The Countytrak Performance Index 2019/20
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COUNTYTRAK PERFORMANCE INDEX THE COUNTYTRAK PERFORMANCE INDEX 2019/20 www.countytrak.infotrakresearch.com Introduction Kenyans overwhelmingly ushered in our current constitution on the promise of devolution which they felt result in increased grass root access to resources and political power. Indeed people’s expectations of county governments continue to be extremely high. While most county governments tend appreciate this fact and try to capitalise on low hanging fruits as soon as they kick off, others prefer to spend the nascent stages laying the ground work and planning elaborately for delivery. Irrespective of leadership styles may differ, what is critical is for people to feel the impact of devolution in their daily lives. County governments need to fully decipher the perceptions of their residents and develop strategies that are concomitant with their expectations. It’s against this back drop that Infotrak Research developed the CountyTrakTM Performance index to provide Citizens’ Scorecard of their County governments against set key performance indicators. The CountyTrak Methodology “The Index will be the first of its kind and magnitude in Kenya. It provides an excellent baseline from which other evaluation tools can be developed and more importantly provides the county governments and other interested stakeholders with robust statistics by ward on the perception of county residents over county governments’ performance of the devolved functions.” • Our current index was conducted between October–December 2019 and January 2020 covering all the 47 counties, 290 constituencies and 1450 wards with an overall sample of 37,600. Each county was treated as an individual universe and assigned a cluster sample which ranged between 600 and 2000 respondents guided by the population and number of wards in the respective counties. Within each county, sampling frames were designed using population proportionate to size guided by census data and catered for demographics such as age, gender etc. Data was collected through Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI) and analysed using SPSS. • The CountyTrak tool consisted of twelve core functions with thirty three key performance indicators and five approval rating questions. The functions included: Agriculture, Health, Education, Roads & Transport, Energy, Water management, Environment & natural resources management, Trade & Tourism, County Planning & Development, Housing, Lands & settlement, Culture & Sports and Social Services. • The final questionnaire was structured with using 1-10 Likert scale being applied on each indicator where 1 was very poor and 10 was excellent. The mean was computed for each Sub- Indicator of the Key Performance Indicators (KPI) to get the Index for that Specific KPI. The Overall County performance Index was then computed by taking the average of the KPIs. For the governor’s performance rating we asked ; “How would rate the overall performance of your governor since their election in 2017? ” The County Functions covered ROADS & AGRICULTURE HEALTH EDUCATION TRANSPORT ENVIRONMENT WATER & NATURAL TRADE AND ENERGY MANAGEMENT RESOURCES TOURISM MANAGEMENT COUNTY HOUSING, CULTURE & SOCIAL PLANNING & LANDS & SPORTS SERVICES DEVELOPMENT SETTLEMENT OTHER KEY FUNCTIONS Under the other key functions, we included the following: • Making it difficult for people to access hard drugs (bhang, khat, illicit brews, etc.) and pornography? (i.e. licensing, enforcement, registration etc..) • Ensuring county government services are available in your ward • Preventing corruption (i.e. zero tolerance to corruption and taking action on alleged corruption cases) SAMPLE (N) FOR EACH COUNTY Margin of Error Margin of Error CountyTrak Sample per CountyTrak Sample per County @ 95% degree of County @ 95% degree of County (n) County (n) confidence confidence NAIROBI 2000 ±2.2% NYERI 800 ±3.5% KAKAMEGA 1500 ±2.5% SIAYA 800 ±3.5% KIAMBU 1500 ±2.5% TURKANA 800 ±3.5% NAKURU 1200 ±2.8% UASIN GISHU 800 ±3.5% BUNGOMA 1000 ±3.1% WAJIR 800 ±3.5% KISII 1000 ±3.1% BOMET 600 ±4% MERU 1000 ±3.1% ELGEYO MARAKWET 600 ±4% BARINGO 800 ±3.5% EMBU 600 ±4% BUSIA 800 ±3.5% ISIOLO 600 ±4% GARISSA 800 ±3.5% KAJIADO 600 ±4% HOMA BAY 800 ±3.5% KIRINYAGA 600 ±4% KERICHO 800 ±3.5% KWALE 600 ±4% KILIFI 800 ±3.5% LAIKIPIA 600 ±4% KISUMU 800 ±3.5% LAMU 600 ±4% KITUI 800 ±3.5% MARSABIT 600 ±4% MACHAKOS 800 ±3.5% NYANDARUA 600 ±4% MAKUENI 800 ±3.5% SAMBURU 600 ±4% MANDERA 800 ±3.5% TAITA TAVETA 600 ±4% MIGORI 800 ±3.5% TANA RIVER 600 ±4% MOMBASA 800 ±3.5% THARAKA-NITHI 600 ±4% MURANGA 800 ±3.5% TRANS NZOIA 600 ±4% NANDI 800 ±3.5% VIHIGA 600 ±4% NAROK 800 ±3.5% WEST POKOT 600 ±4% NYAMIRA 800 ±3.5% TOTAL 37,600 HAS DEVOLUTION 73% THINGS BETTER THAN MADE A DIFFERENCE? BEFORE DEVOLUTION 15% 12% THINGS WORSE THINGS SAME AS THAN BEFORE BEFORE DEVOLUTION DEVOLUTION HAS DEVOLUTION MADE A DIFFERENCE? BETTER WORSE BETTER WORSE SAME AS SAME AS COUNTY THAN THAN TOTAL COUNTY THAN THAN TOTAL BEFORE BEFORE BEFORE BEFORE BEFORE BEFORE MAKUENI 90% 6% 3% 100% KAJIADO 73% 13% 14% 100% KAKAMEGA 90% 5% 5% 100% LAMU 72% 15% 13% 100% TURKANA 87% 8% 5% 100% NAROK 72% 16% 12% 100% WEST POKOT 87% 9% 4% 100% KITUI 71% 19% 10% 100% MACHAKOS 86% 7% 8% 100% EMBU 71% 14% 15% 100% KERICHO 82% 9% 9% 100% NAIROBI 71% 15% 14% 100% MANDERA 81% 11% 8% 100% SAMBURU 71% 18% 12% 100% BOMET 81% 10% 9% 100% LAIKIPIA 71% 17% 13% 100% KISUMU 81% 10% 9% 100% MURANG'A 70% 17% 13% 100% UASIN GISHU 81% 10% 9% 100% GARISSA 69% 23% 8% 100% ELGEYO MARAKWET 80% 8% 11% 100% KILIFI 69% 14% 17% 100% KISII 80% 10% 10% 100% SIAYA 69% 12% 19% 100% MARSABIT 79% 15% 6% 100% KIRINYAGA 68% 20% 12% 100% THARAKA NITHI 79% 10% 11% 100% NYAMIRA 65% 18% 17% 100% KWALE 79% 8% 13% 100% ISIOLO 65% 19% 16% 100% NYERI 78% 15% 8% 100% NYANDARUA 65% 18% 17% 100% MIGORI 78% 11% 11% 100% MOMBASA 65% 18% 17% 100% NAKURU 76% 11% 13% 100% BUSIA 62% 20% 19% 100% NANDI 76% 13% 11% 100% TRANS NZOIA 58% 26% 16% 100% BUNGOMA 76% 14% 11% 100% HOMA BAY 57% 22% 20% 100% WAJIR 74% 20% 6% 100% KIAMBU 56% 28% 16% 100% MERU 74% 17% 9% 100% TANA RIVER 56% 24% 19% 100% VIHIGA 73% 13% 14% 100% TAITA TAVETA 48% 29% 23% 100% BARINGO 73% 14% 13% 100% TOTAL 73% 15% 12% 100% Focusing on development, how would you compare your county of residence now and before the introduction of devolution in 2013?: OVERALL COUNTYTRAK PERFORMANCE INDEX 2019/20 TOP LEAGUE COUNTIES IN THE COUNTY PERFORMANCE INDEX 2019/2020 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. KAKAMEGA KWALE MAKEUNI KISUMU UASIN GISHU 57.2% 54.8% 54.7% 53.4% 53.1% 6. 