The Berlin Group and the Society for Scientific Philosophy
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Haecceitism, Chance
HAECCEITISM, CHANCE, AND COUNTERFACTUALS Boris Kment Abstract. Anti-haecceitists believe that all facts about specific individuals—such as the fact that Fred exists, or that Katie is tall—globally supervene on purely qualitative facts. Haecceitists deny that. The issue is not only of interest in itself, but receives additional importance from its intimate connection to the question of whether all fundamental facts are qualitative or whether they include facts about which specific individuals there are and how qualitative properties and relations are distributed over them. Those who think that all fundamental facts are qualitative are arguably committed to anti-haecceitism. The goal of this paper is to point out some problems for anti-haecceitism (and therefore for the thesis that all fundamental facts are qualitative). The article focuses on two common assumptions about possible worlds: (i) Sets of possible worlds are the bearers of objective physical chance. (ii) Counterfactual conditionals can be defined by appeal to a relation of closeness between possible worlds. The essay tries to show that absurd consequences ensue if either of these assumptions is combined with anti-haecceitism. Then it considers a natural response by the anti-haecceitist, which is to deny that worlds play the role described in (i) and (ii). Instead, the reply continues, we can introduce a new set of entities that are defined in terms of worlds and that behave the way worlds do on the haecceitist position. That allows the anti-haecceitist to formulate anti-haecceitist friendly versions of (i) and (ii) by replacing the appeal to possible worlds with reference to the newly introduced entities. -
Curriculum Vitae
BAS C. VAN FRAASSEN Curriculum Vitae Last updated 3/6/2019 I. Personal and Academic History .................................................................................................................... 1 List of Degrees Earned ........................................................................................................................................................ 1 Title of Ph.D. Thesis ........................................................................................................................................................... 1 Positions held ..................................................................................................................................................................... 1 Invited lectures and lecture series ........................................................................................................................................ 1 List of Honors, Prizes ......................................................................................................................................................... 4 Research Grants .................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Non-Academic Publications ................................................................................................................................................ 5 II. Professional Activities ................................................................................................................................. -
CAUSATION Chapter 4 Humean Reductionism
CAUSATION Chapter 4 Humean Reductionism – Analyses in Terms of Nomological Conditions Many different accounts of causation, of a Humean reductionist sort, have been advanced, but four types are especially important. Of these, three involve analytical reductionism. First, there are approaches which start out from the general notion of a law of nature, then define the ideas of necessary, and sufficient, nomological conditions, and, finally, employ the latter concepts to explain what it is for one state of affairs to cause another. Secondly, there are approaches that employ subjunctive conditionals, either in an attempt to give a purely counterfactual analysis of causation (David Lewis, 1973 and 1979), or as a supplement to other notions, such as that of agency (Georg von Wright, 1971). Thirdly, there are approaches that employ the idea of probability, either to formulate a purely probabilistic analysis (Hans Reichenbach, 1956; I. J. Good, 1961 and 1962; Patrick Suppes, 1970; Ellery Eells, 1991; D. H. Mellor, 1995) - where the central idea is that a cause must, in some way, make its effect more likely -- or as a supplement to other ideas, such as that of a continuous process (Wesley Salmon, 1984). Finally, a fourth approach involves the idea of offering, not an analytic reduction of causation, but a contingent identification of causation, as it is in this world, with a relation whose only constituents are non- causal properties and relations. One idea, for example, is that causal processes can be identified with continuous processes in which relevant quantities are conserved (Wesley Salmon, 1997 and 1998; Phil Dowe, 2000a and 2000b). -
Guide to Proper Names and References in Gödel's “Protokolle
