Karl Polanyi's Critique
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The Economics of Commodity Market Manipulation: a Survey
The Economics of Commodity Market Manipulation: A Survey Craig Pirrong Bauer College of Business University of Houston February 11, 2017 1 Introduction The subject of market manipulation has bedeviled commodity markets since the dawn of futures trading. Allegations of manipulation have been extremely commonplace, but just what constitutes manipulation, and how charges of manipulation can be proven, have been the subject of intense controversy. The remark of a waggish cotton trader in testimony before a Senate Com- mittee in this regard is revealing: “the word manipulation . initsuse isso broad as to include any operation of the cotton market that does not suit the gentleman who is speaking at the moment.” The Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals echoed this sentiment, though less mordantly, in its decision in the case Cargill v. Hardin: “The methods and techniques of manipulation are limited only by the ingenuity of man.” Concerns about manipulation have driven the regulation of commodity markets: starting with the Grain Fu- tures Act of 1922, United States law has proscribed manipulation, including 1 specifically “corners” and “squeezes.” Exchanges have an affirmative duty to police manipulation, and in the United States, the Commodity Futures Trad- ing Commission and the Department of Justice can, and have exercised, the power to prosecute alleged manipulators. Nonetheless, manipulation does occur. In recent years, there have been allegations that manipulations have occurred in, inter alia, soybeans (1989), copper (1995), gold (2004-2014) nat- ural gas (2006), silver (1998, 2007-2014), refined petroleum products (2008), cocoa (2010), and cotton (2011). Manipulation is therefore both a very old problem, and a continuing one. -
Human Rights and Market Fundamentalism
MWP – 2014 /02 Max Weber Programme Human Rights and Market Fundamentalism AuthorMary Nolan Author and Author Author European University Institute Max Weber Programme Human Rights and Market Fundamentalism Mary Nolan Max Weber Lecture No. 2014/02 This text may be downloaded for personal research purposes only. Any additional reproduction for other purposes, whether in hard copy or electronically, requires the consent of the author(s), editor(s). If cited or quoted, reference should be made to the full name of the author(s), editor(s), the title, the working paper or other series, the year, and the publisher. ISSN 1830-7736 © Mary Nolan, 2014 Printed in Italy European University Institute Badia Fiesolana I – 50014 San Domenico di Fiesole (FI) Italy www.eui.eu cadmus.eui.eu Abstract In the 1970s human rights and market fundamentalism gained prominence in the United States, Europe and Latin America. These were simultaneously discourses, ideologies, national movements and transnational networks, and policies that states and NGOs sought to impose. Human rights and market fundamentalism both claimed universal applicability and dismissed previous ideologies; they adhered to methodological individualism, critiqued the state, and marginalized the social. But despite striking affinities, there is no single relationship between human rights and market fundamentalism from the 1970s through the 1990s. This talk explores three cases where human rights were defined and new human rights policies developed, and where neoliberal policies were debated and implemented: in Eastern Europe, in Latin America and in the case of women’s economic rights as human rights. Keywords Human rights, market fundamentalism, Eastern Europe, Latin America, women’s economic rights. -
Price Discovery in the Futures and Cash Market for Sugar
University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Agricultural & Applied Economics March 2005 Staff Paper No. 469 Price Discovery in the World Sugar Futures and Cash Markets: Implications for the Dominican Republic By Hector Zapata T. Randall Fortenbery Delroy Armstrong __________________________________ AGRICULTURAL & APPLIED ECONOMICS ____________________________ STAFF PAPER SERIES Copyright © 2005 Hector Zapata, T. Randall Fortenbery and Delroy Armstrong. All rights reserved. Readers may make verbatim copies of this document for non-commercial purposes by any means, provided that this copyright notice appears on all such copies. Price Discovery in the World Sugar Futures and Cash Markets: Implications for the Dominican Republic by Hector O Zapata Department of Agricultural Economics & Agribusiness Louisiana State University Baton Rouge, Louisiana Phone: (225) 578-2766 Fax: (225) 578-2716 e-mail: [email protected] T. Randall Fortenbery Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics University of Wisconsin – Madison Madison, Wisconsin Phone: (608) 262-4908 Fax: (608) 262-4376 e-mail: [email protected] Delroy Armstrong Department of Agricultural Economics & Agribusiness Louisiana State University Baton Rouge, Louisiana Phone: (225) 578-2757 Fax: (225) 578-2716 e-mail: [email protected] ___________ 1Hector Zapata and D. Armstrong are Professor and research assistant, respectively, Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Dr. T Randall Fortenbery is the Renk Professor of Agribusiness, at the Department of Agriculture and Applied Economics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin. Price Discovery in the World Sugar Futures and Dominican Republic Cash Market Abstract This paper examines the relationship between #11 sugar futures prices traded in New York and the world cash prices for exported sugar. -
