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AFT Phase I Evaluation July 2011.Pdf FINAL REPORT Evaluation of Component II of phase I of the Wider Europe Aid for Trade Project Aid for Trade in Central Asia: Support to Economic Development Along Trade Corridors Kazakhstan (Semey Region) Kyrgyzstan (Batken Region) Tajikistan (Sughd Region) By Alexander GRUSHEVSKY, „GEO Consulting“ July 2011 1 This Final Evaluation of Phase I of the UNDP project “Wider Europe. Aid for Trade in Central Asia: Support to Economic Development Along Trade Corridors” (Component II) was carried out between June 15 and July 31, 2011 with a field trip to Kazakhstan including the capital – Astana and the target areas in Eastern Kazakhstan (Semey and Ust-Kamenogorsk), Kyrgyzstan (Batken region) and Tajikistan (Khujand) undertaken on June 27 – July 10, 2011. This evaluation was conducted for the Bratislava Regional Office of United Nations Development Programme with the involvement of Country Offices in the above mentioned countries by Alexander GRUSHEVSKY, 770 Bay St. #2602 Toronto, ON, M5G 0A6 Canada; e-mail: [email protected] Acknowledgements The evaluator would like to express his gratitude and appreciation for the support provided by the AfT Project Team both in Bratislava and in the target countries. He would also like to thank all stakeholders and beneficiaries, who agreed to give interviews during the course of this mandate - the information and opinions shared have been crucial to the preparation of this evaluation. 2 Table of Content Executive summary ............................................................................................................. 5 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 10 1. The Project and Its Developmental Context ................................................................. 13 Background Information ............................................................................................... 13 Project Start and Duration ............................................................................................. 13 Immediate and Development Objectives of the Project ............................................... 14 Box 1. AfT-Related UNDAF Outcomes in the Target Countries .............................. 14 Problems that the Project Has Addressed ..................................................................... 14 Key Activities of Phase I .............................................................................................. 15 Box 2. Anticipated Results of Phase I ....................................................................... 16 The Main Direct Stakeholders and Beneficiaries of the Project ................................... 18 Partnership Strategy ...................................................................................................... 18 The Scale of Interventions ............................................................................................ 19 Changes in the Project Design and Implementation Strategy ....................................... 20 2. Evaluation Focus, Scope, Objectives and Criteria ........................................................ 21 Box 3. Evaluation Matrix .......................................................................................... 24 3. Evaluation Findings and Conclusions ........................................................................... 27 Relevance of Interventions ........................................................................................... 27 Box 4. Relevance Factors ......................................................................................... 30 Achievement of Intended Results ................................................................................. 31 Box 5. Summary of Phase I Achievements ................................................................ 31 Effectiveness of Phase I Interventions .......................................................................... 33 Box 6. Effectiveness/Ineffectiveness Factors ............................................................ 39 Efficiency of Phase I ..................................................................................................... 40 Sustainability of Phase I Interventions ......................................................................... 42 Box 7. Sustainability/Non-sustainability Factors ..................................................... 45 Impacts and Contribution to the UNDAF Outcomes and Project Output .................... 45 Lessons Learned and Recommendations ...................................................................... 46 Box 8. Lessons Learned and Recommendations ....................................................... 46 Annexes............................................................................................................................. 53 Annex 1: Terms of Reference ...................................................................................... 53 Annex 2: Mission Itinerary .......................................................................................... 63 Annex 3: List of Persons Interviewed .......................................................................... 73 Annex 4: List of Documents Reviewed ....................................................................... 77 Annex 5: Interview Templates ..................................................................................... 79 5.1. PT Questionnaire ............................................................................................... 79 5.2. Stakeholders and Partners Questionnaire ........................................................... 82 5.3. Direct Beneficiaries Questionnaire .................................................................... 84 3 Abbreviations and Acronyms AfT - Aid for Trade AIMS - Agricultural Information Marketing System Akimat – Municipal Authority in Kazakhstan AMFOK - Association of Microfinance Organizations in Kazakhstan AWP – Annual Working Plan BCI - Better Cotton Initiative BMIC - Batken Market Information Center BRC - Bratislava Regional Center BSO – Business Support Organization CAREC – Central Asian Regional Economic Cooperation An alliance of eight countries: Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, People’s Republic of China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan and multilateral institutions comprising ADB, EBRD, IMF, UNDP and World Bank. CAREC operates in partnership with other key regional cooperation programs and institutions, including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the Eurasian Economic Community CO – Country Office FA – Farmer Association IP – Implementing Partner KBC – “KazBusinessConsulting” – training and consulting company in Kazakhstan, local implementing partner NIS – Newly Independent States PM – Project Management PT – Project Team RBM – Results Based Management RRF – Results and Resources Framework SPECA - United Nations Special Programme for Economies of Central Asia. Member states include: Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan SME – Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises TDS - Trade Development Strategy TEPC – Trade and Export Promotion Center in Khujand UNCT – UN Country Team UNDAF – United Nations Development Assistance Framework WEA - Women Entrepreneurs Association 4 Executive Summary The project was initiated by the UNDP Bratislava Regional Center in partnership with relevant UNDP country offices and with financial support from the Government of Finland, through its Wider Europe Initiative. The general objective of Component II (Aid for Trade in Central Asia: Support to Economic Development along Trade Corridors) was to enhance private sector capacity in order to increase exports along selected priority transport corridors in Central Asia with a focus on Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. Taking into consideration the national development priorities of these countries, as well as local developmental needs, the component targeted micro, small and medium entrepreneurs in agriculture, manufacturing and trade, their associations, and business services providers with the aim to strengthen their technical and business skills, increase production standards and improve access to markets. The component thus aims to create conditions for more active and sustainable SME involvement into trade, especially at the regional level. Particular attention was given to the facilitation of public- private dialogue and mainstreaming of trade/SME development issues at the sub-national level. All the project’s activities were implemented considering principles of gender equality and inclusive growth. The project activities were implemented in the following administrative units of the target countries: Kazakhstan (East Kazakhstan Region with a special focus on the Semey district – including the territory affected by nuclear testing during the Soviet period) Kyrgyzstan (Batken region – an administrative entity which was created about 10 years ago, bordering with Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, and suffering from the remoteness, poor transport infrastructure, complicated border crossing with Uzbekistan, rural under-development, de-industrialization after the collapse of the local industry, and rural under-development) Tajikistan (Sughd region – a territory with obvious agricultural, industrial, and trade potential, located in close proximity to Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, but currently isolated from the traditional markets
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