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VOLUME VII, ISSUE 36 u NOVEMBER 25, 2009 IN THIS ISSUE: BRIEFS...................................................................................................................................1 IBRAHIM AL-RUBAISH: NEW RELIGIOUS IDEOLOGUE OF AL-QAEDA IN SAUDI ARABIA CALLS FOR REVIVAL OF ASSASSINATION TACTIC By Murad Batal al-Shishani..................................................................................................3 AL-QAEDA IN IRAQ OPERATIONS SUGGEST RISING CONFIDENCE AHEAD OF U.S. MILITARY WITHDRAWAL Al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) By Ramzy Mardini..........................................................................................................4 FRENCH OPERATION IN AFGHANISTAN AIMS TO OPEN NEW COALITION SUPPLY ROUTE Terrorism Monitor is a publication By Andrew McGregor............................................................................................................6 of The Jamestown Foundation. The Terrorism Monitor is TALIBAN EXPAND INSURGENCY TO NORTHERN AFGHANISTAN designed to be read by policy- makers and other specialists By Wahidullah Mohammad.................................................................................................9 yet be accessible to the general public. The opinions expressed within are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily LEADING PAKISTANI ISLAMIST ORGANIZING POPULAR MOVEMENT reflect those of The Jamestown AGAINST SOUTH WAZIRISTAN OPERATIONS Foundation. As the Pakistani Army pushes deeper into South Waziristan, a vocal political Unauthorized reproduction or challenge to Islamabad’s cooperation in the War on Terrorism has emerged in redistribution of this or any the form of Syed Munawar Hasan, the Amir (leader) of Jamaat-e-Islami (JI)—the Jamestown publication is strictly leading party in the religious coalition that rules Pakistan’s North-West Frontier prohibited by law. Province (NWFP)—and a member of the ruling coalition in Balochistan Province. Syed Munawar was a student of JI founder Maulana Syed Abul Ala Maududi (1903-1979), one of the leading theorists of political Islam. A member of JI- Pakistan since 1967 and the party’s Secretary General since 1993, Syed Munawar has begun a very public campaign to rally support among Pakistan’s conservative religious community against the U.S. role in the region and Islamabad’s offensive against Taliban extremists in South Waziristan. He is also calling for a diplomatic campaign against India for its alleged role in terrorist activities within Pakistan. In recent well-publicized rallies and Friday sermons, Syed Munawar has issued a series of provocative statements and demands. According to the JI’s Amir: For comments or questions about our publications, please send an email to [email protected], or • Pakistan should sever all ties with India and begin a diplomatic campaign contact us at: against the country at the United Nations in response to the discovery of 1111 16th St. NW, Suite #320 Indian arms in South Waziristan and Balochistan. The government has Washington, DC • 20036 failed to do this because India is backed by the United States. Indian Tel: (202) 483-8888 Hindus are organizing atrocities against India’s Muslim, Sikh, Christian Fax: (202) 483-8337 Copyright ©2009 TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TERRORISM MONITOR, VISIT http://www.jamestown.org TerrorismMonitor Volume VII u Issue 36 u November 25, 2009 and Buddhist communities (Jasarat [Karachi], SURRENDERED COMMANDER SAYS LORD’S November 15; The News [Islamabad], November RESISTANCE ARMY SPONSORED BY KHARTOUM 14). JI is organizing “black days” of protest against India in mid-December. Senior Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) commander Lieutenant Colonel Charles Arop has given an interview • Muslim Kashmiris have been waging a struggle to a Kampala daily after having been sent to the Ugandan for freedom from India for 62 years. India has capital following his surrender to Ugandan troops responded by sending a 700,000 man “army operating in the Democratic Republic of the Congo of savages” (Jasarat [Karachi], November 15). (DRC) (New Vision [Kampala], November 23). Arop is Though JI claims it is dedicated to a peaceful and best known for directing a massacre of 143 Congolese democratic process, the exception is Kashmir, civilians in the village of Faradje on Christmas Day, in which case the movement actively supports 2008 (see Terrorism Monitor, November 13). He is now armed groups fighting Indian rule. engaged in helping Ugandan forces convince other LRA fighters to surrender. During the interview, he showed • State terrorism is the real form of terrorism reporters wounds from nine bullets, three of which are due to the massive firepower available to still inside his body. modern states. Millions of people have died in the “unprecedented” destruction caused by state Following rumors circulating in October that the LRA terrorism (Jasarat [Karachi], November 15) had crossed into south Darfur, Arop said it was the intention of LRA leader Joseph Kony to move along • The United States is seeking to create a the Central African Republic border to Chad and