Mises Research Report
CSSN Research Report 2021:2: The Mises Institute Network and Climate Policy. 9 Findings Policy Briefing July 2021 About the authors October, 2020. CSSN seeks to coordinate, conduct and support peer-reviewed research into the Dieter Plehwe is a Research Fellow at the Center for institutional and cultural dynamics of the political Civil Society Research at the Berlin Social Science conflict over climate change, and assist scholars in Center, Germany. Max Goldenbaum is a Student outreach to policymakers and the public. Assistant of the Center for Civil Society Research at the Berlin Social Science Center, Germany. Archana This report should be cited as: Ramanujam is a Graduate student in Sociology at Brown University, USA .Ruth McKie is a Senior Plehwe, Dieter, Max Goldenbaum, Archana Lecturer in Criminology at De Montfort University, Ramanujam, Ruth McKie, Jose Moreno, Kristoffer UK. Jose Moreno is a Predoctoral Fellow at Pompeu Ekberg, Galen Hall, Lucas Araldi, Jeremy Walker, Fabra University, Spain. Kristoffer Ekberg is a Robert Brulle, Moritz Neujeffski, Nick Graham, and Postdoctoral Historian at Chalmers University, Milan Hrubes. 2021. “The Mises Network and Sweden, Galen Hall is a recent graduate of Brown Climate Policy.” Policy Briefing, The Climate Social University and researcher in the Climate and Science Network. July 2021. Development Lab at Brown University, USA, Lucas https://www.cssn.org/ Araldi is a PhD student in Political Science at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Jeremy Walker is a researcher with the Climate Justice Research Centre at the University of Technology Sydney. Robert Brulle, Visiting Professor of Climate Social Science Network Environment and Society and Director of Research, Climate Social Science Network, Brown University. -
Commodity Prices and Markets, East Asia Seminar on Economics, Volume 20
This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Commodity Prices and Markets, East Asia Seminar on Economics, Volume 20 Volume Author/Editor: Takatoshi Ito and Andrew K. Rose, editors Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-38689-9 ISBN13: 978-0-226-38689-8 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/ito_09-1 Conference Date: June 26-27, 2009 Publication Date: February 2011 Chapter Title: The Relationship between Commodity Prices and Currency Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Futures Markets Chapter Authors: Kalok Chan, Yiuman Tse, Michael Williams Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c11859 Chapter pages in book: (47 - 71) 2 The Relationship between Commodity Prices and Currency Exchange Rates Evidence from the Futures Markets Kalok Chan, Yiuman Tse, and Michael Williams 2.1 Introduction We examine relationships among currency and commodity futures markets based on four commodity- exporting countries’ currency futures returns and a range of index- based commodity futures returns. These four commodity- linked currencies are the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, New Zealand dollar, and South African rand. We fi nd that commodity/currency relation- ships exist contemporaneously, but fail to exhibit Granger- causality in either direction. We attribute our results to the informational efficiency of futures markets. That is, information is incorporated into the commodity and cur- rency futures prices rapidly and simultaneously on a daily basis. There are a few studies on the relationship between currency and com- modity prices. A recent study by Chen, Rogoff, and Rossi (2008) using quar- terly data fi nds that currency exchange rates of commodity- exporting coun- tries have strong forecasting ability for the spot prices of the commodities they export. -
Cointegration Analysis of the World's Sugar Market
Economics COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF THE WORLD’S SUGAR MARKET: THE EXISTENCE OF THE LONG-TERM EQUILIBRIUM Elena Kuzmenko1, Luboš Smutka2, Wadim Strielkowski3, Justas Štreimikis4, Dalia Štreimikienė5 1 Czech University of Life Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Czech Republic, ORCID: 0000-0002-2091-4630, [email protected]; 2 Czech University of Life Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Czech Republic, ORCID: 0000-0001-5385-1333, [email protected]; 3 Czech University of Life Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Czech Republic, ORCID: 0000-0001-6113-3841, [email protected]; 4 University of Economics and Human Science in Warsaw, Faculty of Management and Finances, Finance and Accounting Department, Poland, ORCID: 0000-0003-2619-3229, [email protected]; 5 Vilnius University, Kaunas Faculty, Institute of Social Sciences and Applied Informatics, Lithuania, ORCID: 0000-0002-3247-9912, [email protected] (corresponding author). Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of interconnection among major sugar markets and commodity/exchange stocks in different parts of the world using the Johansen cointegration approach and vector error correction model. Due to a high degree of sugar market fragmentation and corresponding diversity in price levels and its volatility in different regions, the results of our analysis sheds some light on the very fact of a ‘single’ global sugar market existence and can be important not just with regard to producers and buyers of sugar but for the international investors as well, both in the light of risk governance and maximizing profitability. Using the evaluation of the extent of connection among regional sugar markets, one can assess potential benefits available to investors through international diversification between the analyzed markets. -
