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Winter 2016 Climate Summary

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Winter 2016 Climate Summary New Zealand Climate Summary: Winter 2016 Issued: 5 September 2016 A warm winter for most and dry in eastern Canterbury Temperature Winter temperatures were near average (-0.50°C to +0.50°C) for Taranaki, western Waikato, Tasman, Nelson, Marlborough and coastal Otago. Winter temperatures were above average (+0.51°C to +1.20°C) elsewhere. Rainfall Rainfall was near normal (80-119%) for the majority of New Zealand. Below normal (50-79%) or well below normal (< 50%) rainfall occurred for some eastern areas of the country including coastal Gisborne, Wairarapa and central and north Canterbury. Rainfall was either above normal (120-149%) or well above normal (> 149%) for parts of the Bay of Plenty and Hawke’s Bay. Soil moisture At the end of winter 2016, soil moisture levels were below normal for the time of year across middle and northern Canterbury as well as coastal Wairarapa. Soil moisture levels for the remainder of the country were near normal for this time of year. Sunshine Winter sunshine was above normal (110-125% of normal) across the South Island as well as parts of Waikato and Hawke’s Bay. Well above normal sunshine (>125% of normal) was observed for coastal Otago, Canterbury and Wairarapa locations. Click on the link to jump to the information you require: Overview Temperature Rainfall Sunshine Winter climate in the six main centres Highlights and extreme events Overview Winter 2016 got off to a warm start, with the 3rd-warmest June on record and the 10th-warmest July on record. During the first two months of the season, winds were frequently from the north and west, while sea surface temperatures around New Zealand were warmer than average (especially to the north and west). These two factors worked in tandem to bring unusually mild temperatures to the country and contributed to a delayed start to the ski season. In August, the seas surrounding New Zealand cooled (but were still slightly above normal), and southerly and south-easterly winds became more frequent. As a result, August was the first cooler than average month of 2016. Snow settled to sea level in parts of the South Island during the first week of August and overloaded transmission lines in the Hawke’s Bay leaving thousands without power (see Highlights and Extreme Events section for more detail). The arrival of milder temperatures at the tail end of the season meant that winter temperatures as whole were generally near average (-0.50°C to +0.50°C of the winter average) or slightly above average +0.51°C to +1.20°C above the winter average) for most New Zealand locations. The nation-wide average temperature in winter 2016 was 9.0°C (0.6°C warmer than the 1981-2010 winter average, using NIWA’s seven- station temperature series which begins in 1909). This makes the winter of 2016 the 8th-warmest winter on record. The warmer than usual ocean surrounding New Zealand for much of the winter not only contributed to unseasonable warmth on land, but also created an environment that was more conducive for strong storms. Consequently, northern and eastern parts of the North Island saw a number of floods during the winter months as described in the Highlights and Extreme Events section. Periodic heavy rain meant that rainfall for the season as a whole was either above normal (120-149% of the winter normal) or well above normal (> 149% of the winter normal) for parts of the Bay of Plenty and Hawke’s Bay. Heavy rain events which caused flooding during June and August for Auckland and Northland were not enough to leave an imprint on seasonal rainfall however, where the amount of rain received for the upper North Island was near normal for the winter as a whole. The prevalence of winds from northerly and westerly directions during the first two months of winter was reflected in the rainfall totals observed in central and eastern Canterbury and coastal Wairarapa. These areas were often in the rain shadow of the prevailing winds and very dry as a result. Well below normal rainfall (< 50% of the winter normal) was observed there and by the end of winter 2016 seasonal soil moisture levels were also below normal. Soil moisture levels for the remainder of the country were near normal for the time of year. Winter sunshine was plentiful across the South Island as well as parts of Waikato and Hawke’s Bay. Well above normal sunshine (>125% of normal) was observed for coastal Otago, Canterbury and Wairarapa locations. Further Highlights: The highest temperature was 25.1°C, observed at Napier on 10 June. The lowest temperature was -14.1°C, observed at Mt Cook Airport on 8 August. The highest 1-day rainfall was 225 mm, recorded at North Egmont on 13 July. The highest wind gust was 195 km/hr, observed at Cape Turnagain on 24 July. Of the six main centres in winter 2016, Auckland was the warmest and