GBD 20Th Anniversary Symposium All Activities Take Place in the Susan Brotman Auditorium, Unless Otherwise Noted

GBD 20th Anniversary Symposium All activities take place in the Susan Brotman Auditorium, unless otherwise noted

#GBD20th

Wifi Network: McCaw-Client; Password: Artistic

Webcast: http://bit.ly/GBD20th; GBD Compare: vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26

7:45-9AM REGISTRATION Lobby

9-10AM History and Evolution: Main Themes of the GBD Historical perspective on where the GBD has progressed since its inception Presenter: Alan Lopez, University of Melbourne Moderator: Jeremy Smith, Author Discussants: • Trevor Mundel, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • Emmanuela Gakidou, IHME, University of Washington • Richard Horton, The Lancet

10-11:15AM Epidemiological Transition and Progress Toward Improving Health Examining trends in the epidemiological transition and what they mean for accelerating progress toward better health Presenter: Theo Vos, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: Rafael Lozano, IHME, University of Washington Discussants: • Thomas Bollyky, Council on Foreign Relations • Isabella Maina, Kenya Ministry of Health • Yohannes Kinfu, University of Canberra

11:15-11:45AM BREAK Lobby

11:45AM-1PM Emerging Challenges as Seen Through the GBD Key drivers and indicators on risks and challenges for the future Presenter: Stephen Lim, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: George Mensah, US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Discussants:

• Ritu Sadana, World Health Organization • Louisa Degenhardt, University of New South Wales • Stein Emil Vollset, Norwegian Institute of Public Health • Mohsen Naghavi, IHME, University of Washington

1-2:30PM LUNCH On your own. Please refer to map in the program for directions to the Seattle Center Armory, where several restaurants are located.

2:30-3:45PM Comparative Risk Assessment Highlighting the risk factors we can address to improve health Presenter: Ashkan Afshin, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: David Blazes, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Discussants: • Salim Yusuf, McMaster University • Michael Brauer, The University of British Columbia • Marissa Reitsma, IHME, University of Washington • Claudia Stein, World Health Organization

3:45-4:15PM Expanding the GBD to Include Planetary Health Introduction: Ellen Goldberg, IHME, University of Washington Presenter: Richard Horton, The Lancet

4:15-6PM Poster Session and Reception Lobby Theme: What is the next great breakthrough paper on the GBD?

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

Morning theme: Value and Power of the GBD

9-10AM Keynote: Bill Gates, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Introduction: Ana Mari Cauce, University of Washington Moderator: Julio Frenk, University of Miami

10-10:15AM TRANSITION

10:15-11:15AM Keynote: Jim Kim, World Bank Introduction: Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: Julio Frenk, University of Miami

11:15-11:30AM TRANSITION

11:30AM-12:30PM Panel Discussion Moderator: Jane Halton, University of Sydney and Canberra, ANZ Bank Discussants: • Julio Frenk, University of Miami • Paul Romer, World Bank • Peter Piot, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine • Kim Longfield, Consultant, formerly of Population Services International

12:30-2PM LUNCH On your own. Please refer to map in the program for directions to the Seattle Center Armory, where several restaurants are located.

2-3:30PM The Impact and Relevance of Localizing Disease Burden Key collaborators in countries with subnational estimates share insights Presenter: Duncan Selbie, Public Health England Moderator: J.V.R. Prasada Rao, UNAIDS Respondents: • Xiaofeng Liang, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention • Maria de Fatima Marinho de Souza, Ministry of Health, Brazil • Jeffrey Duchin, Public Health – Seattle & King County • Laura Dwyer-Lindgren, IHME, University of Washington

3:30-4PM BREAK Lobby

4-5:15PM The Next 20 Years of the GBD Analysis of both scientific advancements and policy impact Assessing the “big picture” of health in both pessimistic and optimistic scenarios Presenter: Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: Trevor Sutton, GBD Independent Advisory Council, Python Hill Advisers Discussants: • Natasha Azzopardi-Muscat, European Public Health Association, Islands & Small States Institute at the University of Malta • Joshua Salomon, Stanford University • Ed Whiting, Wellcome Trust

5:15-5:30PM Closing Remarks Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington