GBD 20th Anniversary Symposium All activities take place in the Susan Brotman Auditorium, unless otherwise noted

#GBD20th

Wifi Network: McCaw-Client; Password: Artistic

Webcast: http://bit.ly/GBD20th; GBD Compare: vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26

7:45-9AM REGISTRATION Lobby

9-10AM History and Evolution: Main Themes of the GBD Historical perspective on where the GBD has progressed since its inception Presenter: Alan Lopez, University of Melbourne Moderator: Jeremy Smith, Author Discussants: • Trevor Mundel, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • Emmanuela Gakidou, IHME, • Richard Horton, The Lancet

10-11:15AM Epidemiological Transition and Progress Toward Improving Health Examining trends in the epidemiological transition and what they mean for accelerating progress toward better health Presenter: Theo Vos, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: Rafael Lozano, IHME, University of Washington Discussants: • Thomas Bollyky, Council on Foreign Relations • Isabella Maina, Kenya Ministry of Health • Yohannes Kinfu, University of Canberra

11:15-11:45AM BREAK Lobby

11:45AM-1PM Emerging Challenges as Seen Through the GBD Key drivers and indicators on risks and challenges for the future Presenter: Stephen Lim, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: George Mensah, US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Discussants:

• Ritu Sadana, World Health Organization • Louisa Degenhardt, University of New South Wales • Stein Emil Vollset, Norwegian Institute of Public Health • Mohsen Naghavi, IHME, University of Washington

1-2:30PM LUNCH On your own. Please refer to map in the program for directions to the Seattle Center Armory, where several restaurants are located.

2:30-3:45PM Comparative Risk Assessment Highlighting the risk factors we can address to improve health Presenter: Ashkan Afshin, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: David Blazes, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Discussants: • Salim Yusuf, McMaster University • Michael Brauer, The University of British Columbia • Marissa Reitsma, IHME, University of Washington • Claudia Stein, World Health Organization

3:45-4:15PM Expanding the GBD to Include Planetary Health Introduction: Ellen Goldberg, IHME, University of Washington Presenter: Richard Horton, The Lancet

4:15-6PM Poster Session and Reception Lobby Theme: What is the next great breakthrough paper on the GBD?

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

Morning theme: Value and Power of the GBD

9-10AM Keynote: Bill Gates, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Introduction: Ana Mari Cauce, University of Washington Moderator: Julio Frenk,

10-10:15AM TRANSITION

10:15-11:15AM Keynote: Jim Kim, World Bank Introduction: Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: Julio Frenk, University of Miami

11:15-11:30AM TRANSITION

11:30AM-12:30PM Panel Discussion Moderator: Jane Halton, University of Sydney and Canberra, ANZ Bank Discussants: • Julio Frenk, University of Miami • Paul Romer, World Bank • , London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine • Kim Longfield, Consultant, formerly of Population Services International

12:30-2PM LUNCH On your own. Please refer to map in the program for directions to the Seattle Center Armory, where several restaurants are located.

2-3:30PM The Impact and Relevance of Localizing Disease Burden Key collaborators in countries with subnational estimates share insights Presenter: Duncan Selbie, Public Health England Moderator: J.V.R. Prasada Rao, UNAIDS Respondents: • Xiaofeng Liang, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention • Maria de Fatima Marinho de Souza, Ministry of Health, Brazil • Jeffrey Duchin, Public Health – Seattle & King County • Laura Dwyer-Lindgren, IHME, University of Washington

3:30-4PM BREAK Lobby

4-5:15PM The Next 20 Years of the GBD Analysis of both scientific advancements and policy impact Assessing the “big picture” of health in both pessimistic and optimistic scenarios Presenter: Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington Moderator: Trevor Sutton, GBD Independent Advisory Council, Python Hill Advisers Discussants: • Natasha Azzopardi-Muscat, European Public Health Association, Islands & Small States Institute at the University of Malta • Joshua Salomon, Stanford University • Ed Whiting, Wellcome Trust

5:15-5:30PM Closing Remarks Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington