of interest Bavi had hit the same region available across the region at risk along its forecasted track

4. Category 3 storm tracking to high 5. ORI email alerts prioritized to align 6. News analysis allows risk analysts to readily population density region with critical with user preferences and event risk assess locations, damage and weather affects sites, suppliers and clients severity highlighted in regional and global reports The CDC SVI metric is comprised of the following dimensions as listed below. It is evaluated on a county by county level across the USA

The Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) shown above is a Center for Disease Control (CDC) risk assessment score from 0 to 1 to indicate which US counties are most at risk from the proliferation of disease. Hendy County in Florida is one of the riskiest in US. Hospitals are also visible in ORI for NGOs. The GHSI is based on expert evaluations across 6 categories, 34 Indicators and 140 questions for 195 countries. The categories are reflected below.

The Global Health Security (GHS) Index shown below is the first comprehensive assessment and benchmarking of health security and related capabilities across 195 countries. Yemen has one of the lowest GHSI scores at 18.5 out of 100. The USA has the highest score at 83.5. 2018 Disaster Recovery IBM Call for Code Semifinalist 2015 Extreme Blue Project and Risk Rover 2019 Call for Code IBMer’s Choice Winner and overall runner-up and 2019 Extreme Blue Project 2 ORI 2020 Call for Code entries are under evaluation finalist Logistic Utility with Cognitive announced on Sep 15 Insights (LUCI)