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East Asia Regional Order and Inter-Korean Relations - New Challenges and Korea’S Strategic Tasks

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East Asia Regional Order and Inter-Korean Relations - New Challenges and Korea’S Strategic Tasks Spring Semester 2014 Graduate School of International Studies Seoul National University Chang-Beom Cho, Ambassador Rt. Visiting Professor E-Mail: [email protected] East Asia Regional Order and Inter-Korean relations - New Challenges and Korea’s Strategic Tasks - 1. Course Overview Today East Asia is undergoing remarkable changes and difficult time. This course will examine new challenges in East Asia regional order and inter-Korean relations. It will start with overview of the structural characteristics of today’s international system and discuss key elements in the ongoing transformation of the regional order in East Asia. It will examine major power relationships together with the shift of structural power balance in the region and their possible impact on the future of the Korean Peninsula and inter-Korean relations. It will also explore a series of key strategic tasks Korea is required to fulfill in response to the emergence of a new order. The issues selected for in- depth analysis will include the rise of China and growing competition among major powers, US rebalancing/ pivot to Asia, Japan’s revisionism and shift to the right, Russia’s new looking-East policy, East Asian regional architecture, North Korea and its emergence as de facto nuclear weapon state, evolution of inter-Korean relations and the prospects for peace regime and unification of Korean peninsula, etc. 2. Course Objectives The principal objective of this course is to provide students with the knowledge and analytical tools needed for comprehensive understanding of new East Asia regional order and the related challenges in the inter-Korean relations. The course will put much emphasis on the practicality of the studies. It will take the format of seminar and case-teaching, sharing practical experience gained through the instructor’s participation in the government foreign policy planning as well as various international negotiations during his diplomatic career. 3. Requirements Students are expected to make presentations (15-20 minutes) at the class on the assigned topics and actively participate in interactive discussions. Each week’s topic and presenters will be announced in advance in class. There will be mid-term and final examinations. 4. Evaluation Class participation: 20% Presentation: 20% Examinations: 60% (Mid-term 30%, Final 30%) 5. Weekly work plan and recommended readings Week1: Course introduction and work programs Week 2: Overview of the structural characteristics of today’s international system and evolution of East Asia regional order - National Intelligence Council, “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds”, December, 2012, US Government Printing Office, To view electronic version: www.dni.gov/nic/globaltrends - John Baylis, Steve Smith, Patricia Owens, The Globalization of World Politics, Fifth Edition, Oxford University Press 2012, Introduction, Chapter 5-6 - Joseph S. Nye Jr./ David A. Welch, Understanding Global Conflicts and Cooperation: An Introduction to Theory and History, Ninth Ed, Pearson Longman, 2012, Chapter1-2, 9 - Fareed Zakaria, The Post-American World, W.W.Norton, New York, 2008 - Joseph S. Nye, Jr. The Future of Power (New York: Public Affairs, 2011), chapters 6-7. - Ian Bremmer, Nouriel Roubini, A G-Zero World, Foreign Affairs; Mar/Apr 2011, Vol. 90 Issue 2, p2-7, 6p 3 - G. John Ikenberry, Liberal Leviathan: The Origins, Crisis, and Transformation of the American World Order (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2011), chapters 6-7. - Robert Cooper, The Breaking of Nations: Order and Chaos in the Twenty- First Century, Grove Press 2003, Part One (Chapter 1-3) - Richard Haas, The Age of Nonpolarity: What will follow U.S. Dominance, Foreign Affaires, May/June 2008 - Betts, Richard K. “Conflict or Cooperation? Three Visions Revisited”, Foreign Affairs. Nov/Dec2010, Vol. 89 Issue 6, p186-194. 9p. - Zbigniew Brezezinski, “After America: How Does the World Look in an Age of U.S. Decline? Dangerously Unstable,” Foreign Policy (Jan/Feb. 2012) - DAVID SHAMBAUGH, “Asia in Transition: The Evolving Regional Order”, Current History, April 2006 Week 3: The rise of China and growing strategic competition among major powers in the region (I) - Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson and Michael Beckley. "Correspondence: Debating China's Rise and U.S. Decline." International Security 37, no. 3 (Winter 2012/13). - Michael Beckley. "China's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure." International Security 36, no. 3 (Winter 2011/12): 41-78., "To Stay Ahead of China, Stay Engaged in Asia." Policy Brief, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, January 2012. - Eric X. Li, “Party of the Century: How China is Reorganizing for the Future”, January 10, 2014, Foreign Affairs, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/140645/eric-x-li/party- of-the-century - David Shambaugh, “China Goes Global: The Partial Power”, Oxford University Press, 2013 - John J. Mearsheimer, “The Gathering