Overview of the Estonian Economy 2013
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Ministry of Economic Affairs and Communications Ministry of Finance OVERVIEW OF THE ESTONIAN ECONOMY 2013 Tallinn 2014 Contents Macroeconomics ............................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Foreign Trade..................................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Exports ........................................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Imports ........................................................................................................................................................................................... 8 Manufacturing Industry .................................................................................................................................................................. 10 Food and Beverage Production .................................................................................................................................................... 13 Manufacture of Textiles ................................................................................................................................................................. 16 Manufacture of Wearing Apparel ................................................................................................................................................. 18 Wood Processing ............................................................................................................................................................................. 20 Manufacture of Pulp, Paper and Paper Products ...................................................................................................................... 22 Chemical Industry ........................................................................................................................................................................... 24 Manufacturing of Rubber and Plastic Products ......................................................................................................................... 27 Manufacture of Metals and Metal Products ............................................................................................................................... 29 Manufacture of Machinery and Equipment ............................................................................................................................... 31 Manufacture of Electronic and Electrical Equipment .............................................................................................................. 33 Manufacturing Means of Transport ............................................................................................................................................. 36 Manufacture of Furniture .............................................................................................................................................................. 38 Construction Sector ........................................................................................................................................................................ 40 Domestic Trade ............................................................................................................................................................................... 43 Retail Business ............................................................................................................................................................................. 44 Tourism ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 46 Inbound Tourism ....................................................................................................................................................................... 48 Domestic Tourism ...................................................................................................................................................................... 49 Outbound Tourism .................................................................................................................................................................... 49 Information and Communication ................................................................................................................................................ 51 Transport .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 55 Annexes ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 59 Abbreviations in text: y-o-y – year-over-year r.s. – right scale l.s. – left scale * – preliminary, short term statistics Overview of the Estonian Economy 2013 3 Macroeconomics footwear, was still lower by one-fifth from the highs Positive trends continued to dominate the economy of the boom era. of Estonia during 2013 - the unemployment rate fell, price increases slowed down, employment continued % y-o-y Economic growth to increase and the real growth of wage income 20 picked up significantly. Economic growth was faster 15 than the EU average, although it slowed down 10 considerably in the second half of the year. The 5 annual GDP growth in Estonia in 2013 was 0.8%. 0 The growth inhibited mostly the transport and -5 storage sector and added the value that was eventually -10 -15 affected by reduced transit flows. Also, the decrease -20 of the added value of construction and professional 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 and technical activities had an important influence for European Union the economy. GDP growth was supported by Source: Statistics Estonia domestic demand-oriented sectors to the economy, Estonia % y-o-y in Domestic demand particularly wholesale and retail trade and 40 information and communication. Aside from 30 domestic demand, the manufacturing industry 20 contributed to the growth of the value added which 10 grew along with the recovery of external demand. 0 -10 The growth of domestic demand decelerated in 2013 -20 due to the stalling of the growth in investments (1%) -30 -40 although private consumption continued to grow at a -50 rapid pace (4.2%). In the year 2012 investments made 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 half of the growth of domestic demand, but in the Private consumption first half of the year 2013 the real investment volumes Source: Statistics Estonia Investments produced a descent decline. Throughout the year, investment in the growth of residential real estate In 2013, foreign trade was affected by moderate picked up, accompanied by a significant increase in foreign demand and a decrease of re-export. The prices. Regarding enterprises, growth in investment in weighted average the economic growth of trading machinery and equipment continued and due to the partners was the lowest in recent years and demand low base level the construction of buildings and for imports was in decline in several important export facilities also rose rapidly. Purchase of new trains markets. The goods and services export growth increased investment in the means of transport. slowed from 5.6% in the year 2012 to 1.8% in the Government investment in buildings and structures year 2013. In previous first half of the year, exports decreased significantly in relation to the ending of the remained strong, in the second half exports turned previous period of EU structural funds. The low into a small recession. Comparing groups of goods, aggregate level of investments remained below the the growth was driven by wood and wood products, pre-crisis level mainly because cautious companies food products and textiles. Export of metals and established new and renovated buildings on a small machinery and equipment was in decline. Across scale. Also, investment in housing and transport countries, exports increased the most to Latvia, whilst remained significantly lower. Investments in a larger decline in exports to the USA was due to a machinery and equipment grew, however, almost on decrease of re-exports. Due to decreased transits and a pre-crisis trend and exceeded their previous peak a decrease of exports in engineering services, the levels. The continued rapid growth of private export of services also suffered a small decline. The consumption in 2013 received support from growth in imports surpassed exports in the year 2013 accelerating wage increases, moderate employment due to strong import of services and a continued growth and unemployment reduction. Real income increase of consumer spending. growth came from a sharply slower price rise in the Despite the weakness of the export markets, the second half of the year. Also, consumer confidence external balance in the year 2013 improved. The moved in an upward trend for the second year in a current account deficit narrowed to 1% of GDP row. As income growth was broad-based, then the due to lower deficits in revenue. Revenues earned by growth in consumption of non-durable goods, Estonian enterprises in