Guide to proper names and references in Gödel’s “Protokolle” notebook People Abel Othenio Abel (1875-1946) professor of paleontology and paleobiology at the University of Vienna. Founder of the group of professors known as the “Bärenhöhle” that blocked the appointment and promotion of Jews Adele Adele Nimbursky, née Porkert (1899–1981), Gödel’s girlfriend, separated from her first husband; she and Gödel would marry in September 1938 Bachmann Friedrich Bachmann (1909–1982), mathematician, doctoral student of Scholz’s at Münster, where he received his Ph.D. in 1933; from 1935 at University of Marburg, as assistant then Privatdozent Behmann Heinrich Behmann (1891–1970), German mathematician; his reply to Perelman’s criticism of Gödel’s result had appeared in the journal Mind in April 1937. He was dismissed from his position at the University of Halle after the war for his Nazi Party activities Beer Gustav Beer, member of the Vienna Circle and Menger’s Mathematical Colloquium Benjamin Abram Cornelius Benjamin (1897–1968), American philosopher of science on the University of Chicago faculty 1932 to 1945 Bernays Paul Bernays (1888–1977), Swiss mathematician and logician; close collaborator with David Hilbert on the foundations of mathematics and the axiomatization of set theory Brentano Franz Brentano (1838-1917), resigned as priest, Professor of Philosophy at the University of Vienna, founder of Gestalt Brunsvick Egon Brunswik (1903–1955), Hungarian-born psychologist, assistant to Karl Bühler in Vienna, active member of Otto Neurath’s “Unity of Science” movement Bühler Karl Bühler (1879–1963), professor of psychology at the University of Vienna. He led an effort to reorganize Vienna’s city schools by incorporating scientific findings from child psychology. -
A Centennial Volume for Rudolf Carnap and Hans Reichenbach
W. Spohn (Ed.) Erkenntnis Orientated: A Centennial Volume for Rudolf Carnap and Hans Reichenbach Rudolf Carnap was born on May 18, 1891, and Hans Reichenbach on September 26 in the same year. They are two of the greatest philosophers of this century, and they are eminent representatives of what is perhaps the most powerful contemporary philosophical movement. Moreover, they founded the journal Erkenntnis. This is ample reason for presenting, on behalf of Erkenntnis, a collection of essays in honor of them and their philosophical work. I am less sure, however, whether it is a good time for resuming their philosophical impact; their work still is rather part than historical basis of the present philosophical melting-pot. Their basic philosophical theses have currently, it may seem, not so high a standing, but their impact can be seen in numerous detailed issues; they have opened or pushed forward lively fields of research which are still very actively pursued not only within philosophy, but also in many neighboring disciplines. Whatever the present balance of opinions about their philosophical ideas, there is something even more basic in their philosophy than their tenets which is as fresh, as stimulating, as exemplary as ever. I have in mind their way of philosophizing, their conception of how to Reprinted from `ERKENNTNIS', 35: 1-3, do philosophy. It is always a good time for reinforcing that conception; and if this volume 1991, IV, 471 p. would manage to do so, it would fully serve its purpose. Printed book Hardcover ▶ 194,99 € | £175.50 | $269.00 ▶ *208,64 € (D) | 214,49 € (A) | CHF 260.25 eBook Available from your bookstore or ▶ springer.com/shop MyCopy Printed eBook for just ▶ € | $ 24.99 ▶ springer.com/mycopy Order online at springer.com ▶ or for the Americas call (toll free) 1-800-SPRINGER ▶ or email us at: [email protected]. -
The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications from the Foreword by Olaf Helmer
The Delphi Method Techniques and Applications Edited by Harold A. Linstone Portland State University Murray Turoff New Jersey Institute of Technology With a Foreword by Olaf Helmer University of Southern California ©2002 Murray Turoff and Harold A. Linstone I. Introduction I. Introduction HAROLD A. LINSTONE and MURRAY TUROFF General Remarks It is common, in a book of this kind, to begin with a detailed and explicit definition of the subject- the Delphi technique. However, if we were to attempt this, the reader would no doubt encounter at least one contribution to this collection which would violate our definition. There is in addition a philosophical perspective that when something has attained a point at which it is explicitly definable, then progress has stopped; such is the view we hold with respect to Delphi. In 1969 the number of Delphi studies that had been done could be counted in three digits; today, in 1974, the figure may have already reached four digits. The technique and its application are in a period of evolution, both with respect to how it is applied and to what it is applied. It is the objective of this book to expose the richness of what may be viewed as an evolving field of human endeavor. The reader will encounter in these pages many different perspectives on the Delphi method and an exceedingly diverse range of applications. For a technique that can be considered to be in its infancy, it would be presumptuous of us to present Delphi in the cloak of a neatly wrapped package, sitting on the shelf and ready to use, Rather, we have adopted the approach, through our selection of contributions, of exhibiting a number of different objects having the Delphi label and inviting you to sculpt from these examples your own view and assessment of the technique. -
Metaphysical Perspectives by Nicholas Rescher (Review) J
