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Annual Review 2015–16 Navigating the New Geopolitics

Global Power Dynamics Interdependence and Insecurity Sustainable and Inclusive Growth , the Royal Institute of International Affairs, is an independent institute based in . Our mission is to help build a sustainably secure, prosperous and just world. Contents

Introduction 2–3 2015–16 Review 2 Chairman’s statement 3 Director’s statement About us 4–8 What We Do at Chatham House

Asia | Eurasia | | MENA | US 9 Understanding Global Power Dynamics 9 Assessing political risk 9 A changing role for the 10 Asian power relations 11 EU referendum and Britain’s place in the world 11 The paths of and its neighbours 12 Conflict and flux in the MENA region

Economic policy | Law and governance | Security 14 Managing Interdependence and Insecurity 14 ’s emerging currency 15 Coordinating 15 Governance of the 16 Europe’s Energy Union 16 Assessing risks to food security 17 Regional integration in 17 The changing landscape for human rights 18 Mitigating the effects of war 18 Engaging with non- armed groups 19 Responding to refugee movements 19 Supporting fragile states 20 Cyber, nuclear and space security 20 Global health security

Africa | Energy | Health | Natural resources 22 Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth 22 Women’s economic empowerment 22 Decoupling growth from resource consumption 23 Sustainable economic development in Africa 24 Managing natural resource stresses 25 Sustainable energy for refugees 25 The future of utilities 26 Universal health coverage 26 Infectious disease risk assessment and management

28 Honorary Treasurer’s report 29 Financial headlines 30 Patron, Presidents and Council 30 Panel of Senior Advisers 31 Individual supporters 33 Financial support 38 Staff, consultants and associate fellows

Chatham House | 1 Introduction 2015–16 Review

Chairman’s statement It gives me great pleasure to report that 2015–16 was The quality of our work and the strength of our reputation another year of robust results for Chatham House. were again underscored by an impressive performance We remain in a strong position to work with our global in the University of Pennsylvania’s annual Global Go To network of members, supporters and analysts, as we seek Index, in which we were ranked by our peers as to provide a better understanding of the challenges and the top non-US think-tank for the eighth consecutive year, opportunities in international affairs – including, now, and second in the world overall for the fifth consecutive year. the implications of the UK’s expected withdrawal from In addition, for the first time, the institute was ranked as the . No. 1 in the category ‘ and International Affairs I am pleased to report, therefore, that our total net Think Tanks’. assets at 31 March 2016 had increased to £12,944,000, Our research is, in part, shaped by our well-connected compared with £11,340,000 in the previous year (see the global networks. We continued to cultivate these and to reach Honorary Treasurer’s report, page 28). Our total net assets new audiences through partnerships and events over the were boosted by a 14 per cent increase in research income past 12 months in Amman, Beijing, , Brussels, Cancun, to £9 million and a rise in membership subscription income Istanbul, Lagos, New Delhi, Seoul, Shanghai, , to £2.6 million (notably, a 16 per cent increase in individual Washington, DC and many more. These activities, along with membership revenues and a 6 per cent rise in income from our annual flagship events – the Chatham House Prize and our corporate members). We continue to attract new and the London Conference – increasingly amplify our research. younger members from around the world, and membership I receive invaluable support from my colleagues on has grown across all categories. Council. This year, I sincerely thank Bronwen Maddox, The financial contributions from our sponsored Xan Smiley and Caroline Wyatt, each of whom steps down conferences and discretionary fundraising were higher after six years’ service; and Alex Nice, who steps down after than in previous years, and we combined this growth two years. Their input and advice have been a tremendous with a diversification of funding (see chart below). help, and have had a notable impact on the institute’s recent I was delighted to announce in October 2015 a achievements. cornerstone commitment of £3 million by the Stavros I am particularly grateful to Sir , who Niarchos Foundation towards the Chatham House Second steps down after six years as deputy chairman and eight Century . This funding is intended to support the years on Council. Roderic has given me, my predecessor expansion of the institute’s ground floor into the adjoining DeAnne Julius and all of Council great support over the Ames House later this year. This transformational grant years. His commitment, experience and guidance will be will significantly enhance Chatham House’s capacity to sorely missed. I am delighted to announce that Council has serve as a trusted and creative space for assessing and appointed Sir Simon Fraser as our new deputy chairman. debating the most important challenges in international Simon is a former career civil servant, having been most affairs in the years to come. recently the permanent under-secretary in the Foreign & Office and head of the diplomatic service Chatham House income by category 2015/16 = £15,903,000 from 2010–15. Finally, I should like to remind members and supporters Other Other Research Exceptional sale of fixed assets Miscellaneous UK that we are still in the relatively early stages of our campaign 4% departments Investment return 4% 14% to raise funds as part of the Chatham House Second Century 1% Publications Research Initiative, and in that regard I will continue to seek the help 3% Other Events and and international of all our supporters. conferences organizations In closing, I thank the Director, Chatham House staff 10% 9% and associate fellows for all of their hard work dedicated

Fundraising to the institute’s successes this past year. I also thank our and donations members for their continuing support, engagement and 5% attendance. This is a crucially important time in international affairs, with interconnecting challenges across the world. Corporate Research We will ensure that the institute’s contributions to addressing membership Private 11% foundations some of the world’s most intractable problems remain as 19% Individual relevant and accessible as ever. membership 6% Research Research Academic and Corporate individual 13% 1% Stuart Popham QC

2 | Chatham House Director’s statement During the past year, there were four important Boosting the institute’s online presence and capabilities developments that I would like to report, which will be is important for the fourth development, which involves central to the success of Chatham House as we navigate expanding our international engagement. Our growing the challenges of an increasingly complex world. media and social media profiles help us to build our First, we have strengthened our research base international audiences, as do our events outside of the UK. with the launch of a number of new multi-year projects, And I was delighted that our second London Conference in including on understanding the drivers of popular–elite June 2015 brought together participants from 139 countries divides in Europe, on developing ideas for greater gender in person and online. balance in global economic growth (the ‘Women 20’ Our Queen Elizabeth II Academy for in initiative), and on comparing the political perspectives International Affairs has also maintained its momentum, of the new generations in the Gulf states. Many projects helping the institute to cultivate international engagement now combine the diverse knowledge of Chatham House by attracting tomorrow’s leaders to join us in London. experts. One example of this is the research paper entitled I am happy to report that the institute’s research Humanitarian Engagement with Non-state Armed Groups, departments and programmes are increasingly benefiting produced through collaboration between the International from the insights and experiences of our Academy fellows, Security Department and the International Law Programme. who come from around the world and greatly enhance Our success rate for research grant applications the research and daily life of the institute. rose over the last year to 70 per cent. Notable examples of We have to recognize, however, that there is growing significant new multi-year funding include support for our popular disenchantment and a growing sense of loss of work on: tackling illegal logging, future political dynamics control in all regions of the world. This theme, which in the Gulf, and the establishment of a West African Disease surfaced strongly in the June 2016 London Conference, Surveillance Network. then manifested itself dramatically in the result of the UK’s Second, we are making sure that the appropriate referendum on EU membership. It also led to the installation infrastructure is in place to support this research activity. of a new British prime , , who visited To this end we are developing new working spaces on the Chatham House as home secretary in December 2015. ground floor of neighbouring Ames House, which will be Britain’s vote to leave the EU was a momentous accessed directly via the ground floor of Chatham House. event that will have implications for international affairs The Stavros Niarchos Foundation Floor will contain state- for decades to come. During the run-up to the referendum, of-the-art meeting facilities that will significantly enhance Chatham House acted as a neutral space to debate the pros the institute’s convening and communication capacities. and cons of EU membership, while the institute’s analysis The renovated space will include a situation room, the sought to inform the debate about this and opportunities Asfari Centre for training Academy fellows and a media that would lie ahead, depending on the outcome. room, as well as new breakout and meeting areas to As we look ahead, the institute will have to redouble encourage more collaborative thinking across the institute. its efforts to accomplish its mission in an increasingly Investment in our digital strategy is the third turbulent and unpredictable world. In doing so, Chatham development. We are making vital changes to our data House will continue to rely on the dedication and hard work management systems and databases, as well as reaping the of all of our staff, as well as the tremendous support that benefits of earlier investments in our website and digital they and our associate fellows receive from the membership, strategy. We can now reach new online audiences, and Council, senior advisers, individual and institutional donors, there were 2.3 million sessions on our website in 2015 – and our three Presidents. a 40 per cent increase on the previous year, with 55 per cent of traffic now coming via search engines. These new audiences are also engaging with new interactive content, including our work on and its Neighbours and the Dr Robin Niblett CMG Moving Energy Initiative to support the energy needs of refugees worldwide.

Chatham House | 3 About us What We Do at Chatham House

Origins Mission In 1919 British and American delegates to the Chatham House, the Royal Institute of International Conference, appalled by the waste of human life Affairs, is an independent policy institute based in London. caused by the First World War, conceived the idea of Our mission is to help build a sustainably secure, an Anglo-American institute of foreign affairs to study prosperous and just world. international problems. The institute: In the event, the British Institute of International Affairs was founded in London in July 1920 and the • engages governments, the private sector, American delegates established the Council on Foreign and its members in open debates and confidential Relations separately in New York. The institute received discussions about significant developments in its Royal Charter in 1926 and became the Royal Institute international affairs; of International Affairs. Since 1923 the institute has been • produces independent and rigorous analysis of critical based at Chatham House and is now more commonly global, regional and country-specific challenges and known by this name. Chatham House, the home of three opportunities; and former British prime ministers, including William Pitt • offers new ideas to decision-makers and opinion- the Elder, the Earl of Chatham, is located in historic shapers on how these could best be tackled from the St James’s Square close to key government departments near to the long term. in the heart of London. Demand for Chatham House’s research, convening capacity and ideas is growing. In response, the institute has been focusing its efforts on three priorities: expanding and deepening core areas of research capacity; engaging emerging leaders from around the world through the creation of The Queen Elizabeth II Academy for Leadership in International Affairs within the institute; and gaining access to additional physical space adjacent to the institute’s current premises in order to accommodate the first two priorities.

What we do Independent analysis • Our reports, papers, books and other research output provide independent and in-depth analysis. • International Affairs, a leading journal of Area studies , combines policy relevance and international with an academic, in-depth analytical approach law to contemporary world . • The World Today, the institute’s magazine, presents authoritative analysis and commentary on current International International topics. It provides a vital background for experts, security economics business planners, academics and others. • The institute received 2.3 million visits to the website Energy, from around the world during 2015. environment • The institute received more than 3,590 citations in major international media outlets during 2015–16. and resources Chatham House is placed in the top five, in terms of media coverage, in comparison with the world’s other leading think-tanks.

4 | Chatham House Dr Condoleezza Rice, Director of the President of the Goldman Sachs Global Center for Business and the Foundation Dina Habib Powell speaks Economy, Stanford University and on ‘Women’s Economic Empowerment former US , gives in the and North Africa’ the John C Whitehead Lecture on in July 2015. ‘Renewing the Transatlantic Alliance’ in October 2015.

Members The Queen Elizabeth II Academy for Leadership Ever since its founding in 1920, Chatham House has relied in International Affairs on its members, both individuals and corporates, to support Launched in November 2014, the Queen Elizabeth II its mission, especially its role as a platform for informed Academy for Leadership in International Affairs has become debate on the most pressing issues in international affairs. an established pillar of Chatham House, adding leadership Members are drawn from the worlds of business, , training to its research and convening capabilities. Each academia, politics, the media and civil society, as well as year between 10 and 12 fellows from around the world join a growing body of students. They play an essential role the Academy for up to a year, going on to form an alumni in questioning and challenging world leaders and other network associated with the institute. speakers when they visit Chatham House. While the Fellows develop their leadership capabilities majority are UK-based, overseas members (based in more through a programme of Academy seminars, off-site visits, than 75 countries) form an increasingly significant training and mentoring, as well as undertaking research proportion of the total. and engaging in Chatham House activities. Drawn from The Chatham House Council is composed of members a wide range of backgrounds, the fellows work on some of the institute, elected annually for a three-year term. of the most important issues on the international agenda. The Council may co-opt a small number of additional Current research topics include governance in the Kurdish members each year. Chatham House benefits from a wide areas of Syria, Chinese perspectives on international law range of research-related, philanthropic and membership and the Greek response to the Syrian refugee crisis in the support. This diversity of support is critical to the Mediterranean. Academy fellows strengthen the institute’s of the institute. thought leadership by contributing policy ideas and new voices from different regional perspectives. The Academy equips these individuals to become part of a new generation of decision-makers in their own countries. In early 2017, the Academy will benefit from a dedicated training facility, the Asfari Centre, situated in the new Stavros Niarchos Foundation Floor at Chatham House.

Informed debate New policy ideas • Around 120 events for members and some 15 major • A number of research projects culminate in Chatham one- or two-day conferences in 2015–16 enabled House reports, which make recommendations for world leaders and experts to exchange ideas. tackling a range of key policy challenges. • Research programmes hosted more than 250 • These recommendations are frequently developed workshops, seminars and briefings on a range iteratively with leading policy-makers, giving them of policy questions in the UK and globally. a stake in the ideas. • We hold regular major partnered conferences and • Experts provide briefings on their ideas to roundtables each year in Berlin, Hong Kong, Istanbul, government officials and in relevant New York and Seoul. capitals around the world. • Experts frequently provide evidence to government • Chatham House consistently ranks highly in the officials and legislators in Beijing, Brussels, Delhi, University of Pennsylvania’s annual Global Go To London, Washington, DC and other capitals. Think Tank Index, where it has been assessed by • Regular briefings for corporate partners and members its peers as the No. 1 think-tank outside the US allow them to interact with invited speakers under for eight consecutive years and No. 2 worldwide the Chatham House Rule. for the past five years. In addition, for the first time, the institute was ranked No. 1 in the category of ‘Foreign Policy and International Affairs Think Tanks’.

Chatham House | 5 About us Year in Review

Protecting cultural heritage In July 2015, UNESCO Director-General Irina Bokova described how protecting cultural heritage in conflict zones could support international security and peacebuilding.

Countering terrorism Strengthening the Theresa May, then UK home secretary, now prime minister, accompanied Loretta Lynch In October 2015, in December 2015 when the US attorney Secretary General of general spoke on international cooperation, the Council of Europe national security and protecting values Thorbjørn Jagland in a democratic society. spoke on the challenges for human rights, and the rule of law across Europe.

2015

EU referendum In November 2015, the then prime minister, , outlined his proposals for the UK’s continued membership of the European Union, ahead of the vote in June 2016.

Chatham House Prize 2015 ‘As we celebrate this evening, I ask you to think of those facing imminent danger in lethal outbreaks, in war zones or in flight … Lasting solutions must Heat, light and power for refugees be found. These lie in political leaders’ The report Heat, Light and Power for hands – your hands.’ Refugees presented the first ever assessment of energy use in situations Dr Joanne Liu, Médecins Sans Frontières, receives the of human displacement globally. Chatham House Prize from HRH The Princess Royal. It is part of the Moving Energy Initiative. A microsite with related resources was launched in May 2016.