Performance Prediction of Commodity Prices Using Foreign Exchange Futures Yisa Ajao, Ph.D
Performance Prediction of Commodity Prices Using Foreign Exchange Futures Yisa Ajao, Ph.D. Abstract Relevant Literature Procedures Conclusions In an experimental quantitative research design, data Origins of Dow Jones Financial Markets Historical data were downloaded from the websites of This study demonstrated that historical records from from the Futures Market for commodities and foreign Predictions the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Forex futures can be paired with matching records exchange futures covering 1986-2011 were obtained The theories developed by Fibonacci (1175-1250), and Wikiposit Historical Futures Data. from wheat (or any commodity) futures and obtain a and addressed. A General Regression Neural Network Dow (1851-1902), Elliot (1871-1948), and Gann prediction of market prices to within a 4.42% error was overlaid on this data to deduce a time-series (1878-1955) are essentially the backbones to the The data included daily commodity closing prices in margin. prediction model for wheat prices. Performance study of the movements of financial markets (Frost & the futures market for each trading day from 1985 prediction error was only 4.42%. Prechter, 2005; Schlanger, 2009) through 2011. From these data bank, specific data for The public, traders, investors, and analysts can wheat and US $1 Treasury Note were extracted for include this method as a new tool in the arsenal in the Forecasting Commodity Prices and Comments data mining purposes. ongoing search for a more reliable commodity futures Questions regarding forecast accuracy and financial predictions. markets eventually became a substantive topic of retrospective studies exemplified by Data Analysis This method can serve as confirmation of the results of Problem Hansen and Hodrick (1980), Turnovsky (1983), Fama other analytic and fundamental methods of obtaining (1984), Hodrick and Srivastava (1986), (Choe, 1990a), The Runs test was used to validate data randomness. -
Market Fundamentalism and the World Bank Group: from Structural Adjustment Programmes to Maximizing Finance for Development and Beyond
Market Fundamentalism and the World Bank Group: from Structural Adjustment Programmes to Maximizing Finance for Development and Beyond International Trade Union Confederation Cover: © Adobe Stock Contents Acronyms .................................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Foreword ................................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Introduction .............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 The rise and fall of the Washington Consensus .............................................................................................................. 7 From post-war reconstruction to Washington Consensus ....................................................................................... 7 The failure of the Washington Consensus ................................................................................................................... 8 The World Bank Group in the 21st century ...................................................................................................................... 11 Lending and policy advice .............................................................................................................................................. -
A Perspective of Global Capitalism
UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones 2009 A Perspective of global capitalism James Soller University of Nevada Las Vegas Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalscholarship.unlv.edu/thesesdissertations Part of the International and Area Studies Commons, International Economics Commons, International Law Commons, and the International Relations Commons Repository Citation Soller, James, "A Perspective of global capitalism" (2009). UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones. 130. http://dx.doi.org/10.34917/1385074 This Thesis is protected by copyright and/or related rights. It has been brought to you by Digital Scholarship@UNLV with permission from the rights-holder(s). You are free to use this Thesis in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s) directly, unless additional rights are indicated by a Creative Commons license in the record and/ or on the work itself. This Thesis has been accepted for inclusion in UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones by an authorized administrator of Digital Scholarship@UNLV. For more information, please contact [email protected]. A PERSPECTIVE OF GLOBAL CAPITALISM by James Soller Bachelor of Arts University of Nevada, Las Vegas 2005 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Master of Arts in Political Science Department of Political Science College of Liberal Arts Graduate College University of Nevada, Las Vegas December 2009 Copyright by James Soller 2010 All Rights Reserved THE GRADUATE COLLEGE We recommend that the thesis prepared under our supervision by James Soller entitled A Perspective of Global Capitalism be accepted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Political Science Jonathan Strand, Committee Chair Mark Lutz, Committee Member Dennis Pirages, Committee Member David Hassenzahl, Graduate Faculty Representative Ronald Smith, Ph. -
