The original documents are located in Box 16, folder “Carter, Jimmy” of the Richard B. Cheney Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library.
Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 16 of the Richard B. Cheney Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library
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OR I GINA SPECIAL RETIRED TO oa~ CUMENTS FILE .::,..
THE WHITE HO GTON
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ORIGINAL RETIRED TO SPECIAL DOCUMENTS FILE
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• Jimmy Carter has the Democratic Party in a serious
dilemma. If they nominate him, they are stuck with a
candidate who lacks the experience and temperament to be
President and one who is widely distrusted by leaders of
the Democratic Party, with considerable justification •
' .. . ,I.~ .. tl;ley .. fa,tl:.,tq .. J;IQJ:'C!ing..t.e .. him,.. c;tf.t~r .. h.e .has .. been... so..... spe~t:ac\.llP..r.ly :·, ::. ..' ·.. • • • • •• • • • • 0 • • • • • • • : • • • .. • •
successfu.l in the primaries, th~. ripple .throug_hput. the sou.th.. . •. ,.· : "' .. •• .. • • ·' .. •• ·, ••• 0 • • • •• , • • ••••• :. • •. • • : • •• • • •• ~- • • • : • • • •• • • • ... • • • • • • • :- • •••• • • , :. • • • •• will cost them severely at the polls in November. It will
be difficult to convince southerners that his regional origin
did not cause them to gang up on him and snatch from him the
nomination. Either outcome favors the immediate implementation
of a strategy directed at Carter.
There are other reasons to begin now with an anti-Carter
strategy. HiS momentum must be broken because he as the
Democratic nominee would be very difficult for any Republican
to beat. With a Southerner leading the ticket, southern states
cannot be counted on to abandon their traditional party. This
bloc of electoral votes combined with the northern industrial
states, which tend to favor any Democrat, will leave very little
left for the Republican nominee.
Moreover, a Carter Presidency would in the opinion of
many Carter-watchers damage seriously the office. Barring
a miraculous change in ~im, he can be counted on within three
years to challenge Richard Nixon as one of the most unpopular ). .. .
Presidents in American history. The office and the country
can ill-afford another blow to the Presidency.
The system depends upon the adversaries of the candidate
to make sure the people understand his weaknesses before
they vote for him. It is up to Republicans to contribute
to weeding our Carter if he is unqualified. As David Broder
acknowledged in a recent column, the press has failed to
convey to the American public the shortcomings of his
qualifications.
A brief review of Carter's political career may be
instructive. He returned to his hometown of Plains in the
early fifties after a ten-year career in the Navy following
graduation from the Naval Academy. He won narrowly a
legally conteste~ race for the State Senate in 1962 and
served there until January, 1967. As a comparatively
sophisticated senator from rural south Georgia, he captured
more than his share of attention from the Atlanta media
and was soon recognized as a man with political future.
As an unusually strong partisan in a state where party
loyal~y was on the wane after Senator Goldwater carried it
in 1964 and the Johnson administration became increasingly
unpopular, he considered a race against Bo Callaway for
Congress, who was in his first and only term in the House
of Representatives.· Some who knew Carter detected a special -..)- ' ..
disdain for Callaway at the time. It.may sound farfetched
that a mature person would be motivated by such considerations,
but the combination of Callaway's West Point background,
strong Republican advocacy, and silk stocking status may
have caused the competitive adrenalin to flow of the peanut
farmer Democrat from the Naval Academy.
Developments in early 1966 caused Carter to enter the
Gbvernor's race. Callaway had decided to leave his apparently
safe Hop.s_e seat i,n fa~qr. of the cl:lap.ce of ,bec.oming Georgia's
first Republican Governor since Reconstruction. In addition,
a major void was created on the Democratic side when former
Governor Ernie Vandiver withdrew on a claim of ill-health.
There were several candidates in the race and Carter
finished a stron~ third behind former Governor Ellis Arnall,
who had the black vote, and Lester Maddox. Carter was a
sensible alternative for moderate Democrats and geared his
campaign accordingly. Maddox and Arnall gained positions
in the run-off with less than 30 percent of the Democratic
vote and Carter scored somewhere in the twenties coming very
close. to overtaking Maddox, as the second place finisher.
Parenthetically, Maddox won the run-off and the Atlanta
papers, which supported Arnall, claimed that Republican cross
overs, who thought that Maddox would be an easier target for
Callaway, provided the margin of victory. After losing in 1966, Carter commenced a four year
campaign for Governor and the nature of his peanut warehouse
business permitted him to become virtually a full-time
candidate. From the beginning, he had an uphill battle
against former Governor Carl Sanders, who served from 1963
to 1967 and who was prohibited by law from succeeding himself.
As a result of his progressive record as Governor and his
support for the Great Society, Sander~ pre-empted the black/
~· , ,~ .,~. ol' ,.., I , , ., .... 0 about 28. percent of the 1968 total. .This left .for Carter, ...... ·' . . · .... _ ...... · ·_·····~··-·-··· ' .. · •. ·:·:. ,.·-·.: ...... ·.... ··.·- ·: ,.· .. ·.... ·.~·. ··:··· _·. ·-·· Georgia's largest voting bloc, which was the 41 percent that
/oted for Wallace in 1968. After running as a moderate in
~ . , . 1966, Carter was able to accomodate himself in order to
reach these voters.
While Sanders pursued his $100,000 a year plus law
practice in Atlanta during 1967, 1968, and 1969, Carter was
speaking in churches and to civic clubs and listening to the
people. He told them what they wanted to hear and gained
the support of leading s~okesmen for segregation in Georgia,
who probably disliked Sanders more than they favored Carter.
Be played to the emotions of people who distrust the Atlanta
elite in the same manner that he plays to the emotions of
people who distrust Washington today. His strategy paid
and his victory in 1970 was an upset.
It did not take long for the Wallace/Maddox element
discover he did not berong to them and he lost his base
of support, becoming a very unpopular ~overnor. He alienated . '•
the state legislature and the consensus when he left office
in 1974 was that he could not get elected sheriff in his
home county.
He apparently decided he was worthy of a presidential
race after being exposed to Jackson, Humphrey and McGovern in
1972, concluding if they could bat in the Presidential
league, he could. He spent considerable time during his
: ·:'·· ·t·:· :··n, .~···" .l~~t .;t:w.
. . himself into the chairmanship of the. Democrats ".CarDpaign 7 4. . . .. •. : ...... _..• , ·:···.. :· ··~ ·.:!., ·' .... ~ •·:~. • .•.;.; ...... · ..... _. ····.····.~·.. ,• · ..• ·'"./' •. ·.. ·.· .....·._,,· :... ·•·•·.· ·.· .• •• :. -·~··. :'·· 0 •• ·: • .·.. Committee." In this position, he began learning the ways of
national politics. After leaving office in January, 1975, he
became a full-time candidate for President and the rest is
history.
If one asks why he has been able to succeed in this
year's race, the answers are varied. A combination of
factors have worked in his favor:
(1) He has been totally dedicated to winning the
Presidency while other candidates have had
distractions like protecting a Senate seat
and running a Senate Committee.
(2) He has perceived better than other candidates
that less than 10 percent of the total population
selects the nominee of both parties; has identified
that narrow segment of
gone after th'em maximizing his resources.
I ·.
(3) He was able to establish early respectability
as a candidate by winning in New Hampshire and
Florida. He accomplished this by pouring a
disproportionate amount of time and resources
into New Hampshire and he benefited in Florida
because Florida was the time and the place for
the National Democratic Party to rid itself of
the Wallace nuisance, and ·he was the best man ':.~---~.. ··-~. :" ...... !·· ,~::. ~ ...... :. :·:·~.:...... -~~:~~ .···1· .. :~~·~·::-\:_: .· .· . ·,.·:··. :·- _.._.,...·,...... -~ ·... ··.:_r.. ·.·••. -~ .}I":' .. -~ : .-·.-: ..• :... ·· .. _:._:..t!'··:. -:~ ·!:· .... : .· ...... · .:··.. ·~ ··_:.._...... ···'\ :-=.·:.·.-· ... to accompl1sh 1t.
~ . _: ...... · .. '• '; . .. . ·.· .. .. ·... ·.. ~ .. (4) The caliber of the opposition was weak and he was
able to survive the process of elimination. :. ... 0 • • 0 • 0; •• Humphrey was crippled and could not risk the
primaries; Kennedy stayed out; Askew passed up
the race and Brown may have moved too late leaving
only Sc'oop Jackson, Mo Udall and Birch Bayh as
credible candidates.
(5) He has benefited from the anti-Washington mood
and has been unburdened b~ the_baggage of specific
stands on specific issues. Governors and former
Governors_have historically fared better than
Senators and House members in American Presidential
sweepstakes up until the post World War II era
when foreign policy became more important. ·.
The strategy for defeating Carter must be aimed at
forcing him to make a major mistake and to lose his composure.
It is too bad the Eagleton affair was wasted on McGovern.
Problems have to be created for him where he is forced to
make choices and hopefully make the wrong choice if given
enough opportunities.
The best hope for accomplishing this is through a well- ......
. . · ...... -;·. d··· .~:-. q~Q~-~~.~-~4.k.~-~~-~~-~P..r9.h~7·!-F~t·:~8 ;... ~t-:t.as.~ .. ~ t;h_~ t,~gy., :\l!;?iP9 .. = ~ .. ;.Y~t...t~:t:y.. ., .. ;.. '· ._ ... ,... _~·--. ·~ ·.. .; ...... ' ...... of spokesmen who are capable of .making n~ws. :followed by a .. •,''!',',"·:•'~'·,-. ·~·".•,,• .'·.: ~·,'·,~··'·, '.,':••''•:'•• •,:·' • ,,,,,·•,,_.,~ .. lo,·.,_ ..... , ,•'•~n,,•:-.~ .. , ', creative negative issues advertising campaign in the fall
if he is nominated. .· This effort should be aimed at smoking him out on the
issues and causing his ruthless, duplicious character to
surface from behind his smile. He should be closely tracked
on the issues and challenged on a daily basis by someone
knowledgeable in categories of issues.
An operational structure could be assembled along the
following lines:
(1) Establish a team w:ith spokesmen.assigning each of
them to an issue. The make-up should include highly
visable Senators and Cabinet Officers and might be
as follows:
Goldwater/Tower - Defense and National Security
Simon - the Economy
Dole - ~griculture -8-
Hills - Housing
Kleppe - Energy
Richardson - Social Programs
Griffin - Labor.
(2) Establish a research capability that receives
daily information on each Carter statement that
would. supplement- news accounts •.. .\,. ·. :
(3) Ask each spokesman to assign his press secretary : : . ... ~ ..: . ... . :· ...... • o- •, • ·' • ' • •·. • • • • • • I . : . • •i ..•.•. ••••.•. • ...... ·.. or some other project officer to the task. This
individual would ~lso have a responsibility for
. . ~ .. t~ack.ing ·ca~·te~:,·s state~e~ts. and fo~ -developi~g·
a complete catalogue of all of his positions on
assigned issues.
