The Skills Road : Skills for Employability in the Kyrgyz Republic
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Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad, Joost de Laat, Stefan Hut, Jennica Larrison, Ilhom Abduloev, Robin Audy, Zlatko Nikoloski and Federico Torracchi The skills road : skills for employability in the Kyrgyz Republic Report Original citation: Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan , de Laat, Joost, Hut, Stefan, Larrison, Jennica, Abdulloev, Ilhom, Audy, Robin, Nikoloski, Zlatko and Torracchi, Federico (2014) The skills road : skills for employability in the Kyrgyz Republic. World Bank, Washington, USA. Originally available from World Bank This version available at: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/59959/ Available in LSE Research Online: October 2014 © 2014 The World Bank LSE has developed LSE Research Online so that users may access research output of the School. Copyright © and Moral Rights for the papers on this site are retained by the individual authors and/or other copyright owners. 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Suggested citation: Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan, Joost de Laat, Stefan Hut, Jennica Larrison, Ilhom Abdulloev, Robin Audy, Zlatko Nikoloski, and Federico Torracchi. 2014. “The Skills Road: Skills for Employability in the Kyrgyz Republic.” World Bank, Washington, DC. i Table of Contents List of Figures ..................................................................................................................................................................... iii Abbreviations and Acronyms ........................................................................................................................................... v Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................................................................ vi Overview .............................................................................................................................................................................. 1 1 Structural Changes and the Labor Market ............................................................................................................. 4 1.1 Structural transformations are changing the demand for skills ................................................................. 4 1.2 The high employment rate bodes well for overall skills use ...................................................................... 8 1.3 Job quality remains a serious concern for effective skills use .................................................................. 11 2 Better Skills Are Good Predictors of Labor Market Outcomes ...................................................................... 14 2.1 Education is valued in the labor market ..................................................................................................... 14 2.2 Skills and employability are closely linked .................................................................................................. 17 2.3 Workers with better skills use those skills more often in the workplace ............................................... 23 2.4 There are deficiencies in the job search and skill signaling process ....................................................... 24 3 Skill Formation ......................................................................................................................................................... 26 3.1 Skills are formed throughout the life cycle ................................................................................................. 26 3.2 Educational attainment rates are high, but the Kyrgyz Republic is missing important opportunities for skill development at various stages of the life cycle ........................................................................... 27 3.3 Cognitive skill outcomes and educational attainment are correlated, but wide variations exist within education levels ............................................................................................................................................... 32 4 The Skills Roadmap in the Kyrgyz Republic ....................................................................................................... 36 References .......................................................................................................................................................................... 39 Appendix A: Questionnaire Sections ............................................................................................................................. 45 Appendix B: Constructing Cognitive Skills Scores Methods for Scale Development and Scoring .................... 46 Appendix C: Constructing Non-Cognitive Skills Scores Methods for Scale Development and Scoring ........... 54 Appendix D: Summary Tables ........................................................................................................................................ 63 Appendix E: Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skill Mean Scores ................................................................................. 72 Appendix F: SABER ECD 2013—Summary of policy options to improve ECD in the Kyrgyz Republic ...... 73 ii List of Figures Figure 1: GDP growth in the Kyrgyz Republic has been unstable compared to Europe and Central Asia (ECA), 1991–2013 ........................................................................................................................................ 4 Figure 2: Productivity has grown slowly and remains behind other comparator countries, 2000–2011 ........ 5 Figure 3: The share of agriculture in GDP has declined, while the share of services has increased significantly, 1990–2012 .............................................................................................................................. 6 Figure 4: The majority of individuals in the Kyrgyz Republic are employed in the services sector, 2013 ..... 6 Figure 5: The evolution of skill intensity reveals an increase in “new economy” skills, 2006–2012 ............... 7 Figure 6: Skills are a constraint for employers in the Kyrgyz Republic ................................................................ 8 Figure 7: Employment rates by age, for men and women, 2013 ........................................................................... 9 Figure 8: Women in the Kyrgyz Republic are more active in the labor market than their counterparts in neighboring countries, 2013 ....................................................................................................................... 9 Figure 9: Economic well-being does not greatly affect choice to migrate, 2013 .............................................. 10 Figure 10: Informal salaried work is particularly common in the agricultural sector and for individuals with a secondary general or less than secondary education ............................................................................. 11 Figure 11: High shares of physical work and repetitive tasks, 2013 ...................................................................... 12 Figure 12: Use of a computer at work is relatively low, 2013 ................................................................................ 13 Figure 13: Tertiary graduates and secondary special/technical