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YEAR 2015 Title: 2015 ANNUAL REPORT Ljubljana, May 2016 YEAR 2015 Title: 2015 ANNUAL REPORT Ljubljana, May 2016 Published by: BANK OF SLOVENIA Slovenska 35 1505 Ljubljana Tel: +386 1 4719000 Fax: +386 1 2515516 http://www.bsi.si/iskalniki/letna_porocila_en.asp?MapaId=711 Printed by: Grafex d.o.o., Izlake Print run: 250 copies The Annual Report is based on figures and information available at the end of March 2016. The publication is included in EBSCO products - Business Source and Central and Eastern European Academic Source. This publication may not be reproduced in full or in part. The figures and text herein may only be used or published if the source is cited. ISSN 1318-072X (print) ISSN 1581-2111 (electronic) 2 Annual Report 2015 CONTENTS A WORD FROM THE GOVERNOR 7 1 INTRODUCTION 9 1.1 Tasks of the Bank of Slovenia 9 1.2 Strategy of the Bank of Slovenia 11 1.3 Profile 12 2 ECONOMIC AND INSTITUTIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN 2015 13 2.1 International situation 13 2.2 Slovenian economy 13 3 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE BANK OF SLOVENIA’S TASKS 27 3.1 Institutional framework 27 3.2 Implementation of the Eurosystem’s monetary policy 28 3.3 Payment and Settlement Systems Department 40 3.4 Banknotes and coins 42 3.5 Joint management of the ECB’s foreign reserves 44 3.6 Banking supervision 45 3.7 Macroprudential supervision and financial stability 56 3.8 Bank resolution and deposit guarantee 59 3.9 Management of the assets of the Bank Resolution Fund 60 3.10 Payment services for Bank of Slovenia clients 60 3.11 Statistics 61 3.12 Information system 62 3.13 Conferences, seminars and workshops 63 3.14 Technical assistance 64 3.15 Publications 64 3.16 Media 65 4 BANK OF SLOVENIA’S COOPERATION WITH OTHER INSTITUTIONS 66 4.1 Cooperation with institutions in Slovenia 66 4.2 Cooperation with foreign institutions 68 5 BANK OF SLOVENIA’S REPORTING TO THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY 72 6 GOVERNANCE OF THE BANK OF SLOVENIA 73 6.1 Governor 73 6.2 Governing Board of the Bank of Slovenia 73 6.3 Performance Report 85 6.4 Court proceedings 97 7 PRIORITIES IN 2016 98 8 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 103 Annual Report 2015 3 Figures Figure 1: Strategic objectives of the Bank of Slovenia for the period 2015–2020 11 Figure 2: Excerpt of tasks performed by the Bank of Slovenia in 2015 in figures 12 Figure 3: Contributions to growth in global GDP by country 13 Figure 4: Contributions by components of demand to annual GDP growth 14 Figure 5: Consensus economic growth forecasts for Slovenia and its main trading partners in 2016 15 Figure 6: Contributions by groups of activities to annual growth in employment 16 Figure 7: Contributions of categories of prices to annual inflation 16 Figure 8: Relative nominal unit labour costs 17 Figure 9: Components of the current account 18 Figure 10: Claims and liabilities associated with the TARGET2 payment system, and cross-border payments in euros 20 Figure 11: Claims (+)/liabilities (–) of the Bank of Slovenia associated with the TARGET2; balance as at the final day of the month 20 Figure 12: Spreads of ten-year government bonds over the German benchmark 22 Figure 13: Capital adequacy at banks and comparison with the euro area 23 Figure 14: Lending to the non-banking sector 24 Figure 15: Structure of bank funding 25 Figure 16: Rotation system with two groups within the Governing Council, with the 19 euro area countries 27 Figure 17: ECB interest rates and unsecured interbank money market 29 Figure 18: Supply of (+) and demand for (–) Eurosystem money 31 Figure 19: Lending operations, excess liquidity in the euro area, and EONIA 33 Figure 20: Change in market yields on bonds, and cumulative balance of sales under the CBPP3, ABSPP and PSPP 35 Figure 21: Excess liquidity, EAAP and TLTROs of euro area banks 36 Figure 22: Minimum reserve requirement and maintenance 37 Figure 23: Breakdown of pool of collateral at the Bank of Slovenia by asset type and scope of drawdowns of monetary policy loans 40 Figure 24: Net issuance of euro banknotes in circulation in terms of number 43 Figure 25: Breakdown of counterfeit euro banknotes withdrawn from circulation, by denomination and year 44 Figure 26: Number of meetings, teleconferences, written procedures and questionnaires at SSM and EBA 56 Figure 27: Bank of Slovenia’s cooperation with other institutions in Slovenia 67 Figure 28: Bank of Slovenia’s cooperation with other institutions outside Slovenia 71 Figure 29: Costs by individual task 87 Figure 30: Organizational structure of the Bank of Slovenia 93 Figure 31: Breakdown of staff qualifications at the Bank of Slovenia as at 31 December 2015 95 Figure 32: Breakdown of age of staff at the Bank of Slovenia as at 31 December 2015 95 4 Annual