EIR Founder and Contributing Editor: Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr. Editorial Board: Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr., Muriel Mirak-Weissbach, Antony Papert, Gerald From the Managing Editor Rose, Dennis Small, Edward Spannaus, Nancy Spannaus, Jeffrey Steinberg, William Wertz Associate Editor: Susan Welsh Managing Editors: John Sigerson, ur Feature this week picks up from EIR’s expose´ of the media Ronald Kokinda O Science Editor: Marjorie Mazel Hecht cartel back in January 1997, which documented the pivotal role of Special Projects: Mark Burdman the British-controlled news outlets in dictating American opinions. Book Editor: Katherine Notley Advertising Director: Marsha Freeman Over the last six months of intensive journalistic assassination efforts Circulation Manager: Stanley Ezrol against the U.S. President, there has been an increasing realization INTELLIGENCE DIRECTORS: that the media (“the elite”) represent a viewpoint diametrically op- Asia and Africa: Linda de Hoyos Counterintelligence: Jeffrey Steinberg, posed to that of the majority of “the people.” But the mind-control Paul Goldstein has yet to be broken. Economics: Marcia Merry Baker, William Engdahl A quick comparison of the stories in this issue of EIR, for exam- History: Anton Chaitkin ple, with the fare which is included in most of the rest of the mass Ibero-America: Robyn Quijano, Dennis Small Law: Edward Spannaus media, will give you a good idea of how the control is still operating. Russia and Eastern Europe: Start with the world financial meltdown. This week we are high- Rachel Douglas, Konstantin George United States: Debra Freeman, Suzanne Rose lighting the vastly underplayed story of the collapse of U.S. mutual INTERNATIONAL BUREAUS: funds, upon which untold numbers of pensions funds, colleges, and Bogota´: Jose´ Restrepo public entities have gambled their future revenues. Behind that, we Bonn: George Gregory, Rainer Apel Buenos Aires: Gerardo Tera´n review the world financial blowout, and the extremely significant Caracas: David Ramonet moves toward FDR-style measures which are being mooted by the Copenhagen: Poul Rasmussen Houston: Harley Schlanger Primakov government in Russia. Lima: Sara Maduen˜o What a contrast with the puff pieces for pumping up the financial Melbourne: Robert Barwick Mexico City: Hugo Lo´pez Ochoa bubble again, which are appearing in most of the U.S. media. Milan: Leonardo Servadio Then, look at our coverage of the Middle East summit, which has New Delhi: Susan Maitra Paris: Christine Bierre been going on at Maryland’s Wye Plantation over the past nine days, Rio de Janeiro: Silvia Palacios and compare that with other media. By and large, the most significant Stockholm: Michael Ericson United Nations, N.Y.C.: Leni Rubinstein story around the talks—the Israeli intelligence role in the terrorist Washington, D.C.: William Jones incident that interrupted the negotiations—has been blacked out by Wiesbaden: Go¨ran Haglund all English-language media. EIR (ISSN 0273-6314) is published weekly (50 issues) Most telling of all, is the fact that most English-language media except for the second week of July, and the last week of December by EIR News Service Inc., 317 Pennsylvania continue to black out the impressive record, and increasing world- Ave., S.E., 2nd Floor, Washington, DC 20003. (202) 544-7010. For subscriptions: (703) 777-9451. wide recognition of our Founder, Lyndon LaRouche. The cartel World Wide Web site: http://www.larouchepub.com e-mail: [email protected] hopes that if they don’t cover it, you will be intimidated out of acting European Headquarters: Executive Intelligence Review on the truths which LaRouche, and EIR, represent. Nachrichtenagentur GmbH, Postfach 2308, D-65013 Wiesbaden, Otto von Guericke Ring 3, D-65205 A final caution, which our Feature draws out: The British-con- Wiesbaden, Federal Republic of Germany Tel: (6122) 9160. Homepage: http://www.eirna.com trolled media cartel also, by and large, runs the “alternative” media E-mail: [email protected] Executive Directors: Anno Hellenbroich, Michael Liebig as well, which is crucial to their overall control of opinion-setting in In Denmark: EIR, Post Box 2613, 2100 Copenhagen ØE, Tel. 35-43 60 40 the United States. In Mexico: EIR, R´ıo Tiber No. 87, 5o piso. Colonia Cuauhte´moc. Me´xico, DF, CP 06500. Tel: 208-3016 y 533- 26-43. Japan subscription sales: O.T.O. Research Corporation, Takeuchi Bldg., 1-34-12 Takatanobaba, Shinjuku-Ku, Tokyo 160. Tel: (03) 3208-7821. Copyright © 1998 EIR News Service. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without permission strictly prohibited. Periodicals postage paid at Washington D.C., and at an additional mailing offices. Domestic subscriptions: 3 months—$125, 6 months—$225, 1 year—$396, Single issue—$10 Postmaster: Send all address changes to EIR, P.O. Box 17390, Washington, D.C. 20041-0390. EIRContents