wettest, Christchurch was the coolest, driest and sunniest and Dunedin the least sunniest. Of the available, regularly reporting sunshine observation sites, the sunniest four locations in 2016 so far (1 January – 31 August) were Richmond (1855 hours), Blenheim (1708 hours), New Plymouth (1646 hours) and Takaka (1632 hours). For further information, please contact: Mr Chris Brandolino NIWA Forecaster – NIWA National Climate Centre Tel. (09) 375 6335, Mobile (027) 866 0014 Temperature: Near average or above average across New Zealand Winter 2016 got off to a warm start, with the 3rd-warmest June on record and the 10th-warmest July on record. August was the first cooler than normal month of the year, and the first since September of 2015. The arrival of these subdued colder temperatures at the tail end of the season meant that winter temperatures as whole were generally near average (-0.50°C to +0.50°C) or slightly above average (+0.51°C to +1.20°C) for most New Zealand locations. The exceptional warmth experienced during the first two thirds of winter was largely fuelled by warmer than normal seas surrounding New Zealand, particularly to the north and west of the country, and winds from a northerly and westerly direction. It was the warm day time temperatures rather than warm nights that were most exceptional, and several locations observed record or near- record mean maximum temperatures this winter. Motu was the only location to observe a near record low minimum temperature, no other locations observed low mean, mean minimum or mean maximum temperatures for winter 2016. The nation-wide average temperature in winter 2016 was 9.0°C (0.6°C warmer than the 1981-2010 winter average, using NIWA’s seven-station temperature series which begins in 1909). This makes the winter of 2016 the 8th-warmest winter on record. Record1 or near-record mean air temperatures for winter were recorded at: Location Mean Departure Year Comments air temp. from records o (oC) normal ( C) began High records or near-records Kaikohe 13.0 1.6 1973 Highest Whatawhata 11.5 1.7 1952 Highest Christchurch (Riccarton) 8.7 1.8 1863 Highest Mokohinau 14.0 0.7 1994 2nd-highest Kaikoura 9.8 1.1 1963 2nd-highest Lauder 4.9 1.6 1924 2nd-highest Kaitaia 13.2 0.9 1948 3rd-highest Whangarei 12.8 0.8 1967 3rd-highest Auckland (Whangaparaoa) 12.8 0.7 1982 3rd-highest Hicks Bay 12.4 0.9 1969 3rd-highest Puysegur Point 9.3 0.8 1978 3rd-highest Masterton 9.3 1.5 1992 4th-highest Ngawi 11.5 0.8 1972 4th-highest Paraparaumu 10.1 0.8 1953 4th-highest Cape Campbell 10.4 0.7 1953 4th-highest Le Bons Bay 8.5 0.7 1984 4th-highest 1 The rankings (1st, 2nd, 3rd.etc) in all Tables in this summary are relative to climate data from a group of nearby stations, some of which may no longer be operating. The current climate value is compared against all values from any member of the group, without any regard for homogeneity between one station’s record, and another. This approach is used due to the practical limitations of performing homogeneity checks in real-time. Wanaka 5.5 1.2 1955 4th-highest Low records or near-records None observed Record or near-record mean maximum air temperatures for winter were recorded at: Location Mean Departure Year Comments maximum from records o air temp. normal ( C) began (oC) High records or near-records Paraparaumu 14.1 1.2 1953 Highest Christchurch (Riccarton) 15.1 3.2 1863 Highest Kaikohe 16.1 1.8 1973 2nd-highest Mokohinau 15.7 0.9 1994 2nd-highest Whatawhata 15.7 1.7 1952 2nd-highest Hicks Bay 15.8 1.2 1969 2nd-highest Gisborne 16.1 1.2 1905 2nd-highest Napier 15.7 1.5 1870 2nd-highest Hastings 15.6 1.6 1965 2nd-highest Whanganui (Airport) 15.1 1.4 1937 2nd-highest Puysegur Point 11.7 0.9 1978 2nd-highest Cheviot 13.6 1.2 1982 2nd-highest Mt Cook 9.4 1.8 1929 2nd-highest Winchmore 13.1 1.7 1928 2nd-highest Lincoln (Broadfield) 12.9 1.3 1881 2nd-highest Dunedin (Musselburgh) 11.9 1.3 1947 2nd-highest Manapouri 10.4 1.7 1963 2nd-highest Lumsden 10.9 1.5 1982 2nd-highest Cromwell 11.0 1.6 1949 2nd-highest Invercargill 11.7 1.6 1905 2nd-highest Kaitaia 16.7 1.0 1948 3rd-highest Auckland (Mangere) 16.0 1.0 1959 3rd-highest Masterton 14.2 0.9 1906 3rd-highest Wairoa 15.8 1.2 1964 3rd-highest Mahia 13.8 0.9 1990 3rd-highest Reefton 11.8 1.0 1960 3rd-highest Milford Sound 11.2 1.1 1934 3rd-highest Hanmer Forest 12.6 1.6 1906 3rd-highest Kaikoura 12.9 1.4 1963 3rd-highest Waiau 13.1 1.4 1974 3rd-highest Waipara West 13.6 0.9 1973 3rd-highest Orari Estate 12.3 1.1 1972 3rd-highest Tara Hills 9.6 1.4 1949 3rd-highest Dunedin (Airport) 12.1 1.0 1962 3rd-highest Ngawi 14.1 0.8 1972 4th-highest Levin 14.2 1.0 1895 4th-highest Blenheim 14.4 0.8 1941 4th-highest Lauder 10.3 2.0 1924 4th-highest Low records or near-records None observed Record or near-record mean minimum air temperatures for winter were recorded at: Location Mean Departure Year Comments minimum from records o air temp.
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