(4) Conduct daily meetings of the representatives of each
spokesman where an attack on Carter is planned.
(5) On a rotating basis, depending on events, issue
a statement or conduct a press conference using
a spokesman.
The purpose of this program should be to make sure the
American people know Carter well because he would probably
be rejected by the voters if they knew him better. If you
conducted off-the-record interviews with people who have had
considerable experience with him, including former colleagues
....._.. in the governors' conferences, members of the Georgia
legislature, members of the Georgia Congressional
Delegation and their staffs, certain words would bubble
to the surface. These words include such epithets
as phony, liar, hypocrite, lacks integrity, double crosser,
two-faced, speaks from both sides of his mouth, and similar
phrases.
·. · .. ·...... ,.•.::.:,;.::\[~ p~OP:l:e,._gp·fto.:,. ~:····wi ,~nowl·edg~ ,,.;_.~ ··~·: ·.:,·,. • . •:.:·- ·., ...... 0. :...... :.th.e·• ... . .•. . . tbe·:
of a candidate's. sJ"lDrtco.mi.ngs, . t;h~ .Peopl~ ;hav.E? been failed • ~- • • . • • • • • •• • • •• ••• • . J .,. • • • • • . • • •• • • • .. • • • • • • •• by the candidates opponents, just as a jury as well as a
defendant is fai~ed in a legal case when a l~w~er mak~s an
inadequate presentation. The President has the capability
to put the mechanism in place to educate the public on
Carter. In spite of the fact that he is no longer assured
the Republican nomination, he should go ahead and order the
execution of a negative Carter strategy as part of his duty
as leader of the Republican Party.
To understand the objectives of a negative Carter project,
you first need to understand Carter and the fact that there
are two sides to him:
(1) There is the Carter, who has Paul Warnke as a
national security advisor and will cut $7 billion
from the defense budget and there is the Carter,
who has Paul Nitze as his advisor and will
$30 billion t~ the defense budget. ··.
(2} The Carter who spoke in Wisconsin in favor of
repealing the right to work laws; the Carter who
said in Georgia before a group of financial
supporters a week later that he does not support
repeal of right to work laws.
(3} The Carter, who has built his campaign on a claim
that he has· streamlined t~e)3tate _Govern:n~nt: i~
.. adqt~P.i?.tr~tiP~ .. th.~ t i.nc;:.r_e9o~~~- i .. t.s. e:mployee.s .. py. ..· ...... :-- -. . ~··· ...... - . 20 percent and increased state spending by 50
percent • . . ..
(4} The Carter, who would simplify income tax forms and
eliminate deductions including interest on morgage
payments; the Carter, who denies his plan to eliminate
interest deductions.
(5) The Carter, who ridiculed Lester Maddox in New
Hampshire; the Carter, who praised him in 1970.
(6) The Carter, who pledged to 11 end once and for all the
threat Wallace represents to our country; .. the Carter,
who promised in 1970 to invite Wallace to Georgia to
address the state legislature and is on-the-record a
number of times praising him. - .L.L-
(7) The Carter, who promised to support Wallace in
1972, if he would not offer a slate of delegates
in Georgia; the Carter who made the nominating
speech for Scoop Jackson in Miami after Wallace
lived up to his end of the bargain.
(8) The Carter, who claimed, after he w~s castigated
~y. W~l~ac~: s~pport_ers for. 9a~king ~~ckson, tha~. he_ ...... #. • •
...... --· .. , .....
.• . •. ·:.. • .\ .. I>.·.·.· .. t~e. r~?:;l..i ty_ thRt anyon~ .who kn_ew:,.Di_ck ... Russ~ll- knows· ..
that he would never have made that request.
"[9) .. There is "the" Carter~ who said "Other than. my father I
Senator Russell made the greatest impact on my life.
I never made a political decision without consulting
him first. He kind of adopted me 19 years ago."
There is the real Carter who never had a particularly
close relationship with Dick Russell.
(10) There is the Carter, who looked Bob Strauss in
the eye and said he had no problem with him continuing
as chairman through November; the Carter who,
according to his former speechwriter, talked of
canning Strauss.
{11) The Carter, who asked Julian Bond to intercede with
McGovern in behalf of him becoming McGovern's running-
mate; the Carter who denied Bond's claim; and the '• Carter who later acknowledged it. (12) The Carter,who pledged his support to Reuben
Askew to be Chairman of the Southern Governor's
Conference; the Carter who went back on his
pledge.
(13) The carter, who told environmentalists he supports
strip mining legislation; the Carter who told
coal operators that he doesn't.
.·· .. : . . . . . ·. ~o:·· <··· ;::_- _. ... \,, .. ··.· ..· ·-U4+· .. ·,:. }Ph~.·-Car:ter~ _who: ·told: a·:·rept:>rter-'·"fal'!:l·~·ly:.'.t-hat' :Senator·.-~ .... ·:··:\ .. ·.·:.· .
.· ...... Rqs.sell: _promi~~d to vote ~o~. ~im ... ..:j_.n 1970.;... th~ Ca:t:'ter, . who called Senator Russell to apologize and claim
he never said it; the Carter, who told the reporter . , ..• ...... that he said it, but it was off-the-record.
(15) The Carter, who said he opposed Richard Nixon since
he lived in California in 1950; the Carter who
profusely praised John Mitchell for his law and
order campaign at a dinner in Atlanta in 1971.
(16) The Carter, who talks of a need for honesty in
government; the Carter, who met with Secretary Butz
.in behalf of the peanut industry in 1973.
(17) The Carter, who talks of love; the Carter who
a message recently to the Mayor of Atlanta to
"k'1SS my --- •. II
(18) The non-politician Carter, who is running against
all the Wash'ington politicians; the Carter who has
been a full time candidate ~or public office for six of the last ten years and in the Governor's
office the other four, where he spent considerable
time on politics.
Finally, there is the Carter, who tells the people he
will never lie to them, but ther.e is the string of evidence
to the contrary that could be uncovered easily if adequately
researched. This memorandum is simply the product of unverified
· .recollecti0ns of a person whc has· clos·ely ·observed· him ··and ·known
"t:. ·.;.::-:·=.:· :·:··.:· ···!· ·.-.;:·.-;·:·r-: .:,'::.':·.". ··~ ·.· .," •. ~ .. ;.,. ... ; =·=.~ ..,j .. · · · h1m for f~~-i~a~i~·· .· ·. .· .. · ...
·. ·. THE WHITE HOUSE
- ' WASHI.NGTON ) v;eil~/
·~., ORIGIN SPECIAL D~ RETIRED TO CUMENrs FILE
' .. Jimmy. Cart~r's Wife
~ · J ~--..... ~-.. ,·or the Moment, a Breather · Spe~ks Softly, Shares 1 On the road, Rosalynn (pron ' ROSE-uh-lunl is a single-minded cam- .His Ambitious Drive immy CarllJr) Wife paigner. In a typical day she will smile, , t) make speeches and shake hands from 6 \ .. o'ciock in the morning unW 10 o'clock at Continued From .Firs; Page Speaks SrJftly, Shares night. Through the long primary seasoo .she Jimmy. That doesn't mean he does as I sug· rarely has seen' her husband or her eight- gest... . , , . His~ A,mb#iou£.Dri~ !yearoQld daughter, Amy, except on week· She adds that she doesn't iuways do what ends back in Plains.
she promls.es. '.. There Wl·. '11 be .s· q u~e dangnc.tn g- § and So~th ern food. However, she may .y>. - = ~on~r w~oo-· ot dungareee. . IUil ~ ' ·= and T;shirti.' for ' soniethlrig ~ more sophist!- § cated. Major def!l~£l:~, .p!~ady are. writing ~ to offer their servr- -she says. j ·; ~ - - ;
• ',· ...... _...... _~ "' .. ------
THE WH ITE HOUSE WASHINGTON
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01UG1NAL ~ETIR£0 TO ·spECIAL DOCUMENTS FILE " ......