6 | Chatham House The World Today online relaunch A digitally enhanced format for The World Today magazine went live online in February 2016, with improved navigation, the editor’s blog, and timely articles in between editions, on the website.

London Conference June 2016 Senior decision-makers from around the world came together at Chatham House’s flagship annual London Conference to discuss the theme of borders – new and old divisions, and the future challenges likely to influence or transcend them.

2016

Empowering women In May 2016, President of Michelle Bachelet visited Chatham House to share her views on empowering women Chatham House video competition and promoting their The institute ran a competition in May participation in 2016, inviting young to create a economic growth. video saying how they would make the world a better place for women.

International Affairs – InternationalAffairs InternationalAffairs Volume 92 Number 4 July 2016 China in focus In summer 2016, International Chinese foreign policy on trial: The UN at 70 contending perspectives? Affairs published a special issue A G2 with Chinese characteristics? JINGHAN ZENG AND Ban Ki-moon, SHAUN BRESLIN China and liberal hierarchies in global international society devoted to Chinese foreign policy. YONGJIN ZHANG China and its neighbourhood The sources of China’s assertiveness ZHANG YUNLING UN Secretary-General, NIEN-CHUNG CHANG LIAO The United States and China’s neighbourhood diplomacy WU XINBO Featuring Chinese and Western Understanding China’s South China Sea policy addressed a packed ZHOU FANGYIN Chinese diplomacy towards ZHAO HUASHENG experts, the issue was launched China and the South China Sea: is a legitimate maritime order possible? audience at a joint KATHERINE MORTON The China dream and ‘one belt, one road’ with a panel discussion at PETER FERDINAND The elusive EU–China strategic partnership event with the UNA-UK RICHARD MAHER Shanghai’s Fudan University. Review articles Averting US–China conlict JINGDONG YUAN in February 2016 in Three perspectives on Chinese diplomacy KAI CHEN Central Hall . UNA-UK/Ed Thompson UNA-UK/Ed

Chatham House | 7 About us Outreach

Chatham House is focusing on disseminating its debate, analysis and ideas to the interested public, as well as to decision-makers, in order to help build wider circles of support on how best to respond to global challenges.

Website traffic Social media Expert comments International media

2.3m 222k+ 47k 3,600 website visits – following pageviews for the media citations in major a 40% increase Chatham House three most-read international outlets – in 2015 on social media expert comments a 20% increase in 2015

Top two International Affairs articles – views Top two The World Today articles – views

Iran’s ISIS policy What exactly is InternationalAffairs 5,134 Volume 92 Number 2 March 2016 ‘one belt, one road’? 10,427

The futures of women, peace and security

Reintroducing women, peace and security The false promise of PAUL KIRBY AND LAURA J. SHEPHERD Gender as national interest at the Gendering normative power Europe: UN Security Council lessons of the WPS agenda Why China is winning 3,885 SOUMITA BASU ROBERTA GUERRINA AND The ‘war on terror’ and extremism: KATHARINE A. M. WRIGHT continental concert: assessing the relevance of WPS Queering women, peace and security FIONNUALA NÍ AOLÁIN JAMIE J. HAGEN 7,291 Decolonizing branded peacebuilding and the Finnish WPS agenda the war in MARJAANA JAUHOLA Russia, the West and the UN Security Council SAM COOK The futures past of the WPS agenda PAUL KIRBY AND LAURA J. SHEPHERD necessary balance of power Martin Wight Memorial Lecture Powers of a kind: and the in world politics CHRISTOPHER HILL Review articles The Responsibility to Protect at 15 RAMESH THAKUR Kennedy’s Alliance for Progress, Part II MICHAEL DUNNE

London Conference 2015

1391.3m 8,000+ countries were represented impressions on shares, re-tweets, likes, comments in person and online Facebook and Twitter and clicks on Chatham House posts

Chatham House on Twitter

Illegal logging Syria and its neighbours EU referendum

8 | Chatham House Asia | Eurasia | Europe | MENA | US Understanding Global Power Dynamics

Chatham House is examining the ways in which ongoing shifts in global economic and political power are leading to greater competition between states, blocs and institutions.

Assessing political risk Above: US President leaves In a world in which leaders are forced to make increasingly the White House for his trip to in April 2016 amid tensions over difficult decisions, Chatham House’s International whether Americans should be allowed to Economics Department has developed a new programme sue Saudi Arabia over the 9/11 attacks. to better understand the role of political risk in the global economy. Launched in 2015, the Chatham House Pacific Power Balance: Beyond the US–China Narrative, International Risk Briefing (CHIRB) series has examined supported by the MacArthur Foundation, was accompanied the political and economic risks in countries as diverse as by a public launch, briefings and media commentary. Japan, , the United Kingdom and to determine The authors argued that most assessments of the region focus how political events in one country or region might spill too much on the US–China dynamic, while downplaying or over and affect the broader global economy. For the second ignoring other significant actors, in particular Japan and . consecutive year, Chatham House also co-sponsored a two- Another research focus for the US and the day conference entitled ‘Assessing Risk: Business in Global Programme is the relationship between the United States Disorder’ with the Aspen Institute Italia. This conference and Europe. The programme partnered with think-tanks in examined the political and economic risks for the global , and Denmark to conduct workshops on economy in the year ahead, and brought together leaders NATO, and held roundtables using scenario-planning from government, industry and academia. to evaluate the state of the transatlantic relationship. The programme is also exploring the US role in the Middle A changing role for the United States East. In 2015 Chatham House co-hosted a roundtable in Barack Obama’s presidency has overseen a transition in Singapore on the future of the US security umbrella for America’s role in the world. The ‘rebalancing’ towards Asia, sea lines of communication between the Middle East and America’s rising energy security and the push for European Southeast Asia. And, during the second half of 2016 through allies to take more responsibility for their own security have to 2017, the programme anticipates conducting further raised many questions among allies and partners across the research on America’s role in the Gulf. At the same time, world. Over the year, the US and the Americas Programme, research into foreign elite perceptions of the United States working closely with the Asia Programme, focused on the has continued, focusing on America and the balance of power in the Asia-Pacific, co-writing a research former Union. This work is supported by the paper on this topic. The multi-authored paper, The Asia- Stavros Niarchos Foundation.

Chatham House | 9 Understanding Global Power Dynamics Chan Heng Chee, Ambassador-at-Large Asia | Eurasia | Europe | MENA | US with the Singapore Foreign Ministry, Sherard Cowper-Coles, Group Affairs, HSBC and Robert Holleyman, Deputy United States Trade Representative, discuss ‘Will Geo-Economics Trump Geo- Politics in the Asia-Pacific?’ at the London Conference in June 2016.

Asian power relations Rising political populism and authoritarian trends have The year 2016 is critical for China as it chairs the G20, been challenging democratic norms across Asia, driven in while at home the new 13th Five-Year Plan aims to help part by the widening economic disparity within and between the country navigate the transition to slower growth. countries. A series of publications and events, including On the international stage, China is becoming more active a conference on the future of capitalist democracy, part in shaping and has identified resource of Chatham House’s UK–Japan Global Seminar Series, security as a strategic priority. Domestically, resource and funded by the Nippon Foundation, considered these trends, energy issues are a top priority as officials tackle acute water examining the role of the United Kingdom and Japan in the scarcity and air pollution, while companies cope with changing international order. In November 2015, Chatham drastic price swings in resource markets. House partnered with South Korean JoongAng Against this backdrop, Chatham House has been Ilbo to run a conference in Seoul looking at the region’s working with the Development Research Center of China’s security and historical challenges, with participation from State Council to examine China’s emerging global role in Marty Natalegawa, former foreign minister of . resource security and sustainability. Following two years of In early 2016, a conference and research paper entitled research and analysis, and six workshops with high-level ASEAN’s Regional Role and Relations with Japan: The Challenges decision-makers, a joint report was launched in Beijing in of Deeper Integration explored the role of the Association early 2016. The project, which has had active participation of Southeast Asian (ASEAN) as a critical actor in from key Chinese ministries, has helped to increase the focus Southeast Asia. A particular focus was the need for ASEAN to on global resource governance in the thinking of Chinese manage the tension between its consensus-driven approach policy-makers. A summary of the report’s recommendations and the collision of domestic and regional interests. for China and the international community is being A new initiative, launched in 2015 with the Korea submitted to the State Council for its consideration. Foundation, has enabled the Asia Programme to bring together young academic and policy-focused East Asia specialists from across Europe to discuss some of the Above: Cyclists ride along the bank geostrategic and economic challenges of the region and of of the Pearl River with the Zhujiang New Town district in Guangzhou, the Korean peninsula in particular. The initiative has China visible in the background. involved roundtables in London and Seoul and a fact-finding In March 2016, two major Chinese visit to . cities announced further restrictions to cool runaway prices.

10 | Chatham House Rt Hon Baroness Manningham-Buller Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy discusses ‘ and National Yatsenyuk speaks on ‘Transforming Security: Separating Fact from Myth’ Ukraine: Successes and Obstacles in May 2016. on the Way to Reform’ in July 2015.

EU referendum and Britain’s place in the world As the United Kingdom moved towards the referendum on its future in the European Union, Chatham House contributed to and supported the national debate. In November 2015, the then prime minister, David Cameron, outlined his renegotiation proposal, while in February 2016 Lord Lawson addressed Chatham House members making the case for ‘Brexit’. At dozens of other events, a range of speakers from different parties and with different perspectives, including Hilary Benn, , , Eliza Manningham-Buller and , explored various dimensions of Britain’s relationship with Europe. The institute published multiple pieces of research and analysis on the referendum and the implications of leaving, including a special edition of International Affairs, The paths of Russia and its neighbours as well as a series of podcasts featuring academics, pollsters Chatham House has long been ahead of the curve in and politicians. Visiting Senior Fellow Matthew Goodwin articulating the challenge posed by Russia. During 2015–16, explored the dynamics of voting behaviour in a November the Russia and Eurasia Programme has made a concerted 2015 briefing, while in two research papers, Director Robin effort in meetings and publications to examine the evolution Niblett discussed the relationship between EU membership of Russia’s efforts to control the international agenda and Britain’s place in the world, and the arguments around in the context of heightened tensions with the West. national . In May 2016, the Europe Programme Two 2016 research papers in particular, Agents of the Russian and the Energy, Environment and Resources Department World: Proxy Groups in the Contested Neighbourhood and published a comprehensive analysis of the potential effects Russia’s ‘New’ Tools for Confronting the West: Continuity and of leaving the EU on UK energy and climate . Innovation in ’s Exercise of Power, explored Russia’s With Britain now having voted to leave the EU, proven capabilities and deployments, rather than just its Chatham House will play a key role in analysing the intentions, in unprecedented detail. The publications were post-referendum landscape – in particular, the future shape funded by the Robert Bosch Foundation and Global Affairs of the UK–EU relationship, what leaving the EU means for respectively. Britain’s foreign and security policy, and the implications Meanwhile, the Ukraine Forum, set up by Chatham for the EU itself. House in July 2015, ran a dynamic programme of activity In the run-up to the UK’s Strategic Defence and in its first year and is now established as the leading Security Review in 2015, Chatham House hosted a series of arena for discussion of Ukrainian transformation politics. high-profile speakers on UK defence policy. The institute also A ‘critical friend’ of Ukraine, the forum has debated the welcomed the inaugural Chief of General Staff Visiting Fellow successes and failures of reform. Thus far the conclusion, – now in its second year, the fellowship provides mutual well expressed in the research paper Can Ukraine Achieve benefits to both Chatham House and participating fellows. a Reform Breakthrough?, is that the West must continue its (conditional) support. Almost 4,500 miles away in , Aşgabat – the capital of – is still living with its Soviet legacy, as shown in Turkmenistan: Power, Politics and Petro-. Supported by the Open Society Foundations, this is the only significant study published in the last decade of this quasi-Stalinist country, which possesses some of the largest gas reserves on the planet.

Left: A campaigner distributes leaflets Above: Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei in Manchester, UK, in June 2016, ahead Lavrov attends the opening ceremony of Britain’s historic vote to leave the for the new Russian Embassy building in European Union. Aşgabat, Turkmenistan in January 2016.

Chatham House | 11 Understanding Global Power Dynamics Iran’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Asia | Eurasia | Europe | MENA | US Dr discusses ‘Overcoming Challenges in the Middle East: An Iranian Perspective’ in February 2016.

Conflict and flux in the MENA region The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region remains Meanwhile, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are beset by violence. In , the state continues its attempts facing new pressures from increasing younger populations; to regain territory from Islamic State of Iraq and Syria the possibility of major economic transformations in the (ISIS), while violent conflict in enters its second near future, prompted in part by low oil prices; and the year and Syria’s myriad conflicts continue into a sixth. rising political and economic influence of Iran. Focusing on These problems are set against a regional order in flux, shifting trends – from the redefinition of the social contract with a resurgent post-nuclear-deal Iran in open competition in the Gulf to the increased foreign policy activism of with a Saudi Arabia emboldened by its new leadership GCC governments – the MENA Programme has facilitated under King Salman. dialogues and hosted a variety of Gulf civil society voices The MENA Programme’s Syria and Its Neighbours and high-level actors. These have included Dr Mohammad Policy Initiative has focused on the long-term and regional Javad Zarif, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Islamic of impact of the Syrian war. Project work for the initiative was Iran; and HE Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jaber Al Thani, undertaken with support from the Carnegie Corporation former prime minister and foreign minister of . of New York, the Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre The escalation of violent conflict in Yemen and the rapidly and the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation. growing humanitarian crisis have been another key area of During the year, the programme published research on research. Shedding light on the unravelling crisis, the MENA critical trends, including Syria’s Economy: Picking up the Programme published an insightful analysis mapping out Pieces, an assessment of the extent of the damage to the the key conflict actors, entitled Yemen: Stemming the Rise economy; Salvaging Syria’s Economy, on the prospects for of a Chaos State. its reconstruction; Syrian Refugees in : Confronting Difficult Truths; and The Impact of the Syrian War on Kurdish Syria and its neighbours Politics Across the Middle East. The programme also ran As part of the multi-year Syria and Its Neighbours workshops in London, Jordan, Turkey and Washington, DC, Policy Initiative, in March 2016 Chatham House as well as facilitating high-level discussions with prominent launched a major digital ‘interactive’ to host expert figures, including UN Special Envoy Staffan de Mistura, comments, publications videos and podcasts General John Allen, of the International reflecting project research. Rescue Committee, and Abdallah Al Dardari of the United https://syria.chathamhouse.org Nations Economic and Social Commission for . Chatham House has launched an online microsite to act as a hub for its Syria research.

Left: Syrian civil defence volunteers and rescuers remove a baby from under the rubble of a building in the rebel-held neighbourhood of al-Kalasa in Aleppo, in April 2016.

