Sustainability 2014, 6, 3899-3914; doi:10.3390/su6063899 OPEN ACCESS sustainability ISSN 2071-1050 www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability Article Simulating Urban Growth Using the SLEUTH Model in a Coastal Peri-Urban District in China Lizhong Hua 1, Lina Tang 2,*, Shenghui Cui 2 and Kai Yin 3 1 College of Computer and Information Engineering, Xiamen University of Technology, Xiamen 361024, China; E-Mail:
[email protected] 2 Key Lab of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, China; E-Mail:
[email protected] 3 The Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; E-Mail:
[email protected] * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail:
[email protected]; Tel.: +86-592-619-0681. Received: 8 April 2014; in revised form: 15 May 2014 / Accepted: 9 June 2014 / Published: 18 June 2014 Abstract: China’s southeast coastal areas have witnessed rapid growth in the last two decades, owing mostly to their economic and social attractions. In this paper, we chose Jimei, a coastal peri-urban district of Xiamen city on the southeast coast of China, as a study area to explore the district’s growth dynamics, to predict future sprawl during the next decade and to provide a basis for urban planning. The SLEUTH urban growth model was calibrated against historical data derived from a series of Landsat TM 5 satellite images taken between 1992 and 2007. A Lee-Sallee value of 0.48 was calculated for the district, which is a satisfactory result compared with related studies.