... ·... - r- ...-- ·- ·. - ~~ .... -·'*· ...... ' " . ~ . .~'" ' ...... ~. .. :. - ~ ...... -.., -...· ., ...... IO·A . - -~---.L - . \1 -. -';'With ·c~;t~t·~all-lelm, the shiP o/ State)~f~ tJY T~ss a flit BY ROBERTS. BOYD .. Chi'!f o~OtJr Washington Bureau state Legislature. His stands critidsm or a disagreement ties-even one as experienced \VASHINGON - If Jimmy '_'l\Jy oppone1~ts. s~t'id I ha ~l a hai·cl ti!ue. ~O~ll:- , may reflect credit on h: m, but over policy as a.._personal at wou l::l be, as he puts it, . ~ ·a C:trtcr is inaugurated as the they rli:;played a ri6ici ity and in the ways of Wa shington as strong, independent and· a'g tack on his character- a nd to Lyndon J ohnson or Richard ~~h president of the United rel~1cta:-~ce to compromise that gressive president." . · proq1is~ng. I __ gu~ss I .ant subject to that en llCISm. resp.ond in kind. Nixon. ·-stales next January, .. grab could ·be dangercus in the That ki nd of attitude can And nobody had better courit White 1-:ouse, In . sum, if J immy Car{er ~r/net h i ng solid and hang on. lead a president into difficu l- on having a quiet time if he is ------·- gets into the Whi te House. he there. Tht; c<,>untry · is like.Jy to be for , "My opponenes said I had a 'I ~------. :t rou;;h hut exciting time. · so gentle and friericlly (when Carter succeeds, it will be at hard · time · compromising·," · t.;chind the toothy' Carter he ran for· governor) that a.IJt the. cost of many scars at} :I Carte·r a'dmtis~ ','I guess I _am 1 r;rjn and soft Southern v_oice. of people got the idea he was bruises. lf he fai ls, he co~tlabe subject to that criticism. · •· br}s a tough, stu~born, self going to be . kind of easy to a;-frustrated and bitter man. " \Vhen I believe in some ;l ssured personality \Vith a sin handle, and they. could run the CARTER ALSO has his eye thing very deeply, I personally gle-minded determination to government. But they got the savs, . "but· I . intend. to pursue on another well-defended for \\:Ou ld rat11er fight for it tha-n get his O!vn way. . sh·Jck of their lives w!1en they th fs a nd see that the federal tress_ the array o[ privileges compromise. I ha te to yield on As his mother once said: found out he \vas not only governn:ent,. is complete.ly _ and prefer':!nces built into the something early. If the legisla "Jimmy is like a beautiful cat tough, but he was well in- reorgamzed. nation's tax system. ture opposed me, I wouid take with sharp steel cl.:nvs." · formed about programs. sta- If Carter gets the chance to Cart~r · h a~ pledged to carry rny case to the peopie. The It may seem awfully early tist·rcs and the internal affairs . carrY out :1is promise to. con- · legislature was very recalci to consider what kind of a of every department." solidate· the 1,900 or so depart- out a sweeping tax reform, trant at firs( but later they •1 resident the former Georgia - . wiping out many pf the so- joined in with me." As a Democrat, Carter pre- ments, ;~gencies, commtSSIO ns called "loopholes," stlch as :.overnor would he-especially Carter may find 100 United ~vhcn it's not cve01 sure'that he sumably would have srnol)ther and whatnots .that now mal'e inte~ es t deduction s for upper relations with the Democratic up lhe. executive branch into --and middle.-i ncorne home own- States senators, and 435 con will win the Dem(){ r:atic nom\ . h p 'd t 200 larO.er units, he is bound to gressmen even more recalci nation. Congress t an res• en s h·ave a "'trenlen·'ous fi!!ht on his , ers trant at first, but later they Nixon or Ford. He ~ays he u ~ - h 1 h ·t wants "a harmonious relation- hands. · . ·· But every loop 0 e ash 1• s will be more di ffiCult to deal BUT JUDGING hy his re- · · Suc·h a reor.,o-anization would . dedicated defenders, bot In with, the Georgia legislators. Col ship' ~- with Congress, but it's d 'h t ·d, and his ·.vords and deeds obvious that· he wants it on his bre.. ak' up the cozy alliances Con;;ress an among, l ·e ax-t as a ca!ldidate, a Carter ad- that have grow~ up· among pavers. They aren t gorng o :FURTHERMORE, both a> ministration S(.ems certain to te;.~~~ gress is incapable of the bureaucracies, the con- sh;llow Carter's reforms with- governor and as presidentia 1 . be filled with fi:·c 1nd contra- ~ gressional committees an.d the out a titanic struggle. . ca ndidate, Carter has tended ·• H:t':;v.. leadership," h e _,.~~~~-- o v e r t .d . terest o-roups that . -The prospect for conr:ict is to run a one-man show. He ··· h. · ~ k f 1 · · ak; 1" · and over. ' · · . .• - · · . ou sr e m · .., · · ' built into Carter's lcll:lership s urrounds himself with bright ; I !_"tt :n wee s o. ns. t .,1: ·: •. •. t'There . is on! one per son deal with them. . .. . <.{ftje, th<' _Wru,r.:•. House prr.ss . \;,ho.can set s tan~ards ui mor- - . Previous. prestdents . h_1we stv;,. . as .well as h l·> pro gtam~. young assistants who lack the _: cnrps prot1ab.v would·. bP _ .. · . , .·,, . , . . . ; . e- tried in vam to crack this JUn· As !!O~ernor of Ge~rg1a .. he independence and stat(rre to : ~crea ming abm;t a~te mpts a,t , a!rty : · ·· ~l!mrn~te InJUSttc·t 'ale of special relationships. Tf frequently clashed -~~t~'---~'::_ tell him off.· , 'litws manipulation and decep"' • · .. propo~.e &on _carry_ ~u .3_ ---· ------. ------·---- He is also inclined to regard : ~; 0 ., . · · ~ · ·· • pro~rams ... prc:vrdt! for·tne 1 Wit bin m )nths Con o- r~ s s nationaf de tense; . m~.tm ~rn -~might be · co'n: pb i~i.n_g . ;b~iJt ,_.: securitY.-:;~~nd co,n.~ ~~t · : ~~rcJ~~~ •the returR ot _the ·1mpenal · pol~cy. .. : . 1 · . <.d " and I he threat of 1 hat person, say~ Carter, 1s 1 :-:prc.t enc; . the president, presumably ' OI'Je-man rue.1 . . r I d I : · T~c~en t efforts ny Congress leavtng Congr~ss rtt ~ t_o" 0 , to rc"ain somr cf'the powers but ~pprove hts proposal., .. nd I ~ ir ha; lost to ihe White Hous~ provtde the mon,ey. · · _-: ·, ~wo uld bP resi~l ed, it not re: :' ASKED 'IF he ~ould: :seek , versed. . .. · the counsel of congressional I : - B.y the end of h.s Jirst year: elders like Sen. Hubert Hum- • the f.ederat bu~e~u;;<-'f w~u~: phrey, • Carter says; . with • red th~ · shocks o. a __ hakrn ~: - harelv concealed scorn, that :up, by a Democrat,'c pre~t: he would· listen to "a senior ~dr nt ; that no R~pab•:.can ~a~ statesman like · -Mr. Htim- .yet-aehieved.. · · . "phrev·" but would tak~. "my ; i'\·,~d all through ,hts. term, ultim~te advice. from the pev- t he.. so-called \'\~shmgto~ · le of this country." · · •• ; "establishm~n~"-t~e ~ po_w~r~ ? When a politician says he is . hrokers, _oprn!On·m<~ke~s, . In- ' obeyin<> the will of "rile peo- ; flne~tial _lawyers, lobbytsts for le" • fi usually means he is spcctal IOterest groups • and p ·na his OWO Will .· ... their allies in the commltt~es obEey • ; , efore he is ~amin ated .• f ( S a nd the aoenCJPS ve O · . o ongres " -- or elected Carter wants to im- •·a nd departments downtown- . ' . • • · -~ would be battlino- to save- their .pJ;;e. hts wlll on con"'0 res~ rona 1 • . - <> • T cand1dates. ·-:accumulated rr?hts, p~rv• eg~ :.· Eor.example, he says he will I. ~ an4 ways ?.f do•ng bus_me~ s . . i'ns'ist that Democrats commit· f ~ ..At the center o: th:s hum; : themselves, at the national oC3t;C-assummg r.~ WinS nex. . ' . . J I d d .· 0 I . 'November-would be the sto- conventiOn tn _u y an uun, I ; lid, strcng-v..·il!ed figure of t~e fall campa1gn, to support
· r · . C ter the first true hr s · plan for a top-to-bottom 1
.• m~. •ny .ar ' · t' f th federal 1 :otit~ider to run the govern- reorgamza wn o e , ~ f h U . d St· · government. ~ me~>~t o t. e ntte a 1es _m N tina- that Sj percent of the . ~th1~ century. 0 '"' . k h · 1 ,. ."nyone, w h o . th'tn ks Carter . lawmakers who will ta e t rerr :would he· an easy.-going, co- · · seat~,: next ~anua. ry are up_ o~ • operative chi ef executive, ush- electt,l~ . thrs . ) ea~, :Carte .:cring in an e ra of tiarmony says: •. f II be rurynrn& on th_~ ~an& good : feeling !lfter the same ticket as many membets • sto{ms of recent years, had of. tongress . - .J want a~I of .. better move to- New Zealand. them to go on record - viii • Carter makes it clear, in his you or won't. you co-0peratc :speeches and answcr5 toques- - with the pres_1dent to r eorg~n- .. in - ::l t ~ t ~ .. ~ .. •• ··.;::. ·-:::-::.: •.. :·::.:.: ::.;·:..::: -:':' ···: ··. · - ..._.,_ ~-. ~- ~~ ..:-~-;-- ·.--:: . ~! ·,·~--~~:.,,-... -:.:.~""-.:. ·· ·. ··--· <-_--···-·...... ,....._~ ·:--··:- ~.--- ~ . - ' ...... :...... • - Cartef ~atHelm, ::With . . the ship o/ StateJJf~y) BY ROBERTS. BOYD ------~--~-~------. Chiol!f oflo Our Washington 81Jre•u state. - L~g-i slatu re. His stands critidsm or a disagreement ties-even one as e \VASHINGON - lf Jimmy •· '_'l\Iy opponents ·. ~~ti.d I ha~l a hai·d ti1ne. ~0~11:- ~~ m ;1y rcilect credit on him, but over policy as <\._personal at C:trtcr is inatiguraled as the they rli~played a rigidity and in the ways of Wa, tack on his character- and to Lyndon Johnson < :'i9th president of the United · prorvis~ng. I __ gu~ss 1 ant subJect to that en L1c1sm. rel~1cta:1 ce to compromise that respond in kind. ~ta tcs next January, - grab <·ottld be dangercus in the Nixon. t • -..... That kind of attitude can ~0 nething solid and hang on. White J:ouse. In sum, if JimJ iead a president into difficul- gets · into the White '11H;: ct,Juntry· is like_ly to be for "My opponen!'s said I had a . <~ rou;;(h hut exciting time. · so gentle and friendly (when Carter succeeds, it will be at hard ·time compromising·," 1 · Uchind the toothy · C:~rter , he ran for governor) that a_l.:>t th~ cost of many scars aQ:i Carter a·dmtis. '.'L guess I .am nrin and soft Southern vo1ce. of people got the idea he was bruises. 1f he fails, he COltlabe subject to that criticism. · ~· htr}\s a tough, stubborn, 'self going to be. kind of easy to a frustrated and bitter man .. "\Vhen I believe in some :Jssured personality \Vith a sin handle, and they. could run the thing very deeply, I personally gle-minded determination to government. But they got the says, "but· I. intend. to pursue CARTER ALSO has his eye \\:Ould rat11er fight for it than r.et his own way. . sh.xk of their lives w!1en they this and see that the federal on another well,defcnded for compromise. I ha te to yield on As his mother once sa1d: found out he was not only government is completely tress- the array of privileges something early. If the legisla "Jimmy is like a beautiful cat tough, but he was well in- reorganized." _ and pr e fe r~nces built into the ture opposed me, I would take with sharp steel cl.:nvs." formed about programs. sta- If .Caner gets the chance to nation:s tax ~ystem. . my case to the people. The It may seem awfully early tistrcs and the internal affairs carrv out :1is promise to. con Carter has pledged to carry legislature was very recalci to consider what kind of a of every department." solidate the 1,900 or so depart- out a sweeping tax reform, trant at first', '.Jut later they •> resident the former Georgia As a Democrat, Carter pre- ments, ~gencies, commissions wiping out many 9f the so joined in with me." :.ovcrnor would he-especially sumably would have smol)ther and whatnots that now make called "loopholes," such as Carter rriay iind 100 United ~hen it's not eve:~ sure' that he relations with the Democratic up the_ executive branch into inte:est deductions for upper States senators, and 435 cun will win the De mo< ratic nom\· ·Congress than Presidents 200 larger units, he is bound to -and middl~-income home own· ~ressmen even more recalci nation. Nixon or Ford. He 5ays he have a tremendous fight on his • ers . trant at first, but later they wants "a harmonious relation- hands. - But every loophole has its will be more diffic ult to deal BUT .lUDGII':G by his rt::· · ship" \Vith Congress, but it's Such a reorganization would. dedicated defenders, both in with_ the Georgia legislators. cord, and his words and deeds obvious that he wants it 00 his break' up the cozy alliances Congress and among the tax as a candidate, a Carter a.d- terms. that have up· among 1-'URTHERMORE, both a~ grown p avers. They aren~t gomg to ministration sscms certain •O "Congress is incapable of the bureaucracies, the con- sh;llow Carter's reforms with governor and as presidential candida te. Carter has tended . be filled with fi:·c :tnd centro- leadership,, he says 0 v e r gressional committees an.d the out a titanic strug~le . . • \ el :;v. . • : .. and over. · ' · ""' ·.·~. . · outside interest groups that · . The prospect for conf:ict is to run a one-man show. He ', wCthin weeks of his· tak!ng • .. . . . ·.• - · n deal ·With them: , . ' bti!lt into Carter's h:::::lership surrounds himself with bright ' ,w e thc> Whir.:·. House press '·'' There IS only one ~er so Prev· s presidents h ave young assistants who lack the : C"t~ ' 1 ._, "Ould b"' . who.can set standards u• mur- 1011 stv;,. a~ well as hl'i prog.-am~. . corps pro ,a~.,v ' • · . " . ·. · · · · · ,_ · "' tried in vain to crack this jun independence and statt1re to ' . . b ·t "'tempts at · -ahty .....· ellm1nate lnJU~ttc -- h' lf As -governor of Georgia, he ~creammg a o~,; ~ . ·· . • · - . d v: ·t . 'gle of special relations tps. tell him off. ; news manipulation and decep"·' • · · propo.s,e a.n . carr_ · 0.u freque nt2!'_~:_shed ~~t!:__~~ He is also inclined to regard , "'" · ·• ·. :·· ~·, !' ~~r~s ... prnvtd~ JoE tne 1 \'litbin m )nths Conaress national derense,; .mo.m[":W . ·!might be . co'n:pbini,n.g · ab~uk, sec.urit~:-:~~n~ :co.~~l,ISt.: ~~rcJ~Il I • the re(urR ut the ·1rnpenal polrcy. .. ·. . 1 · . ··1d , and I he threat of That person, say~ Carter, 1s I >:PI c. enc; . the president, presumably ' o11e-m:m ru 1e. . 1· 1 d •• T{ . t efforts nv Conoress leavmg Congr~ss Jtt e to 0