12 | Chatham House Understanding Global Power Dynamics People

Matthew Goodwin Bill Hayton Rana Marcel Khalaf Keir Giles A visiting senior fellow with An associate fellow with the Asia Academy senior fellow with An associate fellow with the Russia the Europe Programme, Programme, Bill Hayton is the the Middle East and North and Eurasia Programme, Keir Giles Matthew Goodwin has expertise author of The South China Sea: Africa Programme, Rana is also Director of the Conflict that includes extremism in The Struggle for Power in Asia Marcel Khalaf is the author of Studies Research Centre. contemporary Europe, voting (Yale University Press, 2014), several publications on Syria. He specializes in defence and behaviour in British politics and which named At Chatham House her research security issues. His most recent immigration and ‘community as one of its books of the year. focuses on governance in the research paper, Russia’s New cohesion’ policy. In 2015, he His previous book was : non-government-controlled parts Tools for Confronting the West: won the Paddy Power Political Rising Dragon (Yale University of Syria. Continuity and Innovation in Book of the Year award for Revolt Press, 2010). He has published Moscow’s Exercise of Power, Prior to joining the institute, on the Right, co-authored with articles in The Economist, has been widely credited with she was a research consultant for Robert Ford. He is the co-editor the South China Morning Post, improving Western understanding organizations such as the United of the Routledge book series The Diplomat and The National of how Russia deploys its full Nations Economic and Social on Extremism and Democracy. Interest, among others. spectrum capabilities – and with Commission for Western Asia, the Between 2011 and 2015 he exposing Western deterrence He has presented on the South Syrian NGO Badael, the Friedrich- served as a member of the UK deficits. China Sea and Southeast Asian Ebert-Stiftung, the UNDP Bureau government’s working group issues for government institutions for Development Policy, and the In the past year, he has also written on anti-Muslim hatred. and think-tanks in the UK, US, the League of Arab States. Rana is on the fallout in Russia–Turkey His most recent publication for , , Indonesia a non-resident fellow with the relations, Belarusian geopolitical Chatham House is the briefing and Singapore. Bill also works for Centre for Syrian Studies at the fence-sitting and Russian paper Britain, the European Union BBC World News television University of St Andrews and is military manoeuvres. During an and the Referendum: What Drives in London. actively engaged with civil society attachment to the NATO Defense Euroscepticism?, written with networks working on Syria and College, in summer 2016, he was He recently co-authored the Caitlin Milazzo (2015). the . commissioned to produce a NATO Chatham House research He is a professor of politics at the handbook on Russian information paper ASEAN’s Regional Role University of Kent and is a regular warfare. He is also working on and Relations with Japan: The commentator in the media. a book that will explore the Challenges of Deeper Integration difference in values and strategic (2016). priorities between Russia and the West, and how to better deal with the confrontation.

Further reading:

Britain, the EU and the Russia and the Research Paper Robin Niblett Europe Programme | May 2016 Sovereignty Myth New World Disorder Robin Niblett (May 2016) Bobo Lo (July 2015) Britain, the EU and the Sovereignty Myth Ahead of Britain’s EU referendum, This book examined the interplay this research paper analysed the between Russian foreign policy question of sovereignty in an and a global environment that interdependent world. Coverage has rarely been more fluid and included radio and TV interviews, uncertain. The Economist called plus articles in Newsweek, the New it ‘the best attempt yet to explain Statesman, the Wall Street Journal, Russia’s unhappy relationship the and others. with the rest of the world’. www.chathamhouse.org/ www.chathamhouse.org/ publication/britain-eu-and- publication/russia-and-new- sovereignty-myth world-disorder

Chatham House | 13 Economic policy | Law and governance | Security Managing Interdependence and Insecurity

Chatham House is examining the ways that politically sovereign states are increasingly vulnerable to interconnected markets and security challenges.

China’s emerging currency In November 2015 the International Monetary Fund (IMF) In order to promote understanding of the dynamics of the announced that, starting in 2016, the Chinese renminbi internationalization of the RMB, Chatham House organized (RMB) would be included in the basket of currencies which a conference on this topic in October 2015 to coincide with determines the value of the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights. the state visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to London. This represents a milestone in acceptance of the RMB as The conference examined the technical challenges of an international currency. Chatham House’s research internationalization of the RMB, how future changes director for international economics, Dr Paola Subacchi, will affect global financial flows, and the implications for has provided regular analysis as the process has unfolded. London as the largest offshore market for RMB trading Her book on China and the RMB will be published by outside Asia. The conference included speakers such as Columbia University Press in autumn 2016. Chatham Commercial Secretary to HM Treasury Lord O’Neill, the House has also hosted events in London and Beijing with US Treasury Department’s undersecretary for international organizations including the Chinese Academy of Social affairs, Nathan Sheets, and Xia Bin of the State Council Sciences and the China Finance 40 think-tank, on the of China. subject of how China’s currency will be internationalized and the challenges the process might face.

Above: A currency exchange sign in Hong Kong – 2016 began with a period of volatility as China stepped up its defence of the renminbi, buying the currency in Hong Kong to deter speculators.

14 | Chatham House From left: Kristin Schreiber, European Sylvia Schwaag Serger, VINNOVA Commission; Dr Markus Kerber, discuss ‘Europe’s Strategic Choices: of German Industries; Building Prosperity and Security’ Dr Daniela Schwarzer, German at a Chatham House conference in Marshall Fund of the United States; Berlin, in November 2015. Katinka Barysch, Allianz SE; and

Coordinating economic policy In the eight years since the global financial crisis, coordination of economic policies by governments has steadily increased. During the past year, Chatham House has hosted academics, business leaders and practitioners from governments and the IMF to discuss how the financial crisis, as well as the eurozone crisis, has changed the nature of the financial system. Chatham House’s International Economics Department also collaborated with the IMF on a joint research project, which resulted in the edited volume Managing Complexity: Economic Policy Cooperation After the Crisis ( Press, 2016). This provided a detailed analysis of how the financial crisis spurred greater coordination of monetary, fiscal and supervisory policies Governance of the internet across the globe, and also assessed future challenges. Having launched the Global Commission on Internet The role of the G20 in promoting international Governance (GCIG) in partnership with the Centre cooperation has also grown since the 2008 financial crisis, for International Governance Innovation in 2014, the and Chatham House has been closely involved in G20 work International Security Department has continued to to develop global economic governance norms. The institute focus on this challenging area. The GCIG met regularly has worked with representatives of both the Turkish and throughout the year in , India, Jordan and the Chinese presidencies to develop recommendations to United States, and launched the findings of the two-year encourage economic policy coordination and stimulate commission at the OECD 2016 Ministerial Meeting growth. Chatham House is a member of the Think-20 (T20) in . engagement group of selected think-tanks from the G20 The department hosted an internet governance countries. In January 2016, Dr Paola Subacchi attended the seminar series, with the support of AIG. As part of this T20 annual policy forum in Shenzen, China, which focused series, Chatham House welcomed a number of speakers on financial governance and innovation. Other work including Baroness Lane-Fox of Soho, Misha Glenny and connected to the G20 included a joint publication by the Sven Sakkov, who discussed issues ranging from digital department’s Senior Research Fellow Stephen Pickford with skills through to cyber crime and cyber defence. Chatham Zha Xiaogang of the Shanghai Institutes for International House’s work in this area continues in 2016 with the launch Studies. Their research paper, Towards a More Effective G20 of the first two editions of the Journal of Cyber Policy, an in 2016: Chinese and UK Perspectives, examined how China academic peer-reviewed journal, edited by Chatham House might leverage its presidency of the G20 to meet its goals of and published by Routledge, Taylor & Francis. boosting growth, improving global governance and encouraging development. Stephen Pickford also published New cyber journal Global Risks and the Challenges for G20 Coordination: The first edition of Chatham A Growth Agenda for China’s 2016 Presidency, delving into House’s new Journal of Cyber more detail on how improved international coordination Policy was launched in May through the G20 could support more robust global growth. 2016 with a talk by the celebrated author, journalist and academic Professor John Naughton. The journal is edited by Emily Taylor, associate fellow in the International Security Department.

Left: Christine Lagarde, managing Above: An employee simulates director IMF, talks with German a cyber attack at the Cyber Security Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin in Center in the University of April 2016 during a press conference Bretagne-Sud in Vannes, western with the heads of world financial France in February 2016. institutions.

Chatham House | 15 Managing Interdependence and Insecurity Economic policy | Law and governance | Security

Assessing risks to food security Vulnerabilities and chokepoints along global trade routes have long been a concern within energy markets. The same risks apply to staple foods and fertilizers, but minimal attention has been afforded in food security literature to the infrastructure that underpins this global trade. Chatham House, with support from the MAVA Foundation, is analysing the volume and value of food shipments flowing through maritime chokepoints. This is the first analysis of its kind to shed light on the importance of global transport networks to food security, and to explore the complex risks to which these chokepoints are exposed. Initial results have fed into the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment and the recent annual flagship State of Agricultural Commodity Markets report by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN. The findings were Europe’s Energy Union also published in the Financial Times. As governments seek Europe is transforming its energy sector while building the to make their food systems more resilient to increasingly Energy Union. A Chatham House research paper, funded frequent and severe climate shocks, understanding the by the European Climate Foundation, assessed the Energy chronic vulnerabilities inherent in global transport networks Union as a tool to manage the foreign policy dimensions is of vital importance. The Chatham House report for this of energy and climate issues. The paper highlighted that stream of work is set to be published in 2016–17 with the current ‘gas first’ approach to energy security and an accompanying microsite for users to explore. infrastructure could result in ‘stranded assets’ if future gas demand, on which investments are predicated, does not match projections. The paper, released in March 2016, was viewed 2,000 times during the first month of publication, including by governments in the UK, Germany, Poland, Russia, Ukraine and Turkey. Chatham House also held workshops in Brussels, Berlin and London to discuss Above: French ecology minister Below: In December 2015, the the future of the Energy Union with senior experts from Ségolène Royal launches a project to French shipping container CMA government, business and civil society. The research transform Strasbourg’s waste water CGM became the findings were presented at the Warsaw Security Forum and into biogas in September 2015. largest container ship ever to call at Earlier in the year, the European an American port – it requires special the Environment Ireland conference, and an op-ed was Commission set out its plans for cranes to reach its containers when published by Euractiv to accompany the launch of the paper. an EU Energy Union. stacked to its full height.

16 | Chatham House ’s Minister of Finance Hon Armando Manuel speaks at a conference on ‘Infrastructure Delivery in Sub-Saharan Africa’ in March 2016.

The changing landscape for human rights Against the background of increasing debate about the role of business in society, the International Law Programme published a research paper, Business and Human Rights: Bridging the Governance Gap, examining the degree to which progress will be made on access to justice, and considering the emerging trend in Europe towards mandatory due diligence and disclosure requirements for companies. The paper also considered the implications of renewed calls by a small group of states for a treaty on business and human rights to build on the UN Guiding Principles adopted in 2008. Challenges for human rights promotion more generally were a key theme of a joint conference with the UN Office of Legal Affairs to mark the 70th anniversary of the UN Charter. The International Law Programme Regional integration in Africa also continued to examine the specific impact of China on Cross-border cooperation to expand markets and encourage the future of human rights, with a two-day roundtable in investment could transform African economies, but key bringing together leading thinkers from China with to this is the development of appropriate transnational their global peers. Consideration of human rights principles infrastructure. An Africa Programme conference in in counterterrorism strategies emerged as an increasing March 2016, funded by the UK Foreign & Commonwealth area of concern at this roundtable, which was co-hosted Office, brought together ministers from Angola, Ghana, with the China University of and Law and the UK, along with business leaders and and the Graduate Institute Geneva. The roundtable also community stakeholders, to discuss the critical challenges provided access to UN human rights sessions for the Chinese of addressing Africa’s infrastructure deficit. Field research experts. Chatham House has also continued to examine the in Angola, Mozambique, Ghana, , international law and foreign affairs consequences of the and Côte d’Ivoire explored the common challenges that UK government’s criticisms of the European Court of governments and businesses face in developing and Human Rights. maintaining civil infrastructure. This work is helping to support policy dialogue and navigate tensions between development and commercial interests. In East Africa, regional mediation of the ongoing political crisis in is occurring concurrently with the East African Community’s moves towards deeper integration. Africa Programme outputs explored challenges to regional integration, including political differences, crises, conflict and interstate competition. Ahead of the African Union’s 2016 summit on the importance of maritime security for economic development, President Hery Rajaonarimampianina of and Foreign Minister Robert Dussey of spoke at Chatham House about the importance of African collaboration to develop a continent- wide ‘blue economy’.

Above: Fishermen watch the container Right: A woman works at a wood ship Clemens Schulte arrive in Dar es station on the outskirts of Jammu, Salaam, Tanzania in August 2015. India in March 2016. In June, the Dar es Salaam port is undergoing UN announced a global action plan a huge transformation to improve its to empower women economically by capacity and enhance its efficiency. 2030, including through the review of legislation and international conventions.

Chatham House | 17 Managing Interdependence and Insecurity Dr Soumita Basu, Assistant Professor, Economic policy | Law and governance | Security Department of International Relations, South Asian University, Delhi, at a panel discussion on ‘Reintroducing Women, Peace and Security’ to mark International Women’s Day and a special issue of International Affairs in March 2016.

Mitigating the effects of war With continuing uncertainty about the impact of international human rights law on military operations, including on questions surrounding detention, the International Law Programme has entered the final stages of its work on human rights in armed conflict, with a publication offering practical guidance on the application of this fast-evolving area of international law planned for the end of 2016. The programme also began work on a project that will examine the circumstances under which a state will be responsible under international law because it has facilitated the commission of an internationally wrongful act by another state. The Aiding and Assisting project will focus on contexts of armed conflict and Photo: Sabah Aarar/AFP/Getty Images counterterrorism and will bring together leading experts from a range of sectors to investigate this critical issue Engaging with non-state armed groups underpinning intergovernmental cooperation in areas such As the role of non-state armed groups (NSAGs) continues as intelligence sharing. to influence the international security landscape, Chatham In partnership with Doughty Street Chambers, House began a project in 2015 with the support of the the programme continued its Milestones in International UK Department for International Development (DFID) Criminal Justice series generating discussions on promoting and the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs that accountability for international crimes. This included explores a principled approach to engagement with NSAGs discussion of the impact of civil society on international for humanitarian purposes. As a result of this project, a set criminal procedures as well as corporate responsibility for of emerging propositions was published in January 2016, international crimes. Recommendations from fellows in supported by four background research papers and a side the programme were taken up in the report by the House event hosted by Chatham House at the World Humanitarian of Lords Select Committee on Sexual Violence in Conflict. Summit in Istanbul, Turkey, in 2016. The work of the International Law Programme is possible thanks to the continued support of the Oak Foundation.

