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Intra‐Annual Variability in Responses of a Canopy Forming Kelp to Cumulative Low Tide Heat Stress
See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/336155330 Intra-Annual Variability in Responses of a Canopy Forming Kelp to Cumulative Low Tide Heat Stress: Implications for Populations at the Trailing Range Edge Article in Journal of Phycology · September 2019 DOI: 10.1111/jpy.12927 CITATIONS READS 5 210 3 authors: Hannah F. R. Hereward Nathan G King Cardiff University Bangor University 5 PUBLICATIONS 23 CITATIONS 15 PUBLICATIONS 179 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE SEE PROFILE Dan A Smale Marine Biological Association of the UK 123 PUBLICATIONS 7,729 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects: Examining the ecological consequences of climatedriven shifts in the structure of NE Atlantic kelp forests View project All content following this page was uploaded by Nathan G King on 06 January 2020. The user has requested enhancement of the downloaded file. J. Phycol. *, ***–*** (2019) © 2019 Phycological Society of America DOI: 10.1111/jpy.12927 INTRA-ANNUAL VARIABILITY IN RESPONSES OF A CANOPY FORMING KELP TO CUMULATIVE LOW TIDE HEAT STRESS: IMPLICATIONS FOR POPULATIONS AT THE TRAILING RANGE EDGE1 Hannah F. R. Hereward Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom, The Laboratory, Citadel Hill, Plymouth PL1 2PB, UK School of Biological and Marine Sciences, University of Plymouth, Drake Circus, Plymouth PL4 8AA, UK Nathan G. King School of Ocean Sciences, Bangor University, Menai Bridge LL59 5AB, UK and Dan A. Smale2 Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom, The Laboratory, Citadel Hill, Plymouth PL1 2PB, UK Anthropogenic climate change is driving the Key index words: climate change; Kelp forests; Ocean redistribution of species at a global scale. -
JULY–SEPTEMBER 2009 Meet the 2009 'Kapustin' Scholars
JULY–SEPTEMBER 2009 Meet The 2009 ‘Kapustin’ Scholars (Page 3) Why Do Emergency Evacuation Slides Fail? (Page 8) Accident Investigation—A Complete Service? (Page 13) Cockpit ‘Conversations’: Pilot Error or Communications Failure (Page 18) Council Meets in Spring Session (Page 22) CONTENTS Volume 42, Number 3 FEATURES Publisher Frank Del Gandio Editorial Advisor Richard B. Stone 3 Meet The 2009 ‘Kapustin’ Scholars Editor Esperison Martinez Incorporated into “President’s View” are the three 1000-word essays selected Design Editor William A. Ford as the best of the 12 submitted in the competition to win the 2009 ISASI Rudolph Associate Editor Susan Fager Kapustin Memorial Scholarship award, which memorializes all ISASI members Annual Report Editor Ron Schleede who have “flown west.” ISASI Forum (ISSN 1088-8128) is pub- lished quarterly by International Society of Air Safety Investigators. Opinions ex- 8 Why Do Emergency Evacuation Slides Fail? pressed by authors do not necessarily rep- By Gerard van Es, Senior Consultant, NLR-Air Transport Safety Institute, resent official ISASI position or policy. Amsterdam, the Netherlands—The author presents an analysis of historical Editorial Offices: Park Center, 107 East emergency evacuations in which slides were used. The factors that have hampered Holly Avenue, Suite 11, Sterling, VA 20164- the use of emergency evacuation slides are identified from these data and are 5405. Telephone (703) 430-9668. Fax (703) analyzed in-depth. 430-4970. E-mail address isasi@erols. com; for editor, [email protected]. Internet website: www.isasi.org. ISASI Forum is not responsible for unsolicited 13 Accident Investigation—A Complete Service? manuscripts, photographs, or other ma- By Phil Taylor, Senior Inspector of Air Accidents, UK AAIB—Using examples from terials. -
The Effect of Forced Change and Unforced Variability in Heat Waves, Temperature Extremes, and Associated Population Risk in a CO2-Warmed World
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 11889–11904, 2021 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-11889-2021 © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. The effect of forced change and unforced variability in heat waves, temperature extremes, and associated population risk in a CO2-warmed world Jangho Lee, Jeffrey C. Mast, and Andrew E. Dessler Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX, USA Correspondence: Andrew Dessler ([email protected]) Received: 4 February 2021 – Discussion started: 22 February 2021 Revised: 30 June 2021 – Accepted: 9 July 2021 – Published: 10 August 2021 Abstract. This study investigates the impact of global warm- – The increases in heat wave indices are significant between ing on heat and humidity extremes by analyzing 6 h output 1.5 and 2.0 ◦C of warming, and the risk of facing extreme heat from 28 members of the Max Planck Institute Grand Ensem- events is higher in low GDP regions. −1 ble driven by forcing from a 1 % yr CO2 increase. We find that unforced variability drives large changes in regional ex- posure to extremes in different ensemble members, and these 1 Introduction variations are mostly associated with El Niño–Southern Os- cillation (ENSO) variability. However, while the unforced The long-term goal of the 2015 Paris Agreement is to keep variability in the climate can alter the occurrence of extremes the increase in global temperature well below 2 ◦C above regionally, variability within the ensemble decreases signifi- preindustrial levels, while pursuing efforts and limiting the cantly as one looks at larger regions or at a global population warming to 1.5 ◦C. -
