GLOBAL LINEAR ALPHA OLEFINS BY PRODUCT (C4, C6 AND C8)

MARKETS, TECHNOLOGIES AND TRENDS | 2016-2021

• Review of the 1-butene market • Review of the 1-hexene market • Review of the 1-octene market • Key growth drivers for LAO products • Market forecast for the next five years • Current global and regional demand • Current manufacturing technologies • Latest developments • Current supply situation • Forecast supply changes in the next five years • Drivers and impacts of supply for downstream users

COPY NO: • Current competitive landscape • Potential new LAO usage JULY 2017 • Drivers and trends for downstream RELEASE! applications

WHO SHOULD BUY THIS REPORT?

• Global linear alpha olefin producers that are expanding capacity • Global LLDPE producers and users • Linear alpha olefin import and export service providers

CHEMICAL MARKET RESOURCES For more information contact: +1 281 506 8234 | [email protected] | CMRhoutex.com GLOBAL LINEAR ALPHA OLEFINS - BY PRODUCT (C4, C5 AND C8)

INTRODUCTION

Linear alpha olefins (LAO) or normal alpha olefins (NAO) Another significant use of C4-C8 linear alpha olefins are olefins or with a CxH2x, is for production of linear via oxo synthesis distinguished from other mono-olefins with a similar () for later production of short-chain fatty molecular formula by linearity of the chain acid, a , by oxidation of an intermediate and the position of the double bond at the primary or aldehyde, or linear for plasticizer application by alpha position. of the aldehyde. Linear alpha olefins are a range of industrially important Most of the current commercial LAO products plants alpha-olefins, including 1-butene, 1-hexene, 1-octene, produce a broad range of even-numbered alpha-olefins 1-, 1-dodecene, 1-tetradecene, 1-hexadecene, based on oligomerization. The low cost of 1-octadecene and higher blends of C20-C24, C24-C30 and ethylene in North America is driving several investments C20-C30 ranges. This study will focus only on the C4, C6 in the region, both in LAO production and polyethylene and C8 length range. The lower carbon numbers, production, which will have a major influence on supply 1-butene, 1-hexene and 1-octene are overwhelmingly and demand dynamics in the coming five years. used as comonomer in production of polyethylene. High density polyethylene (HDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) use approximately 2-4% and 8-10% of comonomers, respectively. MAJOR OBJECTIVES KEY ISSUES ADDRESSED • Analysis of current status of the LAO market. • Outline of global LAO supply and demand dynamics on • Detailed analysis of manufacturing technology and a global and regional basis. current manufacturing cost analysis for LAO products. • Future drivers impacting LAO markets. • Analysis of current and new technological • Current and future technologies used to produce LAO developments. products addressed in this study with a manufacturing • Evaluate the impact of new end-user capacities on cost analysis. demand for global LAO products. • Market/technology positioning of major LAO • Provide detailed application analysis and competitive producers. landscape competition for LAO products. • End-use requirements for LAO products and unmet • Detailed regional assessment of the current supply/ needs of major LAO producers. demand scenario. • Impact of future supply and demand dynamics. • Present market forecasts by region and application for the next five years. • Develop detailed strategic analysis for LAO markets APPROACH and identify most attractive applications for entry of The information, data and conclusions of this analysis LAO products. will be developed from sources in North America, South America, Europe, China, Japan, Rest of Asia, and Middle East & Africa, and are based upon, but not limited to, the TIMELY STRATEGIC ANALYSIS following methods: This is a comprehensive study that will cover all major • Search, review and interpretation of information developments in the industry including changing market from government sources, trade and industry dynamics, technology trends, evolving industry structure groups, published articles and product promotional and strategic alliances, current and expected competitive information. landscape, a renewed emphasis on the emerging regions • A thorough search of relevant patent technology and and forecasts for the next five years. process details from producers. To assist companies in developing an in-depth analysis • Information from industry experts and CMR proprietary of the current market status and monitoring new projects related to LAO products. developments, Chemical Market Resources, Inc. (CMR), with its extensive experience in olefins and • Interviews with leading suppliers, technology licensors markets, presents a comprehensive business/technical and major end-users in each market segment. strategic analysis that reports in-depth on the competitive • Manufacturing cost economics and pricing structures landscape of these products/markets. The report will are based on CMR's extensive cost databases and assess the opportunities and the strategies for developing interviews. these markets across regions. This study focuses on global and regional demand dynamics, supplier productions, market share, competition, end-use applications, predominant producers, LAO product manufacturing technologies, manufacturing cost economics, profitability, and current/ future industry trends. The study presents strategic recommendations/options for new entrants as well as for existing players. Some of the strategic options include target regions, markets and products. Furthermore, future opportunities and trends are also provided for critical applications for LAO products. GLOBAL LINEAR ALPHA OLEFINS - BY PRODUCT (C4, C5 AND C8)