Above: Iraqi pro-government forces take part in the battle to retake the city of Fallujah from Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in May 2016. Thousands of civilians were forced to flee amid UN warnings of a humanitarian disaster. Left: Yazidi refugees celebrate news of the liberation of their homeland of Sinjar from ISIS in November 2015. ISIS captured Sinjar in 2014, killing many and sexually enslaving thousands of Yazidi women.

18 | Chatham House Gunilla Carlsson, Swedish Minister Sarah El Ashmawy, MENA Research for International Development Analyst, KPMG and Ghadi Sary, Cooperation (2006–13), joined a panel Academy Fellow, Middle East and of speakers to discuss ‘Does Europe North Africa Programme at Chatham Need a New Approach to Migration?’ House, participate in a panel in April 2016. discussion on ‘Tackling Sectarian and Interfaith Conflicts in the MENA Region: The Role of Civil Society’ in November 2015.

Left: Francis, flanked by Below: Alleged former Afghan Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew I, fighters carry their weapons before greets Syrian refugees on the handing them over at a ceremony in Greek island of Lesbos in April 2016. Jalalabad in February 2016 as part The pope invited three refugee of a government peace and families to fly back with him to reconciliation process. be rehoused in .

Responding to refugee movements Supporting fragile states The world is currently witnessing the highest level of Fragile states continue to represent a critical vulnerability human displacement globally since the Second World War. in an interdependent world. In Afghanistan, peace and At the end of 2015, there were more than 21 million refugees, stability remain elusive after one of the longest and most according to the Office of the UN High Commissioner for ambitious NATO-led interventions since the Second World Refugees (UNHCR). There was also an increasingly polarized War. Building on decades of Chatham House research, debate on how states, regions and the international the institute’s Afghanistan: Opportunity in Crisis project community should respond to refugee movements. tracked the country’s path – examining the critical issues Chatham House convened a range of discussions of elections, reconciliation and development – to identify on the European refugee crisis, as well as on the global new policy options for the future. July 2015 saw the governance of refugee movements and migration generally. conclusion of this project, culminating in the research paper The Europe Programme and the International Law Opportunity in Crisis: Navigating Afghanistan’s Uncertain Programme supported research by the Academy Stavros Future, which drew on the observations and ideas generated Niarchos Foundation Fellow on Greece’s response to the throughout the project’s lifetime. However, the institute’s European refugee crisis, while Chatham House experts research focus on Afghanistan continues, and in March 2016 contributed evidence to the International Development Chatham House ran a high-level workshop examining the Committee’s enquiry on the Syrian refugee crisis. People economic and security challenges faced by the country, with forced across borders as a consequence of natural disasters a renewed emphasis on the consequences for Afghanistan were the focus of a two-day roundtable held in May 2015 and its neighbours, and the implications for the West, by the International Law Programme in partnership with should instability in the country worsen. the Swiss and Norwegian governments. This roundtable brought together state representatives and experts to discuss a draft Protection Agenda which drew on existing practice to highlight pragmatic strategies for responding to the protection needs of these displaced persons. The Protection Agenda was subsequently endorsed by over 100 states at a diplomatic conference in Geneva in autumn 2015.

Chatham House | 19 Managing Interdependence and Insecurity Economic policy | Law and governance | Security

Cyber, nuclear and space security its message with a short film featuring opening remarks The International Security Department considers new by the UN secretary-general and articles in The BMJ, The and emerging security threats and their policy impact. Lancet and the New Journal of Medicine. The centre A key focus over the past year has been the cyber will continue its work in this area, as well as taking forward vulnerabilities of critical infrastructure, specifically civil research on conflict and health with seed funding from the nuclear infrastructure and space-based assets. In October Wellcome Trust. 2015, the department published a report that exposed The recent Ebola and Zika global disease outbreaks the cyber vulnerabilities of civil nuclear infrastructure. have revealed the benefits of sharing data for public The report, completed with the support of the MacArthur health surveillance in a timely manner. Data sharing has Foundation, received considerable attention from a range of led to more coordinated and effective risk management, international stakeholders, including government agencies, and improved the public health responses to such global industry bodies and academic institutions. The second emergencies. Since 2014, the Centre on Global Health phase of the research will focus on the implementation of Security has been working to create the right environment the recommendations. Another important project has been for data sharing and to achieve good practice. The centre the study of the cyber vulnerabilities of space-based assets, has convened more than 100 multi-disciplinary experts from which has focused mainly on cyber threats to satellites. around the world, gathering evidence to identify solutions This project, supported by the Sasakawa Peace Foundation, to legal, ethical, technical and political challenges. has brought together international space and cyber experts The resulting guidance outlines the key considerations for to discuss potential threats, such as jamming, spoofing the diverse players involved in public health. The guidance and grilling, and possible policy solutions. is undergoing testing, before being made publicly available online and in print. The project is funded by Global health security the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. The Centre on Global Health Security has been at the Chatham House has worked on the issue of forefront of the response to the Ebola crisis in West Africa. antimicrobial resistance (AMR) for many years. During Experts from the centre participated in the independent 2015–16, the Centre on Global Health Security hosted panel convened by Harvard Global Health Institute and the Academy Senior Fellow Dr Fatih Serbest to undertake London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, and in the research into views of AMR in Islamic countries. Dr Serbest World Health Organization’s review of the International also wrote a concept paper, written for the 13th Session of Health Regulations. Supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates the Islamic Summit Conference, which was discussed at the Foundation, the centre is developing a ‘global health track’ Senior Official Meeting Preparatory for the summit. As a at the annual Munich Security Conference, which, together direct result, for the first time, the Organisation of Islamic with involvement in the InterAction Council of former heads Cooperation endorsed the World Health Assembly’s Global of state and government, is elevating the Action Plan for Antimicrobial Resistance and encouraged debate from within health ministries up to heads of state all member states to effectively address the problem. and foreign and defence ministers. The centre reinforced

The spread of two antibiotic-resistant bacteria since 1996 Annual global deaths attributable to AMR

0.7m

New York 2014 Above: From left: Stefan Oschmann, North Carolina 10m Deputy Chief Officer, Merck KGaA; James L. Jones, General (ret.), New Dehli former National Security Advisor 2050 projected of the United States of America; David M. Rodriguez, General, Commander, United States African USD Command; Hanna Serwaah Tetteh, 100trn Minister of Foreign Affairs and Regional Integration, Republic of Ghana; and Dr Robin Niblett, Director, New Dehli metallo-β-lactamase (NDM) Potential impact on Chatham House, discuss ‘The Health- Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC) world GDP to 2050 Security Nexus’ at the Munich Security Sources: Chatham House; Nature; Review on Antimicrobial Resistance Conference in February 2016. (from Munich Security Report 2016). Image source: MSC / Koerner

20 | Chatham House Managing Interdependence and Insecurity People

Tomisha Bino Schneider-Petsinger Hannah Bryce Harriet Moynihan Academy fellow Tomisha Bino As geo-economics fellow in the Assistant head of the Before joining Chatham House joined the International Security US and the Americas Programme, International Security as an associate fellow in the Department at Chatham House Marianne Schneider-Petsinger Department, Hannah Bryce International Law Programme, in 2015. She has worked as a is responsible for analysis joined Chatham House in Harriet Monynihan was a research assistant at the Research at the nexus of political and September 2013. Prior to this, legal adviser at the Foreign & Group for Biological Arms economic issues. Before joining she spent several years working Commonwealth Office, where Control (also known as HRG), Chatham House, she managed overseas in the humanitarian she advised on a wide range of based at the Carl Friedrich the Transatlantic Consumer sector, including managing international law issues including Weizsäcker-Centre for Science Dialogue. She also worked for a demining programmes in Sudan, international humanitarian law, and Peace Research (ZNF). transatlantic affairs think-tank and Vietnam. human rights law and diplomatic in the United States and an and consular law. She has She specializes in policy research Her research areas of interest economics ministry in Germany. represented the UK in the Council on the Biological Weapons include human security, Her research interest lies in the of Europe, in cases before the Convention and is currently particularly the proliferation of area of trade and transatlantic European Court of Human Rights, working on ways to move forward small arms, light weapons and economic cooperation. and at bilateral and multilateral the process of establishing a landmines; Sudan and South treaty negotiations. weapons-of-mass-destruction- She completed her graduate Sudan politics and current affairs; free zone in the Middle East. studies at the Fletcher School and the role and impact of the Her areas of focus at Chatham She holds an MA in peace and of Law and Diplomacy (Tufts humanitarian sector. House include state responsibility security studies from the Institute University) and the John F. She holds a law degree from the in armed conflict and for Peace Research and Security Kennedy School of Government London School of Economics counterterrorism, sexual violence Policy at the University (Harvard University). She holds and Political Science, and a in conflict, business and human of . a BA in international affairs and master of studies in international rights, and China’s approach economics from the University relations from the University to international law. She has of Maine. of Cambridge. She is currently recently lectured on international leading the department’s work on humanitarian law as part of humanitarian engagement Oxford University’s Foreign with non-state armed groups and Relations Programme. is co-editor of the Journal of Cyber Policy.

Further reading:

ye euiya ii ula aiiis nesadn h ik Caroline Baylon Roger and David with Livingstone Brunt at Civil NuclearCyber Security Facilities: Risks Understanding the Cyber Security at Civil Nuclear Salvaging Syria’s Economy Chatham House Report Research Paper Caroline Baylon with Roger Brunt and David Livingstone David Butter Facilities: Understanding the Risks Middle East and North Africa Programme | March 2016 David Butter (March 2016) Caroline Baylon, David Livingstone, This research paper argued that Cyber Security at Roger Brunt (October 2015) Salvaging Syria’s Civil Nuclear Facilities Economy the reluctance of Western powers Understanding the Risks This report drew attention to to challenge Bashar al-Assad the risk of cyber attack on civil means that his regime will be in a nuclear facilities. Media coverage strong position to dictate terms included Sky News, BBC News, when the time comes to focus on the Financial Times, the reconstruction in Syria. A related Washington Post, Deutsche Welle, op-ed was published by Al Jazeera and Le Figaro. and the paper was covered by Gulf News. www.chathamhouse.org/ publication/cyber-security-civil- www.chathamhouse.org/ Chatham House Chatham nuclear-facilities-understanding- publication/salvaging-syrias- risks economy

Chatham House | 21 Africa | Energy | Health | Natural resources Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth

Chatham House is examining how governments and societies can balance growth and welfare expectations with environmental, resource and other stresses.

Women’s economic empowerment April 2015 saw the announcement by Turkey’s then deputy With the clock ticking on the global climate agreement coming prime minister, Ali Babacan, of the official G20 engagement into force in 2020, tackling illegal logging will remain a group, the Women 20 (W20). The W20 promotes gender priority for the institute in the coming years. economic inclusiveness and seeks to advance women’s Emissions from the livestock sector are also a major economic opportunities. Chatham House was actively driver of climate change, accounting for approximately involved in establishing the W20: since 2013 the International 15 per cent of the global total. Without action to reduce Economics Department has been working closely with host the global consumption of products, it will be virtually G20 countries to raise awareness around gender-related impossible to limit the rise in global temperatures to 2°C. issues to ensure that gender equality in the context of growth In November 2015 the Energy, Environment and Resources targets would be on the G20 agenda. The second International Department published the ground-breaking report, Changing Policy Forum in in 2015, which was developed by Climate, Changing Diets: Pathways to Lower Meat Consumption, Chatham House, became the official W20 launch event. outlining a package of policy interventions to foster more The International Economics Department also ran a series sustainable levels of meat consumption. The report was of consultations in key cities (London, Istanbul, Beijing, the culmination of an innovative 18-month, multi-country Milan and New York) which served to inform the W20 research project which explored the public understanding recommendations submitted to the G20 in September 2015. of and attitudes towards the links between meat and dairy This work is supported by EY. consumption and climate change. Findings were showcased at COP21 in Paris and generated a tremendous global Women, peace and security response from policy-makers, civil society, academia and the A special issue of International Affairs in March international press. Growing awareness and understanding 2016 analysed the Security Council of the issue is now leading to policy change. resolutions on Women, Peace and Security (WPS) 15 years on from the adoption of the first WPS resolution. The issue was guest-edited by Paul Kirby and Laura J. Shepherd.

Decoupling growth from resource consumption The year 2015 was momentous, with the adoption of the Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris global climate agreement. Effective forest governance will be essential to the successful outcome of both these processes. A major Chatham House report, Tackling Illegal Logging and the Related Trade: What Progress and Where Next?, funded by DFID, highlighted the fact that illegal activities remain widespread in the forest sector and called for governments to step up their efforts to address them. In particular, more concerted effort is needed to tackle corruption. The 2015 report has been widely cited in Above: A meat-processing facility international media and referenced by policy-makers. in . China provides a major export market for Australian beef, and Chatham House has also been exploring policy the two countries signed a new export tools that could help to reduce deforestation driven by agreement in 2015. agricultural and mining expansion in the context of government commitments to reduce carbon emissions.

22 | Chatham House Professor Attahiru Muhammadu Jega, Chairman, Independent National Electoral Commission, (2010–15), speaks on the ‘Challenges of Modernizing Election Processes: The Nigerian Experience’ in March 2016.

Right: An employee rings the opening bell on the trading floor at the Nigerian Stock Exchange in Lagos, in October 2015. According to one estimate, up to 64 per cent of Nigeria’s GDP may be derived from unrecorded or informal activity.

Sustainable economic development in Africa The past year has been one of diverging political systems launched the commission’s latest report on industrial policy and changing economic fortunes across Africa. These in Africa. He highlighted the growth potential that greater changes affect the ability of regional hegemons, such as agribusiness and manufacturing might have for Africa. , , South Africa and Nigeria, to combat crises In southern Africa, diversifying away from resource and cooperate to achieve inclusive growth. In December reliance could bolster the economies of the region. 2015 the Chatham House report, Nigeria’s Booming At Chatham House events, the deputy prime minister of Borders: The Drivers and Consequences of Unrecorded Trade, Lesotho emphasized the importance of investment, despite investigated the drivers, nature and consequences of political fragility, while President Peter Mutharika of unrecorded trade at a time when Nigeria’s government is pointed to improved productivity in agriculture as key to seeking to diversify its economy and raise revenue from non- development. An Africa Programme conference in oil sources. The regional bloc, the Economic Community of highlighted the long-term need for economic diversification West African States, is constructing a framework for West away from diamond extraction. The 2015 Chatham House Africa’s international trade. The report, funded by DFID report, Mozambique to 2018: Managers, Mediators and Nigeria, was discussed at events in three Nigerian cities and Magnates, discussed the challenges ahead for a country in London. Earlier in 2015, Nigeria was buoyed by a peaceful developing new resource finds while grappling with election, conducted under the guidance of Professor socio-economic challenges and severe inequalities. Attahiru Jega, then chair of the Independent National Fiscal deficits of West and Central African economies, Electoral Commission. Professor Jega spoke at Chatham 2014 (% of GDP) House, as did other senior Nigerian political figures. According to UN projections, by 2050 the 10 nations -6.2 Fiscal balance, excluding grant aid, % of GDP Government revenue Government spending with the youngest populations in the world will all be -13.9 African. A Chatham House conference series in Sudan, -11.6 -8.2 30% South Sudan and London brought together policy-makers from the African Union and the Horn of Africa with youth -5.5 -4.6 -6.2 -3.6 -6.2 leaders to discuss youth participation in policy-making, 20% peacebuilding and development in the region.

