Grampians Region

The Grampians region has been experiencing below average population growth since 2002, and population growth is projected to continue through to 2022 at around the same rate as Victoria as a whole. Persons age 25-44 are underrepresented in the population and those aged 45+ are overrepresented compared to the state average. Grampians is the least diverse of the eight regions, with 4.6% born in a non-English speaking country and 3.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The levels of volunteering are highest in the state and the percentage who use social networking is lowest. Unemployment is lowest of all the regions. Grampians scores around average on most health and wellbeing indicators. The percentage reporting poor dental health is the highest in the state and the percentage who meet fruit and vegetable intake guidelines is the lowest. 41% of persons aged 75+ live along, the highest level in the state. Unintentional and intentional injury rates are higher than average, as are avoidable deaths from cardiovascular diseases, respiratory diseases and all causes. The inpatient separation rate is around average but the average length of stay is longer than average; and the ACSC admission rate is the highest in the state. Emergency department presentation rates are above average and GP attendances are below average.

Grampians Region Page 1 1 Community capacity

Geography

Metropolitan/rural Grampians Region Departmental region Grampians Region Area of LGA 48,618 km ASGS LGA code Most populous community in LGA Distance to Melbourne km Travel time to Melbourne Remoteness area ARIA measures (low/average/high)

Land use

Business 0.0% Industrial 0.1% Residential 0.5% Rural 79.4% Other 20.0%

Demographics 2012 population profile

1.8%

1.6%

1.4%

1.2%

1.0%

0.8% % of population % 0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0% 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 Age in years Grampians Region Victoria

Grampians Region Page 2 Per annum population change

Time period LGA Victoria 2002–2012, Percentage of actual change 0.99% 1.57% 2012–2022, Percentage of projected change 1.56% 1.58%

2012 population by age and sex

% total LGA % total VIC Females Males Total population population 00–14 21,284 22,328 43,612 19.2% 18.3% 15–24 14,464 15,347 29,811 13.1% 13.6% 25–44 27,464 26,929 54,393 23.9% 29.2% 45–64 30,832 30,751 61,583 27.1% 24.5% 65–84 17,120 15,796 32,916 14.5% 12.4% 85+ 3,332 1,712 5,044 2.2% 2.0% Total 114,496 112,863 227,359 100.0% 100.0%

Population projections by age group and sex, 2012 and 2022

85+ 2022 2022 85+ 80-84 80-84 2012 2012 75-79 75-79 70-74 70-74 65-69 65-69 60-64 60-64 55-59 55-59 50-54 50-54 45-49 45-49 40-44 40-44 35-39 35-39 30-34 30-34 25-29 25-29 20-24 20-24 15-19 15-19 10-14 10-14 05-09 05-09 00-04 00-04

10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Males Females

Grampians Region Page 3 Fertility rate

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Total fertility rate NA NA 1.82 Teenage fertility rate 14.64 4 10.38

Diversity

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population 1.3% 4 0.8% Percentage of population born overseas 9.5% 7 27.7% Percentage of population born in non-English 4.6% 8 20.9% speaking country United Kingdom 3.4% New Zealand 0.9%

Top 5 overseas countries of birth Netherlands 0.6% Germany 0.4% India 0.4%

Percentage speaking language other than English 3.8% 8 24.2% at home Italian 0.3% Mandarin 0.2%

Top 5 languages spoken other than English German 0.2% Dutch 0.2% Greek 0.2%

Percentage with low English proficiency 0.5% 8 4.0% English 40.7% Australian 29.4%

Top 5 ancestries Irish 7.7% Scottish 4.4%

German 3.0%

New settler arrivals per 100,000 population 290.7 7 1,415.1 Humanitarian arrivals as a percentage of new 3.5% 7 7.2% settlers Community acceptance of diverse cultures NA NA 50.6%

Grampians Region Page 4 Social engagement and crime

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Index of Relative Socio-Economic Disadvantage NA NA NA Percentage of households with broadband internet 65.7% 5 72.6% Gaming machine losses per head of adult $452.3 6 $549.5 population Family incidents per 1,000 population 13.9 4 10.8 Drug usage and possession offences per 1,000 3.6 5 3.8 population Total offences per 1,000 population 80.7 3 72.2 Percentage who feel safe walking alone during the NA NA 97.0% day Percentage who feel safe on street alone after NA NA 70.3% dark Percentage who help out as a volunteer 26.5% 1 19.3% Participation in citizen engagement in last year NA NA 50.5% Social networking used to organise time with 27.8% 8 35.1% family/friends Percentage who believe there are good facilities 75.2% 8 85.2% and services in the LGA

2 Socio-economic factors

Economic and employment characteristics

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Unemployment rate 4.9% 8 5.8% Percentage of individuals with income less than 42.6% 3 39.9% $400 per week Percentage of females with income less than $400 49.7% 3 47.1% per week Percentage of males with income less than $400 35.1% 3 32.1% per week Percentage of families headed by one parent 16.1% 3 15.5% Proportion who are female 82.2% 7 82.8% Proportion who are male 17.8% 2 17.2% Median household income NA NA $1,216 Percentage of low income families with children 10.3% 4 8.7% Percentage of population with food insecurity 4.0% 8 4.6%