Metaphysical Perspectives by Nicholas Rescher (review) J. P. Moreland The Review of Metaphysics, Volume 72, Number 1 (Issue No. 285), September 2018, pp. 151-153 (Review) Published by The Philosophy Education Society, Inc. For additional information about this article https://muse.jhu.edu/article/736129 [ This content has been declared free to read by the pubisher during the COVID-19 pandemic. ] SUMMARIES AND COMMENTS 151 easy to spot a wolf in sheep’s clothing.” Rescher cites as examples the cases involving Alger Hiss, Claus Fuchs, and Anthony Blunt. Rescher concludes with the acknowledgment that evaluating reports prepared for state purposes is a complex business. There is an inevitable gap between the supporting evidence provided and the objective factual claims often based upon it. The information actually at our disposal in many matters confirms our claims but does not always demonstrate them. One is reminded of Plato’s discussion in the Meno where, in introducing the notion of “true opinion,” Plato has Socrates speak of the value of such knowledge. True opinion, although supported by fact, falls short of demonstrative knowledge but is nevertheless required by those who would govern. “Men,” says Socrates, “become good and useful to states not only because they have knowledge, but because they have right opinion.” Given the practical wisdom offered in this volume, it could well be required reading for any high school or college journalism class, and promoted for principled guidance to others, especially those who report on matters of state.—Jude P. Dougherty, The Catholic University of America RESCHER, Nicholas. Metaphysical Perspectives. Notre Dame, Ind.: University of Notre Dame Press, 2017. -
How to Train Your Oracle: the Delphi Method and Its Turbulent Youth in Operations Research and the Policy Sciences
SSS0010.1177/0306312718798497Social Studies of ScienceDayé 798497research-article2018 Article Social Studies of Science 1 –23 How to train your oracle: © The Author(s) 2018 Article reuse guidelines: The Delphi method and its sagepub.com/journals-permissions https://doi.org/10.1177/0306312718798497DOI: 10.1177/0306312718798497 turbulent youth in operations journals.sagepub.com/home/sss research and the policy sciences Christian Dayé Department of Sociology, Alpen-Adria-Universität Klagenfurt, Klagenfurt, Austria Abstract Delphi is a procedure that produces forecasts on technological and social developments. This article traces the history of Delphi’s development to the early 1950s, where a group of logicians and mathematicians working at the RAND Corporation carried out experiments to assess the predictive capacities of groups of experts. While Delphi now has a rather stable methodological shape, this was not so in its early years. The vision that Delphi’s creators had for their brainchild changed considerably. While they had initially seen it as a technique, a few years later they reconfigured it as a scientific method. After some more years, however, they conceived of Delphi as a tool. This turbulent youth of Delphi can be explained by parallel changes in the fields that were deemed relevant audiences for the technique, operations research and the policy sciences. While changing the shape of Delphi led to some success, it had severe, yet unrecognized methodological consequences. The core assumption of Delphi that the convergence of expert opinions observed over the iterative stages of the procedure can be interpreted as consensus, appears not to be justified for the third shape of Delphi as a tool that continues to be the most prominent one. -
Hempel and Confirmation Theory
Hempel and Confirmation Theory Jan Sprenger* June 15, 2020 Carl Gustav Hempel (1905–1997) was one of the primary exponents of logical empiricism. As a student and member of the Gesellschaft für em- pirische Philosophie in Berlin, alongside Reichenbach and Grelling, he wit- nessed the emergence of logical empiricism as a philosophical program. From the mid-1930s onwards, his contributions shaped its development, too. Hempel studied primarily in Göttingen and Berlin, but in 1929/30, he also spent a semester in Vienna studying with Carnap and partici- pated in the activities of the Vienna Circle. Both societies joined forces for organizing scientific events, and founded the journal Erkenntnis in 1930, where many seminal papers of logical empiricism were published, with Carnap and Reichenbach as editors. While the work of the Berlin philosophers is congenial to the project of the Vienna Circle, there are important differences, too. Neither Hempel nor his mentor Reichenbach identified “scientific philosophy” with the project of cleansing science of meaningless statements (e.g., Carnap 1930). Rather, Hempel extensively used a method that Carnap would apply in later works on probability and confirmation (Carnap 1950, 1952): expli- cation, that is, the replacement of a vague and imprecise pre-theoretical concept (e.g., “confirmation”) by a fruitful and precise concept (e.g., a formal confirmation criterion). Relying on the method of explication, Hempel developed adequacy conditions on a qualitative concept of con- firmation (Hempel 1943, 1945a,b), a probabilistic measure of degree of *Contact information: Center for Logic, Language and Cognition (LLC), Department of Philosophy and Education Sciences, Università degli Studi di Torino, Via Sant’Ottavio 20, 10124 Torino, Italy. -
