M. Mayilvaganan TERRORISM, COMMUNAL POLITICS AND ETHNIC DEMOGRAPHY: IS THERE A CAUSAL CONNECTION? Empirical Analysis of Terrorist Incidents in Maharashtra May 2020 International Strategic and Security1 Studies Programme National Institute of Advanced Studies Bengaluru, India Research Report NIAS/CSS/ISSSP/U/RR/08/2020 TERRORISM, COMMUNAL POLITICS AND ETHNIC DEMOGRAPHY: IS THERE A CAUSAL CONNECTION? Empirical Analysis of Terrorist Incidents in Maharashtra National Institute of Advanced Studies Bengaluru, India 2020 © National Institute of Advanced Studies, 2020 Published by National Institute of Advanced Studies Indian Institute of Science Campus Bengaluru – 560012 Tel: 22185000, Fax: 22185028 Email:
[email protected] NIAS Report: NIAS/CSS/ISSSP/U/RR/08/2020 ISBN 978-93-83566-38-9 Content Introduction .............................................................................. 1 India and Terrorism .................................................................. 7 Maharashtra ............................................................................ 8 Micro Level Analysis ................................................................. 10 Key Observations ..................................................................... 24 Inference ................................................................................. 26 INTRODUCTION Is there a causal link between ethnic demography, communal violence, local politics and terrorism? What factors might prompt a terrorist to choose a target place? Why the states like Maharashtra