The development of global value chains, where -2.0 activities must be coordinated across geographies, has 10% made it ever more important in Africa to implement smart economic policies that encourage capacity-building in skills and manufacturing. In April 2016, Chatham House hosted 0 an event with Dr Carlos Lopes, the executive secretary Chad Côte Ghana Nigeria of the UN Economic , where he d’Ivoire Source: IMF (from Nigeria's Booming Borders: The Drivers and Consequences of Unrecorded Trade).

Chatham House | 23 Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth Africa | Energy | Health | Natural resources

Managing natural resource stresses has some of the most intricate and interlinked The project has provided tools and expert networks to hydrological systems in the world, yet cooperation is support countries that are in the process of, or are infrequent. A Chatham House research paper entitled considering, price reform. International partners have Water, Ecosystems and Energy in South Asia: Making included the Foundation for the Advancement of Cross-Border Collaboration Work and an accompanying web Sciences; the CUTS Institute for Regulation and Competition resource used field research in India, and in India; the King Abdullah Studies & Research to identify examples of cross-border cooperation on Center, Saudi Arabia; and the Masdar Institute, UAE. water issues across South Asia. The project highlighted Estimates of unburned hydrocarbons in 2050 that cooperation on water issues in South Asia is feasible despite political differences and economic asymmetries. 1,400

The interplay between social networking among country 1,200 experts, inclusive communication (especially with media groups), economic rationale, scientific rigour, defined rights 1,000 and entitlements, and political leadership can facilitate 800 effective and successful water cooperation. The Chatham House Valuing Vital Resources 600 initiative encourages incentives for the sustainable use of 400 energy, water and food, the prices of which rarely reflect the full costs of production, scarcity or environmental 200 impacts. This research looks beyond subsidies, towards 0 practically reworking economic incentives. The initiative, Coal Oil Gas funded by the UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office with gigatonnes billion barrels trillion cubic metres 82 per cent 33 per cent 49 per cent the MAVA Foundation, began in April 2013 with a focus on unburnable unburnable unburnable the Arab Gulf region. In 2015–16, the focus shifted to India, Burnable as the Energy, Environment and Resources Department Unburnable assumes carbon capture and storage (CCS) worked in partnership with the Asia Programme. Source: McGlade and Ekins (2015) (from International Oil Companies: The Death of the Old Business Model).

24 | Chatham House Professor Paul Stevens, Distinguished Dr Claire Spencer, Senior Research Fellow, Chatham House Energy Fellow, Chatham House Middle East Environment and Resources and North Africa Programme and Department, briefed Japanese Prime Second Century Initiative, speaks Minister Shinzo Abe on global energy at the New Zealand Petroleum issues in April 2016 ahead of the Conference in March 2016. G7 summit.

Sustainable energy for refugees More than 65 million people are currently forcibly displaced by conflict and persecution around the world, including more than 21 million refugees. Of those living in camps, our research suggests that 90 per cent of them have no access to electricity and are highly dependent on wood and charcoal for cooking. Humanitarian energy services for refugees and displaced people, such as water pumping and power for schools and hospitals, are highly diesel-dependent. Chatham House is part of a consortium – including DFID, GVEP International, Practical Action Consulting, UNHCR and the Norwegian Refugee Council – working to enable far wider deployment of cleaner, sustainable forms of energy. In November 2015, the Energy, Environment and Resources The future of utilities Department launched the report Heat, Light and Power for A transformation of Europe’s power sector is under way, driven Refugees: Saving Lives, Reducing Costs with a foreword by by lower power demand, clearer climate change policies and Kofi Annan. The report has been discussed at the highest the falling price of renewable energy. The emerging landscape levels of UNHCR encouraging changes in policy and practice threatens traditional business models that are based on large- within the organization. A joint presentation to ministry scale, centralized power generation. In Asia, on the other officials and NGO leaders at the World Humanitarian hand, demand for power continues to grow, and it is unclear Summit took place in May 2016 with the UN Safe Access whether the European transition is a local phenomenon or to Fuel and Energy Humanitarian Working Group. At this the beginning of a global shift. The Energy, Environment and meeting, the Government of the Netherlands announced its Resources Department is assessing developments in Europe commitment to give 50 million people access to renewable and Asia. A research project is comparing their respective energy by 2030 and to ensure that at least 100,000 refugees power sectors and will suggest policies to ease the transition and displaced people are included in this target. In 2016–17, towards systems that are more decentralized, responsive the Moving Energy Initiative will test and apply practical and engaging of consumers. Workshops have been held in solutions in , Jordan and Kenya. Europe and Asia, and a research paper is being drafted for publication in 2016. The project is funded by the UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office, the MAVA Foundation and CLP Holdings (Hong Kong). Further analysis is planned in India and North America.

Far left: Vendors in Assam, India, wait for fishermen to arrive at the bank of the river Brahmaputra with their daily catch in May 2016. The Brahmaputra is a transboundary river and one of the major rivers of Asia. Above: Steam rises from cooling towers at a coal-fired power plant near Bergheim, Germany, in February 2016. Germany is replacing its traditional power sources, such as coal and nuclear, with renewables. In 2015, around 30 per cent of its electricity came from renewables. Left: Five-year-old Syrian refugee, Zakaria, collects drinking water from a water tank in Zaatari camp in Jordan, which is home to around 80,000 Syrian refugees. Half of the camp’s residents are under 16.

Chatham House | 25 Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth From left: Dr Michael Edelstein, Consulting Africa | Energy | Health | Natural resources Research Fellow, Asha Herten-Crabb, Project Coordinator, and Professor David Harper, Senior Consulting Fellow from the Chatham House Centre on Global Health Security, join Punchawee Sukbut, Mukdahan Health Service, Thailand (centre) at a rural health clinic in to discuss data sharing for public health.

Right: In November 2015, medical workers returned baby Noubia, Guinea’s last known Ebola patient, to her family. She was successfully treated in a Médecins Sans Frontières centre in Conakry, Guinea, after the death of her mother.

Universal health coverage Infectious disease risk assessment and management At the United Nations General Assembly in September As the lessons emerged from the Ebola crisis in West 2015, all countries committed to achieving universal health Africa, the Centre on Global Health Security continued coverage (UHC) as part of the Sustainable Development to lead the Infectious Disease Risk Assessment and Goals. The UHC Policy Forum at Chatham House supports Management (IDRAM) project. IDRAM supports the governments in developing countries in planning and extractive industry in understanding, assessing and implementing national UHC reforms. In particular, it mitigating the risks of infectious disease outbreaks and provides specialist advice on the of other health crises. Through the project, Chatham House health-financing reforms. During 2015–16, with the support facilitates dialogue between the extractive industry and of the Open Society Foundations and the Rockefeller international development actors, finance institutions, Foundation, the forum provided technical assistance on national governments and public health stakeholders on UHC at ministerial level in Nigeria, Ghana, , Malawi, shared priorities to strengthen national health systems in , Guinea, Ethiopia, Indonesia, the context of infectious disease outbreaks. In partnership and Ukraine. This included providing briefing materials with leading private-sector groups, including extractive which were used by health ministers to promote UHC companies, and with the support of USAID, the project reforms to heads of state. Team members in the Centre on held a high-level workshop in 2015 and embarked Global Health Security also published articles on health on a study evaluating the cost of the Ebola epidemic at a financing and the politics of UHC in The Lancet, The Lancet large-scale mining concession in Liberia. Chatham House Global Health and the New England Journal of Medicine. is also working on a literature review investigating In the coming months, the UHC Policy Forum will work the development of integrated outbreak response plans collaboratively with government and civil society partners involving extractive companies and public focusing on health reforms in Nigeria, Myanmar and India. health authorities. It will also host a roundtable meeting on human rights and access to healthcare, focusing on the illegal detention of patients in health units.

Left: A patient holds a health insurance card at a health centre in the Ngoma district of in February 2014. Between 2000 and 2015, Rwanda achieved remarkable reductions in child and maternal mortality rates.

26 | Chatham House Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth People

Gita Honwana Welch Louis Lillywhite Antony Froggatt Stéphane Dubois Dr Gita Honwana Welch is an Lieutenant-General (retd) Louis As a senior research fellow As part of the International associate fellow with the Africa Lillywhite is a senior consulting in the Energy, Environment Economics Department at Programme and an independent fellow with the Centre on Global and Resources Department at Chatham House, Stéphane Dubois consultant with more than 20 Health Security. He was Surgeon Chatham House, Antony Froggatt manages the Gender and Growth years’ experience in international General of the UK Armed Forces specializes in global energy Initiative. The project was set up development. She has served as and his long career has included security and European electricity in 2015 to look into economic director of the United Nations appointments in the Ministry policy. He has worked as an problems that stem from gender Development Programme of Defence and NATO. He joined independent consultant for 15 inequality, in both developing and (UNDP) Regional Service Centre Chatham House in 2010. years with environmental groups, developed countries, and to offer for West and Central Africa, academics and public bodies in public policy solutions. During the past year, he has based in Dakar, Senegal; as UNDP Europe and Asia. He has also co-authored a research paper She has worked in country director in Angola; and worked as a freelance journalist. on civilian casualties in Syria communications in the private, as director of the Democratic In 1992 he co-authored the World and, thanks to a Wellcome public and not-for-profit sectors Governance Group at UNDP Nuclear Industry Status Report, Trust seed grant, is developing in Canada and in the United in New York. now an annual independent a major research project on the Kingdom, including at the Canada review of the nuclear sector. She has extensive experience of ‘Healthcare Anatomy of Conflict’. Council for the Arts, Canning restoring justice systems in post- His recent work has included He studied energy and House and the Social Market conflict situations, both in her being a committee member on environmental policy at the Foundation. More recently, native Mozambique, and in East the World Health Organization’s University of Westminster and the she was responsible for Timor, where she was minister review of the International Health Science Policy Research Unit at communications at the Montreal- of justice during the UN-led Regulations and developing a Sussex University, and is currently based International Civil Aviation transition (2000–01). She has a global health track for the Munich an honorary research fellow Organization (the UN agency master’s degree from Columbia Security Conference. He also at Exeter University. He recently responsible for civil aviation). University, New York and a contributed to a special Lancet co-wrote the Chatham House DPhil from Oxford University edition on global health security research paper UK Unplugged? (Wolfson College). and has just completed tenure The Impacts of Brexit on Energy as Chief Medical Officer of and Climate Policy (2016). St John Ambulance.

Further reading:

Nigeria’s Booming Borders: Changing Climate, Changing Chatham House Report Chatham House Report Leena Koni Hoffmann and Paul Melly The Drivers and Consequences Laura Wellesley, Catherine Happer and Antony Froggatt Diets: Pathways to Lower Meat of Unrecorded Trade Consumption Nigeria’s Booming Leena Koni Hoffmann, Changing Climate, Laura Wellesley, Antony Froggatt, Borders Paul Melly (December 2015) Changing Diets Catherine Happer (November 2015) The Drivers and Consequences Pathways to Lower of Unrecorded Trade This report focused on Meat Consumption This report argued that reducing opportunities to formalize meat consumption is critical to unrecorded trade to create more avoiding dangerous climate change. sustainable growth in Nigeria. It was viewed around 26,000 times The report was viewed more online and cited in numerous media than 3,000 times and cited in outlets. The Economist. www.chathamhouse.org/ www.chathamhouse. publication/changing-climate- org/publication/nigerias- changing-dietspublication/livestock- booming-borders-drivers-and- climate-change-forgotten-sector- consequences-unrecorded-trade global-public-opinion-meat-and-dairy

Chatham House | 27 Honorary Treasurer’s report year to 31 March 2016

Chatham House ended the 2015/16 year with an overall net communications and publications rose by 7 per cent to income before gains on investments of £1,884,000. This is £2,418,000. This was mainly because of further investment the first period in which the financial statements have been in support for the website and increased resources prepared under FRS 102 and the Charities SORP FRS 102. for fundraising and publications. Support costs, net of Application of these reporting standards has resulted in a recharges to research, increased by 10 per cent. number of key changes to the financial statements, the main This primarily reflected further expansion of the Director’s one being that grant income is not recognized until time- Office in helping support cross-department and cross- related conditions have been met. The results for 2014/15 programme research, the recruitment of a dedicated have been restated on the new basis, and this has led to a HR Director, increased resources for the database, and the £566,000 reduction in the net income previously reported cost of occupying the ground floor of Ames House from for that year. 1 January 2016. In respect of the Second Century Initiative, Total revenues for 2015/16 were £16,582,000. there were no permanent endowments this year, but there Excluding £679,000 of funding received towards the Second was a substantial increase (£326,000) in donations to Century Initiative, these totalled £15,903,000, which was £679,000, up 92 per cent on the previous year. an increase of 15 per cent over the previous year. Research At the year-end, Chatham House held non-cash income reached £9,040,000, an increase of 14 per cent, investments with a market value of £8,235,000, compared reflecting the continued expansion of research as a key with £8,002,000 as at 31 March 2015. This increase, despite driver of growth within the institute. a loss on investments for the year of £280,000, reflected Membership subscriptions were £2,583,000, further investments of £513,000, mainly in the Newton significantly higher than in the previous year, with Real Return Fund. There was a strong cash inflow arising individual membership revenues up by 16 per cent and from the positive operating performance and tight working those for institutional membership up by 6 per cent. capital management, and the level of cash increased by Although the income from events, including conferences, £525,000 during the year to £4,001,000. Total net assets as fell by 3 per cent, this was more than offset by careful at 31 March 2016, excluding the value of Chatham House control of costs, which were down 11 per cent. This resulted itself, were £12,944,000, compared with £11,340,000 as in the overall net contribution from events increasing by at 31 March 2015 – an increase of 14 per cent. £94,000. Income from publications declined by 4 per cent The institute has ambitious plans for the future and because of lower advertising revenues from The World in 2016/17 will be undertaking a major refurbishment of the Today. Unrestricted donations again increased substantially ground floor of Ames House, which will increase its meeting over the previous year, rising from £650,000 to £724,000, space and convening capacity. While funds have been as a result of increasingly successful fundraising activities. raised for the refurbishment, further substantial funding, Other income includes two significant one-off items. particularly in the form of endowments, will be required to Firstly, £620,000 represents the surplus on the sale of space enable the institute to sustain this new capacity and be on the ground floor and basement of Ames House, which able to reinvest for the future. was purchased by the landlord as part of the redevelopment of the upper floors of the building. In addition to this, an amount of £163,000 was received as a contribution to the future off-site storage of library archive material previously stored in the basement, following this sale. Total expenditure for the year was £14,698,000, up 7 per cent from the previous year, but this increase Ed Smith CBE was considerably less than the 15 per cent rise in total income. Expenditure on membership, meetings, the library,

28 | Chatham House Financial headlines year to 31 March 2016

2016 2015 (£’000s) (£’000s) % increase Total net assets at year-end* 12,944 11,340

Income Membership subscriptions 2,583 2,387 8% Research 9,040 7,937 14% Events 1,638 1,681 -3% Investment return 226 223 1% Publications 503 523 -4% Unrestricted donations 724 650 11% Other** 1,189 368 223% 15,903 13,769

Expenditure Research 8,883 8,088 10% Events 1,112 1,249 -11% Membership, meetings, library, communications and publications 2,418 2,268 7% Support costs net of recharges to research 2,285 2,077 10% 14,698 13,682

Operational net income 1,205 87

Second Century Initiative Permanent endowments – 1,192 n/a Other Second Century funds 679 353 92% 679 1,545

Net movement in funds before investment gain / (loss) 1,884 1,632 Net investment gain / (loss) (280) 407 Net movement in funds after investment gain / (loss) 1,604 2,039 Net cash (outflow) / inflow for the year 525 (461)

*The institute owns the freehold of Chatham House, the full value of which is not included in these figures. **Other income in 2016 includes two significant one-off items: a £620,000 surplus on the sale of space from the ground floor and basement of Ames House, and £163,000 received as a contribution to the future off-site storage of library archive material previously stored in the basement.