Interviews Economics 15 Chalmers Johnson 4 Equity mutual fund losses 18 India under globalization’s An old “Asia hand,” Johnson gives wiping out Americans’ shadow his analysis of the proposal by the savings The country has not totally Japanese Finance Minister to At the end of July, equity mutual succumbed to the “free trade” establish a $30 billion fund to fund held assets were worth $2.81 mania, but neither has it taken on protect Asia’s currencies from trillion; by the end of August, some the larger task of fighting it. collapse. $450 billion in assets had disappeared. And yet, some 26 22 Space research is still a 54 Yossi Beilin million households own equity in major priority in Asia The former Israeli Foreign Minister mutuals. Pacific nations backs peace and the formalization The 49th annual congress of the of a Palestinian state. 10 Questions raised on LTCM International Astronautical scandal in Italy Federation, held in Australia, deliberated on the future of Asian Departments 11 Russian government, nations to join the “space race.” industry look to lessons of 25 Report from Bonn ‘Mittelstand,’ New Deal 24 Banking Ecologism in, technology and jobs More leading figures are speaking Going, going . . . out. out to revive industry, by supporting innovative small firms 26 Business Briefs 63 Australia Dossier and to adopt the dirigist initiatives Leiblers take a hit. of U.S. President Franklin D. Roosevelt. 72 Editorial The hour of the nation-state is here. 12 LaRouche ‘action program’ published in Moscow 13 Georgian political figure Photo and graphics credits: urges Clinton to appoint Cover, pages 53, 54, 69, EIRNS/ LaRouche Stuart Lewis. 14 Japan’s policymaking takes positive turn 15 IMF, Federal Reserve discredited in Japan An interview with Chalmers Johnson. Volume 25, Number 43, October 30, 1998
Feature International National 52 Netanyahu’s paid terrorist 66 Congress must first targets Wye summit investigate Starr! No sooner had President Clinton The House first has a responsibility forced the Israeli Prime Minister to to find out how the independent sit at the negotiating table, than an prosecutor carried out a coup “Islamic terrorist” grenade attack against the U.S. Constitution. gave Netanyahu the excuse to try to leave. Except that the “Islamic 68 Victory won vs. DOJ on terrorist” was a paid informant of McDade-Murtha Israel’s Shin Bet. A media mob confronts President Bill Clinton, shown A central feature of the “Citizens here with British Prime Minister Tony Blair, at a Protection Act” has been passed White House press conference on Feb. 6, 1998. 54 ‘A Palestinian state is the into law, undercutting the ability of only solution’ Federal prosecutors to carry out 28 Time to explode your An interview with Yossi Beilin. biased and political prosecutions. myths about the U.S. media Disgusted as most people are with 55 London’s warlords annex 69 Rallies tell Clinton: Bring the media, they are spending more eastern Congo in LaRouche! time accumulating “information” The message is ringing out from than ever before. We expose the 57 Congressional yahoos Lafayette Park, to Mexico City, to puppetmasters, and their policies, peddle ‘big lie’ on Stockholm. behind this paradoxical mass Cambodia addiction to something nearly Some 90% of the voters of a once 70 Congressional Closeup everyone hates. war-torn nation cast their sovereign ballots and choose their prime 71 National News 30 Who controls the media minister. That’s not good enough cartel for the “democracy mafia” in Congress and their unelected allies 34 How the media cartel in the NGOs. works 61 Pakistan’s Sharif gets yet 36 Don’t be a junk mail another opportunity to set junkie! things right One of the most pervasive con-jobs to come along in decades, targets 64 International Intelligence U.S. conservatives, to manipulate them in the direction London, and its cohorts in the U.S. eastern establishment, desire.
