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Integrated firn elevation change model for and caps Björn Saß*, Tobias Sauter, Matthias Braun Friedrich­Alexander­Universität Erlangen­Nürnberg (FAU), Germany *[email protected]

1 BACKGROUND 2 MODEL a 4 The test site The model is implemented in What is the change in height by Vestfonna (VIC) (~2340 km²) on Python 2.7 and is based on a the densification of firn on Nordaustlandet, north east of Svalbard. surface energy and snowpack Vertical spanning: 0 ­ 630 m asl glaciers and ice caps? [5] model (COSIMA ). Mean elevation: 386 m asl Geodetic elevation change [4,7] measurements are a promising tool [6] Mean ELA: 380 m asl (S N) [2] Forcing: subdaily reanalysis to derive high resolution mass (MAR[1]) data (fig. a): The VIC is a polythermal ice cap with a dome balances of glaciers and ice caps. air temperature [K] like shape and gentle slopes. Most outlet Up to now, geodetic mass incoming shortwave radiation [W m­2] glaciers calve into surrounding seas. balances inherit an uncertainty relative humidity [%] Melting can occur up to summit in summer which occurs when converting air pressure [hPa] season and mass balance year starts in geodetic volume change into wind speed [m s­1] September, with period from June to mass balance. The all­phase precipitation [m] August. [2] inaccuracy results from an cloud cover fraction. inadequate conversion factor The VIC showed almost balanced conditions (density) which neglects altitude Model concept: in the last two decades, while the outlets were dependent firn density variations, steady retreating, with the exception of the re­ firn layer thickness and not advance of the largest outlet glacier towards homogenous density variations NW (). [2,10,11] with varying climate conditions.

To improve the accuracy of glacier [7] 3 hourly firn elevation change [m] of modelpoints (fig. a) Firn thickness was 1996 10 m at summit , mass balances measured in recent studies suggest it to be 15 ­ 20 m thick geodetic manner we develop a MAR 1 [4]. Melt percolation and refreezing play transferable firn elevation change 535 m asl a major role on the ice cap.

model to minimize this systematic (RES)[8] error. The main scope of the firn MAR 2 27 km 386 model are short term GMBs (3­5 m asl

yr) due to a high variability in the [m] 5 CONCLUSION [13] Firn compaction [m]: dρ MAR 3 possible conversion factor . 15 km 230 m asl For calibration and validation we have to run sensitivity tests against in­situ 3 RESULTS dM/dt = (dh/dt ­ dρ/dt) * S * ρice MAR 4 7 km [2] 456 measuerments (stakes (SMB) , pits Exemplary model run: m asl d (density & depth)[3], RES (stratigraphy)[8], We selected four MAR modelpoints (fig. a) for a 9 year test phase, with firn cores (aging)[4])(fig. c) to tune the 20 m depth, 0.5 m layer thickness, an idealized bottom temperature of b e parametrization. ­3.7°C[7] and one year spin up. Fig. b gives a brief overview about firn c elevation change in meter. The firn evolution fits to the homogeneous In­situ data archive (IPY KINNVIKA) The elevation gain in the interior of VIC snowpack pattern over the ice cap reported by Möller et al. (2011)[3]. approve the observed accumulation Acknowledgements: increase in Northeastern Svalbard and a TanDEM­X data provided under DLR AO [11,14] XTI_GLAC0264 and corresponding elevation increase uphill . Geodetic measurements: XTI_GLAC6770. Glacier outlines are taken out of the Global Land Ice The second project part comprises an extensive analysis of the geodetic Measurements from Space (GLIMS) Glacier Database mass balance of the test site. Fig. d & e give a first impression on how (http://www.glims.org/). TDM DEMs for Dec 2010 and April 2012 are ICESat elevation tracks are published by NASA National the elevation of two TanDEM­X DEMs compared to one ICESat track Snow and Ice Data Center ready, but they show no significant elevation (NSIDC) Distributed Active Archive Center (DAAC). (spring 2004) has changed between 2004 and 2012. The firn compaction CryoSat­2 data are change (signal is in error bar)! TDM DEM postprocessed by V. Helm (AWI Bremerhaven). Detailed signal is not yet removed, nevertheless, mind the thickening on the Info about IPY Kinnvika on for 2015 is in process. http://www.kinnvika.net. We give thanks to Mariusz northwestern face of the ice cap (fig. e). Grabiec and Marco Möller for in­situ data provision.

Abstract of resources: [5] Huintjes et al., 2015. Evaluation of a coupled snow and energy balance model for Zhadang glacier, Tibetan Plateau, using glaciological measurements and time­lapse photography. Arct., Antarc., Alp. Res. [10] Braun et al., 2011. Changes of glacier frontal positions of Vestfonna (Nordaustlandet, Svalbard). Geogr. Ann. Ser. A­phys. Geogr. 93. [1] Lang, et al., 2015. Stable climate and surface mass balance in Svalbard over 1979–2013 despite the Arctic warming. Cryosphere 9, 83–101. [6] Koenig, 2010. GLIMS Glacier Database. Boulder, CO. National Snow and Ice Data Center. [11] Nuth et al., 2010. Svalbard glacier elevation changes and contribution to sea level rise. J. Geophys. Res.115. [2] Möller et al., 2011a. Climatic mass balance of the ice cap Vestfonna, Svalbard: A spatially distributed assessment using ERA­Interim and MODIS data. J. Geophys. Res. 116. [7] Watanabe et al., 2001. Studies on climatic and environmental changes during the last few hundred years using ice cores from various sites in Nordaustlandet, Svalbard. Mem. Natl. Inst. Polar Res., Spec. Issue. [12] Cuffey & Paterson, 2010. The physics of glaciers, 4th ed. Butterworth­Heinemann/Elsevier, Burlington, MA. [3] Möller et al., 2011b. Snowpack characteristics of Vestfonna and DeGeerfonna (Nordaustlandet, Svalbard) – a spatiotemporal analysis based on multiyear snow­pit data. Geogr. Ann. Ser. A­phys. Geogr. 93. [8] Grabiec et al., 2011. Snow distribution patterns on Svalbard glaciers derived from radio­echo soundings. Pol. Polar Res. 32. [13] Huss, M., 2013: Density assumptions for converting geodetic glacier volume change to mass change. [4] Beaudon et al., 2011. Spatial and temporal variability of net accumulation from shallow cores from Vestfonna Ice cap (Nordaustlandet, Svalbard). Geogr. Ann. Ser. A­phys. Geogr. 93. [9] Pettersson et al., 2011. Ice thickness and basal conditions of Vestfonna Ice cap, eastern Svalbard. Geogr. Ann. Ser. A­phys. Geogr. 93. [14] Moholdt et al., 2010. Recent elevation changes of Svalbard glaciers derived from ICESat laser altimetry. Rem. Sens. Env. 114. EGU2016­7488