Maria Cuellar CV (Current As of November 19, 2018)

Maria Cuellar CV (Current as of November 19, 2018)

Email: [email protected] Website: https://web.sas.upenn.edu/mcuellar/ Twitter: @maria__cuellar Phone number: (646) 463-1883 Address: 483 McNeil Building, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104

FACULTYACADEMICAPPOINTMENTS

7/2018- Assistant Professor University of Pennsylvania, Department of Criminology.

POSTDOCTORALTRAINING

1-6/2018 Postdoctoral Fellow University of Pennsylvania, Department of Criminology.

EDUCATION

2013-2017 Ph.D. in Statistics and Public Policy Carnegie Mellon University (Advisor: Stephen E. Fienberg, Edward H. Kennedy). Dissertation: “Causal reasoning and data analysis in the law: Estimation of the probability of causation.” Top paper award, Statistics in Epidemiology Section of the American Statistical Association.

2013-2016 M.Phil. in Public Policy Carnegie Mellon University (Advisor: Stephen E. Fienberg). Thesis: “Shaken baby syndrome on trial: A statistical analysis of arguments made in court.” Best paper award, Heinz College of Public Policy.

2013-2015 M.S. in Statistics Carnegie Mellon University (Advisor: Jonathan P.Caulkins). Thesis: “Weeding out underreporting: A study of trends in reporting of marijuana consumption.”

2005-2009 B.A. in Physics Reed College (Advisor: Mary James). Thesis: “Using weak gravitational lensing to ﬁnd dark matter distributions in galaxy clusters.”

OTHER EXPERIENCE

2015-2017 Research Assistant, Center for Statistics and Applications in Forensic Evidence (CSAFE). Study statistical arguments used in court about shaken baby syndrome and forensic science techniques.

2015-2017 Research Assistant, National Science Foundation Census Research Network. Grant support. Develop new network survey sampling mechanisms for hard-to-reach populations.

2014-2015 Research Assistant, Drug Policy and BOTEC Analysis. Study trends in marijuana use in the National Survey of Drug Use and Health.

2013 Research Assistant, Center for Human Rights Science. Grant support. Explore the relationship between Twitter posts about the Syrian conﬂict and the timing of casualties.

2012 Field Work Manager, MIT Poverty Action Lab, J-PAL Latin America & The Caribbean, Santiago, Chile. Carry out RCT with n 70,000 to evaluate the impact of parental involvement on educational outcomes. = PUBLICATIONS

• Cuellar M, Mentch L, Spiegelman C (2018), “Association does not imply discrimination: Flawed analyses that lead to wrongful convictions,” in Handbook of Forensic Statistics, Chapman & Hall/CRC Handbooks of Modern Statistical Methods, S 1 Chp 4, forthcoming.

• Cuellar M; Trends in Underreporting of Marijuana Consumption in the United States, Statistics and Public Policy, 2018, 5(1), 1–10.

• Cuellar M; Causal reasoning and data analysis: Problems with the abusive head trauma diagnosis, Law, Probability and Risk, 2017; 16(4): 223–239.

• Cuellar M, Short fall arguments in court: A Probabilistic Analysis, 50 U. Mich. J. L. Reform 763 (2017).

SUBMITTEDMANUSCRIPTS

• Cuellar M, Gonzalez C, Dror I; Human and algorithmic similarity judgments in forensic ﬁrearm comparisons (2018).

• Cuellar M, Kennedy E; A nonparametric estimator for the probability of causation. (2018) arxiv:1607.02566

AWARDS

2018 Norman Breslow Prize, Statistics in Epidemiology Section, American Statistical Association. 2017 Stephen Fienberg Travel Award, Center for Statistics and Applications in Forensic Evidence. 2016 Wray Jackson Smith Scholarship, Government Statistics Section, American Statistical Association. 2016 George Duncan Award for Excellence in Doctoral Studies, Heinz College of Public Policy. 2015 Mihaela Serban Memorial Award, for starting CMU Women in Statistics group. 2009 Commendation for Academic Excellence, Reed College.

MEDIA

10/19/2018 MIT Technology Review, Harris, M (Mention). “Video doorbell firm Ring says its devices slash crime–but the evidence looks flimsy.” 10/01/2018 Significance Magazine, Thieme, N (Mention). “Statistics in court.” 06/02/2016 Innocence Project News, Chu, S (Mention). “Houston Chronicle Op-Ed: Keep Houston Forensic Science Center Independent.” 05/31/2016 Houston Chronicle, Thompson WC, Spiegelman C, Mentch L, and Cuellar M (Author). “Who should control Houston’s crime lab?” 03/13/2016 Pittsburgh Post Gazette, Mentch L, Cuellar M, Thompson WC, and Spiegelman C (Author). “Four experts explain why forensic analysis of crime scenes is not as reliable as you might think.” 11/04/2014 Slate Magazine, Kleiman MAR (Mention). “The other way to legalize marijuana.” SERVICE

2018 2020 Member of Advisory Committee on Forensic Science of the American Statistical Association. − 2018 Reviewer for Statistics in Medicine. 2018 Reviewer for Trauma, Violence, and Abuse. 2018 Reviewer for Law, Probability and Risk. 2018 Reviewer for Journal of Quantitative Criminology. 2017 Session Chair, 10th International Conference on Forensic Inference & Statistics. 2016 Session Chair, Joint Statistical Meetings: “Using Statistics to Understand Health Care Quality." 2014 Reviewer for International Journal of Drug Policy. TEACHING

University of Pennsylvania: 2019 (expected) Spring, Instructor for “Introduction to Criminal Justice” (604-200). 2018 Fall, Instructor for “Forensic Analysis” (604-240). 2018 Guest lecturer for Greg Ridgeway in “Criminology in Practice” (604-301). 2018 Guest lecturer for Aaron Chalﬁn in “Seminar in Criminal Justice” (601-301).