7. 8. 9. 11. WEST POKOT ELGEYO BUNGOMA KERICHO VIHIGA 51.7% MARAKWET 51.1% MACHAKOS 50.3% 51.2% 50.6% 12. 13. 14. 15. THARAKA NITHI NANDI NYERI NAKURU 49.8% 49.4% 49.3% 48.7% 2019/20 2019/20 RANK COUNTY COUNTY RANK COUNTY COUNTY MEAN SCORE MEAN SCORE 1 KAKAMEGA 57.2% 25 KIRINYAGA 47.3% 2 KWALE 54.8% 26 KITUI 47.2% 3 MAKUENI 54.7% 27 MERU 46.9% 4 KISUMU 53.4% 27 BARINGO 46.9% 5 UASIN GISHU 53.1% 29 BUSIA 46.7% 6 WEST POKOT 52.7% 30 SIAYA 45.8% 7 ELGEYO/MARAKWET 51.2% 31 LAIKIPIA 45.7% 8 BUNGOMA 51.1% 32 NYANDARUA 45.0% 9 MACHAKOS 50.6% OVERALL 33 KAJIADO 44.9% 9 KERICHO 50.6% COUNTY 34 MOMBASA 44.5% 11 VIHIGA 50.3% 35 MARSABIT 44.4% PERFORMANCE 12 THARAKA - NITHI 49.8% 36 TAITA TAVETA 44.3% INDEX 13 NANDI 49.4% 37 KIAMBU 43.9% 2019/2020 14 NYERI 49.3% 38 GARISSA 43.8% 15 NAKURU 48.7% 39 HOMA BAY 16 LAMU 48.6% 43.7% 40 NYAMIRA 16 MIGORI 48.6% 43.6% 41 16 TURKANA 48.6% NAROK 43.5% 42 16 EMBU 48.6% TRANS NZOIA 43.4% 20 NAIROBI CITY 48.5% 43 MANDERA 43.1% 21 KILIFI 48.1% 44 SAMBURU 42.2% 21 KISII 48.1% 45 ISIOLO 42.0% 23 BOMET 47.6% 46 WAJIR 41.3% 24 MURANG'A 47.5% 47 TANA RIVER 39.5% OVERALL 47.5% OVERALL COUNTY PERFORMANCE INDEX BY REGION 2019/20 REGIONAL 2019/20 REGIONAL REGION COUNTY COUNTY REGION COUNTY COUNTY RANK RANK MEAN SCORE MEAN SCORE 1 CENTRAL NYERI 49.3% 1 KISUMU 53.4% 2 MURANG'A 47.5% 2 MIGORI 48.6% 3 KISII 48.1% 3 KIRINYAGA 47.3% NYANZA 4 SIAYA 4 NYANDARUA 45.0% 45.8% 5 HOMA BAY 43.7% 5 KIAMBU 43.9% 6 NYAMIRA 43.6% 1 COAST KWALE 54.8% 1 UASIN GISHU 53.1% 2 LAMU 48.6% 2 WEST POKOT 52.7% 3 KILIFI 48.1% 3 ELGEYO/MARAKWET 51.2% MOMBASA 4 44.5% 4 KERICHO 50.6% 5 TAITA TAVETA 44.3% 5 NANDI 49.4% 6 TANA RIVER 39.5% 6 NAKURU 48.7% 1 EASTERN MAKUENI 54.7% 7 TURKANA 48.6% RIFT VALLEY 2 MACHAKOS 50.6% 8 BOMET 47.6% 3 THARAKA - NITHI 49.8% 9 BARINGO 46.9% 4 EMBU 48.6% 10 LAIKIPIA 45.7% 5 KITUI 47.2% 11 KAJIADO 44.9% 6 MERU 46.9% 12 NAROK 43.5% 13 TRANS NZOIA 7 MARSABIT 44.4% 43.4% 14 SAMBURU 42.2% 8 ISIOLO 42.0% 1 KAKAMEGA 57.2% 1 NAIROBI NAIROBI CITY 48.5% 2 BUNGOMA 51.1% 1 NORTH GARISSA WESTERN 43.8% 3 VIHIGA 50.3% 2 EASTERN MANDERA 43.1% 4 BUSIA 46.7% WAJIR 3 41.3% OVERALL 47.5% OVERALL COUNTYTRAK PERFORMANCE INDEX 2015 OVERALL MEAN SCORE OVERALL MEAN SCORE COUNTY COUNTY RANK 2015 RANK 2015 1 MACHAKOS 61.4% 25 SIAYA 55.2% 2 VIHIGA 61.3% 26 GARISSA 55.1% 3 BUNGOMA 60.6% 27 KISUMU 55.0% 4 WEST POKOT 59.4% 28 NAROK 54.9% 5 KWALE 59.2% 29 KIRINYAGA 54.4% 5 BOMET 59.2% 30 NYANDARUA 54.2% 7 KISII 59.1% 31 THARAKA - NITHI 54.1% 8 ELGEYO/MARAKWET 59.0% 32 KITUI 54.0% 9 TAITA TAVETA 58.4% 33 TRANS NZOIA 53.7% 10 KAKAMEGA 58.0% 34 EMBU 53.6% 11 KERICHO 57.9% 34 KIAMBU 53.6% 12 MURANG'A 57.2% 36 KAJIADO 53.5% 13 NANDI 57.0% 37 LAMU 53.1% 14 UASIN GISHU 56.9% 38 LAIKIPIA 52.9% 14 MOMBASA 56.9% 39 NAIROBI CITY 52.6% 16 BUSIA 56.6% 40 MAKUENI 52.2% 17 NYERI 56.4% 41 NYAMIRA 52.1% 18 HOMA BAY 56.3% 42 TURKANA 50.7% 19 KILIFI 56.1% 43 WAJIR 50.0% 19 MIGORI 56.1% 44 MARSABIT 49.9% 21 SAMBURU 55.3% 44 MANDERA 49.9% 21 NAKURU 55.3% 46 ISIOLO 48.3% 21 BARINGO 55.3% 47 TANA RIVER 47.2% 21 MERU 55.3% OVERALL 55.2% TOP CLIMBERS & DROPPERS IN