38 Media blackout of the real stories 42 The ‘black art’ of spreading slander 44 How the media brainwash you EIREconomics
Equity mutual fund losses wiping out Americans’ savings
by Richard Freeman
In the recent period, Americans opening letters from invest- pension and retirement funds. Today, on average, a record ment houses informing them about the performance of their 45-50% of the financial assets of the American family, are mutual funds, stock portfolio, or pension plan, have had stock holdings. They accomplished this by going far beyond shocking news: Instead of the usual monthly gains, they are the normal method of using family savings to pay for stock incurring heavy losses. Indeed, this will increasingly be the purchases. Instead, they borrowed heavily: margin loans from case in the months ahead. brokers; borrowings from credit cards; borrowing against The latest example is the reported return of mutual fund home equity, against the assets in their stock-holding retire- equity funds (mutual funds that invest in stocks) for August ment accounts, and so on. They even threw their food and rent (the latest available month), which was reported at the end of money into the market. An unprecedented level of holdings September by the Investment Company Institute, the mutual fund industry’s trade group. As Figure 1 shows, at the end of July, equity mutual fund-held assets were worth $2.81 trillion; by the end of August, assets had fallen to $2.36 trillion. Some FIGURE 1 $450 billion in assets—15.9% of the total—vaporized in one Collapse of value of equity mutual funds month. Of the $450 billion drop, $11.2 billion was attributable (trillions $) to the withdrawal by households of money from equity mutual $2.9 funds; $439 billion was attributable to the fall in equity values. $2.81 For the 26 million U.S. households that own equity mutual 2.8 funds the meaning was unmistakable: 15.9% of their holdings had gone up in smoke. In the coming period, as the world 2.7 financial disintegration accelerates, the conditions exist for the teetering, vastly over-valued U.S. stock market to free- 2.6 fall again. A repeat of the loss by equity mutual funds of $450 2.5 billion, or even double that—say, nearly $1 trillion—in a month, is not only possible, but likely. 2.4 The effects of the downward spiral in stock values will be $2.36 devastating, on a scale which the American family has never 2.3 experienced. A social explosion could ensue. The American family is vulnerable because it owns such 2.2 a large amount of stock. Over the course of the last 15 years, 2.1 American families, drawn in by an orgy of stock speculation Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug built on pyramided leverage, acquired stocks on a large scale, 1997 1998 both through direct stock purchase from stockbrokers, as well as through mutual funds, and through the holdings of their Sources: Investment Company Institute.
4 Economics EIR October 30, 1998 means an unprecedented level of exposure. TABLE 1 At the same time, Americans forsook their traditional American families having direct and indirect holdings of bank accounts, certificates of deposit (CDs), and stock ownership bond ownership, to put their money into the stock market, and became dependent on stock income. Now, retired people, Year Percent of all families children’s education funds, and an increasing share of 1989 31.7% monthly family expenditures, rely on stock income for sur- 1992 37.2% vival. This is the very income that will disappear. 1995 41.1% Recently, the fall of the stock market received a respite. Source: Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Division of Research, “Family Fi- On Sept. 29 and and again on Oct. 15, Federal Reserve Board nances in the U.S.: Recent Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances,” Chairman Alan Greenspan cut the federal funds rate by one- published in January, 1997; EIR. quarter of a percentage point, so that it ended up on Oct. 15 at 5%. The federal funds rate is the rate at which the Fed can lend 24- to 48-hour money to the banking system. Greenspan However, in addition to owning stocks through mutual made the move in an attempt to provide liquidity to save the funds, households may own stocks through two other princi- collapsing world financial system, which is on the verge of pal methods: purchasing stock directly from a broker, such as “seizing up,” thanks, in part, to the Sept. 23 failure of Long Merrill Lynch; or, having a pension or retirement plan that Term Capital Management (LTCM), and the near-insolvency buys stocks directly (retirement or pension plans that buy of several American banks. On the day of the second rate cut, stocks through mutual funds are counted as part of the mutual Oct. 15, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 338 points, fund ownership). In the Consumer Finance Survey for 1995 and between Sept. 29, the day of the first rate cut, and Oct. 22, (the Federal Reserve Board of Governors conducts this Sur- the DJIA has risen by 452 points, or 5.6%. But, the Greenspan vey once every three years), the Federal Reserve reported move is the first step toward a 1921-23 Weimar-style hyperin- rapid growth in the percent of American families owning flation, which will destroy the world financial system. The stock through all means—mutual funds, directly, etc.