Commercial Engines Turbofan Focus 2016
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COMMERCIAL ENGINES TURBOFAN FOCUS 2016 IN ASSOCIATION WITH More than 10,500 engines ordered and now delivering to Demand. customers worldwide, on schedule. The architecture of reliability. cfmaeroengines.com And supplied. CFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Safran Aircraft Engines PERFORMANCE | EXECUTION | TECHNOLOGY MORE TO BELIEVE IN FlightGlobal | 3 C37571.015_CFM_DEMAND_FlightInt_Jul16_267x197_v1.indd 1 24/06/2016 17:08 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2016 CONTENTS ENGINE EVENTS Memorable recent events 4 What to watch for the future 4 ENGINE ANALYSIS How engine market share battles are playing out 5 How GTF and Leap are shifting to operational mode 7 Engine selection trends on the A320neo 9 Can China and Russia threaten the single-aisle duopoly? 11 AT A GLANCE Commercial engines: manufacturer market share 14 Engine market share by market group 15 Airliner turbofan engines: production timeline 16 Engine options by commercial aircraft 17 Commercial aircraft by engine type 18 COMMERCIAL ENGINE MANUFACTURERS AND TYPES Aviadvigatel 19 ACAE 21 CFM International 22 Engine Alliance 26 General Electric 28 International Aero Engines 33 Powerjet 35 Pratt & Whitney 37 Rolls-Royce 42 ENGINE CENSUS Operator listing by commercial engine type 47 The information contained in our databases and used in this presentation has been assembled from many sources, and whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure accuracy, the information is supplied on the understanding that no legal liability whatsoever shall attach to FlightGlobal, its offices, or employees in respect of any error or omission that may have occurred. © 2016 FLIGHTGLOBAL, PART OF REED BUSINESS INFORMATION LTD FlightGlobal | 3 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2016 ENGINE EVENTS MEMORABLE RECENT EVENTS WHAT TO waTCH FOR THE FUTURE: ENGINE ENTry INTO ServICE 2015 2016 Q3/Q4 NOVEMBER • P W1500G-powered CSeries with Swiss • First flight test of the PW1200G-powered Mitsubishi International Air Lines MRJ • Leap-1A-powered A320neo • EASA, FAA certificate Leap-1A for A320neo family • Chengdu Airlines takes delivery of first CF34-10- powered ARJ21 2017 DECEMBER • Trent 1000-TEN-powered 787-8/9 • Transport Canada certificates the PW1500G- • Trent XWB-97-powered A350-1000 powered CSeries CS100 • Leap-1C-powered C919 • Leap-1B-powered 737 Max • Trent 7000-powered A330neo 2016 JANUARY • First PW1100G-powered A320neo delivered to 2018 Lufthansa • PW1200G-powered Mitsubishi MRJ • First flight test of the Leap-1B-powered 737 Max • PW1900G-powered E-Jet E190 E2 • PW1400G-powered MC-21 FEBRUARY • PD-14-powered MC-21 • GE Aviation begins assembling first GE9X • First flight test of the Leap-1A A321neo • Rolls-Royce launches enhanced Trent XWB for the A350 with deliveries of the XWB-84 Enhanced 2020 Performance (EP) engine to SIA to begin in the fourth quarter of 2019 • GE9X-powered 777X • PW1700G-powered E-Jet E175 E2 MARCH • GE Aviation completes assembly of the first GE9X test engine 2026 • First flight test of the PW1100G-powered A321neo • Electric-driven PD-14 reverser tested for MC-21 • CJ1000A-powered C919 May • Leap-1B awarded joint FAA, EASA type certification • FAA certificates the PW1400G for the MC-21 • Leap-1A-powered A320neo certified by EASA and FAA 4 | FlightGlobal FlightGlobal | 5 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2016 ENGINE ANALYSIS How engine market share battles are playing out As the engine manufacturers prepare ENGINE MANUFACTURER RANKING FOR AIRBUS & BOEING for a crucial year during which two new 2015 deliveries Backlog* powerplant protagonists in the single-aisle Rank Manufacturer Engines Share Engines Share market are making their service debut, we 1 CFM International 1,482 52% 12,428 49% examine the sector’s key statistics for 2015. 2 General Electric 504 18% 2,086 8% 3 International Aero Engines 448 16% 696 2% This year has already seen Pratt & 4 Rolls-Royce 292 10% 2,770 11% 5 Engine Alliance 84 3% 136 1% Whitney’s new PW1000G geared turbofan 6 Pratt & Whitney 14 1% 2,538 10% entering service on the Airbus A320neo Undecided - - 4,786 19% and deliveries of the rival Leap-1 from CFM TOTAL 2,824 25,440 International are due to start on the Airbus NOTES: *At 31 December 2015. Data for installed engines based on Airbus/Boeing types. Excludes corporate and military single-aisle in 2016. Data from Flight Fleets operators. SOURCE: Flight Fleets Analyzer Airbus Analyzer reveals that last year the number AAIRBUS/BOEINGIRBUS/BOEING FLEETFLEET BY BY ENGINE ENGINE MANUF MANUFACTURACTURERER of installed engines delivered to commercial 12,000 operators on Airbus and Boeing airliners 10,376 rose 3% to over 2,800 units. Again the 10,000 Airbus total: 8,397 CFM56 accounted just over half of these Boeing total: 12,273 8,000 engines (52%) as it continues to be the Grand total: 20,670 sector’s clear market leader in terms of 6,000 shipments. 