Storm: China’s Challenge to US Power in Asia”, The Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 3, 2010, pp.381–396 - Henry Kissinger, On China, The Penguin Press, New York, 2011 - Liebental, Wang Jisi, "Strategic Distrust ", Brookings Institution 2012 - Ikenberry, G. John and Stephen Walt. "Offshore Balancing or International Institutions? The Way Forward for U.S. Foreign Policy." Brown Journal of World Affairs XIV, no. 1 (Fall/Winter 2007): 13-23. - James F. Hoge, Jr. A Global Power Shift in the Making, Foreign Affaires, July/August 2004 - G. John Ikenberry, The Rise of China and the Future of the West, Can the Liberal System Survive? Foreign Affaires, Jan/Feb 2008 - G. John Ikenberry, “The Political Foundations of American Relations with East Asia,” in G. John Ikenberry and Chung-In Moon. eds. The United States and Northeast Asia (New York: Rowman and Littlefield Publisher, 2008): 19-38. - Aaron Friedberg, A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia (New York: Norton, 2011), Introduction, chapters 8-10. - Jeffrey Bader, Obama and China’ Rise: An Insider’s Account of America’s Asia Strategy, Brookings Institution Press, Washington, D.C. 2012 - Henry Kissinger, “The Future of U.S.-China Relations,” Foreign Affairs 91:2 (Mar/Apr. 2012), pp. 44-55 - Jonathan Pollack, “U.S. Strategies in Northeast Asia: A Revisionist Hegemon,” in Byung-Kook Kim and Anthony Jones. eds. Power and Security in Northeast Asia (New York: Rienner, 2007): 55-98. - Charles Glaser, “Will China’s Rise Lead to a War,” Foreign Affairs 90:2 (March/April 2011), pp. 80-91. - Robert Ross and Zhu Peng, “The Rise of China: Theoretical and Policy Perspectives,” in Robert Ross and Zhu Peng, eds. China’s Ascent: Power, Security, and the Future of International Politics (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2008), pp. 293-316. - Avery Goldstein, “Power Transition, Institutions, and China’s Rise in East Asia: Theoretical Expectations and Evidence,” in G. John Ikenberry and Chung-In Moon. eds. The United States and Northeast Asia (New York: Rowman and Littlefield Publisher, 2008): 39-78. - Jaewoo Choo, “Sea of Change under the Xi ? : A South Korean Perspective on 2013 Chinese Foreign Policy Issues”, EAI Issue Briefing No. MASI 2012-09, December 14, 2012 - Randall L. Schwaller, Xiaoyu Pu, “After Unipolarity: China’s Vision of International Order in an Era of U.S. Decline,” International Security 36:1 (summer 2011), pp. 41-72. - Jisi Wang, “China’s Search for a Grand Strategy,” Foreign Affairs 90:2 (Mar/Apr. 2011), pp. 68-79. - Robert Kaplan, “The Geography of Chinese Power,” Foreign Affairs 89:3 (May/June 2010): 22-41. Week 4 : The rise of China and growing strategic competition among major powers in the region (II) Week 5: US rebalancing/ pivot to Asia and the prospects of its continuing engagement - Brad Glosserman, “Stressing the Linchpin: The US-ROK Alliance and ‘Rebalancing’ to Asia”, [Issue Brief No. 27], The Asan Institute for Policy Studies, September 19, 2012 - Hillary Rodham Clinton, "America's Engagement in the Asia- Pacific", Remarks at Kahala Hotel, Honolulu, HI, October 28, 2010 - Hillary Clinton, “America’s Pacific Century,” Foreign Policy, November 2011 - James B. Steinberg, “Engaging Asia 2009: Strategies for Success”, Remarks At National Bureau of Asian Research Conference by US Deputy Secretary of State, Washington, DC, April 1, 2009 - Sheena Chestnut Greitens, “U.S.-China Relations and America’s Alliances in Asia”, Brookings Northeast Asia Commentary | Number 65, Opinion | June 11, 2013 - US State Department, QDDR, Feb. 2012, www.state.gov - David Kang, “The U.S. Pivot to pacific and China’s Reponse”, 2012 International Conference in Commemoration of the 20th Anniversary of South Korea and China Diplomatic Relations hosted by KAIS, 20-21 August 2012, Seoul - Robert S. Ross,”The Problem With the Pivot: Obama’s New Asia Policy Is Unnecessary and Counterproductive”, Foreign Affairs, November/December 2012 - Shawn Brimley and Ely Ratner, “Smart Shift: A Response to the Problem With the Pivot", Foreign Affairs, January/February 2013 - The First Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review (QDDR): Leading Through Civilian Power, Executive Summary, US State Department, 2010 - Barry R. Posen, “Pull Back-The Case for a Less Activist Foreign Policy”, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2013 - Stephen G. Brooks, G. John Ikenberry, and William C. Wohlforth. "Don't Come Home, America: The Case against Retrenchment." International Security 37, no. 3 (Winter 2012/13): 7–51. - Stephen M. Walt, “More or less: The debate on U.S. grand strategy”, Foreign Policy, Posted on www. Foreignpolicy.com, January 2, 2013 - Beckley, Michael. "To Stay Ahead of China, Stay Engaged in Asia." Policy Brief, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, January 2012. - T.J. Pempel, “The 2012 United States Election and the Implications for East Asia”, [Issue Brief No. 42] Asan Institute for Policy Studies, January 8, 2013 Week 6: Japan’s revisionism and its shift to the right - Abe, Shinzo, “REBOOTING JAPAN”, Foreign Affairs. Jul/Aug2013, Vol. 92 Issue 4, p185-185 - Nye, Joseph. "Japan's Nationalism is a Sign of Weakness." Financial Times (London), November 27, 2012.
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