Grampians Region Page 5 Housing, transport and sustainability characteristics

LGA measure Rank among Victoria LGAs measure Mortgage stress 11.2% 6 11.4% Rental stress 27.2% 2 25.1% Percentage of rental housing that is affordable 61.1% 3 18.4% Median house price NA NA $412,000 Median rent for three bedroom home $270 6 $320 New dwellings approved per 1,000 population 8.1 3 8.6 Social housing as a percentage of total dwellings 4.1% 4 3.8% Number of social housing dwellings 3,941 NA 84,037 Percentage of work journeys which are by car 71.0% 1 66.2%

Percentage of work journeys which are by public 2.6% 5 11.1% transport Persons with at least 2 hour daily commute 6.5% 5 11.6% Percentage of dwellings with no motor vehicle 6.7% 5 8.7% Passenger vehicles per 1,000 population 616.5 5 606.8

Percentage of passenger vehicles more than ten 54.4% 3 47.7% years old

Education characteristics

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Full-time equivalent students 37,272 NA 869,698 Percentage of year 9 students who attain national 92.9% 4 93.5% minimum standards in literacy Percentage of year 9 students who attain national 94.6% 4 95.0% minimum standards in numeracy Percentage of 19 year olds completing year 12 73.8% 8 84.2% Percentage of persons who did not complete year 58.0% 4 43.7% 12 Percentage of persons who completed a higher 32.9% 5 45.7% education qualification Percentage of students attending government 64.5% 3 61.6% school

3 Health and wellbeing

Health conditions

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Percentage of persons reporting asthma 11.4% 4 10.9% Percentage of persons reporting type 2 diabetes 4.4% 5 5.0%

Grampians Region Page 6 Percentage of persons reporting high blood 25.5% 4 24.5% pressure Percentage of persons reporting heart disease 7.8% 1 6.9% Percentage of persons reporting osteoporosis 5.0% 6 5.3% Percentage of persons reporting arthritis 22.5% 3 19.8% Percentage of persons overweight 32.7% 6 32.5% Percentage of females overweight 25.1% 6 24.6% Percentage of males overweight 40.1% 7 40.6% Percentage of persons obese 19.9% 3 17.3% Percentage of females obese 19.9% 4 17.2% Percentage of males obese 19.5% 3 17.4% Cancer incidence per 100,000 population 582.3 5 522.0 Cancer incidence per 100,000 females 510.9 5 468.1 Cancer incidence per 100,000 males 654.8 4 577.0 Poor dental health 8.7% 1 5.6% Notifications of Pertussis per 1,000 population 0.6 8 0.8 Notifications of Influenza per 1,000 population 0.6 7 1.1 Notifications of Chlamydia per 1,000 population 3.9 1 3.5

Health behaviours

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Percentage of persons 18+ who are current 15.2% 6 15.7% smokers Percentage of females 18+ who are current 11.8% 7 12.9% smokers Percentage of males 18+ who are current smokers 18.4% 5 18.5% Percentage of persons at risk of short-term harm 9.8% 4 9.1% from alcohol consumption Percentage of persons who do not meet fruit and 54.9% 1 51.1% vegetable dietary guidelines Percentage of females who do not meet fruit and 47.9% 2 45.5% vegetable dietary guidelines Percentage of males who do not meet fruit and 62.1% 1 56.9% vegetable dietary guidelines Percentage of persons who drink soft drink every 18.8% 3 15.9% day Percentage of persons who share a meal with 72.6% 3 66.3% family at least 5 days per week Percentage of persons who do not meet physical 31.1% 5 32.1% activity guidelines Percentage of females who do not meet physical 31.7% 5 33.6% activity guidelines Percentage of males who do not meet physical 30.9% 3 30.4% activity guidelines

Grampians Region Page 7 Percentage of persons who sit for at least 7 hours 26.6% 5 32.6% per day Percentage of persons who visit a green space at 46.9% 6 50.7% least once per week Percentage of breast cancer screening NA NA 54.6% participation Percentage of cervical cancer screening 56.5% 8 60.2% participation Percentage of bowel cancer screening 40.2% 2 36.5% participation

Children and young person characteristics

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Low birth weight babies 6.9% 3 6.6% Percentage of infants fully breastfed at three 50.2% 4 51.4% months Percentage of children fully immunised at 24–27 94.5% 3 91.7% months Percentage of children attending 3 year old 74.5% 1 64.4% maternal and child health checks Kindergarten participation rate 98.2% NA 98.0% Percentage of children with kindergarten subsidy 33.8% 4 24.6% Percentage of children with emotional or 4.6% 5 4.3% behavioural problems at school entry Percentage of children with speech or language 15.7% 4 13.8% problems at school entry Percentage of adolescents who report being 20.2% 4 17.9% recently bullied Percentage of children developmentally vulnerable 19.7% 6 19.5% in one or more domains Percentage of children developmentally vulnerable 10.2% 5 9.5% in two or more domains Rate of substantiated child abuse per 1,000 9.9 2 6.7 population Rate of children on child protection orders per 8.4 4 5.2 1,000 population Rate of children in out of home care per 1,000 8.8 2 4.6 population

Aged and disability characteristics

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Percentage of population with need for assistance 6.1% 2 5.0% with core activity People with severe and profound disability living in 4.8% 2 4.0% the community (all ages)

Grampians Region Page 8 People with severe and profound disability living in 12.2% 6 13.7% the community (65+) Disability support pension recipients per 1,000 85.5 3 54.9 eligible population Percentage of persons aged 75+ who live alone 41.0% 1 35.9% Proportion who are female 73.8% 4 73.9% Proportion who are male 26.2% 5 26.1% Aged care places (high care) per 1,000 eligible 38.2 7 40.9 population Aged care places (low care) per 1,000 eligible 42.8 6 44.4 population Age pension recipients per 1,000 eligible 731.2 5 694.3 population

Life expectancy and wellbeing

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Male life expectancy 79.1 6 80.3 Female life expectancy 83.6 7 84.4 Percentage persons reporting fair or poor health 14.5% 5 15.9% Percentagestatus of females reporting fair or poor health 13.8% 7 16.2% Percentage of males reporting fair or poor health 15.2% 5 15.6% status Percentage of persons reporting a high/very high 8.2% 8 11.1% degree of psychological distress Percentage of persons sleeping less than 7 hours 30.5% 5 31.5% per day Percentage persons with adequate work-life NA NA 53.1% balance

Injury and mortality

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Unintentional injuries treated in hospital per 1,000 88.5 2 59.1 population Intentional injuries treated in hospital per 1,000 4.8 1 3.1 population Percentage of unintentional injuries due to falls 31.0% 7 37.3% Indirect standardised death rate per 100,000 NA NA 5.6 population Avoidable deaths per 100,000 population, 0–74 187.0 1 148.2 years, due to all causes Avoidable deaths per 100,000 population, 0–74 65.0 3 61.4 years, due to cancer Avoidable deaths per 100,000 population, 0–74 50.3 1 39.8 years, due to cardiovascular diseases Avoidable deaths per 100,000 population, 0–74 13.5 1 8.4 years, due to respiratory diseases

Grampians Region Page 9 4 Service system

Services and access

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Medicare Local that LGA is located in Primary care partnership Number of hospitals/health services 23 NA 305 General practitioners per 1,000 population 1.0 8 1.2 General practice clinics per 1,000 population 0.6 4 0.5 Dental service sites per 1,000 population 0.1 8 0.2 Allied health service sites per 1,000 population 0.7 3 0.5 Pharmacies per 1,000 population 0.2 2 0.2 Number of schools 163 NA 2,238 Percentage of population near to public transport 44.8% 5 74.2% Percentage of population with private health 38.3% 5 48.0% insurance

Hospital utilisation

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure Hospital inpatient separations per 1,000 population 445.3 3 419.8 Percentage of inpatient separations in private 32.1% 4 39.4% hospital Main public hospital attended Ballarat Health Services [Base Campus] Separations from most frequently attended public 43.4% NA NA hospital Average length of stay, public hospital inpatients 3.3 1 3.2 (days) Average length of stay, total hospital inpatients 3.1 2 2.9 (days) Per annum change in hospital inpatient 2.75% 5 2.76% separations, 2002–03 to 2012–13 Projected per annum change in separations, 1.60% 5 2.78% 2012–13 to 2021–22 Ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC) – 42.8 1 36.1 admission rate per 1,000 population ACSC – average length of stay (days) 5.3 3 5.1 Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions (ACSC) – 14.7 3 12.7 acute admissions per 1,000 population ACSC – chronic admissions per 1,000 population 28.3 2 23.5 ACSC – vaccine preventable admissions per 0.8 5 0.9 1,000 population Emergency Department presentations per 1000 313.6 3 258.8 population

Grampians Region Page 10 ED presentations which are primary care type per 163.1 2 107.5 1000 population

Other service utilisation

Rank among Victoria LGA measure LGAs measure GP attendances per 1,000 population – male 4,058.5 7 4,633.4 GP attendances per 1,000 population – female 5,745.4 5 6,257.0 GP attendances per 1,000 population – total 4,904.6 7 5,452.1 HACC clients aged 0–69 per 1,000 target 183.8 3 142.3

HACC clients aged 70 and over per 1,000 target 474.1 4 407.9 population Drug and alcohol clients per 1,000 population 6.7 4 5.8 Registered mental health clients per 1,000 15.7 3 11.1 population

Grampians Region Page 11