Concrete Possible Worlds (Final)
CONCRETE POSSIBLE WORLDS Phillip Bricker 1. INTRODUCTION. Open a book or article of contemporary analytic philosophy, and you are likely to find talk of possible worlds therein. This applies not only to analytic metaphysics, but to areas as diverse as philosophy of language, philosophy of science, epistemology, and ethics. Philosophers agree, for the most part, that possible worlds talk is extremely useful for explicating concepts and formulating theories. They disagree, however, over its proper interpretation. In this chapter, I discuss the view, championed by David Lewis, that philosophers’ talk of possible worlds is the literal truth.1 There exists a plurality of worlds. One of these is our world, the actual world, the physical universe that contains us and all our surroundings. The others are merely possible worlds containing merely possible beings, such as flying pigs and talking donkeys. But the other worlds are no less real or concrete for being merely possible. Fantastic? Yes! What could motivate a philosopher to believe such a tale? I start, as is customary, with modality.2 Truths about the world divide into two sorts: categorical and modal. Categorical truths describe how things are, what is actually the case. Modal truths describe how things could or must be, what is possibly or 1 The fullest statement of Lewis’s theory of possible worlds is contained in his magnum opus, Lewis (1986), On the Plurality of Worlds. Lewis’s view is sometimes called “modal realism.” 2 Historically, it was the attempt to provide semantics for modal logic that catapulted possible worlds to the forefront of analytic philosophy. -
1 a Tale of Two Interpretations
Notes 1 A Tale of Two Interpretations 1. As Georges Dicker puts it, “Hume’s influence on contemporary epistemology and metaphysics is second to none ... ” (1998, ix). Note, too, that Hume’s impact extends beyond philosophy. For consider the following passage from Einstein’s letter to Moritz Schlick: Your representations that the theory of rel. [relativity] suggests itself in positivism, yet without requiring it, are also very right. In this also you saw correctly that this line of thought had a great influence on my efforts, and more specifically, E. Mach, and even more so Hume, whose Treatise of Human Nature I had studied avidly and with admiration shortly before discovering the theory of relativity. It is very possible that without these philosophical studies I would not have arrived at the solution (Einstein 1998, 161). 2. For a brief overview of Hume’s connection to naturalized epistemology, see Morris (2008, 472–3). 3. For the sake of convenience, I sometimes refer to the “traditional reading of Hume as a sceptic” as, e.g., “the sceptical reading of Hume” or simply “the sceptical reading”. Moreover, I often refer to those who read Hume as a sceptic as, e.g., “the sceptical interpreters of Hume” or “the sceptical inter- preters”. By the same token, I sometimes refer to those who read Hume as a naturalist as, e.g., “the naturalist interpreters of Hume” or simply “the natu- ralist interpreters”. And the reading that the naturalist interpreters support I refer to as, e.g., “the naturalist reading” or “the naturalist interpretation”. 4. This is not to say, though, that dissenting voices were entirely absent. -
Scientific Philosophy and the Dynamics of Reason
Scientific Philosophy and the Dynamics of Reason Michael Friedman Stanford University Scientific philosophy—in the sense of an attempt to revolutionize philosophy as a whole and as a discipline under the guidance of such an idea—is a characteristically twentieth century phenomenon, but, like so many aspects of twentieth century culture, it has deep roots in the nineteenth century. In particular, the idea of a scientific philosophy first arose in the second half of the nineteenth century, as a self-conscious intellectual reaction to what was then perceived as the “speculative” and “metaphysical” excesses of post-Kantian German idealism. In this context, a number of late nineteenth century natural scientists and mathematicians, faced with radically new problems within the shifting intellectual foundations of their own disciplines, turned to philosophy for conceptual resources. Repelled by the speculative metaphysics of post-Kantian idealism, they looked in what they took to be healthier philosophical directions—partly towards a return to the more sober, more scientifically oriented philosophizing of Kant himself, and partly towards a parallel return to the earlier anti-metaphysical stance represented by British empiricism. But the late nineteenth century scientific thinkers in question— principally Hermann von Helmholtz, Ernst Mach, and Henri Poincaré—were also faced with the problem of adapting such earlier philosophical ideas to a revolutionary new situation within the mathematical and physical sciences. Both Kantianism and empiricism had now to be adjusted to the development of non-Euclidean geometries, closely related fundamental changes in logic and the foundations of mathematics, the emergence of physiology and psycho-physics as experimental scientific disciplines, and novel, non-Newtonian styles of physical theorizing in such new areas as thermodynamics, the statistical-molecular theory of matter, and electro-magnetism.