NOAA Global Systems Laboratory
User-Driven Decision Support
Daniel Nietfeld Liaison to the National Weather Service Chief, Weather Information Systems Evolution Branch What does Decision Support Look Like?
2021 Global Systems Laboratory Science Review 2 Meaningful Forecast Information
Model development Operational Core Partners making producing forecast Forecasters using and decisions based on the output communicating the weather information forecast model output provided
GSL Grand Scientific Challenge: “Providing actionable environmental information through the delivery of global to storm-scale predictions and innovative decision support capabilities to serve society”
2021 Global Systems Laboratory Science Review 3 Modernizing Warnings and Watches
Hazard Services
2021 Global Systems Laboratory Science Review 4 User Experience (UX) Research
Understanding information needs to influence designs
Developers/ Scientists
UX Research
Forecasters Core Partners
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2021 Global Systems Laboratory Science Review 5 Social Science Research
Operational Research & User Forecast Development Community Community Community
GSL Incident Social Meteorologists/ Social Tools & Commanders/ Science Forecasters Science Applications & Emergency Managers Information
Actual NWS Fire Weather Briefing Graphic derived from timing uncertainty research
2021 Global Systems Laboratory Science Review 6 Uncertainty and Ranges of Possibilities
Timing Uncertainty Magnitude Uncertainty
Official Official Forecast Forecast
Hour (time) Snow amount 2021 Global Systems Laboratory Science Review 7 “How Confident Are You That This Will Happen?”