Carnegie Mellon University: 2017 Guest lecturer for Edward Kennedy in “Statistical Paradoxes” (36-143). 2017 Guest lecturer for Jared Murray in “Sampling, Survey and Society” (36-303). 2016 Teaching Assistant for “Economic Principles of Policy Analysis” (91-803). 2015 Teaching Assistant for “Health Economics” (94-705). 2015 Teaching Assistant for “Sampling, Survey and Society” (36-303). 2014 Teaching Assistant for “Empirical Methods for Public Policy and Management” (90-711). 2014/2015 Teaching Assistant for the Heinz “Quantitative Skills Summer Program” (QSSP). 2013 Teaching Assistant for “Experimental Design for Behavioral and Social Sciences” (36-309).

SOFTWARE

pcausation: R package for nonparametric estimation of the probability of causation. Available at github.com/mariacuellar/pcausation.

LANGUAGES

English (native), Spanish (native), French (ﬂuent).

GRADUATE COURSEWORK

Statistics & Data Science: Abstract Algebra I CUNY MATH 621 Mathematical Statistics CUNY STAT 703 Advanced Probability Theory I CUNY STAT 701 Probability and Mathematical Statistics I CMU STAT 36-700 Principles of Real Analysis I CMU MATH 21-355 Foundations of Statistics CMU STAT 36-835 Intermediate Statistics CMU STAT 36-705 Applied Regression Analysis CMU STAT 36-707 Advanced Data Analysis CMU STAT 36-757 Advanced Statistical Theory CMU STAT 36-755 Advanced Probability Overview CMU STAT 36-752 Immigration to Statistics (A survey of faculty memers’ research) CMU STAT 36-699 Data Privacy CMU STAT 36-762 Writing in Statistics CMU STAT 36-764 Advanced Methods for Data Analysis — Audited CMU STAT 36-608 Hierarchical Models — Audited CMU STAT 36-763 Networks — Audited CMU STAT 36-720 Public Policy: PhD Core Political Theory PITT POLI-SCI 2040 PhD Microeconomics I CMU PUB-POLICY 90-908 Introduction to Econometric Theory CMU PUB-POLICY 90-906 Behavioral Economics CUNY ECON 795 Public Policy PhD Seminars I, II, and III CMU PUB-POLICY 90-901/902/918 PhD Practicum Presentation Course CMU PUB-POLICY 90-929 PRESENTATIONS

“A Nonparametric Estimator for the Probability of Causation” 3/2019 (exp.)Invited lecture, 2018 Biostatistics seminar, NYU School of Medicine. 10/2018 (exp.) Invited lecture, 2018 Rutgers School of Public Health 21st Century Seminar Series. 10/2018 Invited lecture, 2018 Harvard Data Science Initiative. 08/2018 Contributed lecture, 2018 Joint Statistical Meetings. 06/2018 Contributed lecture, Atlantic Causal Inference Conference.

“A comparison of Similarity Scores Between Bullet Casings” 08/2018 Contributed lecture, 2018 Joint Statistical Meetings.

“Causes of Effects and Effects of Causes: A Statistical Analysis of Shaken Baby Syndrome” 07/2018 Contributed lecture, 2018 Joint Statistical Meetings. 09/2017 Contributed lecture, 10th International Conference on Forensic Inference & Statistics.

“Blinding in Forensic Laboratories: Proﬁciency Testing and Casework” 06/2018 Invited lecture, CSAFE All Hands Meeting at Iowa State University (co-author presented).

“Human and Algorithmic Similarity Judgments in Forensic Firearm Comparisons” 06/2017 Invited lecture, CSAFE All Hands Meeting at Iowa State University (co-author presented).

“A Semiparametric Method to Estimate the Probability of Causation” 05/2017 Poster, Atlantic Causal Inference Conference.

“Review of a Statistical Tool to Aid in the Diagnosis of Abusive Head Trauma” 07/2017 Contributed lecture, Shaken Baby Syndrome Webinar. 02/2017 Contributed lecture, American Academy of Forensic Sciences 69th Meeting.

“Observational Studies and Systematic Reviews” 07/2017 Contributed lecture, Shaken Baby Syndrome Webinar. 02/2017 Contributed lecture American Academy of Forensic Sciences 69th Meeting.

“Shaken Baby Syndrome on Trial: A Statistical Analysis of Arguments Made by Defense and Prosecution” 07/2018 Contributed lecture, 2018 Joint Statistical Meetings. 07/2017 Contributed lecture, 2017 Joint Statistical Meetings. 09/2016 Invited lecture, Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, U. Cambridge.

“A Probabilistic Analysis of Short Fall Arguments in Legal Cases of Abusive Head Trauma” 04/2016 Poster, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, Women in Math Sciences. 03/2016 Invited panel, West Virginia Law Review Symposium on Flawed Forensics and Innocence. 11/2015 Invited lecture, Child Abuse Evidence Symposium, University of Michigan. 10/2015 Poster, University of Iowa 2015 Center for Statistics and Applications in Forensic Evidence. 08/2015 Poster, SAMSI Workshop, Program on Statistics and Applied Mathematics in Forensic Science.

“Weeding Out Underreporting: A Study of Trends in Reporting of Marijuana Consumption in the US” 08/2016 Contributed lecture, 2016 Joint Statistical Meetings. 05/2015 First paper lecture requirement, Heinz College.