Hydro-Social Permutations of Water Commodification in Blantyre City, Malawi
Hydro-Social Permutations of Water Commodification in Blantyre City, Malawi A thesis submitted to the University of Manchester for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Faculty of Humanities 2014 Isaac M.K. Tchuwa School of Environment Education and Development Table of Contents Table of Contents ............................................................................................................ 2 List of Figures ................................................................................................................. 6 List of Tables ................................................................................................................... 7 List of Graphs ................................................................................................................. 7 List of Photos .................................................................................................................. 8 List of Maps .................................................................................................................... 9 Abstract ......................................................................................................................... 10 Declaration .................................................................................................................... 11 Copyright Statement .................................................................................................... 12 Acknowledgements .................................................................................................... -
A Study of the Commodification of Health Services in Ireland
Critical Social Thinking: Policy and Practice, Vol. 1, 2009 Dept. of Applied Social Studies, University College Cork , Ireland. ‘Your Wealth is your Health’: A Study of the Commodification of Health Services in Ireland Margaret Lysaght, M. Soc. Sc. 1 Abstract The commodification of health care is gathering in momentum in Ireland. Arguably, this is transforming the status of health as an inherent right for all people, to a market based commodity that is subject to cost and profiteering. This article conceptualises health as a commodity examining its implications for the provision of quality hospital services for both public and private patients. Health inequalities are prevalent in contemporary Ireland. The role of health commodification in creating these health inequalities is examined through a critical review of the literature and an original qualitative study. The research highlighted issues surrounding the access and the treatment of public and private patients in hospitals, as an illustrative example of how commodification is impacting on health service provision in Ireland. The research examined the primary issues relating to health as a right and a commodity by adopting an interpretivist perspective; using a sample of front line hospital workers. It explored whether health as a commodity is creating further social divide by promoting differential treatment based on a patient’s ability to pay. The role of policy makers has 1 Acknowledgements Many thanks to the people who participated in the primary research interviews. Their contributions to the research were invaluable, insightful and inspirational. Thanks to my supervisor, Mairéad Considine, for her guidance and to my partner Darragh Enright, for his encouragement and support. -
Commodity Futures Markets
Task Force on Commodity Futures Markets Final Report TECHNICAL COMMITTEE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION OF SECURITIES COMMISSIONS MARCH 2009 CONTENTS Chapter Page Executive Summary 3 Background 4 Discussion 6 Volatility and the role of increased participation by financial participants in 6 the Futures Markets Greater transparency of fundamental commodity market information is 11 needed Transparency and Market Surveillance 14 Enforcement Challenges Involving Commodity Futures Markets 18 Enhancing Global Co-Operation 20 Appendix 22 2 Executive Summary The IOSCO Task Force on Commodity Futures Markets (Task Force) was formed following the concerns expressed by the G-8 Finance Ministers regarding the price rises and volatility in agricultural and energy in 2008. The Task Force has made the following conclusions and practical recommendations: Reports by international organizations, central banks and regulators in response to the above concerns that were reviewed by the Task Force suggest that economic fundamentals, rather than speculative activity, are a plausible explanation for recent price changes in commodities. However, given the complexity and often opacity of factors that drive price discovery in futures markets, and the critical importance of these issues to world economies, continued monitoring is appropriate to improve understanding of futures market price formation and the interaction between regulated futures markets and related commodity markets1; The Task Force has identified factors that potentially inhibit the ability of commodity futures market regulators (futures market regulators)2 to access relevant information concerning the related commodity markets, over which futures market regulators generally do not have authority, that may be needed to understand fully price formation in a particular futures market contract or to detect manipulative or other abusive trading by market participants holding large positions in those commodity contracts.