Report 2015 Tables Table 1: Coverage of claims more than 90 days in arrears by impairments and provisions 24 Table 2: Participation of the Bank of Slovenia in the Eurosystem and ESCB 28 Table 3: Net financial assets in the Bank of Slovenia’s balance sheet (EUR million) 38 Table 4: Number of meetings and written procedures of the SSM Supervisory Board and the EBA Board of Supervisors 55 Table 5: Macroprudential instruments used by the Bank of Slovenia 57 Table 6: Supervisory and resolution instruments for banks in 2015 59 Table 7: Detailed information about meetings of the Governing Board of the Bank of Slovenia in 2015 74 Table 8: Information about individual correspondence sessions of the Governing Board of the Bank of Slovenia in 2015 74 Table 9: List of secondary legislation adopted by the Governing Board of the Bank of Slovenia in 2015 75 Table 10: Authorisations in 2015 80 Table 11: Bank of Slovenia’s contributions to Slovenia’s state budget, in EUR million 86 Table 12: Year-end balance sheet, 2011 to 2015, in EUR million 88 Table 13: Profit and loss account for 2011 to 2015, in EUR million 89 Table 14: Human resources in 2015 94 Boxes Box 1: Consensus economic growth forecasts for Slovenia and its main trading partners in 2016 14 Box 2: Claims and liabilities associated with the TARGET2 payment system, and the Bank of Slovenia’s position in that system in the period 2007–2015 19 Box 3: Public-Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) 34 Box 4: Net financial assets of Bank of Slovenia 37 Box 5: Risks in the banking sector 56 Annual Report 2015 5 6 Annual Report 2015 A WORD FROM THE GOVERNOR The state of the real economy and the financial sector in Slovenia improved during 2015. The economy grew at a solid pace of 2.9%, supported by recovering domestic demand, the unemployment rate declined further, and the current account surplus increased to 7.3% of GDP thanks to strong growth in merchandise exports and an improvement in the terms of trade. However, annual average inflation fell into negative territory, primarily on account of lower energy prices and their spillover effects on core inflation. The headline general government deficit fell to below 3% of GDP. The profitability of the banking system as a whole turned positive in 2015 after five years of losses, and aggregate systemic risk is assessed as having declined. These developments largely reflect the positive impact of measures taken by the government and the Bank of Slovenia in late 2013. ECB monetary policy was eased further in 2015, primarily through the expansion of the asset purchase programme. In Slovenia this contributed to lower bond yields, a fall in bank lending rates, and ample bank liquidity. Lending to the household sector picked up from mid-2015 after three years of decline, but net bank lending to the corporate sector continued to decline, albeit at a more moderate pace. The main causes of the negative credit dynamics in the corporate sector were the ongoing deleveraging by firms with large debt overhang and the still-high volume of non-performing loans (NPLs) on the balance sheets of banks. The Bank of Slovenia is actively pursuing an agenda of restructuring the banks’ non-performing exposures. The banks need to set ambitious goals that in the future will enable them to undertake the final recovery of their balance sheets and to restore growth in credit activity. The Bank of Slovenia encouraged emergence in 2015, and was actively involved in the drafting of guidelines for the restructuring of NPLs to SMEs. To enhance the effectiveness of these efforts, the Bank of Slovenia has initiated steps to upgrade the Central Credit Register with the aim of improving the quantity and quality of debtor information. Looking ahead, the financial sector is faced with new challenges associated Regulation and with regulatory and institutional changes and the prevailing macroeconomic supervision is being environment. Regulation and supervision is being strengthened to make the future strengthened to make of the banking system more stable and less crisis-prone. Prudential rules have the future of the banking therefore been put in place that require the establishment of new requirements system more stable on, among other things, the quality and quantity of capital (in the form of several and less crisis-prone. layers of capital buffers). In Slovenia these requirements have been incorporated into the new Banking Act. The requirements of the new regulatory framework will impose higher costs on banks. In addition, the business models of banks have to adapt to the low-interest environment. The outlook is therefore for low bank profitability. Notwithstanding the solid growth performance in 2014 to 2015, the conditions are not fully in place for strong sustainable growth.
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