—since respite in the Dow Jones will not last long. 1989 (see Table 1). We look first at the degree of exposure of American fami- EIR estimates that today, 44-45% of American families lies to the stock market, through pension and retirement funds. own stocks through some means. As a basis for comparison, Second, we examine the multiple levels of leverage propping historians have told EIR that in 1929, only 7% to 15% of up the stock market, which will come unglued through re- Americans owned stocks. verse-leveraging, making the overexposure of American fam- ilies in the market much worse. Finally, we look at some of Percent of financial assets in stocks the large losses so far. Another way that family exposure to the stock market increased, is in the percent that stocks constitute of a family’s total financial assets, which is represented in Figure 2. Notice Unprecedented exposure that during the last six years, the complete reversal in financial asset ownership of the average American family. In 1989, to the stock market stock ownership constituted 26.3% of American families’ fi- nancial assets, while the category representing ownership of Ownership of stocks through mutual funds is the primary bank checking and savings deposits (19.7%), bank certificates means through which families own stocks. of deposit (10.4%), savings bonds (1.6%), and other bonds In 1997, according to the Investment Company Institute, (11.0%), collectively constituted 42.7% of families’ financial 37.4 million American households owned mutual funds of assets. By 1995, this had reversed: Stocks had leapt to 40.4% one kind or another. Since, in 1997, there were 100 million of families’ financial assets, while the other category repre- U.S. households, which means that 37.4% of U.S. households senting ownership of bank accounts (13.5%), CDs (5.5%), owned at least one kind of mutual fund. According to the ICI, savings bonds (1.4%) and other bonds (5.5%), collectively 26 million of the 37.4 million U.S. households owning mutual had dropped to 25.9% of families’ financial assets. funds, owned an equity mutual fund, i.e., one that invested in It is likely that in 1998, stocks surged to 45-50% of fami- stocks. This represented 26% of U.S. households. lies’ total financial assets, an unprecedented level. (There are three kinds of mutual funds. Aside from equity It should be noted that while stocks did appreciate in value mutual funds, there are: “bond and income” mutual funds, between 1989 and 1995, accounting for some of their increase which invest in corporate, U.S. government, and municipal as a percentage of family financial assets, during this same bonds; and “money market” mutual funds, which invest in period, individuals only barely increased their savings ac- a variety of instruments that generally mature in less than count holdings, and decreased their checking account and CD one year.) holdings absolutely. That is, families effectively disinvested
EIR October 30, 1998 Economics 5 FIGURE 2 FIGURE 3 Stocks grow as percent of family financial Private pension assets, showing amount and assets percentage invested in stocks (trillions $)
$4 1989 40% Bank accounts (20%) Other investments Other (31%) Invested in stocks 3
CDs (10%)
60% Savings Bonds (2%) 2
Bonds (11%)
Stocks (26%) 1 58%
54% 1992 42% 49% Bank Accounts (18%) 0 1975 1985 2Q, 1998 Other (30%)
CDs (8%)
Savings Bonds (1%) away from bank-based accounts and CDs, and holding of bonds, into stocks. While during a financial disintegration, no Bonds (9%) financial instrument could be considered safe, bank accounts and CDs are relatively safer than the inflated stock bubble. Yet, families moved in the opposite direction. Stocks (34%) Pension and retirement funds Parallel to the stock exposure of tens of millions of fami- lies, is the stock exposure of the retirement institutions upon which tens of millions of retirees and future retirees depend. 1995 Bank accounts (14%) Over the years, both private pension funds (mostly those plans that employers have set up for their employees) and state and local government retirement employee funds have dramati- CDs (6%) Other (34%) cally increased their ownership of stocks. Savings Bonds (1%) Figure 3 shows both the amount and percent of private Bonds (6%) pension fund assets that are invested in stocks. Thus, in 1975, private pension funds held, out of $225 billion in pension fund assets, $110 billion, or 49%, in stocks. In the second quarter of 1998, private pension pensions held, out of $3.982 trillion in assets, $2.389 trillion, or 60%, in stocks. Figure 4 shows both the amount and percent of state and local government employee retirement fund assets that are Stocks (40%) invested in stocks. In 1975, state and local government em- ployee retirement funds held, out of a total of $105 billion in retirement fund assets, $24 billion, or 23.2%, in stocks. In the Source: "Family Finances in the U.S.: Recent Evidence From the Survey of Consumer Finances," Federal Reserve Board of Governors, 1997, Nos. 4 second quarter of 1998, state and local government employee and 6. retirement funds held, out of a total of $2.285 trillion in assets,
6 Economics EIR October 30, 1998