:to· ~~_;;in sOmf' cr"the ~wers but ~pprove h1s proposal3 <: nd 1 ~ it ha; lost to the White Hous_e prov1de the mon,ey. · .. ~ I ~would b" resi~lecl , it not rP. : : ' ASKED· IF he ~ould _ : seek , versed. . . · the counsel of congressional I : - &y the end of h.s flrst year: elderS like Sen. Hubert Hum- • the federal bu~e~u;•<:.cy w~u~; phrey, • Carter says; . with • feel- th~ shocks o. a .-hakrn ~:- barelv concealed scorn, that :up, by a Democrat,'c pre ~ ~: he would listen to "a senior •drnt; t~at no R~pa_b,~can ~a~ statesman like· · Mr. Htim- ;Y~t:ac lue ved . . ·" . 'phrey," but wo_uld tak~. "my • !\J~d all throu.,h ,h•s. term, ultimate advice from the pev· . t h e" so-called \\ ~shmgton, · le of this country.'' · : ·• ; "r sta blishm~n~"-t~e -- po_w~r: p When a politician says he is .hrOkers, OplntOn-metke~s, . tn- . obeyin<> the will of "rhe peo. : fh•e'!_tial _lawyers, lobbyists for le" it usually means he is spcctal mterest groups and P '. .., n · t'lJ . . . . h 'tt1 ObPyJO
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Carter's Carter's he he and and of of t t ha~ ha~ well well deductions deductions tax tax They They out out - Carter's Carter's lf lf the the "loopholes," "loopholes," crj crj sweeping sweeping succeeds, succeeds, ----- prospect prospect every every ': ': a~ a~ titanic titanic (!overnor (!overnor into into · a a cost cost prefer':!nces prefer':!nces middle-income middle-income a a ti1ue ti1ue ,. ,. another another ; frustrated frustrated But But As As CARTER CARTER Cart~r The The _ . . called called shallow shallow the the Con6ress Con6ress dedicated dedicated out out bruises. bruises. payers. payers. bt;ilt bt;ilt and and ers ers inte~esl inte~esl sty nation's nation's Carter Carter wiping wiping tress- out out on on a a that that frequently frequently -and -and · · _ _ • • .;-·-: .;-·-: l l ~ ~ lf lf to to to to lo lo hard hard his his the the 11ve 11ve into into · jun- era that that con con- h ' ' make make · · would. would. ips. ips. on on a to to among among pursue pursue fed depart and and ------ · · ::--•·:- this this bound bound alliances alliances the the to to - . . chance chance -: -: " " . so so now now i«ht i«ht • is is up the the ' completely completely l branch branch .~ .~ .groups or or commissions commissions the the he he had had crack crack cozy cozy that that is is promise promise subject subject relationsh _ inlend that that H--- to to ~ I I . . presidents presidents gets gets 1,900 1,900 is is I grow~ grow~ the the 1 ~ - committees committees Utlits, Utlits, •<-' see see them: them: reorganization reorganization interest interest the the vain vain "-' executive executive ant ant ;~gencies, ;~gencies, a a up up tremendous tremendous <, · · special special out out "but · · in in s£t'id s£t'id have have a a ...... and and whatnots whatnots bureaucracies, bureaucracies, ·. I I .Carter .Carter of of larger larger the the ·~~>- If If Such Such Previous Previous tillS tillS that that says, says, ments, ments, and and ~ ~ 200 200 up up solidate solidate carry carry government government hands. hands. gressional gressional have have break deal-with deal-with tried tried outside outside the the 'gle 'gle .reorganized." .reorganized." . . ------ · · ' ' ,- ! ! j j 1 1 I I I I atll~lm, atll~lm, . . r r ~ n n • • is is is is is is ." ." • • · · to to of of of of ~ ~ . . · - he he do do e e for for his his the the the the the out out In· In· the the it's it's the the gue~s gue~s im so nnd nnd sta- will will - tl~at tl~at pre- was was pev· pev· peo only only they they with with a_l0t a_l0t _ _ seek seek v v _ _ he he "my "my their their : : mur- all all - -· -· _ ·~:·..,_~-4• ·~:·..,_~-4• he he to to Hum- Htim , , Gf Gf . . to to on on up up seniOr seniOr . (when (when . . on on o o _ _ -will -will affa1rs affa1rs ,, ,, during during Carter Carter he he for I per got got he he federal federal , run run :iorcign :iorcign but but support support ui ui ·, commit commit easy easy tne tne well well 5avs 5avs it it .. .. -... national national injustice- reorgan- rela.tion- not not ...... ma.mram ma.mram that that 'a 'a . smol)ther smol)ther member~ member~ "rhe "rhe Carter. Carter. take take says says are are tak.~ carry carry w.1en w.1en to to co-vperatc co-vperatc nominated nominated opponents want want Presidents Presidents and and . . of of ·- to to Carter Carter ""-- s~orn, s~orn, the the one one little little Democratic Democratic says says Mr. Mr. would idea idea presumably presumably · thE'~ thE'~ PRE~:> PRE~:> " " says, says, He He of of wants wants says says er · . . is is tht:: tht:: means means was was could could to to incapable incapable !' . Hubert Hubert top-to-bottom top-to-bottom ' ' .J .J from from record record congres3ional congres3ional · · was was _ congressional congressional proposal:; proposal:; will. will. perce-nt perce-nt . . e e will will year, year, - wants wants says says he he have have . . of of 'ru~ningl 'ru~ningl mtern.~l mtern.~l friendly friendly ; ; <1o11d <1o11d you you l?rograms, l?rograms, h pmvide pmvide hves hves the the the the many many he he <~·"-.::~, <~·"-.::~, July July a a condll~t condll~t · · · is is kind kind 85 85 he he on on B~t B~t Vfy Vfy at at . . of of only only he he wo.uld wo.uld will will his his he he tense, tense, on on l _ _ e e st(\ndards st(\ndards like like he he they they , than than Congress, Congress, Sen. Sen. be be own own as as in in the the money. money. ·::: who who eliminate eliminate Jamtary Jamtary Ford. Ford. " Democrats Democrats Carter Carter governor) governor) F-REE F-REE politician politician got got and and country." country." listen listen de de is is ...... be this this for for thetr thetr with with harmonious harmonious ./ ' ' president president advtce advtce and and go go will will that that · · would would Carter Carter set set usua!ly usua!ly the the department. department. but but campaign, campaign, a a his his won't won't Congress Congress about about that that Democrat, Democrat, but but and and -~::.- before before concealed concealed the the person, person, ., ., or or . . for for out out and and 'f'IJ 'f'IJ !tke !tke to to ·• ·• president, president, ' ' of of that that ple ple with with "a "a this this to to next next it it example, example, propos ticket ticket a a . . ·" his his the the · or or counsel counsel ,· ,· can can approve approve eo fall fall plan plan . over. of of proqiis~ng.' proqiis~ng.' .-~:::,·."!._: .-~:::,·."!._: would- gentle gentle ran ran p · . . tongress tongress · · elected, elected, every every .- .Tr\01'1 .Tr\01'1 "Congress "Congress · When When Even Even , , • • As As Noting Noting ASKED'IF ASKED'IF That That :'There • • Ear Ear lity lity __ __ • _ ' · !'..; !'..; ttst~s ttst~s tou.,h, tou.,h, terms. terms. going going gove~nment.. gove~nment.. he he relations relations ple", ple", f?r~ed f?r~ed pJse pJse handle, handle, thef\lselves, thef\lselves, them them fou~d fou~d so so harely harely pra~rams pra~rams securitY ulttmate ulttmate of of of seats lawmakers lawmakers shi~" shi~" Congress Congress ob\'wus ob\'wus sh;:x:k sh;:x:k wants wants and and convention convention reorganization reorganization leadership," leadership," the the says: says: obeying obeying elders elders sumably sumably national or or t~e t~e with with ot ot obeying obeying . . but but candidates. candidates. same same who a hts electii)n electii)n leaving leaving the the statesman statesman provide provide policy.': you you •.. •.. government. government. , pte pte phrey, phrey, ph~ey," ph~ey," Nixon Nixon he he · ,. ,. lX ' : : insist insist ' _ · · ·: } _ · '- , ...... ' ' · · . . ·, ·, . . - _ ·: , , : : · · - k k · - r r e e ca ca - _ a a ·· ·· ~. ~. in in ,, to to of of of of u to to e at · b~ he he 'i,i 'i,i re· re· for for ad- ror ror rP. the the in-- es- co- his his cat cat on. on. the the has has sin sto- had had · · -- and and ush· ush· self ::.;·:...~ ::.;·:...~ true true next next their their of of _ grab grab ~ ~ . . v_oice early early vear. vear. said: said: cu a a pre!;~ pre!;~ term, term, in in deeds deeds abo nomi be be hurri· hurri· presi ;:~. ;:~. - Hous would would as as United United tak!n<• tak!n<• Cart decep: · Carter Carter Jimmy Jimmy po;.er- contra- that that -- his his powers powers not not oovern- - rs, rs, · · the the · · r, r, to to Georgia Georgia :.~~ :.~~ • • to to ·· ·· Bure•u Bure•u : hang hang shakin . threat threat BOYD BOYD agencies agencies Congress Congress • ~ ~ States States tiarmony tiarmony e e • 1 Congress Congress tirrie first first "imperial "imperial privi!eoes privi!eoes If If : certain certain his his after after wins wins figure figure save- and and Zealand. 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Earlier that same summer of 1940 events in Europe had had their effect... on American politics: the isolationist wing of the Republican party (anti- British, pro-German)'crumbled under the impact of Hitler's invasions of Den mark and Norway. Willkie -- internationalist and anti-German -- was nomi nated by a GOP convention which was meeting in Philadelphia during the very days of the French capitulation. Today more than ever the play of domestic and international politics works both ways. Nixon certainly played world politics in 1972 with considerable skill and great impact. (Lou Harris in 1973 presented a persuasive analysis to show that it was world politics, and Nixon's role in them, which accounted for most of his popular support in 1972). Khrushchev bragged about how he tipped the 1960 Presidential election to Kennedy by letting it be known that he would not release captured American fliers at the request of the incumbent Eisenhower-Nixon administration. In the 1968 campaign, the Vietnamese Thieu, by dragging his feet on the peace talks that had been proposed by President Johnson, had a (marginal) effect on the (marginal) Presidential election of that November. As for 1976: Reagan's campaign owes much of its vitality to his exploitation of foreign and defense policy issues; and the Government of Greece seems to have decided to wait for January before signing a new DCA with Washington. Looking at the calendar.between now and inaugural day in January, then, there are two sets of important questions: First, for foreign nations, the important questions will be specific versions of the larger question whether (a) to wait for the new administration, or (b) to try in active ways to take advantage of the fact of the campaign. .. 