The Financial headlines are extracted from the full unqualified audited group accounts, a copy of which is available to members on the website at www.chathamhouse.org Alternatively, copies may be obtained from Rhona Moir, Executive Assistant to the Finance Director, on telephone number +44 (0)20 7957 5700 or email [email protected] Copies will also be available at the Annual General Meeting.

Chatham House | 29 Patron, Presidents and Council Panel of Senior Advisers at 31 March 2016 at 31 March 2016

Patron Panel of Senior Advisers Her Majesty The Queen Frances Guy The Panel of Senior Advisers was founded in 2008 Head of Middle East region, Christian Aid; to provide Chatham House with an experienced Representative of UN Women in Iraq (2012–14) sounding board for our policy conclusions and help Presidents communicate our ideas at the highest levels in the Graham Holman UK and abroad. Rt Hon Baroness Eliza Manningham-Buller LG DCB Director and Company Secretary, Sumitomo Rt Hon Sir KG CH Corporation Europe Ltd; Trustee and Board Member Chairman: Rt Hon Sir John Major KG CH of the Japan Society UK Prime Minister (1990–97) Rt Hon Baroness Scotland QC Sir Richard Lambert Ayman Asfari Lead Non-Executive, Foreign & Commonwealth Group Chief Executive, Petrofac Ltd Council Office Supervisory Board; Chairman, Banking Rt Hon Lord Ashdown of Norton-sub-Hamdon Standards Review Council; Chancellor, University of GCMG KBE PC Stuart Popham QC Warwick; Director-General, CBI (2006–11) Chairman; Executive Committee; Finance Committee High Representative and EU Special Representative Vice Chairman EMEA Banking, Citigroup; Bronwen Maddox in (2002–06); Leader of the former Senior Partner, Clifford Chance LLP Editor and Chief Executive, Prospect Publishing; Liberal Democrats (1988–99) Chief Foreign Commentator, The Times (2006–10) Rt Hon Sir Roderic Lyne KCMG Baroness Ashton of Upholland GCMG PC Deputy Chairman; Executive Committee; Peter Montagnon High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs Nominations Committee Finance Committee and Security Policy; First Vice President of the Member of the Committee; Associate Director, Institute of Business Ethics; European Commission (2009–14) former Senior Investment Adviser, Financial Non-Executive Director, Petropavlovsk plc; Shumeet Banerji Reporting Council Senior Adviser, J.P. Morgan Bank International Senior Partner, Booz & Company Alex Nice Ed Smith CBE Lord Browne of Madingley Editor/Economist, Economist Intelligence Unit Hon Treasurer (ex-officio); Executive Committee; President, Royal Academy of Engineering; Finance Committee; Investment Committee; Barbara Ridpath Chief Executive, BP (1995–2007) Nominations Committee Investment Committee R. Nicholas Burns Chairman, WWF-UK; Chairman, University of Director, St Paul’s Institute; Non-Executive Director Professor of the Practice of Diplomacy and ; Deputy Chairman, NHS England of National Australia Group Europe International Politics, John F. Kennedy School of Dr Mimi Ajibadé Xan Smiley Government, Harvard University; Under Secretary Assistant Secretary, InterContinental Hotels Group Middle East and North Africa Editor, The Economist of State for Political Affairs, US Department of State plc; Founder, Intrepid Corporate Consultancy Ltd; (2005–08); US Ambassador to NATO (2001–05) Research Associate, SOAS, University of London Mark Spelman Future of the Internet Initiative, World Economic Victor Chu Greg Baxter Forum; member, American Chamber of Commerce Chairman, First Eastern Investment Group, Global Head of Digital Strategy, Citigroup – Executive Council Hong Kong New York; former Partner and UK Board Member, Booz & Company Dr Leslie Vinjamuri Tim Clark Co-Director, Centre for the International Politics of Senior Adviser to and Fleming Family & Partners Alistair Burnett Conflict, Rights and Justice, and Associate Professor, Lord Davies of Abersoch CBE Executive Committee; Nominations Committee International Relations, SOAS, University of London Journalist and international affairs analyst; Partner and Vice Chairman, Corsair Capital; former Editor, , BBC R4 Robert Woodthorpe Browne MBE Minister for Trade and Industry (2009–10) Chairman, International Relations Committee, Ian Davis Leo Docherty Liberal Democrats; Treasurer, Bureau of Liberal Chairman, Rolls-Royce; Non-Executive Director, Director, Conservative Middle East Council, International; CEO, Robert Browne and Partners BP and Johnson & Johnson; former Chairman and Conservative Party Limited – International Reinsurance Consultants; Worldwide Managing Director, McKinsey (2003–09) Sir Simon Fraser Board Member, British German Association Suzan Sabancı Dinçer CBE Managing Partner, Flint Global Ltd; Permanent Caroline Wyatt Chairman and Executive Board Member, Akbank Under-Secretary, Foreign & Commonwealth BBC journalist and presenter Office (2010–2015) Mary Francis CBE Jasmine Zerinini Non-Executive Director, Centrica plc and Sir Jeremy Greenstock GCMG Director for South Asia and Afghanistan, Swiss Reinsurance Company; Director, Chairman, UN Association-UK; Chairman, French Ministry of Foreign Affairs (2009–12); Bank of England (2001–07) Gatehouse Advisory Partners Ltd; Chairman, Trustee, InterMediate Lambert Energy Advisory Ltd; UK Ambassador Dame Clara Furse DBE to the UN (1998–2003) External Member, Financial Policy Committee, Bank of England; Non-Executive Director, Nomura Holdings, Amadeus IT Holdings and Department for Work and Pensions, UK James Gaggero Chairman, Bland Group Ltd André Hoffmann Vice-Chairman, Board of Roche Holding Ltd Dr Seok-Hyun Hong Chairman and CEO, JoongAng Media Network Rt Hon Lord Hurd of Westwell UK (1989–95)

30 | Chatham House Individual supporters at 31 March 2016

Presidents’ Circle Group Dame DeAnne Julius DCMG, CBE The Presidents’ Circle comprises individuals Through their ongoing philanthropic commitment, Independent Non-Executive Director of Deloitte who enable Chatham House to undertake major the individuals who make up the Lionel Curtis Group (UK); Roche Holdings SA (); and , including The Queen Elizabeth II Academy offer discretionary support to the institute’s core Jones Lang LaSalle (USA); Chairman, for Leadership in International Affairs, research research activities − ensuring its independence from Chatham House (2003–12) fellowships, new research streams and cross- any one funding source or agenda. institutional collaboration. Nemir Kirdar The Al Swaidi family Ayman Asfari Founder, Executive Chairman and CEO, Investcorp Petr Aven Group Chief Executive, Petrofac Ltd Caio Koch-Weser Private investor Celia Atkin Vice Chairman, Deutsche Bank Group; Amit Bhatia The Atkin Foundation Deputy Finance Minister for Germany (1999–2005) Chairman, Hope Construction Materials Edward Atkin CBE Hon Marc E. Leland Gavin Boyle The Atkin Foundation President, Marc E. Leland and Associates, US; Chief Executive Officer, Tudor Capital Europe LLP Co-Chairman, German Marshall Fund of the Garvin Brown IV Richard Bram United States Chairman of the Board, Brown-Forman Corporation Founder, Richard Bram Photography Rachel Lomax Dr Carlos Bulgheroni Stephen Brenninkmeijer Non-Executive Director, HSBC and Heathrow President, Airport Holdings; Deputy , Monetary Policy, Private investor Tim Bunting Bank of England (2003–08) Sir Trevor Chinn CVO General Partner, Balderton Capital Sir GCMG CVO Senior Adviser, CVC Capital Partners Richard Hayden British Ambassador to the US (2003–07); Sir Evelyn de Non-Executive Chairman, Haymarket Financial foreign affairs and defence adviser to Prime Minister Chairman, E.L. Rothschild Ltd (2001–03) André Hoffmann Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild Vice-Chairman, Board of Roche Holding Ltd Dame Judith Mayhew Jonas DBE CEO, E.L. Rothschild Ltd Trustee, ; Chairman, Robert Ng Helen L. Freeman New West End Company Chairman, Sino Land Company Ltd Ronald M. Freeman Sir Simon Robertson Lubna Olayan Corporate Board Ddirector Deputy Chairperson and CEO, Olayan Financing Founder, Simon Robertson Associates LLP Company, Saudi Arabia Luciano Gobbi Chairman, Banca di Piacenza Sir Michael Rake Director’s Circle Chairman, BT; President, CBI Bernard Groveman Support from members of the Director’s Circle allows Senior Managing Director, First Manhattan Co. Lord Robertson of Port Ellen the Director to invest in timely and innovative research Charles M. Hale Secretary General, NATO (1999–2003); and thought leadership. UK Defence Secretary (1997–99) Board Director, Polar Capital Baha Bassatne Kaaren Hale Andrés Rozental Executive Chairman, BB Energy Holdings NV President, Rozental & Asociados; Founding Professor Nasser David Khalili David Blood President, Mexican Council on Foreign Relations; Founder, The Khalili Collections & Nour Foundation Chairman, ArcelorMittal Mexico; former Mexican Private investor Marion Khalili diplomat; non-resident senior fellow at the Victor Chu Brookings Institution Chairman, First Eastern Investment Group, Monika Machon Hong Kong Treasurer, AIG Inc. Hon President, Asia Society Policy Institute; Michael Hoffman Becky Mayer Prime Minister of Australia (2007–10, 2013); Co-Founder, Palamon Capital Partners, UK Issac Jimmy Mayer Minister for Foreign Affairs (2010–12) Timothy Jones Private investor Daniel Sachs Chief Executive Officer, Coller Capital, UK Stuart Popham QC Chief Executive Officer, Proventus AB Karim Khairallah Vice Chairman, Citibank EMEA Ron Sandler CBE Managing Director, Oaktree Capital Management Paul Rivlin Adviser, Palamon Capital Partners; former Executive Sara Burch Khairallah Partner, Palatium Investment Management Chairman, Northern Rock, Chief Operating Officer, NatWest Group and Chief Executive, Lloyd’s of London Nemir Kirdar Jolana Vainio Founder, Executive Chairman and CEO, Investcorp Dr Petri Vainio Hon Marc E. Leland Managing Director, Essex Woodlands Health President, Marc E. Leland and Associates, US Ventures Chris Rokos Irina van Poecke Private investor Private investor Ron Sandler CBE Marcel van Poecke Private investor Private investor Richard Sharp Ina Wolf Private investor Roger Wolf Lance West Private investor Senior Managing Director, Centerbridge Partners

Chatham House | 31 Individual supporters (continued) António Guterres, United Nations at 31 March 2016 High Commissioner for Refugees (2000–15) with Ritula Shah, presenter of The World Tonight, BBC Radio 4, at the London Conference keynote conversation on immigration in Europe in June 2016.

William Pitt Group The William Pitt Group, founded in 2009, comprises Sir Joseph Hotung KBE individuals committed to the success of the institute, Private investor and whose philanthropic support strengthens the Farid Issa-El-Khoury institute’s independence. Managing Director – Global Markets, Nomura Vahid Alaghband Reuben Jeffery III Chairman, Balli Holdings Chief Executive Officer, Rockefeller Finance Cyrus Ardalan Huw Jenkins Chairman, OakNorth Bank Managing Partner, BTG Pactual Ioannis Alexopoulos Hadi Kabalan Partner, Bryan Cave LLP Private investor Mohammad Almojel Donald Kramer Senior Advisor, Atlantic Pacific Capital Chairman, ILS Capital Management David Archer Andrew E. Law Chief Executive Officer, Savannah Resources plc Chairman, Caxton Associates Alan (Alain) Aubry Gordon W. Lawson Private investor Private investor Simon Bragg Martin Lovegrove Private investor Lovegrove Petroleum Advisers Ltd Catherine Cagni Roni Lovegrove The Cagni Foundation Henden Manor Estates Pascal Cagni Stephen Marquardt General Manager, EMEIA, Apple (2000–12) Chief Executive Officer, Doughty Hanson & Co Ann J. Charters Elizabeth McCaul Private investor Partner-in-Charge, NY and CEO Promontory Europe Thomas J. Charters Morgan McKenney Private investor Global Business Head, WorldLink, Citi James Daley Maryfrances Metrick Chairman, International Energy Group AG & Director, Senior Managing Director, Centerbridge Partners Nautical Partners Ltd Guy Oppenheim Rebecca Daley Private investor Lord Davies of Abersoch David Pearl Private investor Executive Chairman, Pearl & Coutts Pierre-Henri Denain Jamie Reuben Chief Executive Officer – EMEA CIB, Natixis Reuben Foundation Glenn Earle Caspar Romer Former Chief Operating Officer, Goldman Sachs Private investor Ambassador Edward E. Elson Simon Rowlands Former US diplomat Senior Adviser, Cinven Louis G. Elson Jacob M. Safra Co-Founder, Palamon Capital Partners Private investor Michael I. Fares Horacio Sanchez Caballero Private investor Coordinator of GPS, Group of Producing Countries Martin Fraenkel from the Southern Cone Chief Content Officer, Platts Dr Allen Sangines-Krause Stephen Freidheim Chairman, BK Partners Chief Investment Officer, Cyrus Capital Rafael Serrano Dr Patrick Fauchier Chief Executive, Prime Investors Capital Ltd Private investor Richard W. Slocum Richard Karl Goeltz Chief Investment Officer, The Johnson Company Senior Non-Executive Director, Aviva Kit Tamkin Frank Grace Private investor Private investor Robert Tomei Alexis Habib Chairman, Advanced Capital Group Managing Director, Spinnaker Capital Hon John G. Heimann Former US Comptroller of the Currency

32 | Chatham House Financial support Dr Linda Yueh, Fellow in Economics, St Edmund Hall, University of 2015–16 Oxford, moderates a session entitled ‘Will Geo-Economics Trump Geo-Politics in the Asia-Pacific?’ at the London Conference 2016.