Climate Risk and Response: Physical Hazards and Socioeconomic Impacts: Executive Summary
Climate risk and response: Physical hazards and socioeconomic and impacts hazards Physical response: and risk Climate Executive summary Climate risk and response Physical hazards and socioeconomic impacts January 2020 McKinsey Global Institute Since its founding in 1990, the McKinsey innovation, and urbanization. Recent partners and industry and management Global Institute (MGI) has sought to reports have assessed the digital experts. The MGI Council is made develop a deeper understanding of the economy, the impact of AI and automation up of leaders from McKinsey offices evolving global economy. As the business on employment, income inequality, around the world and the firm’s sector and economics research arm of McKinsey the productivity puzzle, the economic practices and includes Michael Birshan, & Company, MGI aims to provide leaders benefits of tackling gender inequality, Andrés Cadena, Sandrine Devillard, in the commercial, public, and social a new era of global competition, André Dua, Kweilin Ellingrud, sectors with the facts and insights Chinese innovation, and digital and Tarek Elmasry, Katy George, Rajat Gupta, on which to base management and financial globalization. Eric Hazan, Acha Leke, Gary Pinkus, policy decisions. Oliver Tonby, and Eckart Windhagen. MGI is led by three McKinsey & Company The Council members help shape the MGI research combines the disciplines of senior partners: James Manyika, research agenda, lead high-impact economics and management, employing Sven Smit, and Jonathan Woetzel. research and share the findings with the analytical tools of economics with James and Sven also serve as co-chairs decision makers around the world. In the insights of business leaders. Our of MGI. Michael Chui, Susan Lund, addition, leading economists, including “micro-to-macro” methodology examines Anu Madgavkar, Jan Mischke, Nobel laureates, advise MGI research. -
Human Contribution to the Record-Breaking June and July 2019 Heatwaves in Western Europe
Environ. Res. Lett. 15 (2020) 094077 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba3d4 Environmental Research Letters LETTER Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 OPEN ACCESS heatwaves in Western Europe RECEIVED 31 December 2019 Robert Vautard1, Maarten van Aalst2, Olivier Boucher1, Agathe Drouin3, Karsten Haustein4, 5 6 4 3 3 REVISED Frank Kreienkamp , Geert Jan van Oldenborgh , Friederike E L Otto , Aur´elien Ribes , Yoann Robin , 18 June 2020 Michel Schneider3, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux3, Peter Stott7, Sonia I Seneviratne8, Martha M Vogel8 ACCEPTED FOR PUBLICATION 9 8 July 2020 and Michael Wehner 1 PUBLISHED Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Paris, France 28 August 2020 2 University of Twente and Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Netherlands 3 M´et´eo-France, Toulouse, France 4 Original content from Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom 5 this work may be used Deutsche Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany under the terms of the 6 KNMI, de Bilt, The Netherlands Creative Commons 7 U.K. Met. Office, Exeter, United Kingdom Attribution 4.0 licence. 8 ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland Any further distribution 9 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States of America of this work must maintain attribution to E-mail: [email protected] the author(s) and the title of the work, journal Keywords: climate change, heat wave, extreme event attribution citation and DOI. Supplementary material for this article is available online Abstract Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by more than a degree in many locations, and significant societal impacts, including excess mortality of several thousand people. -
European Extratropical Cyclones IMPLICATIONS for LOCAL INSURERS
European Extratropical Cyclones IMPLICATIONS FOR LOCAL INSURERS 0 European Extratropical Cyclones | TransRe White Paper by James Rohman | May 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 Figure 1. An extratropical disturbance turns into an organized storm in the eastern North Atlantic. Over February 12-14, 2014, a series of storms struck the coastline of northern Europe, causing widespread flood and damage, resulting in approximate insured losses of $1.3B to residences, businesses and infrastructure. European Extratropical Cyclones | FAIRCO White Paper 1 Executive Summary • Extratropical Cyclones (ETC) that form in the North Atlantic are, on average, the second most destructive insured natural catastrophe worldwide (after Atlantic hurricanes). • They can generate winds up to 140mph and waves over 100ft. • The wind-fields range from 120-1200 miles, with the spread of most damaging winds 50-150 miles from the storm center. • On average, 200 ETCs form each year. • They derive their energy from the horizontal temperature difference between warm, subtropical air masses and cold, polar air masses. • The two most consistent factors driving European ETCs are the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). • AO and NAO shape the jet stream, funnel ETCs into various parts of Europe. o Positive AO/NAO is associated with storms that have a west-southwest to east-northeast track across Europe. o Negative AO/NAO is linked to a more south-to-north track. o NAO positive (negative) years are associated with a 10- 15% increase (decrease) in losses during winter storm seasons. • AO/NAO variation is linked to the dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), a global tropical weather anomaly. -