2. Active taking advantage could take one of two forms: either doing things which theUSwill not be able to stop because of the distraction of the campaign, or trying actively to influence the Presidential candidates to say certain things in the campaign. Second, should the Ford Administration wait until January before trying to accomplish a given purpose, or shou~d it move now in order to gain some campaign advantage for the President's re-election? Here are the principal areas of concern or opportunity, as I see it. I. Cuba as an actor on the world stage. .. II. China. : ··- III. Turkey, Greece and US strategic interests in the Eastern Med. IV. The Middle East. V. The Soviet Union and Disarmament (SALT II) • . VI. OPEC: Another oil price increase? VII. Broader themes. VIII. Other. I. Cuba: If he does it quietly, Castro could probably consolidate his positions in Africa, in the Caribbean, and in Central and South America. Specifically: Jamaica, Guyana, Central America, Angola, and Mozambique. He will feel it is smart to avoid giving either Ford or Reagan any excuse to make an issue out of Castro over the next several months, in the hope that a Carter Admin istration would move to open up relations with Havana on a basis that would be advantageous to Castro. My own sense is that he will go ahead and con solidate his positions, while protecting possible prospects for rapproche ment with a Carter regime. Carter: I would be surprised if Carter were to make an issue of this, though of course it cannot be entirely ruled out. He is more likely to try to open a door for Castro: rapprochement if not Good Neighbor. Reagan: I would be surprised if Reagan neglected to make an issue of Castro between now and early August. Ford: I would think Ford (and the country) would benefit most from a line of relatively explicit criticisms of Castro's far-flung activities. 3. II. China: Here it seems there is an inclination in Washington to wait for January. Still, that may not be easy, simply because Mao will probably die before then (he may already have died). Hua, the tough cop who is nominally in charge of China, may be flexing his muscles in the Taiwan Strait. The Soviets may have some sort of move toward rapprochement in mind for the immediate post-Mao period. The ground should ·be prepared with Peking, Taipei and Tokyo, and the White House should be ready to move promptly · and effectively into the post-Mao era. Meanwhile, the "China Lobby" has not been slumbering: they probably leaked to the press the fact of the US pullout from Quemoy ~nd Matsu, and I expect they will attempt to force all the candidates (including the'Presi dent) to make ever more precise statements about policy with regard to rela tions between Washington and Peking, together with ever more elaborate ex planations of how the Taiwan question would be handled. The ROC will be behind efforts to make Ford inflexible, to make strong pro-ROC statements. Carter: Carter can reasonably be expected to be fairly fort~coming with regard to the China question, or -- somewhat less likely -- eo be pre cisely imprecise and indicate a preference to wait for January. He has already said he doesn't know how to handle the Taiwan problem. Reagan: I would be surprised if Reagan did not seek, during July, to sound pro-Taipei, maybe even a little anti-Peking. III. Turkey, Greece, etc.,: Athens already seems to have decided to wait for January before signing the DCA with the United States, in hopes of getting a better deal. Members of Congress, of all political persuasions and denominations, want to wait until January or -- at the least -- until after the Republican Convention, before giving serious consideration to either the Greek or the Turkish DCA. This is because they don't want to have to approve the Turkish DCA without a green light from Athens (there are virtually no Turkish votes in America). Of course, such a delay will have adverse effects on the United States' strate gic position in the Eastern Mediterranean. It is actually in the United States' interest to put our relations with Greece and Turkey on a solid footing once again, and to do so as expeditiously as possible. The Turks don't want to wait for anything, They would like a DCA immediately. Carter: My sense is that the Carter organization may try to appear pro-DCA for both Greece and Turkey, and at the same time severely critical of Ford and Kissinger for having failed to obtain a Cyprus settlement. Or possibly a set of 18-month "Interim Agreements" with Greece and Turkey to II 4. protect our strategic interests now, while giving time for the US election to be settled and Cyprus to be resolved. Resolution of the Cyprus problem will be presented as the essential precondition to any new DCA with either Greece or Turkey. This is the Greek Lobby's position. Comment: The Greeks in Athens -- instru~ted no doubt by the Greek Lobby -- also seem possessed by the notion that both the Greek and Turkish DCAs can be held as hostages to a Cyprus settlement that would be favorable to Athens, and that Washington can be pushed to deliver such a settlement. The Ford Administration should consider going to the Interim Agreement play early. If not, then press both the Greeks and the C~ng~ess to move expeditiously on the Greek DCA, as well as the Turkish DCA. The adminis tration should pound on US strategic interests, and be prepared to place the Congress in the position of thwarting foreign policy interests of the nation. The administration should also press the Greeks and the Turks to relinquish the hope that Washington will be able to solve the Cyprus problem for them. Washington should make its good offices available to assist the parties, but should pull back from its present posture of seeming to have more interest in solv~ng the Cyprus problem in detail than do the parties themselves. IV. The Middle East: The Lebanon disaster and its ramifications have made the possibility of a major Arab-Israeli conflict practically nil. Certainly the Egyptians would see no purpose in damaging the Ford Administration by either starting or participating in a war against Isarel. They could hardly expect to do better with Carter than they can with Ford and Kissinger. Conditions are such in the Middle East that it will be difficult for any of the principal actors in that area to play American Presidential politics with much effect, although it now seems that the electoral calendar in combination with other factors has opened the door for a major Soviet deal on air defense for Amman. Israel is far from dissatisfied with the present situation in the Middle East and will clearly be inclined to wait for January unless, of course, she should begin to sense that some kind of Arab military operation against Israel was looming on the horizon. For these reasons it will be difficult for Washington to do much except wait for January, although every opportunity should be sought to strengthen the Ford Administration's image as an effective power: peacekeeping, medi ation, interlocutor, etc. Carter: My guess is that Carter will be very cautious with regard to statements about the Middle East, except to the extent necessary to reassure the Jewish portion of the American electorate on his policy views on US- . . 5. Israel relations. Nevertheless, he will not shy away from opportunities to highlight the failures of step-by-step diplomacy and to blame that diplomacy for the present chaos. Reagan: Ditto. v. The Soviet Union: I do not know whether the Soviet leadership has made any judgment as to its preference between Ford and Carter. If they should decide they want Ford to be President for the next four years, they could possibly move to an agreement on SALT II. Or the reverse: they could hold back if they decide they want Carter. Once they decide, if they decide,. there'~ no doubt they will govern themselves accordingly. I do not wish to minimize.the diffi culties of writing a SALT II treaty that would be easily supportable both in Moscow and in Washington. Still, given the political motivation and the political will, it would be possible. Carter: I would be surprised if Carter has not already been.in touch with the Russians to reassure them as to the desirability of a Ca~ter Presi dency, and Carter policies, so as to prevent a pro-Ford decision rn the Kremlin. And Senator Jackson (Whetherin coordination with Carter or not) is warning the administration against what he would call a bad deal. Reagan: If Reagan should get wind of any Washington-Moscow movement on SALT II during July, he would surely make an issue of it immediately. He may try to make an issue of it anyway, without any evidence of Washing ton-Moscow long distance "footsie" during July. VI. OPEC: Could damage Ford if they wanted to by imposing another price hike between now and election day. The Ford Administration should be telling them not to do that. Any price rise would certainly be of benefit to Carter. VII. Broader Themes: In the broadest terms, the Presidential campaign this year may see the emergence of an issue between those who say, "We're number one and we can go it alone, 11 and those who say, "We're divided and exhausted and must accom modate quickly to new world sentiments of social justice, human right~, national dignity and equitable redistribution of wealth." Each candidate's camp will attempt to portray the other as the representative of the worst in those two formulations: The Carter camp will attempt to outline a Nixon-Ford-Kissinger foreign policy of Lone Rangerism, multinational corporationism, outmoded capitalism, balance of power manipulation and alientation from the roots of American liber ality as well as from the sympathies and support of the majority of mankind. • 6. At the same time, the Democrats may be vulnerable to charges that Carter would be too ready to serve as an evangelist (if not a world police man) on behalf of egalita~ianism, human rights, over-hasty reform of exist ing international institutions, and too much accommodation to foreign demands for more of the industrial world's wealth. These brief paragraphs cannot begin to do justice to an extremely com plex set of broader themes. They are only intended to highlight the probable emergence of an extremely important and, possibly, decisive set of ideas that are likely to be put into play in various ways over the next several months. Clearly, much careful thought ·and detailed wordsmithing needs to be done within the Ford camp, and soon, and not necessarily in a spirit ~f self-justi fication for every jot and tittle of declaratory policy over the past eight years. VIII. Other Possible Items: Panama has decided to wait until January, and Carter has been forced by Reagan to be relatively circumstpect on the matter ·of the Canal. ·In handling Reagan, it will be necessary to be extremely careful and accommodating during the Republic platform drafting process in order to keep Reagan from making an issue with any substantial number of delegates. With regard ·to North Korea, it is theoretically possible that they could consider fomenting an incident between now and January, although they clearly are pursuing a policy designed to help themselves get into the UN and I think they will avoid inci dents. With regard to the issue of Soviet emigration, the Jews in America are not likely to stir this up. Of course Reagan or Jackson could try to stir it up, but I would guess they would have minor success at it. ' -7 T~·E WHITE HOUSE TO: The President FROM: MILDRED LEONARD FOR: Information'------· Appropriate Handling__ _ Attached is the paper you asked me to send to you this afternoon. DATE: / L_ n/L. PAUL J. G ILLETT p r PS 2362 VALLEJO SAN FRA STREET 4 NCISCO 15 / 563 - 0546 'CA 9412 3 • Raul CJi Ilene 2362 VALLEJO STREE SAN FRANCISCO, CA . ·4123 41!:>. 