then “mini-Pentagon” in Islamabad by expanding into Darfur to meet officers of the Sudan Armed Forces its embassy there. Islamabad is “under the (SAF), long reputed to be the LRA’s sponsors. Kony occupation of Blackwater [renamed Xe Services “told me he was going to meet Fadil, the SAF officer LLC in February]” and Washington is pushing who coordinates LRA activities. He wants the Arabs for an expansion of the counter-insurgency to give him logistical support and a safe haven” (see operations to North Waziristan. The ongoing Terrorism Monitor, October 23). Arop says Kony urged drone attacks on insurgent leaders are an assault all LRA units to make their way to Darfur and report to on the sovereignty of Pakistan but come as the first “Arab” military post they came across. part of a campaign to change the borders of Pakistan (The News [Islamabad], November Despite a disastrous start to last year’s Operation 19). Syed Munawar called on Army Chief of Lightning Thunder, a joint operation of the militaries Staff General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani to write a of Uganda, the DRC and Southern Sudan, continuous letter to President Barack Obama demanding a pressure by the Ugandan People’s Defense Force (UPDF) halt to the drone attacks (The Nation [Lahore], has eliminated many LRA fighters and compelled others November 20). to turn themselves in after suffering from exhaustion and hunger. Arop estimates only half of the force of 500 LRA fighters that existed last December are still in the • The October attack on the Army’s GHQ in field. “Kony is desperate. Things are really hard. We Rawalpindi was not the work of the Tehrik- were constantly on the move. Sometimes we would not e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) (as the movement rest for a week. The UPDF was pursuing us everywhere.” claimed in an October 12 TTP statement), but was instead the work of the United States and India. “I am not ready to believe that the Taliban Arop suggests it was only a delay by the UPDF in are so powerful that they would dare attack the following the LRA into the Central African Republic GHQ” (Dawn [Karachi], October 12; The News (CAR) that allowed the LRA a chance to regroup and [Islamabad], November 19).He identified “the abduct more people for use as fighters, laborers or secret terrorist force, Blackwater” and India’s sex slaves. Like most LRA fighters, Arop was himself Research and Analysis Wing (RAW – India’s an abductee, taken from his home in Gulu at age 16. external intelligence agency) as the perpetrators Though the LRA began as a Christian fundamentalist/ (The Nation, November 20; Jasarat, November Acholi nationalist movement, there are few Acholis still 12). left in the LRA ranks, with most fighters representing a 2 TerrorismMonitor Volume VII u Issue 36 u November 25, 2009 hodgepodge of individuals abducted from various tribes denouncing al-Qaeda’s religious credentials. There have in Uganda, South Sudan, the DRC and the CAR. been several al-Qaeda Muftis since the group began attacks on the Saudi establishment in 2003. Issa bin Arop describes LRA leader Joseph Kony as a man obsessed Sa’ad al-Oshan was killed by Saudi forces in Riyadh with his own survival. Since Operation Lightning on July 21, 2004; Abdullah al-Rashoud was declared Thunder began, Kony has stopped communicating by dead in Iraq on June 23, 2005 by the late Abu Musab phone, sending messages only by couriers on foot or by al-Zarqawi (then-leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq); and Faris sending his aides up to 20 kilometers away before they Shuwayl al-Zahrani (a.k.a. Abu Jandal al-Azdi), who are allowed to use their phones. Arop confirmed earlier has been in a Saudi prison since August 2004. reports that Kony never takes part in battles. “Whenever attacked, he runs away and leaves his fighters to fight Since the Saudi al-Qaeda movement shifted to Yemen back. I have never seen him fight.” after the government crackdown of 2003-2006, the religiously trained Ibrahim al-Rubaish has been The LRA commander elaborated on last year’s horrific presented as the new religious ideologue of al-Qaeda in Christmas Day massacre at Faradje, describing the attack the Arabian Peninsula, responsible for issuing the latest as retaliation ordered by Kony for the participation of statements of the organization, especially those related Congolese troops in Operation Lightning Thunder. to Saudi Arabia. Most significant was an audiotape that Arop claims his own role was carried out under duress. addressed the attempt last August on the life of Saudi “Kony gave 30 of his bodyguards to join my group. Prince Muhammad bin Nayif (see Terrorism Monitor, There was no way I could not execute the mission. They September 17). had a phone and were constantly reporting to him. If I had refused, I would have been killed… It was painful, Al-Rubaish justified the assassination attempt in a but you have to do it. I want to ask the relatives of those tape entitled, “Why Muhammad bin Nayif ?,” stating we killed to forgive me. Whatever we did, we did it that Bin Nayif is responsible for a war against the under orders.” Mujahideen and wages that war against them on behalf of the United States.