Week of August 10, 2015 – the Concorde Plane Disaster I Can
Week of August 10, 2015 – The Concorde Plane Disaster I can remember a few times in my life when I was at JFK and getting ready to taxi to/from my gate when the pilot would call everyone’s attention to look out the window to catch a glimpse of the famous Concorde plane parked at a gate. For years, since its maiden voyage in January 1976 (there were actually two simultaneous Concorde flights: one taking off from London and the other from Paris), the Concorde was the pinnacle of commercial air travel. With a takeoff speed of 250 mph and a cruising speed of 1350 mph (more than twice the speed of sound) a typical London to New York crossing would take a little less than three and a half hours as opposed to about eight hours for a subsonic flight. It happened 15 years ago (July, 2000) when Air France flight 4590, a charter destined for New York’s JFK from Paris hit disaster. As it neared takeoff speed, the Concorde struck a thin metal strip on the runway, causing one of its tires to burst. The strip had fallen from the underside of a Continental Airlines DC-10 that had departed minutes earlier, bound for Houston. Chunks of the burst tire impacting the Concorde’s wing at tremendous velocity, resulting in a powerful shock wave within the wing’s fuel tank that ultimately punctured it. Gases from the engines then ignited leaking fuel, touching off a huge fire. The crew wrestled the crippled jet into the air, but lost control moments later, slamming into a hotel. -
Human Contribution to the Recordbreaking June and July 2019 Heatwaves in Western Europe
Human contribution to the recordbreaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe Robert Vautard, Maarten van Aalst, Olivier Boucher, Agathe Drouin, Karsten Haustein, Frank Kreienkamp, Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike Otto, Aurélien Ribes, Yoann Robin, et al. To cite this version: Robert Vautard, Maarten van Aalst, Olivier Boucher, Agathe Drouin, Karsten Haustein, et al.. Human contribution to the recordbreaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union, In press. hal-03093481 HAL Id: hal-03093481 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03093481 Submitted on 3 Jan 2021 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. IOP Publishing Journal Title Journal XX (XXXX) XXXXXX https://doi.org/XXXX/XXXX Human contribution to the record- breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe Robert Vautard1, Maarten van Aalst2, Olivier Boucher1, Agathe Drouin3, Karsten Haustein4, Frank Kreienkamp5, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh6, Friederike E. L. Otto4, Aurélien Ribes3, Yoann Robin3, Michel Schneider3, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux3, Peter Stott7, Sonia I. Seneviratne8, Martha M. Vogel8, Michael Wehner9 1Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Paris, France 2University of Twente and Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre 3Météo-France, Toulouse, France 4University of Oxford, Oxford, U.K. -
The Future of Sharing in Central European Cities
3/2019 Magazyn Miasta CITIES MAGAZINE The future of sharing in Central European Cities 3/ 2019 : EDITORIAL Editorial Editor-in-chief MARTA ŻAKOWSKA You will undoubtedly recall our introduc- tion of the love affair between the idea of sharing and the Central European cities. But just to be sure, a quick reminder. In the first issue of the Magazyn Miasta: Cit- ies Magazine, we presented the history and locally cre- ated rites of sharing in the post-Soviet cities of Central Europe. In the second issue, we described the present manifestations in the region of this enduring tradition, its current mechanisms, its response to the rapidly ex- panding economy of sharing in the world, and its local variations and effects. In the current issue, we look to the future. How and what will we share in the cities of Central Europe? In today's fast changing world writing with any certainty about the future is risky – they say that the multiplied effect of a butterfly flapping its wings in China may soon be felt through the whole world. We can also meet some black swan all at once. Still, through the views and ideas of our authors, we at- tempt in this issue to predict the directions our fu- ture will take. Please join us in this valuable exercise because in times of climate crisis and environmen- tal and shrinking resources all forms of sharing are and will be the weight of gold. Their popularity in cit- ies enhances the development of the sharing econo- my, which grows in the face of various forms of eco- nomic crisis and glass ceilings. -