PRELIMINARY TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.0 INTRODUCTION AND ASSUMPTIONS 5.0 REGIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS - 1.1 Introduction NORTH AMERICA 1.2 Objectives 5.1 Introduction 1.3 CMR Methodology 5.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by 1.4 Regions addressed in this Study region and application, supply analysis, current and expected future trends 1.5 Supply and demand projections 5.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by 2.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY region and application, supply analysis, current and expected future trends 2.1 Introduction 5.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by 2.2 Current demand and supply region and application, supply analysis, 2.3 Current market dynamics (2016/2017) current and expected future trends 2.4 Strategic analysis 2.5 Conclusions 6.0 REGIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS - SOUTH AMERICA 3.0 PRODUCT AND APPLICATION ANALYSIS 6.1 Introduction 3.1 Introduction 6.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by region and application, supply analysis, 3.2 1-Butene current and expected future trends 3.3 1-Hexene 6.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by 3.4 1-Octene region and application, supply analysis, current and expected future trends 4.0 GLOBAL MARKET ANALYSIS 6.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by 4.1 Introduction region and application, supply analysis, 4.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, current and expected future trends 7.0 REGIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS - EUROPE 4.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by 7.1 Introduction region and application, supply analysis, 7.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, 4.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, 7.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, current and expected future trends 7.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by region and application, supply analysis, current and expected future trends PRELIMINARY TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONTINUED)

8.0 REGIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS - JAPAN 11.0 REGIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS - 8.1 Introduction MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA 8.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by 11.1 Introduction region and application, supply analysis, 11.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, 8.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, 11.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, 8.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, 11.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by current and expected future trends region and application, supply analysis, current and expected future trends 9.0 REGIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS - CHINA 9.1 Introduction 12.0 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS 9.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by 12.1 Manufacturing technology – region and application, supply analysis, Oligomerization of ethylene or Fischer- current and expected future trends Tropsch Synthesis (Dehydration of alcohols 9.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by is another route) region and application, supply analysis, 12.2 Chevron Phillips process current and expected future trends 12.3 INEOS process 9.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by 12.4 SHELL process region and application, supply analysis, 12.5 SABIC/Linde ALPHA-SABLIN® process current and expected future trends 12.6 UOP LINEAR-1® process

10.0 REGIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS - 13.0 SUPPLIER ANALYSIS REST OF ASIA 13.1 SHELL 10.1 Introduction 13.2 Chevron Phillips 10.2 1-Butene - current demand, forecast by region and application, supply analysis, 13.3 INEOS current and expected future trends 13.4 CPCC-Qatar 10.3 1-Hexene - current demand, forecast by 13.5 Nizhnekamskneftekhim region and application, supply analysis, 13.6 current and expected future trends 13.7 SABIC 10.4 1-Octene - current demand, forecast by 13.8 DOW region and application, supply analysis, 13.9 NPC – Iran current and expected future trends 13.10 Idemitsu

APPENDIX 1: GLOSSARY AND ABBREVIATIONS GLOBAL LINEAR ALPHA OLEFINS - BY PRODUCT (C4, C5 AND C8)

ABOUT CMR

Chemical Market Resources, Inc (CMR) was established The company employs highly qualified chemical in 1990 to undertake business research and strategic engineers/chemists with advanced degrees and extensive planning for a global clientele base concentrated in the experience in analysing all aspects of chemicals markets chemical, petrochemical, plastics and allied industries. and technologies. CMR is a full service consulting and market research With a strong technical background combined with firm with an emphasis on market oriented specialty business research experience, CMR is in a unique position polyolefins, feedstocks, derivatives and thermo-plastics. to address the analysis of the existing and future business/ technology opportunities.

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