4,000 2,876 2,792 2,447 Kingsley-Jones/Flightglobal Max Obviously CFM’s exclusive supply status on 2,076 2,000 the 737 and continuing strong share on the 103 A320 – both current and re-engined versions 0 CFM International General Pratt & Rolls-Royce Engine – drives this impressive performance. International Aero Engines Electric Whitney Alliance NOTES: In-service and parked fleet at 31 December 2015. Boeing data includes former MDC types. Excludes corporate and military operators SOURCE: Flightglobal Insight analysis using Flightglobal's Fleets Analyzer database Significantly, CFM’s joint-venture partner GE moved into second place last year, ahead of REGIONAL AIRCRAFT ENGINE MANUFACTURER MARKET SHARE International Aero Engines, delivering 504 installed engines, which installed engines – almost entirely its PW1000G – equate to 10% of 2015 deliveries* Backlog** represents almost a fifth of the total. the entire backlog. Pratt & Whitney*** Pratt & Whitney*** 40% Kingsley-Jones/Flightglobal Max Based on installed engines, Fleets Analyzer shows that CFM The two mainline programmes where66% there is still significant engine Powerjet Powerjet continues to hold a 49% share of the 25,440 engines on firm backlog competition are the7% A320 family and the Boeing 787. 4% at the end of last year. On the Airbus single-aisle programme, CFM reasserted itself Although P&W delivered just 14 engines on mainline jets last year, last year in deliveries, taking a 54% share after rival IAE held the it is making its presence felt in the backlog stakes where its 2,538 advantage in 2014 with a 51% share. A330 ENGINE MANUFACTURER SHARE 767 ENGINE ToMANUFACTURtal deliveries: 274ER SHARE General Electric 53% Total backlog: 1,594 2015 deliveries Backlog* 2015 deliveriesGeneral Electric Backlog* NOTES: NOTES: *Airframe. **At 31 December 2015. 30% Manufacturer Aircraft Share ExcludesAircraft corporate andS haremilitary operatorMs.anufacturer ***Including P&W Canada. Aircraft Share Aircraft Share General Electric 20 20% Data for fir36m orders for A11%TR, BombardierGeneral (including ElectricCSeries), Comac, Embraer, Mitsubishi16 and Sukhoi.100% 76 100% SOURCE: Flightglobal Insight analysis using Flightglobal's Fleets Analyzer database Pratt & Whitney 7 7% 20 6% Pratt & Whitney 0 - 0 - Kingsley-Jones/Flightglobal Max Rolls-Royce 72 73% 222 65% TOTAL 16 76 ightglobal.com/airlines April 2016 | Airline Business | 43 Undecided - - 61 18% NOTES: *At 31 December 2015. Excludes corporate and military operators TOTAL 99 339 SOURCE: Flight Fleets Analyzer ABU_290316_042-043.indd 43 14/03/2016 11:05 4 | FlightGlobal FlightGlobal | 5 AIRCRAFT & ENGINES POWERPLANT MARKETS AIRCRAFT & ENGINES POWERPLANT MARKETS DATA COMPILATION AND ANALYSIS BY ANTOINE FAFARD FLIGHTGLOBAL INSIGHT POWERINGDATA COMPILATION AND ANALYSIS BY ANTOINE FAFARD FLIGHTGLOBAL AHEAD INSIGHT ThisPOWERING year is a signicant one for the engine manufacturers,AHEAD as the two new-generation powerplants make their serviceThis year debut. is a signicant Pratt & Whitney one for kicked the engine things manufacturers, off in January whenas the its two PW1000G new-generation geared powerplantsturbofan entered make service their on theservice A320neo. debut. It Pratt will be& Whitneyswiftly followed kicked things on the off Airbus in January twinjet when by the its all-new PW1000G rival gearedoffering turbofan from CFM entered International, service theon Leap-1A.the A320neo. Meanwhile It will bein Seattle,swiftly followed the Leap on is the key Airbus to the twinjet enhancements by the all-new now rivalin ight offering test atfrom Boeing CFM onInternational, its 737 Max the andLeap-1A. is the Meanwhile initial powerplant in Seattle, option the onLeap Comac’s is key toC919, the enhancementswhich should y now this in year. ight Life test is at even Boeing more on hectic its 737 for Max P&W. Itand is preparingis the initial the powerplant PW1500G option for service-entry on Comac’s on C919, the Bombardier which should CSeries y this this year. summer, Life is evenwhile more testing hectic is under for P&W. way onIt is the preparing PW1000G-powered the PW1500G Mitsubishi for service-entry MRJ and on about the Bombardier to start on theCSeries similarly-equipped this summer, whileEmbraer testing E-Jet is E2. under The way GTF ison also the thePW1000G-powered lead powerplant Mitsubishion Irkut’s MC-21, MRJ and which about will to roll start out on in themid-2016. similarly-equipped Here the latest Embraer market E-Jet trends E2. The are GTF examinedis also the using lead powerplantFlightglobal’s on Fleets Irkut’s Analyzer MC-21, whichdatabase will roll out in mid-2016. Here the latest market trends are examined using Flightglobal’s Fleets Analyzer database