Partners (at 31 March 2016) Key Project Sponsors Research and Event Supporters Partners provide significant long-term support Anna Lindh Foundation Actis for the institute’s research and other activities. Avatar Alliance Foundation Agility Global Logistics AIG BNY Mellon Airbus Group Akbank Al Sharq Forum Asfari Foundation British Council Alaco Ltd BG Group British Red Cross Anglo American plc Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Office, UK Aviva BP plc Carnegie Corporation of New York Baker & McKenzie LLP Chevron Ltd China Construction Bank Banco Angolano de Investimentos Crescent Petroleum CLP Holdings Limited Bank of America Merrill Lynch Prince Court, Abu Dhabi Conflict, Stability and Security Fund, UK Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Department for International Development, UK Craig and Susan McCaw Foundation Barclays European Commission David and Lucile Packard Foundation Bechtel Ltd ExxonMobil Corporation Group Services UK Ltd Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Finmeccanica Research Council EAT Forum Foreign & Commonwealth Office, UK BlackBerry European Climate Foundation Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A Bloomberg LLP European Forest Institute JETRO London The Boston Consulting Group EY MAVA Foundation Bovicor Federal Department of Foreign Affairs, Switzerland Ministry of Defence, UK CDC Group plc Gerda Henkel Stiftung Nippon Foundation ClientEarth Great Britain Sasakawa Foundation Oak Foundation Clifford Chance LLP High-level panel on the Global Response to Robert Bosch Foundation Health Crises, United Nations Climate and Land Use Alliance Royal Dutch Shell HSBC Holdings plc Commerzbank AG Statoil Innovative Medicines Initiative Control Risks Stavros Niarchos Foundation John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation Crop Protection Association Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Daiwa Institute of Research Limited Korea Foundation Delonex Energy KR Foundation Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Ireland Lloyd’s of London Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Australia Ministry for Foreign Affairs, Department of National Defence, Canada Ministry of Finance, Japan Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Japan Diageo plc Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Netherlands Don Gant Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Doughty Street Chambers Ministry of Foreign Affairs, People’s Republic Dulverton Trust of China Eaton Vance Management Nomura Foundation Economic and Social Research Council, UK North Atlantic Treaty Organization Ed Siskin Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre Eni S.p.A Norwegian Refugee Council Erste Stiftung Open Society Foundations ESG – Elektroniksystem- und Logistik-GmbH Facebook Sasakawa Peace Foundation Federal Environment Agency, Germany Smith Richardson Foundation Forum of Strategic Dialogue Standard Chartered Bank FTI Consulting Ltd Stiftung Mercator George Washington University Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation Global Affairs Canada United States Agency for International Development GPW World Bank Hank Paulson PricewaterhouseCoopers Harvard Global Health Institute Zurich Insurance

Chatham House | 33 Financial support (continued) 2015–16

Hogan Lovells Sanofi Herbert Smith Freehills LLP Informa Santander HSBC Holdings plc Institute and Faculty of Actuaries Shearman & Sterling LLP Huawei Technologies Institute of Developing Economies, Siemens Financial Services GmbH Inmarsat Japan External Trade Organization Singapore, High Commission for the Republic of Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and International Crisis Group Standard Bank Group International Fertilizer Industry Association Investec Asset Management Tanfeeth Investec Bank plc Japan Bank for International Cooperation Thomson Reuters Japan Economic Foundation JLL Toshiba Japan Petroleum Exploration Co. Ltd KPMG LLP TOTAL JMG Foundation Kuwait Petroleum Corporation TradeRisks John Weinberg LetterOne Tullow Oil plc JoongAng Ilbo Global BV UK Trade & Investment King Baudouin Foundation Linklaters UNICEF Kosmos Energy Lockheed Martin UK Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore LADOL Marsh University of Exeter Lockheed Martin International Millennium Global Investments Limited University of Sheffield Lonhro Mitsubishi Corporation Vitol Foundation Lürssen Werft Morgan Stanley Waterloo Foundation Mark S. Bergman Natixis Wellcome Trust Matthew H. Hurlock Nomura International plc Western Union Merck Family Fund Pearson Merck Group Major Corporate Members PricewaterhouseCoopers Michael Coles (at 31 March 2016) Rabobank International Ministry of Foreign Affairs, BAE Systems plc plc Mitsubishi Corporation Bank of America Merrill Lynch Royal Bank of Scotland Mitsui & Co. Europe plc Barclays Santander Morgan Stanley BBC Saudi Petroleum Overseas Ltd Munich Re BHP Billiton International Services Ltd Schlumberger Limited Natural Resource Governance Institute Bloomberg Standard Chartered Bank Nedbank Ltd BNY Mellon Stroz Friedberg Noble Energy Inc. British Army Sumitomo Corporation Nominet UK BT Group plc Thomson Reuters Olayan Group Caxton Asset Management Toshiba Corporation Peter Sachs Citi TOTAL Peter Weinberg City of London Toyota Motor Corporation Petrofac Ltd Clifford Chance LLP Vodafone Group Pew Charitable Trusts CLP Holdings Limited Willis Towers Watson Prof Altius Management Inc. Control Risks Prudential plc Department for Business, Innovation and Skills, UK Raytheon Company Dexion Capital Rebuild Japan Initiative Foundation DTCC (The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation) Richard Lounsbery Foundation The Economist Rio Tinto Eni S.p.A. Robert Bosch GmbH FireDrake Consulting Ltd Robert Conway Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer Rolls-Royce Power Systems AG FTI Consulting Ltd Royal Bank of Scotland GlaxoSmithKline RUAG Schweiz AG Goldman Sachs International

34 | Chatham House Corporate Members (at 31 March 2016)

Abraaj Group Energy Intelligence Group Mondi Group Airbus Group Eurasia Group NEPAD Secretariat Alaraby Television Network European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Nexen Petroleum UK Ltd Albany Associates (International) Ltd European Investment Bank NHK Japan Broadcasting Corporation Allen & Overy LLP European Parliament UK Office NIKKEI Inc. Anglo American plc First Magazine Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre Apple Fitch Ratings Olayan Group APCO Worldwide G3 Good Governance Group ’s National Defence College ArcelorMittal G4S Risk Consulting Ltd Orrick Argus Media General Secretariat of the Council of the Permira Advisers LLP European Union Asahi Shimbun (Europe) Petrofac Ltd Genesis Investment Management LLP Aspen Insurance UK Limited Polish Institute of Diplomacy Google AstraZeneca plc Pool Re Grupa Azoty Avio Group Portland Aviva Powerscourt Hill & Associates Ltd Banca d’Italia Oil Hitachi Europe Ltd Bank of England Protection Group International HM Revenue & Customs Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Prudential plc HM Treasury Bentley Risk Management International Limited Risk Advisory Group Hong Kong Economic & Trade Office BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Ltd Rolls-Royce plc House of Commons Library Bland Group Ltd Schroders plc Library BMT Group Ltd Scottish Government Indorama Services UK Ltd Boeing UK Seven Investment Management Infracapital British Council Shearman & Sterling LLP INPEX Cabinet Office Standard Life Group International Institute for Environment and CBS News Steppe Capital Development CDC Group plc Sullivan & Cromwell LLP Investcorp International Ltd Chubb Investment Services Ltd Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation Europe ITN Limited Chubu Electric Power Co. Inc. Japan Oil, Gas & Metals National Corporation Tata Ltd Cisco (JOGMEC) Telegraph Media Group Clayton, Dubilier & Rice Jefferies Tesco Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton LLP JICA UK Office Thales Coller Capital JKX Oil & Gas Tishman Speyer Commonwealth Parliamentary Association John Swire & Sons Ltd Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) Commonwealth Secretariat K2 Intelligence Tony Blair Associates Consolidated Contractors International (UK) Ltd Kosmos Energy Tullow Oil plc CRU International Ltd Kroll UBS Cultural Entrepreneurship Institute Berlin Krull Corp Vitol Curtis, Mallet-Prevost, Colt & Mosle LLP Kuwait Investment Office Volga-Dnepr Group Daily Mail and General Trust plc Kyodo News Warburg Pincus LLC Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP Latham & Watkins Westminster Foundation for Democracy De Beers Group Services UK Ltd League of Arab States De La Rue plc Macquarie Group Wilton Park Delonex Energy Marubeni Europe plc Yomiuri Shimbun Department of Health, UK Matheson & Co. Ltd Diageo Milbank Diplomatic Academy of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Europe Ltd Energy Industries Council Mitsui & Co. Europe plc Mizuho Bank

Chatham House | 35 Financial support (continued) 2015–16

Embassy and High Commission Academic Institutional Members Members (at 31 March 2016) (at 31 March 2016) , Embassy of Latvia, Embassy of the Republic of Bellerbys College London Angola, Embassy of the Republic of , Embassy of the Republic of Brunel University – Department of Politics and History Argentine Republic, Embassy of the , Embassy of Cranfield University at the Defence Academy of , Embassy of the Republic of Macedonia, Embassy of the Republic of the United Kingdom Australia, High Commission of Mexico, Embassy of ESCP Europe Business School , Embassy of , Embassy of the Republic of Goodenough College , Embassy of the Republic of , Embassy of King’s College London – Department of , Embassy of the Kingdom of Morocco, Embassy of the Kingdom of Political Economy Belgium, Embassy of Mozambique, High Commission for the Republic of King’s College London – Department of War Studies Bosnia and Herzegovina, Embassy of Netherlands, Embassy of the Kingdom of the London School of Economics and Political Science – Department of International Relations , Embassy of New Zealand, High Commission of Loughborough University London – Academy of Brunei Darussalam, High Commission of Norway, Royal Embassy of Diplomacy and International Governance , Embassy of the Republic of Oman, Embassy of the Sultanate of Nanyang Technological University – S. Rajaratnam Canada, High Commission of , High Commission for the School of International Studies of Chile, Embassy of Osaka University – School of International Public Poland, Embassy of the Republic of Policy China, Embassy of the People’s Republic of , Embassy of Regent’s University London – Department of , Embassy of International Relations Qatar, Embassy of the State of , High Commission for the Republic of Regent’s University London – Faculty of Quebec, Government Office , Embassy of the Business & Management , Embassy of Denmark, Royal Embassy of Richmond University – The American International Russian Federation, Embassy of the University in London , Embassy of the Rwanda, High Commission for the Republic of Royal College of Defence Studies , Embassy of the Arab Republic of Saudi Arabia, Embassy of the Royal Kingdom of School of Oriental and African Studies – Centre for , Embassy of International Studies and Diplomacy , Embassy of the Republic of Estonia, Embassy of the Republic of University College London – Faculty of Laws and , High Commission of the Republic of Ethiopia, Embassy of the Federal Democratic School of Public Policy Republic of Singapore, High Commission for the Republic of University of Bath – Department of Politics, , Embassy of Slovak Republic, Embassy of the Languages and International Studies France, Embassy of , Embassy of the Republic of University of Buckingham – Department of Economics and International Studies , Embassy of South Africa, High Commission for the Republic of University of East Anglia – Department of Political, Germany, Embassy of the of Spain, Embassy of Social and International Studies Government of Gibraltar Sudan, Embassy of the Republic of University of East Anglia – London Academy Greece, Embassy of Sweden, Embassy of of Diplomacy , Embassy of Switzerland, Embassy of University of Exeter – Strategy and Security Institute , Embassy of Taipei Representative Office in the United Kingdom University of Kent – Department of Politics and International Relations India, High Commission of , Embassy of the Republic of University of Portsmouth – Centre for European Indonesia, Embassy of the Republic of Tanzania, High Commission of the and International Studies Research United Republic of Iraq, Embassy of the Republic of – School of Global Studies , Embassy of Ireland, Embassy of University of Westminster – Department of Politics Turkey, Embassy of the Republic of Israel, Embassy of and International Relations Ukraine, Embassy of , Embassy of Webster University Geneva – Department of United Arab Emirates, Embassy of the International Relations Japan, Embassy of United States of America, Embassy of the Jordan, Embassy of the Hashemite Kingdom of , Embassy of the Republic of , Embassy of the Republic of Vietnam, Embassy of the Socialist Republic of Korea, Embassy of the Republic of Yemen, Embassy of the Republic of Kuwait, Embassy of the State of

36 | Chatham House NGO Members (at 31 March 2016)

Aga Khan Foundation UK Sir Brian Fall John Normand Amnesty International Barry Fearn Simon Charles Palmer European Interagency Security Forum (EISF) Vincent Fissore Michael Richard Payne International Committee of the Red Cross Rory Forbes Roger Phillimore International Crisis Group Colin Fountain Stuart Popham QC International Medical Corps UK Mary Francis Andrew Rasmussen Islamic Relief James Gaggero Adam Reuben Overseas Development Institute (ODI) Adrienne Gignoux Michael Rich RTI International Kasimir Graf zu Rantzau Michael Riordan Saferworld Allan Graverson Barbara Roberson Sightsavers Karin Greenhalgh Mikke Ruuhonen The Global Fund for Forgotten People John Grundon Ayten Sahin UNICEF UK Nick Harriss Keith Salway World Animal Protection Yasuhiro Hayasaki Adu Seray-Wurie Sam Hedayati Xan Smiley Annual Fund Donors Paul Hennemeyer Mark Spelman Individuals Graham Holman Jeffrey Sturchio John Ackroyd Matt Huber Haofeng (Edward) Tang Kofi Akyea Robert Iommazzo Coen Teulings Torkel Alfthan David Ive Derek Thomas Victoria Allen Michael Jenkins Owen Thomas Mohammad Almojel Lord Judd Dr Mina Toksöz Hanadi Al-Mubaraki Nicholas Khuri Peregrine Towneley Lord Jeffrey Archer of Weston-Super-Mare Oleg and Elena Koshikov Dominic Vail Richard Atherton Mazen Koubrously Dick Van Den Broek Chantal AuCoin David and Linda Lakhdhir Onno Van Teutem Niioufar Bakhtiar-Bakhtiar Adrian Lamb Dr Leslie Vinjamuri Gabor Balint Sir Richard Lambert Jennifer Wallace Greg Baxter Ralph Land Duncan Walls Eric Bevan Alexander Lee Julian P. G. Wathen Gurveer Bhachu John Leech Dr Nicholas Westcott Vincent Bourgeois Gerard Legrain Kevin Wignall Anthonie Brak Simon Lerner Valerie Williams Charles Bralver Francisco Lorenzo Matthias Wochinz Alan Brener Jamie Lowther-Pinkerton LVO MBE Gabriel York Laura Brookes Rt Hon Sir Roderic Lyne KCMG Hareth Zahawi Ross Bull Virginie Maisonneuve Nine anonymous donors, together contributing less than 2% of the total raised Toby Burnham John Mason Corporate Inger Burns John Massey Stewart BT Group plc Eyup Carmikli Dame Judith Mayhew Jonas DBE Denmark, Royal Embassy of Sir Bryan Cartledge Rosalind Menne Ethiopia, Embassy of the Federal of Vincent Champion Christine Mikolajuk Goldman Sachs International Alfred Cohen Alexander Mirtchev India, High Commission of John Connolly Julien Mittre Indonesia, Embassy of the Republic of Dr William Crawley Peter Montagnon Iraq, Embassy of the Republic of Emily Curryova Mark Moody-Stuart Kuwait, Embassy of the State of Emanuel de Kadt Angela Mosconi Mexico, Embassy of Bruno Deschamps Allan Murray-Jones Ploughshares Trust Leo Docherty Paddy Nicoll Portugal, Embassy of William Dorsey Yoshio Noguchi Turkey, Embassy of the Republic of Victor Doyle Ibrahim Noori

