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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Georgia June 2021 Detailed Methodology

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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Georgia June 2021 Detailed Methodology Public Opinion Survey Residents of Georgia June 2021 Detailed Methodology • The fieldwork was carried out by the Institute of Polling & Marketing. The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene of the public and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. • Data was collected throughout Georgia between June 15 and June 30, 2021, through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,500 permanent residents of Georgia aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size. • A multistage probability sampling method was used with a “random route” protocol to select households and the “last birthday” method to select respondents • Stage one: All districts of Georgia are grouped into 10 regions. All regions of Georgia were surveyed (Tbilisi city – as separate region) except for Abkhazeti and Samachablo (South Ossetia), which were excluded due to the political situation. • Stage two: selection of the settlements – cities and villages. • Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of settlement in each region. • Stage three: primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent. • Response rate was 74 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development. 2 Frequently Cited Disaggregates* Disaggregate Disaggregation Category Base Male n=699 Gender Female n=801 Age 18-29 n=301 Age Groups Age 30-49 n=543 Age 50 and older n=656 Tbilisi city n=451 Kakheti n=131 Shida Kartli n=107 Kvemo Kartli n=166 Regions Samtskhe-Javakheti n=64 Ajara n=134 Guria* n=47 Samegrelo n=138 Imereti n=221 Mtskheta-Mtianeti* n=39 *Cited bases are weighted. Margin of error will vary with sample size n. Results for bases with fewer than 50 should be interpreted with caution. Disaggregates for Guria and Mtskheta-Mtianeti should be interpreted with caution due to very small sample sizes. 3 Frequently Cited Disaggregates Disaggregate Disaggregation Category Base Rural n=633 Settlement type Urban n=867 Georgia Dream – Democratic Georgia n=385 United National Movement – n=215 United Opposition Strength in Unity Party preference For Georgia n=137 Other parties n=277 None n=81 Undecided n=299 Refused n=106 n=1,333 Voting intentions in Likely voters the 2021 municipal n=135 Unlikely voters elections Don’t know/No answer n=31 *Cited bases are weighted. Margin of error will vary with sample size n. Results for sample size n less than 50 should be interpreted with caution. 4 National Outlook In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer 80% 70% 67% 68% 70% 65% 66% 63% 62% 60% 59% 56% 57% 60% 55% 54% 56% 55% 48% 50% 53% 38% 40% 33% 31% 31% 29% 30% 27% 30% 26% 25% 24% 25% 23% 22% 21% 22% 20% 16% 22% 22% 19% 19% 20% 10% 16% 15% 13% 13% 12% 13% 14% 11% 11% 11% 12% 10% 9% 0% 6 How would you evaluate the prevailing mood of the Georgian population?* Optimism Neutral Pessimism 100% 92% 92% 87% 88% 90% 83% 82% 78% 80% 72% 70% 64% 65% 62% 60% 60% 60% 54% 51% 50% 40% 34% 30% 29% 29% 25% 30% 23% 24% 24% 17% 20% 15% 13% 12% 23% 9% 9% 11% 7% 8% 6% 6% 5% 10% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 9% 0% May-11Nov-11 Mar-12 Nov-12 Feb-13May-13Feb-14 Feb-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Apr-18 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-21 Jun-21 * Under “Optimism,” responses “Belief that the future will definitely be better” and “Hope that the future will be somewhat better” are combined. Responses “Not much hope for a better future” and “Apathy, belief in fate” are grouped under “Neutral.” Responses “Insecurity, worry, fear for the future” and “Total disappointment, disbelief in any improvement” are combined under “Pessimism.” Don’t know/No answer is not displayed. 7 How would you describe the current economic situation of your household? Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don’t know/No answer Jun-21 1% 41% 40% 16% 2% Feb-21 1% 26% 42% 29% 2% Jun-20 2% 32% 43% 22% 1% Oct-19 2% 37% 43% 17% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 8 Over the last 12 months,* how has the economic situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer Jun-21 1% 7% 45% 30% 16% 1% Feb-21 <1% 5% 31% 43% 20% <1% Oct-19 1% 12% 42% 29% 16% <1% Jun-19 1% 10% 40% 27% 22% <1% Apr-18 <1% 7% 41% 22% 29% 1% Mar-17 1% 5% 37% 28% 28% 1% Mar-16 <1%4% 41% 26% 29% <1% Feb-15 <1%4% 45% 28% 22% 1% Feb-14 <1% 8% 64% 20% 7% 1% May-13 1% 11% 70% 13% 4% 1% Feb-13 <1% 10% 76% 11% 2% 1% Nov-12 <1% 6% 83% 8%1% 1% Jul-12 1% 9% 61% 21% 8%<1% Mar-12 1% 9% 54% 23% 12% 1% Nov-11 1% 11% 53% 23% 11% 1% May-11 1% 9% 44% 29% 16% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% * In surveys before 2008 the question was about the period of 3 months, in surveys from 2008 to 2017 – about the period of 2 months. 9 What is the most important problem facing our country today?* (Respondents permitted to provide two spontaneous answers) 45% Economy—unemployment 64% 20% Economy—cost of living, high prices 45% 8% Poverty 22% 5% COVID-19 pandemic 10% 5% Economy—other/general 9% 3% Education 8% 2% Occupied territories 3% 2% Healthcare 6% Economy—small business opportunities/access to loans 1% 3% First mention Corruption 1% 3% Both mentions 1% Insecurity 3% 1% Pensions 3% 1% Crime/Public safety 4% 1% External conflicts/War 2% 1% Internal conflicts including ethnic and religious conflicts 2% 1% Social services/benefits 2% 1% Incompetent government 1% 3% Other 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% *Responses named by less than one percent merged into “Other.” 10 What is the most important problem facing your town/village today?* (Respondents permitted to provide two spontaneous answers) 36% Economy—unemployment 49% 18% Economy—cost of living, high prices 38% 7% Poverty 24% 7% Water 11% 5% Infrastructure 10% 3% Economy—other/general 6% 2% Agriculture 5% 2% COVID-19 pandemic 5% 2% Environment 4% 2% Healthcare 6% 2% Insecurity 4% First mention Education 2% 4% Both mentions 1% Economy—small business opportunities/access to loans 2% 1% Corruption 2% 1% Public transport 1% 1% Crime/Public safety 3% 1% Social services/benefits 3% 1% Housing 2% 1% Pensions 2% 5% Other 13% 1% No (other) problem 4% 1% Don’t know/No answer 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% *Responses named by less than one percent merged into “Other.” 11 What is the most important problem facing your household today?* (Respondents permitted to provide two spontaneous answers) 28% Economy—unemployment 39% 25% Economy—cost of living, high prices 45% 8% Poverty 21% 7% Healthcare 15% 3% Pensions 7% 3% Housing 6% 2% Water 4% 2% Economy—other/general 5% 2% Low salaries 3% Agriculture 2% 3% First mention COVID-19 pandemic 1% 4% Both mentions 1% Economy—small business opportunities/access to loans 2% 1% Social services/benefits 3% 1% Education 3% 1% Bank debt 1% 1% Migration 1% 1% Malnutrition 2% 3% Other 8% 7% No (other) problem 14% 3% Don't know/No answer 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% *Responses named by less than one percent merged into “Other.” 12 What do you think are the three biggest challenges for Georgia’s democratic development and future?* (Respondents permitted to provide three spontaneous answers) Economic development 47% 22% 11% Unemployment 18% 30% 17% Bringing back lost territories 17% 18% 17% Problems in education 4% 10% 8% Human rights 4% 6% 10% Problems in the judiciary 2%3% 6% First mention Second mention Corruption 1%3% 6% Third mention Freedom of the media 1% 1% 1% Other 3%1% 2% No (other) challenge <1%<1% 1% Don't know/No answer 3% 7% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% *Responses named by less than one percent merged into “Other.” 13 COVID-19 Pandemic To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to COVID-19? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied Don't know/No answer Jun-21 13% 47% 21% 16% 3% Feb-21 15% 44% 19% 20% 2% Jun-20 41% 38% 13% 7% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 15 As the COVID-19 vaccine becomes more widely available and the vaccination process continues, what will be your decision?* I will get vaccinated as soon as it will be available to me I will get vaccinated after some time will pass I will get vaccinated only if required by the law or my employer I will not get vaccinated I am already vaccinated Other Don’t know/No answer Jun-21 18% 19% 7% 45% 5% 7% Feb-21 20% 24% 6% 39% <1% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% *In the February 2021 poll, the question was phrased “After the COVID-19 vaccine becomes available and the vaccination process starts, what will be your decision?” to reflect the fact that vaccines had not yet become available in Georgia.
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