563-0546 MIZ LILLIAN, CRONKITE, THE JEFFERSONIAN, AND THOMAS WATSON On the night that her son accepted the Democratic nomination for the presidency of the United States, Ms. Lillian Carter was being interviewed in the CBS-TV anchor booth by Walter Cronkite. She spoke of how her son had always been a voracious reader, as were she and her late husband. She added that two of the publications she had found most inspiring and enlightening during her early years were The Jeffersonian and Watson's Magazine. She asked Cronkite if he knew about the publisher of Watson's, by name, Thomas Watson. Cronkite said that the name rang a bell but he wasn't able at the moment to make a particular association with it. Ms. Lillian replied something to the effect that Watson was a great American, and the subject was changed. The name rang a bell with me, too. During the early 1960's, while researching a book on the Ku Klux Klan (The Invisible Empire, published by Natlus, Inc., in New York, reprinted in paperback as Inside Ku Klux Klan by Pyramid Books, New York) I learned that Georgia Assemblyman--and la~r U •. S. Senator--Thomas E. Watson was publisher of ~I Z LILLIAN •~ ooth The Jeffersonian and Watson's Magazine, both eventually outlawed as obscene by the U. S. Post Office. Both publications specialized in vilifying blacks, - Jews, and Catholics. Blacks, Watson maintained, were literally beasts whose appetites for white women were insatiable. Jews were "moral cripples" with "an utter contempt for law and a ravenous appetite for the forbidden fruit--a lustful eagerness enhanced by the racial novelty of the girls of the uncircumcized." Meanwhile, Catholic priests were "the wolves of Rome" who used the confessional to advance their own sexual interests. In the July, 1911, Jeffersonian Watkins wrote, "At the confessional, the priest finds out what girls and married women he can seduce [by listening to them recite their sins]. Having discovered the trail, he wouldn't be human if he did not take advantage of the opportunity." In other issues, Watson conunented: "No man can imagine a woman who could maintain her self-respect after being compelled to act as a sewer pipe for a bachelor priest's accumulation of garbage." And: "Is there not one among them [the priests] to point out the absurdity of their wearing a garment emblematic of sexual intercours.??" [A reference to the priestly cassock, MIZ LILLIAN 3 which Watson presumably linked with womanly dress.] In the April, 1912, issue of Watson's Magazine, he offered the following contemplation, printed entirely in Italics: "Heavens above! Think of a Negro priest taking the vow of chastity and then being turned loose among women •••• It is a thing to make one shudder." I wondered how these and other quotes from Watson's writings inspired Miz Lillian. I thought it might prove instructive for Cronkite to pursue the matter on the air. As a CBS partisan (I occasionally host the network's cultural affairs program, "Camera Three"), I also wanted to see ~ network get what obviously (to me) could be a very important scoop. So I rushed to my phone and, from San Francisco, where I live, dialed the CBS network news desk in New York, hoping I could get a message to Cronkite before Ms. Lillian left the anchor booth. The network news desk switched me to the Convention Center news desk, which switched me to the assignment desk. With one eye on my TV screen (where Miz Lillian was still holding forth on her son's reading habits), I spilled out--for the third time in less than ten minutes- the story of Senator Thomas E. Watson and his campaigns against blacks, Catholics, and Jews. The assignment ~ditor said he'd get right on it, MIZ LILLIAN 4 and I went back to my TV--viewing. Cronkite kept Miz Lillian in the anchor booth for the next 15 minutes, chatting about Jimmy Carter's boyhood, the "colored boy" who was his dear friend, and other nostalgia. My wife and I were confident good old Cronk was stalling her while subordinates checked the accuracy of my report. Then Miz Lillian left the booth, and for the rest of the night no mention was made of Georgia's Senator Thomas E. Watson and his inspiring magazines. I won't try to draw a moral from this story. Maybe my message never got to Cronkite. Or if it did, maybe he didn't deem it worth investigating. Or if it was investigated, maybe he didn't deem the Ku Klux Klan connections of Jimmy Carter's mother's favorite publisher newsworthy. But if no one at CBS picked up on who Thomas E. Watson was and what he stood for, the network is really hurting for journalists. And if competing networks, who presumably were monitoring the CBS telecast, didn't pick up on it, the whole TV industry is hurting for journalists. I'd still like to know what Miz Lillian found so inspiring about Watson's Magazine and The Jeffersonian. I have a hunch it would make a great story. 30- Raul CJi lletre 23 6 2 VALLEJO STRE ET SAN FRANCISCO, CA 94123 41 5/ 563 - 0546 ABOUT THE AUTHOR Paul Gillette is the author of 62 books and more than 1 ooo articles, short stories and translations th..1t have appeared in I'LAYBOY, Esquire, McCall's and other magazines. Arnong his better-known works are the novels, Carmela, nominated for the Pulitzer Prize in letters, and Play Misty for Me, also a motion picture. Holder of a Ph.D. in psy chology, Dr. Gillette has also appeared as a CBS-TV interviewer, specializing in scientific subjects, ..1nd has made numerous guest ap pear..lnces on national TV and radio shows. In addition, he directs for the theatre, films and television. CBS ~·camera Three," Sunday, July 27, 11 A.M. "The Lirnits of Psychiatry" Or. Paul Gllletta, Host; Or. Gerald Klerlnan, Harvard University•· Or · l'homas s . Szasz, SUNY , s yracuse • Raul CJillene 2362 VALLEJO STREET SAN FRANCISCO, CA 94123 41S/ 563-0546 To: Mr. Arthur Taylor President CBS-TV 51 West 52 St. NYC 10019 Mr. Walter Cronkite CBS-TV 51 West 52 St. NYC 10019 Mr. Julian Goodman President NBC-TV 30 Rockefeller Plaza NYC 10020 Mr. John Chancellor NBC News 30 Rockefeller Plaza NYC 10020 Mr. Harry Reasoner ABC News 1330 Sixth Av. NYC 10019 Mr. Leonard H. Goldenson Chairman/C.E.O. ABC-TV 1330 Sixth Av. NYC 10019 Ms. Charlotte Curtis Op-Ed Editor NEW YORK TIMES Times Square NYC 10036 Mr. William Flynn SAN FRANCISCO EXAMINER 110 Fifth St. San Francisco, CA 94103 ... · ..... ~ . ····.:·.' . : "'-. -· I {,\, .... THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON .... ·'" ~. . -.·, ' . NAL, FRIU"AY, ":JULY 16, 1976 A Peanut in a Poke careful and middle-of·the·road, the dtrec·! By JUDB WANNIIKI will all other segments of the el!lctorate that have a greater stake In Income redia· tlon may be leftward." Of course, there i The Democrats have done it. They've trtbution than In Income growth. But will are other views of what constitutes a great i JrQne and ·nominated Jimmy Carter for they vote In droves or In dribbles, excited President than Mr.· Mohr's. There are alsoi President without any real idea of what by Mr. Carter or suspicious of him and his those who will remember Mr.. Carter as/ kind of President he would be. Sure. we Intentions. a:s at least many black leaders great only If he doeS not have an active. j might find out before November which of seem to be? aggressive, Innovative, leftward legislativel those feet he has planted all over the ideo· So far. Mr. Carter appears to have program. Certainly not another Great Soci· logical lot are his. But If the voters con· welded together this old Roosevelt coalition ety, which established Lyndon Johnson as' tlnue to find Mr. Carter's generalities less by his sheer lack of credibility. Conserva· a great President? Didn't it? · threatening than the specifics of his oppo· tives in the party don't seem to believe nenta, we might have to walt until after the 11le Religion Problem lnaugurM!on to find out whether he breaks For a while, the biggest problem the i his eggs on the little end or the big end. Jimmy Carter "will Eastern liberals had with Mr. Carter was ! It's not so bad. We're a nation of gam· his religion. They were beside themselves; biers. and as long as we have a system of never tell you a Ue," but a worrying about his fundamentalist belief In ' government festooned with checks and bal· good part of his support is a Baptist God. But once they began to real· : ances, the risks the Democrats take In put· coming from people who tze they'd have to take it or leave It, they • tlng up a mystery man have much less to worked out rationales to accept it. do with national survival than with the fu· don't exactly believe what "Anyway," writes Eliot Fremont-Smith in ture <;ourse of the Democratic Party. he says. The Village Voice, "if he's really been born Whether he'd move a little bit left o~ a lit· again, he won't have to be palsy·walsy i tie bit right. there's nothing to Indicate that with Billy Graham, which is a relief." And' a President Carter would do terrible things him when he comes on like a liberal. And once William V. Shannon of the Times, to the country, and he could always be the party's liberals have been persuading pointed out that anyone who quotes Rein· pitched out In four years if the electorate themselves that he's just playing politics hold Niebuhr and Dylan Thomas can't be doesn't like the way he breaks his eggs. when he comes on like a conservative. all bad, . the liberals quieted down on' The one thing we know .for sure about The vast numbers of Democratic con· "religiosity," taking Mr. Carter's evangel· this mystery man. after all, is that he is an servatives. who chose Richard Nixon over ism with a grain of salt. If he had managed extraordinary politician, which is a com· George McGovern in 1!172. watch Mr. to quote, say, Norman Mailer in his accep· forting thought. Not so much because he Carter sign up for McGovernllke tax and tance speech last night, the Intelligentsia came out of nowhere to crush the cream of spending proposals a Ia Humphrey-Hawk· might have granted him a plenary indulg· the Democratic Party: Fred Harris: Sar· ins, national health Insurance, Pentagon ence. gent Shriver, Morris Udall, Birch Bayh, cutbacks. etc .. but assume his heart Isn't In the same way, the party's unilateral etc., If riot Jerry Brown. But to h<\l'monize In it and that he'll find a way to avoid disarmers read between the lines of his( the wildly disparate elements of the Demo- them after inauguration. foreign policy pronouncements and give! cratic Parly-from the rednecks on one They have -every reason to feel this Mr. Carter a hopeful seal of approval. The, hand to the pointy·headed bureaucrats !\nd way. Mr. Carter Is always fervid, but he is Georgian says he never would have used limousine liberals on the other-is palpable perfervid ·when he announces without the Nixonian bargainlng·chip strategy to evidence of polltfcal leadership even if it prodding that he stands foursquare for a get an arms agreement with the Russians. lasts only a week. balanced budget. and says he believes "in The liberals, who hated the str;ltegy but W .....;. ... f W ak the free enterprise system with a mlni· · loved the agreement, like what Mr. Carter •--.. or e neq mum of government regulation." He ha· says. But the Scoop Jackson wing read'i There.' a no doubt that if this Georgia ran$Ues ajalnst "the bloated bureaucracy," · the same Carter speeches and interviews, peanut farmer can keep this coalition doc· doesn't he? And he aims to create jobs In takes heart from his schooling under Adml· lie and composed through early November the private sector. opposing the idea of the rat Rickover and his expressed desire to he will deserve to win the presidency and government being the employer of last re· build up the Navy to counter the Russkies, will do 110. His party ts the majority party, sort. And look. Republicans. he has repeat· plus the fact that Mr. Carter was not and as long as it Is united it is practically edly said he wants to end the double tllxlng "right from the start" on Vietnam. and knpossible for the GOP to win. If they are of corporate income. a grand idea that they too give him a tentative seal of ap· to retain the White House. the Republicans gags the liberal establishment and is ap· proval. The hardliners simply don't believe have to find the issues and arguments that plauded by Ronald Reagan. Mr. Carter is as soft as he lets on. can peel apart the Carter coalition. and· as The liberals. though. have so far found As masterfully crafted as it is, the prob· dull as this week's conve"tion might ap· a way of ignoring all this. or winking at it. lem with this kind of coalition is that pear on the television screens. it's being Remember FOR? He was for a balanced I everyone can't be right, and the more watched intently for signs of weakness. budget in his 1!132 campaign and turned credible· Mr. Carter becomes, the more he even hairline fractures in the coalition. around after his election. Jimmy's doing must weaken some element of his unified Will the Southern conservatives stick by the Roosevelt bit. eh? With the budget $60 support. His support is truly very broad Carter because he Is a Southerner? Will the bllllon in the .red. Mr. Carter promises in· and very shallow, which is a: lot better than Northern liberals stay with him because creased spending for education. health. the being very narrow and deep, and he'll try they perceive a bleeding-hearted statist un- cities. revenue sharing, welfare. housing .. for as long as he can to paper over the In der his .nattna of Southern moderation? transportation. Social Security. private ternal contradictions of his coalition with Will rural Democrats support him because sector jobs for the needy subsidized by the his .exquisitely vague rhetoric. But It's a he's one of them and will not. by gosh. fa· fed.eral taxpayer. and solar energy. When . long time between now and November. vor' the food consumer over the food pro· anyone asks Mr. Carter how all this red Of course his Republican opponent will i ducer? Will urban Democrats back him be· ink adds up to a balanced budget and less be trying to pick him apart. TJ:te bes way cause they think he might be willing and government. as Lawrence Spivak did on ma not be to char him with I of spe· able to pry money out of rural America to Meet The Press last Sunday. Mr. Carter is word and· relieve the decli~ing cities. of the North? blandly assures us that he has. ·an e Democratic conserva ves really · Organized labor will be with him at the "econometric model" figuring it all out. tog he's a Uheral aM pemocratic]her~ top, because It yearns for a Democratic To the degree the liberall are still nerv· al.s really believing he's a conservifive. President. and for all his fuzziness. Mr. ous about Mr. Carter's heart of hearts, and Mr. Carter may be so exGaordil)ary a poli Carter has more or-less signaled that if La· the awful possibility that he may tum out· tician that he'll figure a way to finesse this bor can get its pet legislation passed In to be a little-egg President, there's always kind of strategy. But if he can't. the Demo· Congress, he'll sign lt. But wlll Mr. Meany the consolation that Mr. Carter 11 undenia- crats might find themselves having the and his friends be able to deliver the rank bly an ambitious man of the first order, traditional Intramural Ideological brawl and file? And what. about all those folks who "clearly wants not only to be a good they avoided this week in New York City who became Carter fans because. unlike President, but to be remembered u a somewhere down the homestretch of the Measra. Bayh, U4all and Jackson, the pea- great one, If elected," as Clarlea Mohr of presidential campaign. · nut farmer kept his distance from Labor The New York Times observed the other untll he had the nominatlo~ sewn up~ day. "That will probably require an acttv· llfr. Wrmniski is a11 rr.ssociate editor of Black Democrats will vote for Mr. ist. aggressive and innovative legislative the Journal.. Carter over the Republican rio~inee.------as program. Even It the rhetoric remaln.e .. ' ".'-':~._.,.. __ ..• THE WHITE HOUSE f}~ q;;GT N \ : · ...... . . . '/l)~,ii'~i'f~h~f~'b'H:It'lt.;lit8~\~*1r$;)~:' ORIGINAL RETIRED TO SPECIAL DOCUMENTS FILE ..· TI-E Cffi!STIAN SCENCE tv10NITOR Wednesda,., June 16, 1976 Ohio was_a key state How Carter· won confide.nce of Jewish voters By John Dillin In each case, Jews were assured that Carter support for Is prophecy. His support goes beyond political expediency or phi Staff correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor rael and other important Jewish causes has been a matter of losophy - it is an expression of his religious beliefs, they say. reconl. · Atlanta The letter that went to Jewish leaders noted: On April)., he told an audience: "A lasting peace must be Jimmy Carter's top advisers were concerned. With Henry "Governor Carter believes that the United States ... should based on the absolute assurance of Israel's survival and secu Jackson out of the presidential race, they had hoped to get a never attempt to force Israel to give up the Golan Heights to rity. I wo~d never yield on that point." big portion of the Jew.ish vote. But the latest primary results Syria; should never require Israel to return. East Jerusalem were shocking. He calls Israel's survival a "significant moral principle for and the Jewish and Christian holy places; should not recognize In Maryland, Mr. Carter lost the Jewish vote to Gov. Ed the people of the United States. We share democracy in a time the PLO and other terrorist groups which refuse to recognizl' mund G. Brown Jr. by at least 4 to 1. when few nations are free. We both enjoy a free press and Israel's right to exist. ... " freedom of expression." · Michigan was just as bad. Rep. Morris K. Udall drubbed Mr. Mr. Carter points out that the United States was the first na If the Arab nations impose another oil embargo, Mr. Carter Carter among Jewish voters by as much as 5 to 1. ·uon to recognize Isreal diplomatically :... 12 minutes after the . would seek to deny them shipments of U.S. "food. weapons. The all-important Ohio and New Jersey primaries were state was founded. Harry Truman was president then - and spare parts for weapons, oil drilling rigs, or oil. pipes." 'coming up. And the Jewish vote could make a difference in a Mr. Truman was rfot only a Baptist, but he was also Mr. Car The drive for the Jewish' vote was a success. In the Ohio·pri tight race. In·Ohio, Jewish voters comprised, for example, 7 ter's favorite president: percent of the Democratic electorate. mary, for instance, Mr. Carter nearly caught Mr. Udall among Jewish voters, and he far outpaced Sen. Frank Church. It A Blblica prophecy The Carter braintrust went to work. pinpointed two rea His Ohio triumph triggered endorsements that appear to sons that Jewish voters were steering clear of this Southern Carter aides explain, too, that their candidate feels deeply have assured Mr. Carter the Democratic presidential norm Baptist who speaks so warmly of his religion. that the founding of Israel represents a fulfillment of Biblical nation. First, Mr. Carter was still an unknown. He had been a Southern governor, and most Jews were in the North. There was no long-term Washi~gton record for them to use as refer ence. Secondly, Mr. Carter's description of himself as a "born 'Argentine Violence spreading again" Christian caused concern and puzzlement. Could it mean he would be anti-Jewish? -. Three of Mr. Carter's eight top advi~ers are Jewish. With Underground civil war escalates, their help - and the help of others in the Atlanta Jewish com I'JlUnity - the Carter team swung into action. intensifies during last 3 months Letter drafted By James Nelson Goodsell during the incident -and were released after they._had prom- A letter, carefully drafted to show Mr. Carter's concern for Latin America correspondent of The Christian Science_ Monitor ised to leave Argentina. • }ewish causes, was taken to an Israeli bond meeting, where United Nations offictals in Argentina expressed concern this the signatUre of 30 prominent Atlanta Jews were gathered in A _v,icious underground civil war, wracking Argentina for the week a rightist campaign to intimidate an estimated 11.000 about two hours. · · past seven years, ha5 escalated and intensified since the mill- . Latin American refugees in Argentina may be developing. 1 Some 15,000 copies of the letter were ~ent to Jewish voters tary took power nearly three months ago. They cite last weekend's incid!'lnt, as well as the abduction and in New Jersey, another 10,000to Jewish voters in Ohio. Twice as many people have been killed_ in the struggle dur murder of lwo forme~ Uruguayan legislators and former ~oli- ing this recent period as were killed in the first three months J A packet of articles dealing-with Mr. Carter's positions on - vian President Juan Jose Torres Gonzalez. of, the year. In all; there have been 500 victims since Jan. 1. the Middle East were sent lilong with the letters to every rabbi Meanwhile, there are a number of allegations of police and In recent days, the violence has spread,. enveloping Boli • in the two primary states. military repression being circulated. Amnesty IntefllalionaJ. a 1 vians, Chileans, and Uruguayans, as well as Argentinians. And private international group looking at liuman:rights' issues. has Leading Atlanta Jews, including rabbis and presidents of .right-wing>terrorists· are openly threatening Latin Americans made some of the charges. · congregations, were recruited to call Jewisli leaders in Otllo Uvingin~exile.. - At the same time, in neighboring Uruguay, similar char!!es and New Jersey. . · Last weekend, for example, 25 exiles were forced from their have been leveled against that country's police and military. ·Mr. Carter himself went before a Jewish group in New Jer hotels in Buenos Aires by gunmen who-broke into their rooms David Anable, Monitor UN correspondent, reports from Nt'w ; • sey to reiterate his unwaivering support for Israel. afld held· tlie~ •overnight. All were beaten and some tortured York the United States Congress has taken a hesitant. initial step to cQunter political repression in Latin America as a .. ·~...... ~ .. ~ .·A.-..•••••••••••••••••••••••••t House appropriations committee voted to cut off all military &. ~- .... W I ...... Dets •· unhnh:ttArAra as.cri!rt.;~ni'P tn llnumav ·- ' .. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON :·. ~. • OR.IGINAL RETIRED TO SPECIAL DOCUMENTS FILE By Dana Adams Schmidt ficulty in establishing a new relationship with the Soviet children of Israel, or whether electoral necessities explain his stand for the survival of Israel, with which he usually Staff correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor Union. . But il the West is in disarray, as U.S. foreign policy is at qualifies talk about concessions to Palestinian nationalism. Wasblagton present, Dr. Brzezinski says, or the U.S. is shaken by a But he has conceded that a Palestinian nation will prob What would it mean for American foreign policy if "rich nation-poor nation" confrontation, then the U.S. will ably emerge on the West Bank, addiRg that Jordan might Jimmy Carter became president? lack the strength to deal with the Soviet Union. Chip in some territory. Governments around the world, and espeically their dip In so doing care must be taken not to ignore East Europe Adamant in condemning terrorist leaders, he insists that lomatic representatives in Washington, are asking this and China. any steps toward recognition of a Palestinian nation be par question with growing insistency. alleled by Palestinian recognition of Israel. Nuclear viewpoint In the Middle East settlement Israel should get guaran Diplomats of many nationalities have·in fact been beating And the proposals made by Mr. Carter in his UN speech a track to the Washington office of "Carter for President," tees not only from the U.S., as suggested by former Sen. May 13 dealing with control of nuclear proliferation are J. w. Fulbright, but "from the NATO countries, the Soviet directed by Peter Bourne. Several Soviet diplomats have seen as steps in this direction. Professor Gardner and W. Union, and the countries of the area;'' he says. even gone so far as to suggest that Mr. Carter might like to Averell Harriman, the veteran foreign-policy maker of Denying that the U.S. is weak or No. 2 (the contention meet Ambassador Anatoly F. Dobrynin, whq might find three Democratic administrations, helped inspire and write or both Jackson and Reagan) Mr. Carter proposes to cut the ways to help the Democrat. Mr. Carter replied publicly that this speech. Pentagon budget by 5 percent or $6 billion to $7 billion. Only it was improper for the Russians to take such initiatives. Some other main points of Mr. Carter's foreign policy the Navy would escape)lis cuts. Here are some of the answers diplomats are getting by are these: gleaning Carter speeches and interviews and consulting ~s • Constantly recurring in his statements are three Canal treaty revision growing battery of foreign policy experts headed by Zbt~ words: "the people," "respect," and "morality." He would He proposes to cede to Panama "part" of the sover niew Brzezinskt, a political science professor at Columbia have.U.S. foreign policies "as decent and compassionate as . eignty·over the Canal Zone, inCluding deletion of the words University. the American people." The U.S. should treat other peoples "in perpetuity" from the agreement, while retaining "effec Mr. Carter would become not only the principal architect with "respect." tive control" of the waterway. but the spokesman of his foreign policy. His secretary of • He respects the objectives of "detente" but believes On nuclear weapons he would press on with efforts to state, unlike Henry Kissinger, would be thrust into the that because of Dr. Kissinger's tendency to personalize the achieve SALT 2, while adding a commitment to seek reduc background. conduct of foreign affairs, Washington has given too much tion of U.S. and all other stocks of nuclear weapons to zero. He would introduce important changes, not in the main and received too little. "The Russians have no more busi When he was governor of Georgia, Mr. Carter traveled · lines of U.S. policy, such as alliances or support of Israel, ness in Angola that we have," he says. The U.S. can "win" widely to promote the economic interests of his state, in but in emphasis. · Mrica and the "third world" with respect, and with com cluding trips to Latin America, Tokyo, and Europe. Approach denounced modity agreements that will keep stable the prices of In Washington he was introduced to the Brookings In For Mr. Carter, with his Christian fundamentalist back cocoa, coffee, tin, rubber, and other raw materials. stitution by Prof. Henry Owens, its director, and Barry ground, moral content is paramount. He denounces the am • Henry Jackson's amendment to a trade bill designed to Bleichman, a senior fellow. Over a period of three years oral quality of what he calls the Nixon-Kissinger "balance force the Soviet Union to allow more Jews to emigrate was they have exposed him to many of the departments and ex- of-power politics," conceived and executed, he says, in se self-defeating because it offended Soviet pride. Yet the U.S. perts of the institution. · crecy, and he maintains that foreign policy in his adminis should "insist that the Soviet Union and other countries rec The inner circle of advisers are: Dr. Brzezinski; Milton tration will originate with "the people" and their represen ·ognize the human rights of all citizens who live within their Katz, a Harvard political scientist; Richard Gardner, a law tatives in Congress, and will be put into operation openly boundaries, whether they be blacks in Rhodesia,. Asi~ in professor at Columbia University; and Cyrus Vance. Mr. and in pursuit of a "new world order." The "new world or Uganda or Jews in the Soviet Union." Vance, who served as Robert S. McNamara's deputy secre der" is emerging as a central Carter slogan. • There will be no more ambassadors who are ". . . ig tary of defense, now is a member of the New York law Mr. Brzezinski interprets Carter's proposals in three norant, rich, major contributors to a president's cam firm of Simpson, Thacher, and Bartlett. Among insiders, he steps: . paign." has been mentioned as a possible Carter secretary of state, 1. First must be to develop the closest possible coopera • The Pentagon is the "most wasteful, bloated bureau while Professor Brzezinski is thought likely to become na tion amon~ the advanced countries and especially among cracy in Washington." He attributes to secrecy and failure tional security adviser, the post from which Dr. Kissinger the United States, Japan, and Europe. to consult "the people" such episodes as Vietnam, Cam moved on to Secretary of State. 2. If achieved, the U.S. would be more successful in the bodia, Chile, and Angola, as well as excesses of the CIA. Former Undersecretary of State George Ball is available next stage of cooperating with poorer nations. Mr. Carter's advisers disagree as to whether his early re for help, though he has been waiting to see if old friend Hu 3. If both Steps 1 and 2 succeed, the U.S. will have no dif- ligious education concerning the Biblical promise to the bert H. Humphrey would make a move. Photos by Barth J. Falkenberg and R. Norman Matheny, staff photographers. Map copyright by the University of Chicago Geography Department. Used by permission. By Dana Adams Schmidt agement of the canal and the prosperity it has brought Pan From the dangers of SALT II, Mr. Reagan shifts to the Staff correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor ama. dangers of detente and the way in which he says Dr. Kis He thinks it unlikely Latin Americans would wage guer singer and President Ford at Helsinki last summer ac Wasbington rilla warfare for the canal, but says he has heard of a plan knowledged Moscow's domination of the peoples of Eastern What would it mean for American foreign policy if Ron by which next November (when Panama's representative Europe to buy SALT concessions. ald Reagan became president? will take his turn as President of the United Nations Secu If detente meant anything, he argues, it would have The world-and especially Washington's diplomats-are rity Council) President Omar Torrijos Herrera and his en prevented the Soviet intrusion in Angola - or would at least asking this question with urgency. The conduct of American tire cabinet would walk into the Canal Zone and declare it have resulted in the return of all the Americans missing-in foreign policy has been aggravated, they suspect, by some Panamanian sovereign territory. action from North Vietnam. thing like an indirect veto-power exercised by Mr. Reagan. Karl Bendetsen Having winked at the activities of the Greek Junta, and In response to the former California governor's anti-de Another on whom Mr. Reagan leans for advice on Pan at the Turkish invasion of Cyprus, "the U.S. now is dis tente polemics, President Ford has officially expunged the ama is Karl Bendetsen, a former Deputy Secretary of the trusted by both sides, and the southern flank of NATO is word "detente" from his vocabulary and has postponed the Army and a former Chairman of the Panama Canal Com weakened," he says. signing__ of an agreement setting a 150-kiloton ceiling on nu pany. In Angola, Dr. Kissinger kept secret the needs of the clear explosions for peaceful purposes. And Secretary of On general defense topics, Mr. Reagan has drawn much anti-communists until the "eleventh-and-a-half hour," then State Henry A. Kissinger finds himseH the butt of Mr. Rea blamed everyone for not supporting him, the former gover gan's P WASHINGTON September 8, 1976 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: MAX FRIEDERSDORF ,/~(( • 6 Congressman Bernie Sisk (D-Calif.) resigned yesterday from Jimmy Carter's Agricultural Committee in California, according to Hyde Murray. Congressman Sisk issued a very strong blast at Carter and accused him of taking at least three different positions on Proposition 14, a state referendum issue in California this year pertaining to the rights of farm workers. Proposition 14 is being pushed by Cesar Chaves, Senators Cranston and Tunney, and other liberals in California. It is being opposed by California farmers. Before Sisk agreed to go on Carter's Agricultural Committee he was given a commitment by Carter to remain neutral on Proposition 14. However, when Carter visited California he joined forces with Cranston and Tunney and endorsed Proposition 14, thus touching off the Sisk resignation and blast. Hyde Murray said there were also press reports that Congress- man Tom Foley (D-Wash.), Chairman of the House Agriculture Committee, and Congressman Bob Bergland (D-Minn.) have criticized Carter's flip flop. Hyde believes that this episode has implications outside of California with respect to both Carter's credibility and also his relationship with the nationwide farm vote. Hyde Murray thinks that this instance could be sighted in the debates as another example of Carter's wishy-washy positions on the issues and also presents the opportunity for the President to tell the farm voters that they can depend on what the President tells them and not expect him to constantly change positions depending on his audiences. ~,~~- , .· ~· , ••i) .. c-...... llll . .a. ·' -2- Hyde Murray is sending me specific details and clippings con cerning Sisk's resignation. ~-- - THE WH ITE HOUSE WASHINGTON I .f '• ·-· ' ~ • 7> FOR COMMCENTER USE ONLY ~~o2Jr~ UI\.JaA-s PRECEDENCE CLASSIFICATION DEX FROM~CK. ~~.r# e 037 GPS LDX PAGES ? TO:~f:E Ovv/JL. TTY CITE INFO: DTG: RELEASED BY: TOR: SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS: .....- . ... ~· '•'• -<.-J .• _ (\.j ,__ (_) t:::: ~ ~ "' § . \J1' tj '• "'0 WHCA FOR!'-1 8, 22 FEB 74 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 5, 1976 MEMORANDUM FOR: JACK MARSH FROM: MILT MITLER Jack, attached are the Carter quotes reference the National Guard and Reserve. He made statements on the subject both on the 27th of July and on the 28th. is some difference in the two statements. I'll be available to Mike Duval, should he need me for further elaboration or information. Attachment PLAINS, GA- JULY 27, 1976 On the question of the Armed Forces Reserves, including State National Guard Units, Carter said, "Their readiness for combat is doubtful, their weaponry is poor and they are quite often shot through with politics. "I don't believe you'll ever have a President who is politically strong enough to run over a governor or to run over governors and institute changes unilaterally from Washington". "One of the things that is obvious to me is that the Reserve Forces, say in a state, quite often are shot through with politics - promotion procedures, quality of training; it is heavily protected by Governors and Adjutants General and other leaders in the National Guard from encroachment of influence from Washington". "But," he emphasized, that, "he and his advisors agreed that a coordinated effort between Washington and the States must be made to impr0ve the quality and the coordination of. the military reserves". When asked if that meant drastic changes, he replied, "I would guess that is true". JULY 28, 1976 The Former Georgia Governor was more definite in another sub ject, saying, "The military Reserve Forces were inadequately trained and quite often are shot through with politics. He stated it would be a major objective of his Presidency to work with the governors to devise a plan to reform the Guard and the Reserves. This cooperative approach would circumvent their political opposition. Among the deficiencies of the Reserve Forces," he said, "were insufficient combat readiness because of training and equipment deficiencies and the lack of clearly defined responsibilities. He called for a much tighter inter-relationship, much greater sharing of responsi bility with the active armed forces".