The End of the Second Karabakh War: New Realities in the South Caucasus Jakob Hedenskog, Aron Lund and Johan Norberg
The End of the Second Karabakh War: New realities in the South Caucasus Jakob Hedenskog, Aron Lund and Johan Norberg n 27 September 2020, war erupted between Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia proper, will remain in O Armenia and Azerbaijan over the contested Armenian hands. Nagorno-Karabakh enclave and surrounding regions, The agreement also stipulated that 1,960 lightly armed which had been under Armenian occupation since the end Russian troops would deploy as peacekeepers along the of the original hostilities in 1994. new contact line in Nagorno-Karabakh and in the Lachin Over the course of a six-week war, Azerbaijan’s Corridor, with “90 armoured personal carriers, 380 units somewhat larger and significantly more modern military of automobile and special equipment”. Per the terms of proved superior to the forces of Armenia and the self- the deal, the force will be deployed for five years but this declared, Armenian-backed Nagorno-Karabakh Republic can be prolonged for additional five-year periods with the (NKR), also known as Artsakh. Both armies have Soviet consent of the signatories. Separately, a land corridor is to origins, but Azerbaijan was able to deploy upgraded Soviet be established through Armenia to connect the Azerbaijani equipment and modern Turkish and Israeli weapons, inclu- Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic exclave with the rest ding strike and reconnaissance drones and loitering muni- of Azerbaijan. It will be protected by the Border Guards of tions, which proved decisive. The combined Armenian and the Russian Federal Security Service, FSB. Nagorno-Karabakh forces generally had older equipment The 9 November statement does not address the sta- reinforced by a few modern systems, such as Russian-made tus of Nagorno-Karabakh nor does it create a path to a fi- Su-30SM fighters and Iskander operational-tactical surfa- nal resolution of the conflict.
[Show full text]