Chatham House | 37 Staff, consultants and associate fellows at 31 March 2016

Director US and the Americas Middle East and North Africa Dr Robin Niblett CMG Xenia Wickett, Head Dr Lina Khatib, Head Jacob Parakilas, Assistant Head Jane Kinninmont, Deputy Head and Senior Director’s Office Research Fellow Marianne Schneider-Petsinger, Kevin Steeves, Head Geo-Economics Fellow Dr Neil Quilliam, Senior Research Fellow Anna Dorant-Hayes, Executive Assistant Rory Kinane, Manager Dr Claire Spencer, Senior Research Fellow to the Director Courtney Rice, Administrator Doris Carrion, Research Associate Sue Penwarden, Personal Assistant Associate Fellows: Mais Peachey, Manager Research Partnerships Professor Victor Bulmer-Thomas CMG OBE Sophie Grant, Manager Rose Abdollahzadeh, Manager Dr Cath Collins Jamil De Dominicis, Project Manager Julia Maj, Officer Professor Michael Cox Tim Eaton, Project Manager Chatham House Distinguished Visiting Fellows Dr Bates Gill Saad Aldouri, Coordinator Hon Kevin Rudd Dr Timothy Power Nicole El Khawaja, Project Administrator President, Asia Society Policy Institute; Julianne Smith Associate Fellows: Prime Minister of Australia (2007–10, 2013); Minister for Foreign Affairs (2010–12) Bruce Stokes Hayder al-Khoei Lord Michael Williams of Baglan, International Professor Peter Trubowitz Dr Omar Ashour Trustee of the BBC, United Nations Under Secretary- Dr Leslie Vinjamuri Dr Sara Bazoobandi General, Middle East (2006–11) David Butter Asia Dr Kristian Coates Ulrichsen Area Studies and International Law Dr John Nilsson-Wright, Head Sir Richard Dalton Research Department James Hannah, Assistant Head Hassan Hassan Dr Alex Vines OBE, Research Director Dr Gareth Price, Senior Research Fellow Professor Yossi Mekelberg Alis Martin, Executive Assistant to the Dr Tim Summers, Senior Consulting Fellow Research Director Dr Christopher Phillips Chloe Sageman, Manager Nadim Shehadi Africa Joshua Webb, Coordinator Elham Saudi (joint with International Dr Alex Vines OBE, Head Associate Fellows: Law Programme) Elizabeth Donnelly, Assistant Head Professor Kerry Brown Peter Salisbury Adjoa Anyimadu, Research Associate Dr Nigel Gould-Davies Greg Shapland Ahmed Soliman, Research Assistant (joint with the Russia and Eurasia Programme) Dr Sanam Vakil Chris Vandome, Research Assistant Bill Hayton Tighisti Amare, Manager Dr James Edward Hoare Russia and Eurasia Katherine Lawson, Parliamentary Outreach Officer Charu Lata Hogg James Nixey, Head Daragh Neville, Project Assistant Dr Kun-Chin Lin L’ubica Polláková, Manager Eugenie McLachlan, Programme Administrator Dr Michal Meidan Dr Andrew Monaghan, Senior Research Fellow Ben Shepherd, Consulting Fellow Dr Farzana Shaikh Orysia Lutsevych, Manager, Ukraine Forum Associate Fellows: Professor Steve Tsang Associate Fellows: Jeremy Astill-Brown Sir David Warren Annette Bohr Knox Chitiyo Roderic Wye Dr Laurence Broers Dr Richard Connolly Bob Dewar CMG Europe Keir Giles Christina Katsouris Thomas Raines, Manager and Research Fellow Dr Nigel Gould-Davies Dr Muzong Kodi Professor Matthew Goodwin, Visiting Senior Fellow (joint with the Asia Programme) Dame Rosalind Marsden Quentin Peel, Mercator Senior Fellow Professor Philip Hanson OBE Paul Melly Georgina Wright, Coordinator Dr Bobo Lo Jason Mosley Associate Fellows: John Lough Dr Marc-Antoine Pérouse de Montclos Professor Iain Begg Professor Marie Mendras Sola Tayo Fadi Hakura Professor Richard Sakwa Dr Gita Honwana Welch Professor Anand Menon James Sherr Leena Koni Hoffmann Professor Richard G. Whitman Dr Lilia Shevtsova Soren Kirk Jensen Dr Kataryna Wolczuk Sir Andrew Wood

38 | Chatham House International Law Ruma Mandal, Senior Research Fellow Walt Patterson Dr Robert Jackson Alis Martin, Acting Manager Jade Saunders Elli Kytömäki Chanu Peiris, Coordinator Elizabeth Wilson David Livingstone MBE DSC Associate Fellows: Farhana Yamin Michael Moodie Dr Jeff Crisp Edwina Moreton Joanne Foakes International Economics Anita Nilsson Dr Jolyon Ford Research Department Professor Joanna Spear Emanuela-Chiara Gillard Dr Paola Subacchi, Research Director Emily Taylor Dr Agnieszka Jachec-Neale Sarah Okoye, Executive Assistant Matt Waldman Harriet Moynihan Asya Kudlenko, PA to the Director of Col Philip Wilkinson (retd) OBE MPHIL International Economics Dr Wim Muller Stephen Pickford, Senior Research Fellow Elham Saudi (joint with Middle East and North Centre on Global Health Security Matthew Oxenford, Research Associate Africa Programme) Professor David L. Heymann CBE, Professor Ben Saul Michele Bazzano, Administrator Head and Senior Fellow Sonya Sceats Stéphane Dubois, Manager, Gender and Dr Charles Clift, Senior Consulting Fellow Growth Initiative Elizabeth Wilmshurst CMG, Distinguished Fellow Lt Gen (retd) Louis Lillywhite, Giulia Gaddari, Visiting Researcher Senior Consulting Fellow Dr Miša Zgonec-Rožej Professor Nobuyuki Sato, Visiting Fellow Professor David R. Harper CBE, Senior Consulting Fellow Energy, Environment and Associate Fellows: Resources Research Department Professor Benjamin J. Cohen Professor Nigel Lightfoot, Senior Consulting Fellow Paul van den Noord Amina Aitsi-Selmi, Consulting Fellow Rob Bailey, Research Director John Nugée Dr Osman Dar, Consulting Fellow Professor Paul Stevens, Distinguished Fellow Susan Harris Rimmer Michael Edelstein, Consulting Fellow Antony Froggatt, Senior Research Fellow Professor Jim Rollo Robert Yates, Consulting Fellow Alison Hoare, Senior Research Fellow Andrew Rozanov Emma Ross, Consultant Felix Preston, Deputy Director and Matthew Brack, Project Manager Senior Research Fellow Professor Catherine Schenk Rachel Thompson, Research Associate Glada Lahn, Senior Research Fellow Dr Mina Toksöz Claire Muñoz Parry, Manager Shane Tomlinson, Senior Research Fellow Professor David Vines Robert Ewers, Coordinator Richard King, Research Fellow Alan Wheatley Asha Herten-Crabb, Project Coordinator Siân Bradley, Research Associate Abbas Omaar, Research Assistant Laura Wellesley, Research Associate International Security Associate Fellows: Gemma Green, Senior Department Manager Research Department Tessy De Luxembourg Jens Hein, Coordinator Dr Patricia Lewis, Research Director Dr Bhimsen Devkota Owen Grafham, Coordinator James de Waal, Senior Fellow Sir Liam Donaldson Rachel Shairp, Coordinator Dr Beyza Unal, Research Fellow Sheeren El Feki Katie James, Project Coordinator Sasan Aghlani, Research Assistant Professor David P. Fidler Associate Fellows: Hannah Bryce, Assistant Head Professor Anna George William Blyth Henry Dodd, Coordinator Dr Stuart Gordon Duncan Brack Nilza Amaral, Administrator Professor Ilona Kickbusch Dr Robert Falkner Simon Palombi, Consultant Ann Marie Kimball MD Dr Sam Geall Associate Fellows: Dr Khalid Koser MBE Kirsty Hamilton Irma Arguello Dr Heidi J. Larson Paul Hohnen Nomi Bar-Yaacov Helena Legido-Quigley Bernice Lee Robert Baxter John Mackenzie Dr Valérie Marcel Dr John Borrie Professor Kevin Outterson Paul McMahon Dr Andrew Dorman Professor John-Arne Røttingen John V. Mitchell Dr Bill Durodié Dr Simon Rushton Dr Keun-Wook Paik Benoît Gomis Professor David Salisbury CB Cleo Paskal Dr Claudia Hoffmann Sharad Joshi

Chatham House | 39 Staff, consultants and associate fellows at 31 March 2016

The Queen Elizabeth II Academy for Leadership in Communications and International Affairs Publishing Department External Relations Department Xenia Wickett, Dean Keith Burnet, Communications and Harry Charlton, External Relations Director Publishing Director Andrew Swan, Assistant Head Helena Zara, Personal Assistant, External Relations Alis Martin, Coordinator Media and Government Relations Individual Membership and Development Anne Giles, Officer Conor Quinn, Social Media and Sam Palmer, Head of Donor Relations and Media Relations Manager Academy Fellows Individual Membership Scott Limbrick, Media and Communications Officer Sami Abdel-Shafi, Academy Asfari Senior Fellow Annabel Walton, Senior Manager, Donor Relations Heba Al-Nasser, Academy Asfari Fellow Digital Strategy and Development Jennifer Wallace, Manager, Donor Relations Yulia Andrusiv, Academy Robert Bosch Fellow Josie Tree, Head of Digital Strategy and Development Zara Berry, Senior Marketing Manager Tomisha Bino, Academy Asfari Fellow Agnieszka Grychowska, Acting Head Keren Elton, Senior Individual Membership Officer Dr Angelos Chryssogelos, Academy Senior Fellow Nathan Faulds-Adams, Digital Project Manager Rosemary Hurford, Donor Relations Coordinator Minister Motohiko Kato, Paul Peet, Digital Project Manager Corporate Relations Academy Visiting Practitioner Jessica Pow, Email Marketing Manager Sophie Eggar, Head Rana Khalaf, Academy Asfari Senior Fellow Charlotte Edwards, Digital Coordinator Alex Tucker, Manager Dr Nikolay Kozhanov, Academy Robert Bosch Fellow Online Content David Pagliaro, Officer Dr Yuanfang Li, Academy Julius Fellow Nicholas Capeling, Head of Digital Content Niamh Buckley, Coordinator Dr Evangelos Liaras, Academy Stavros Niarchos Foundation Fellow Nicola Roper, Producer Events Kholoud Mansour, Academy Asfari Senior Fellow Jason Naselli, Digital Editor Kamil Hussain, Head of Conferences Ghadi Sary, Academy Asfari Fellow Lisa Toremark, Digital Editor Amy Wevill, Conference Developer Dr Fatih Serbest, Academy Akbank Senior Fellow Gitika Bhardwaj, Digital Coordinator Clare Smyllie, Conference Developer Anahit Shirinyan, Academy Robert Bosch Fellow Publishing and Brand Benjamin Cumming, Conference Developer Zaur Shiriyev, Academy Robert Bosch Fellow Amanda Moss, Head Charlotte Laycock, Conference Manager Dr Nikolay Kozhanov, Academy Robert Bosch Fellow Jake Statham, Editor, Publications Laurel Louden, Senior Special Events Manager Christina Velentza, Academy Stavros Niarchos Joanne Maher, Deputy Editor, Publications Harriet Hall, Special Events Coordinator Foundation Fellow Michael Tsang, Copy Editor Nick Cressey, Head of Events Julia (Guifang) Xue, Academy Senior Fellow Matthew Cadoux-Hudson, Coordinator Stephanie Sproson, Events Manager Susan du Toit, Events Manager International Affairs Linda Bedford, Events Administrator Andrew Dorman, Editor Ruth Clark, Marketing Manager Heidi Pettersson, Managing Editor Amy Smith, Marketing Assistant Krisztina Csortea, Book Reviews Editor Alex Cook, Sales Executive The World Today Dora Rencoret, Sales Executive Alan Philps, Editor Agnes Frimston, Deputy Editor

40 | Chatham House House and Personnel Alyson Bailes (1949–2016) Lisa O’Daly Assistant Director, Human Resources It was with great sadness that Chatham House noted James Grieve, HR and Recruitment Coordinator the death of Alyson Bailes, who was an associate fellow Rhona Moir, Head of Facilities in the International Security Department. Patricia Lewis-Goodridge/Florence Boafo/ Alyson was head of the FCO Security Policy Elizabeth Hawkes, Bookings Coordinator Department (1994–96), the UK ambassador to Finland Sonia Kinghorne, Receptionist (2000–02) and the director of SIPRI (2002–07). Charag Ali/John Edusei/Lee Liasos, House Manager Following her retirement, she split her time between Paul Etheridge, Maintenance Officer a post at the University of Iceland and her home in Ian Los, Despatch Head Selkirk, Scotland. Alyson was a commissioner on the Ray Sutlieff, Despatch Assistant WMD (Blix) Commission (2004–06) and on the UK Trident Commission (2011–14). Obituaries appeared in Finance and Technical Systems the Guardian, The Times and the Herald among others. Paul Curtin, Finance Director and Secretary to Council Rhona Moir, Executive Assistant to Finance Director Stephen Martin, Financial Controller Mahendra Kothari, Financial Accountant Sarah Adebambo, Management Accountant Valerie Ormes, Finance Assistant Leanne Pope, Finance Assistant Michael Farrell, Database Manager Larry Coker, Head of Data Martin Kennedy/Frankyln Nwaka, IT Help Desk

Library David Bates, Library and Information Services Manager Malcolm Madden, Research Liaison Librarian Anna Brynolf, Digital Resources Librarian

Thanks to our interns Many departments and programmes are supported throughout the year by interns. Chatham House is extremely grateful for their valuable contribution.

Chatham House | 41 Contact

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