Six Sigma a Way to Reach Operational Excellence and Get out of the Crisis
Six Sigma a way to reach Operational Excellence and get Out of the Crisis Alessandro Brun – Politecnico di Milano [email protected] About Myself SIX SIGMA – a way to reach Operational Excellence and get Out of the Crisis Concorde One of the 20th century's great symbols of technological achievement… SIX SIGMA – a way to reach Operational Excellence and get Out of the Crisis Concorde • One of the 20th century's great symbols of technological achievement… • … perhaps the most famous passenger jetliner in history. • But it was also commercially flawed. Its engines were dirty and painfully noisy. It was banned from flying supersonic over the United States because of the sonic boom. SIX SIGMA – a way to reach Operational Excellence and get Out of the Crisis Concorde • Concorde was effectively blocked from entering the crucial U.S. market when airlines in this country, including TWA and Pan American, canceled orders. • "Looking back at the entire program, from beginning to end, if you knew then what you know now, then Concorde would never have been built," Bannister. SIX SIGMA – a way to reach Operational Excellence and get Out of the Crisis Concorde • On 25 July 2000, Air France Flight 4590 crashed in Gonesse, France, killing all 100 passengers and 9 crew members. • According to the official investigation conducted by the French accident investigation bureau (BEA), the crash was caused by a titanium strip that fell from a Continental Airlines DC-10 that had taken off minutes earlier. The metal fragment punctured a tyre on Concorde’s left main wheel bogie during takeoff. -
Human Contribution to the Record-Breaking July 2019 Heat Wave in Western Europe
Human contribution to the record-breaking July 2019 heat wave in Western Europe Robert Vautard, Olivier Boucher (IPSL Paris) Geert Jan van Oldenborgh (KNMI) Friederike Otto, Karsten Haustein (University of Oxford) Martha M. Vogel, Sonia I. Seneviratne (ETH Zürich) Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Michel Schneider, Agathe Drouin, Aurélien Ribes (Météo France) Frank Kreienkamp (Deutscher Wetterdienst) Peter Stott (UK Met Office) Maarten van Aalst (ITC/University of Twente and Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre) Key findings ● A second record-breaking heat wave of 3-4 days took place in Western Europe in the last week of July 2019, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees in many countries including Belgium and the Netherlands where temperatures above 40°C were recorded for the first time. In the U.K. the event was shorter lived (1- 2 days), yet a new historical daily maximum temperature was recorded exceeding the previous record set during the hazardous August 2003 heatwave. ● In contrast to other heat waves that have been attributed in Western Europe before, this July heat was also a rare event in today’s climate in France and the Netherlands. There, the observed temperatures, averaged over 3 days, were estimated to have a 50-year to 150-year return period in the current climate. Note that return periods of temperatures vary between different measures and locations, and are therefore highly uncertain. ● Combining information from models and observations, we find that such heatwaves in France and the Netherlands would have had return periods that are about a hundred times higher (at least 10 times) without climate change. -
Impor Schiphol Group Annual Report 2007
Schiphol Group Annual Report 2007 Important Events in 2007 No flotation or private placement into the activities we are developing in order to achieve for Schiphol Group the ambitious targets we have set ourselves. One of In February, the government decided that Schiphol our aims is to ensure that our own operations at Group would not be listed on the stock exchange. the Schiphol site will be carbon neutral by 2012. However, an investigation would be carried out as to whether a private placement with institutional Cabinet introduces Air Passenger investors was possible. In October, the government Tax for all Dutch airports ruled out this option. The government will introduce an Air Passenger Tax for passengers departing from Dutch airports. From Agreement on growth of 1 July 2008, passengers will pay EUR 11.25 for destinations Amsterdam Airport Schiphol within the European Union (EU) and within 2500 km. In September, the government agreed to an amendment For destinations further away than 2500 km, passengers of the Airport Traffic Ruling (luchthavenverkeerbesluit – will pay EUR 45. We will collect these levies for airports LVB), allowing Schiphol to expand, under certain that fall under Schiphol Group and subsequently conditions, to 480,000 air transport movements by 2010. hand these funds over to government. Studies have To achieve this, the limits of some noise measurement revealed that the introduction of this tax will reduce points have to be raised, while those of others have passenger numbers and the number of jobs at and to be lowered. Together with Air Traffic Control the around Amsterdam Airport Schiphol and the other Netherlands (LVNL), we charted the consequences for Dutch airports.