Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Nonautonomous Dynamical Systems, and the Climate Sciences Michael Ghil and Eric Simonnet Abstract This contribution introduces the dynamics of shallow and rotating flows that characterizes large-scale motions of the atmosphere and oceans. It then focuses on an important aspect of climate dynamics on interannual and interdecadal scales, namely the wind-driven ocean circulation. Studying the variability of this circulation and slow changes therein is treated as an application of the theory of nonautonomous dynamical systems. The contribution concludes by discussing the relevance of these mathematical concepts and methods for the highly topical issues of climate change and climate sensitivity. Michael Ghil Ecole Normale Superieure´ and PSL Research University, Paris, FRANCE, and University of California, Los Angeles, USA, e-mail:
[email protected] Eric Simonnet Institut de Physique de Nice, CNRS & Universite´ Coteˆ d’Azur, Nice Sophia-Antipolis, FRANCE, e-mail:
[email protected] 1 Chapter 1 Effects of Rotation The first two chapters of this contribution are dedicated to an introductory review of the effects of rotation and shallowness om large-scale planetary flows. The theory of such flows is commonly designated as geophysical fluid dynamics (GFD), and it applies to both atmospheric and oceanic flows, on Earth as well as on other planets. GFD is now covered, at various levels and to various extents, by several books [36, 60, 72, 107, 120, 134, 164]. The virtue, if any, of this presentation is its brevity and, hopefully, clarity. It fol- lows most closely, and updates, Chapters 1 and 2 in [60]. The intended audience in- cludes the increasing number of mathematicians, physicists and statisticians that are becoming interested in the climate sciences, as well as climate scientists from less traditional areas — such as ecology, glaciology, hydrology, and remote sensing — who wish to acquaint themselves with the large-scale dynamics of the atmosphere and oceans.